> Those are automated and work well. Waymo's automatic driving, but not Tesla's.
If Tesla geofenced their FSD applications as aggressively as Waymo, I suspect the two would be near peers. You can hide an incredible lack of a capability by artificially limiting the scope of your application.
> This is a useful metric for gauging real progress.
Sure, cost / benefit analysis is always useful. I would propose a broader analysis for grading “AI” disruption though.
1. Are humans involved at any step?
2. What is the probability of success?
3. What is the consequence of failure? (Profit loss / property loss / personal injury, etc…)
4. How many variations on a domain (think winter driving, summer driving, driving in a tropical storm, driving dirt roads in a jungle, etc) can the application work in while maintaining consistent performance?
5. Can the model leverage its “learnings” to solve problems / reason about new domains that it hasn’t been trained on?
That’s just a few metrics I can think of off the top of my head that would help to distinguish a true disruptor from the hype.