Consider that 40% of US GDP now is collected in some form of taxation (city, state, and federal).[1] 40 cents of every dollar earned is taxed and spent as the government chooses. This is more than between FDR and Regan, and much more than the 20s (~15% of GDP).
which in turn seems to be based on IRS aggregate taxpayer data. Based on a quick of the IRS data referenced, the "effective rates" does seem to be actual effective rates (ie. calculated based on how much the IRS is getting, rather than calculating based on what the brackets are). That said, I can think of multiple reasons why they don't correspond to the graph above:
1. At least in the early data, millionaires don't make up that much of overall tax take. For instance in 1945 they only made up of 0.1% of overall tax receipts. That means the effective rate of 64% makes a negligible contribution to the effective tax rate of the entire economy as a whole.
2. The threshold for millionaires is also not adjusted for inflation, so you'd expect the effective tax rate to drop as the brackets are moved up to account for inflation.
Good find but that supports the article, not contradicts it.
receipts constant while millionaires taxes rates decreasing = the middle class pickup of the tab.
It’s decreased for all the lower income levels.
https://files.taxfoundation.org/legacy/docs/TaxShareTop1Bott...
For instance, if the top 1%/millionaires earned more income (as a proportion), you'd expect the "percentage of income taxes born" figure to go up, even if the effective tax rates remained constant or dipped slightly.