I'm not sure it's a catch-22, there are many possibilities and subsequent outcomes. I would just want to satiate my curiosity.

You assume they'll have a good reason, but they may not. They could be a malicious actor but also suck at it, and you might spook them into reconsidering. Or they may be fully innocent and just suck at packaging and distributing software and you might help them learn something.

If they do have a good reason, it should stand on its own merits when presented. Anyone could be up to no good and they might be plotting the end of the world, but they also might coincidentally and not relatedly happen to like xz-utils a lot.