Thiel on 60 minutes
cbsnews.com
cbsnews.com
Safer tries to suggest that Thiel is advocating against college for everybody, or any field. What I take from Thiel's stance is that college has become less of a place of learning, and more of an inefficient credentialing mechanism.
Safer makes the interesting point that most startups will fail, but what he seems to miss (or Thiel doesn't point out): Thiel Fellows also have a credential of a kind, and even in failure, an extremely lucrative one.
Certainly not everyone's like that. Certainly college is a really useful tool for many people. Its also an good tool to climb the social ladder. But the assumption that its right for everyone in a certain social class... that's whats fucked up.
In your own startup, it feels like every stroke counts, and you are doing something you find exciting and meaningful. It's likely not that startups offer more teaching experience, it's just that you're bound to get more out of something you really dive into.
Having said that, most (all?) college curricula do not cater for people intending to do startups, but they still have a lot to offer.
Peter Thiel occurs to me as someone who sees the world in stark terms. He holds a libertarian approach to society and government. Considering this, I don't think it's a stretch to assume he truly means college is mostly, if not altogether, pointless.
That said, his opinion doesn't seem to be the prevailing opinion in Silicon Valley. By and large, people (even in SV) realize that not everyone has the chops to start a company or follow their ideas to fruition, and it's essentially still a success touchstone in the minds of most.
Then how do you explain the mathematical maturity effect that most STEM students go through in a four year program.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_maturity
There are industries for which it would be impossible to innovate or even participate without this, and it's unlikely someone will develop this on their own time.
I don't think you're incorrect about mathematical maturity, but we should tie it into the theme of the thread here: the returns to a college education. In technical fields, college is akin to job training. Consequently, it's not surprising that engineering degrees have the highest out-of-college return. This is unlike obtaining a degree in the liberal arts, where the on-the-job training supersedes the importance of a college education.
How many of the YC founders are college dropouts?
How many of the YC founders that had successful (by whatever definition you'd like) exits were college dropouts?
And lastly, how do you feel about college education in general? Do you agree with Thiel, that it is not a good use of time and money? Is college education a big factor when choosing companies for YC?
YC funds a lot of founders who are young and have not finished college.
http://www.jedberg.net/article.html
And this in particular, (1996):
"Dartmouth, one of the most academically competitive colleges in the country, has long had a reputation for encouraging computer use by students. It now has the new distinction of being one of the most e-mail-intensive, delivering about 250,000 electronic messages a day to 5,000 students and 3,000 faculty and staff members, or more than 30 messages apiece."
And, in fact, I spent many hours at Wharton in the late 70's early 80's with a Dec-10 at the computer center and CRT's.
Had I been a college dropout of course I would have never had that opportunity which led to so many things (computer only being one thing).
I would probably have had the same opportunity (with computers of course) at a public college so cost didn't have to be a factor.
The situation of course depends greatly on the individual circumstances of course and there is no question that it is applicable to people beyond the professionals (Doctors etc.) that Thiel seems to acknowledge as having to spend the time and money.
Yes, I agree that I would have never learned what I did about computers if I hadn't had a chance to play with them like I did at Berkeley.
If you want to be a web or mobile developer, why do you need to go to school? What can they offer you that free (or even cheap for pay) online courses can't?
If on the other hand, you're interested in biotech and need access to the equipment and knowledge only available at a university, by all means go for it! But if/when the day comes when that kind of knowledge is ubiquitous, like internet tech became, I hope you'll reconsider.
http://www.dailyfinance.com/2011/02/23/elite-colleges-not-th...
Now, the two economists have updated the study with new
data, more detail -- and the results are even more
compelling. In the abstract, they report: "When we adjust
for unobserved student ability by controlling for the
average SAT score of the colleges that students applied
to, our estimates of the return to college selectivity
fall substantially and are generally indistinguishable
from zero."
In this view, college is just an imperfect, expensive proxy for your SAT score. And the reason this proxy exists is because of the Griggs vs. Duke Power ruling, which prohibits companies from administering SAT-type tests of general reasoning. It may not be coincidental that the explosion in college prices began around that time.If it turns out that a three hour SAT at $100 can replace a four year college degree costing $250,000 in terms of its predictive value for an employer - and the Dale/Krueger study sure seems to show this - then yes, Peter Thiel is on to something very big, and you may want to short higher-ed. Or at least Sallie Mae.
I concede some schools are a better value, and some majors are not going to make you financially successful. I think that should be the discussion.
So is your first job.
What he seems to be aiming for is less information asymmetry via increased education on the costs AND benefits of education for those considering attending university, and more of a marketplace for degrees, if they are to be treated as investments. For example, allowing lenders to offer lower rates for those entering STEM majors or people who have demonstrated high aptitude scores, or making information on job placement broken down by degree more readily available.
On the topic of the overall bubble, I think the main problem is that the demands of the marketplace are not effectively filtered into pressure to select certain majors. Thus you have the current absurd situation where there are as many STEM students as there were 30 years ago, but the number of liberal arts majors has skyrocketed.
Not everyone can work in publishing and theater.
Also, it's a shame how 60 Minutes, a main stream cultural bellwether if there ever was one, eviscerates Thiel. He's one of the few practical visionaries around, and his thesis that the American cultural status quo is indeterminately (rather than determinately) optimistic about the future is bolstered by the treatment they give him.
We're in a general labor glut. There's not as much demand for anyone anymore.
I don't think they did a good enough job. They didn't call him out when he gave as examples 3 total outliers, Gates, Jobs and Zuckerberg. Ditto for saying college costs $250,000 for 4 years. Public colleges aren't anywhere near that cost.
Harvard "full list" is 62,950 and nobody pays that unless they are from a wealthy family.
Syracuse which I would think is typical of private colleges would be about 200k for 4 years.
Many public schools are easily maybe 18k per year room and board for in state students. That is way less than "250k".
* 4 years of undergrad * 4 years of medical school * 3+ years of residency
And the potential upside for a plumber who starts his own business or perhaps branches out into general contracting, it would not surprise me if total lifetime wages adjusted for education expenses were fairly close.
Either compare averages or admit that there's no point comparing when you already know the outcome you want.
Anyway the job (and prestige) of a doctor is vastly different than the "average" plumber or tradesman and comes with a whole host of psychic benefits. And the skills (mechanical and being grimy all day) are much different for plumber than Physician.
Quibbling detail, I know. But I had the impression the competition was not just limited to the U.S. (Which in no way "argues" the above point. I tried to let it go. I really did. Curiosity killed the cat and all that.)
Thanks.
Debate: Too Many Kids Go To College
For The Motion: Peter Thiel & Charles Murray
Against The Motion: Vivek Wadhwa, Henry Bienen
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VTQ-dBYSlQIt's something I think about a lot, but the past year since I graduated high school, it has been an incredible experience, and I'm topping it all off with my startup being accepted into the TechStars program this summer term.
I can almost guarantee I'll have more hands on experience, a decent savings, and a steady paycheck in 3 years when my graduating high school class graduates college.
If you look at my history you can tell I've worked really hard to be where I am, I'm super focused, and I inadvertently don't have a huge social life, and I'm ok with that. I feel in high school I concentrated on doing what I love instead of going to parties, etc. I have a few close friends that I have fun with and enjoy, don't get me wrong, but I feel a lot of the high school social life is just stupid and time wasting and I spent it learning about what I do, and when I graduated I had an internship with a startup in DC waiting on me. I chose to work hard, do what I love, and stay focused and it is already paying off.
I encourage people to find what they love, learn all about it, and whatever it takes to achieve their goals is what they should do. Don't look at college as a must have stepping stone to be successful, but instead look as it in a light that answers the question: Will this help me achieve my life goals and dreams?
Let me suggest to you that you do the equivalent of a "gap year" sometime soon. Save up a bit of money, put your stuff in storage, and head off on a grand adventure. Travel cheaply through developing countries where even meager savings will allow you access to interesting experiences. Alternatively, consider something like teaching English abroad. I learned more about the world, myself, and my own culture in a year of travel than I did in years of college and work. It's really easy to get so focused on your career track that you lose sight of the diversity and vast experiences that life has to offer. Incidentally, you'll meet a ton of very interesting people in a few months of hostel-hopping. :-)
Going to college is like BUYING a house. That's what the market has overbought. Everyone needs a house, but renting is an option. Renting is being self-educated; for the purposes of how much you learn, either can be adequate -- renting clearly covers the low end better, but I know a lot of rich people who rent super expensive properties, too.
Being entirely uneducated is being homeless; no one is advocating that.
has_degree = lambda years, total: years == total
has_degree(3,4)
=> False
Edit: Renamed method attended_college method to has_degree to better reflect functionality.Suffice it to say, I don't think has_degree can be implemented as a one-liner.
My mother never encouraged me to go to school and I spent all my time in my room reading SciFi and Fantasy novels. But I was very smart, and now that I have a kid of my own, I see that same intelligence in her and, guess what, I'm sending her to college. No matter what. She'll have opportunities to do great things, and I wouldn't fault her for pausing college to work on a start-up company, but I would fault her for not finishing school, even if it took a decade or two. See, I want her to be able to sit in that room with all the socialites and hold her own, as easily as she could in a room full of geeks. That said, until the United States improves its view of education and makes some radical changes, my daughter will NOT be going to college in the States. Maybe University of Helsinki? :)
Good luck to all the Thiel Fellows. I think it is needed, for both an _alternative_ and as a reminder to folks in the States that there is a serious problem with the education system...
I'm not sure what the answer is, but I know that there are more possibilities out there than 1) follow the traditional US college path and 2) don't go to college and start working full time straight away.
There also tends to be a finality to grading that is disjoint with the actual amount of information learned. When you fail a homework assignment and finally understand what you did wrong, THAT'S where the learning actually occurs. Unless that student is able to resubmit that homework in some other form, the grade will never reflect that "Aha!" moment.
All of the engineering jobs at Facebook and Paypal require a BS or MS. Why is that if the founders were miraculously able to build those companies to what they are today with no degree? Shouldn't they be hiring college dropouts who skipped databases 101 so they could 'hack'?
While I can't speak to the latter, I for certain that at Facebook they ask for a degree or equivalent experience. I also know several people from the CS Department here at University of Washington who ended up dropping out to join the company after very successful internships. It's my understanding that they are very much a company that recruits on ability to Get Things Done more than anything else.
Some people call it riding the wave.
Most VC startups begin with a kernel of a good idea (large bubbles do as well). Now this idea is either self-supporting or supported by funding (both due to the assets of society - not that of the founder). As you are at the beginning of the wave, you ride it, and good people find their way towards you. You then hire these people for below market rates (most equity is worthless) and then use them to make you into the great success that you are.
There are no barriers to entry to becoming a "founder". You just have to be there, and be ready. The competition is low at the beginning. Hence you get drop outs who go on to succeed. The success is not because of themselves, but because of the situation around them.
Own all the land in America 400 years ago, and it's worthless. Wait a few generations and your descendents are some of the richest people on the planet. The founders of America look like absolute geniuses today, when it was the work of the millions who came after them that made them look like gods.
The world isn't about people. It isn't about societies. It's about complex systems, undergoing transformations with a nearly infinite number of variables, and where the slightest changes in any one of them can lead to vastly different results.
1000 possible billionaires are born everyday. Most die in the third world. The remainder come from low socioeconomic backgrounds. Cuts that to about 100. Of those 100, few are located in places like Silicon Valley. Now you are around 10. Of these 10, some go study medicine/law/engineering and disappear from the pool. Down to 1-2. Most of these guys fail.
You only hear about the successes - not the failures. The world is really fucking complex. Randomness is by far the greatest factor in people's lives.
But people want reasons damn it! There must be a secret, right?
Sigh.
Well, there are a lot of @igorgue (me) out there; I didn't go to college, heck, I didn't even go to high school - If I had to apply to one of those factories that require a high school degree, I couldn't. But, I do have a, fairly successful, software development career, my business card reads "senior software engineer".
I'm 24, I earn more than my friends my age, I'm high-middle-class - I joke saying I'm the 2.5% instead of the 1% - I'm even foreign, and a minority. I'm 100% out of debt.
My point is, most people know they can't be Mark Zuckerberg even if they go to college, they just want to have some success. And the average joe - myself included - can do get it without going to college.
your ipad can play that file
Anyway, I got the impression from the lectures so far that his problem with college would be more due to the tendency for students to associate 'difficult' with 'valuable', and he was really railing against a handful of so-called elite institutions.
Arguing that you should avoid any formal training is pretty daft - you can learn a lot by yourself but self-study tends to anti-select against important-but-boring stuff (I've recently changed from self-study back to programmed-study and have to begrudgingly accept that I am consolidating my understanding of certain issues only since).
It could be kind of like a gap year but applied to pursuing some ambitious idea. If it works, great. If it doesn't, returning to college would still be an option.