Tesla's $25,000 Car Means Tossing Out the 100-Year-Old Assembly Line
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
As someone who lives in a location that heavily salts the roads, I am not looking forward to a car where a designer living with california weather decides which few parts of the body "need" it... The same causes issues with model 3 door handles that get coated in ice and need to be melted before they can be opened (ice storms usually happens a couple times a winter)
Is it aesthetics? I don’t think theirs look any better. And they feel flimsy AF. They give you nothing to hold onto when manipulating the door. Even if they didn’t freeze, I just don’t like them.
So we’re going to make this more complicated, more failure prone thing that looks and feels worse for no real benefit?
The worst part is that other EVs are adopting it.
The door handle is a gimmick, afaict, with so much other low hanging fruit in the design.
My hunch says less than that. Door handles have more physical moving parts which are going to increase costs and we know Tesla loves to do anything they can to keep those down.
I'm hopeful for Tesla to release their 25k car, and I'm really hoping for my car to last a couple years longer so I can get something from a different manufacturer that realizes some design standards have good reasons behind them.
The door openers can have a good bit of force behind them.
Elon is probably only thinking about the use-case on Mars where a lack of atmospheric oxygen will mean corrosion isn't such a major factor.
I think we're on something like year 7 of Musk promising perfect self-driving cars in one more year.
Or that's the work of SpaceX team and not Musk? So when it fails it's Musk and Musk only, but when it succeeds it's not Musk at all?
It's a lot easier to move fast and break things when you ignore that.
> but not as bad as the TikTok videos make out
I think we have different bars for "not as bad".
We probably don’t, but you’ve gone out of your way to misrepresent my comment so I don’t know where to go from here. Edit: and not the first time you’ve done this to one of my comments in recent times either.
Here is the exact video I meant. They don’t seem to be wearing gloves either. https://www.tiktok.com/@ddcustomz/video/7068406130653170991?...
* It doesn't reduce labor costs
* It doesn't reduce materials costs
* It doesn't seem to allow them to assemble faster
* It has significant challenges for quality (matching paint across body panels is very hard, for example)
The only thing it does seem to reduce is factory footprint, which doest seem to be a meaningful cost on a per unit basis (a single factory will build millions and millions of vehicles over the life of the factory).
So what does it do, and why is it better?
Tesla is on-track to miss delivery targets which is why we've seen a lot more PR articles recently.
As well as initiatives like forcing everyone who test-drives or services their car to try FSD which will help justify poor numbers.
Shouldn't it reduce labor costs when you have just one part instead of hundreds?
Like, okay, you currently build a vehicle by dragging a hulk down a moving line.
This says leave the hulk in one place, and bring the parts to it.
It on its face appears to be less efficient.
/s
I have zero knowledge of manufacturing, but if that worked out, would it not increase the efficiency of converting raw materials into a final product and yield cost savings by minimizing controllable downtime? I'd think you'd just hit external bottlenecks in the supply chains, but in my imagination that's where you'd want them to be.
It claims that it reduces the number of parts (and presumably simplifies assembly)
Imagine a queue of people at a buffet where overtaking is not allowed. If someone dawdles around at the juicer, people behind them need to wait while the salad bar is emptying and suddenly the cashier has nothing to do.
Adding a capacity for parallel fix up product looks good temporarily but ends up decreasing quality and productivity with a lot of extra waste - one thing that Boeing has recently shown again.
Does that mean if you get into a fender bender they need to replace the entire front/rear of your car?
I can't imagine the insurance rates are going to be low.
Fender benders don't damage the relevant parts.
This is talking about the frame, not the sheet metal or plastic panel pieces. Most cars have a welded frame. If you get into an accident and that gets damaged then the car is usually totaled.
That was one of the reasons why Hertz was moving away from Teslas. The body repair costs where much higher than the other vehicles in their fleet because they needed to replace the entire front/back in case of accidents.
I do wonder what exactly in the manufacturing process leads to such poor tolerances in Teslas. And is it even prudent to aim for a cheaper car before ironing out the kinks in the current lineup and process.
See: there was an employee-on-employee shooting at the Fremont factory
https://www.ktvu.com/news/prosecutors-say-tesla-employee-wai...
This will remain vaporware for the foreseeable future.
>In the computer industry, vaporware (or vapourware) is a product, typically computer hardware or software, that is announced to the general public but is late, never actually manufactured, or officially cancelled.
Vaporware means it never comes. People need to find a new thing to shit on besides tesla not delivering cars. Make fun of Elon's hair plugs or something realistic at least
"Never" is a big word.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/03/cars/musk-tesla-cars-value-ev...
Looking at the broader discussion, I suspect there's some confusion between " it won't be a vaporware promise if someone makes it today" versus "past vaporware promises have been retroactively fulfilled."
FTFY
vaporware | ˈvāpərˌwer | (vapourware British English)
noun Computing informal
software or hardware that has been advertised but is not yet
available to buy, either because it is only a concept or because
it is still being written or designed.The $35K CyberTruck will not ever make it to market, and I'd wager money on it.
€25k - French car maker
https://www.renault.fr/vehicules-electriques/r5-e-tech-elect...
Musk has popularied EVs, launched rockets into outer space, founded a company that drills massive holes, and bought a social media company.
I don't think the idea of betting against him is a good one.
this tata motors car, tiago ev has like 250Km advertised rannge. real world people say 180/190km. thats A LOT for city driving. you dont use your car for food delivery, do you?
secondly, on highways there are chargers popping up so it wouldnt matter
2. Government subsidies.
3. Workers paid poverty wages who live in company dorms that are so dilapidated that Tata evicted workers from some of the oldest ones last year.
4. Environmental laws so lax that they just dump dioxins into the rivers and you are jailed for sedition if you try, like Disha Ravi, to report on it or organize protests against it.
I respect your opinion and thankfully you're speaking from actual experience (a rarity online!)
Many drivers choose a car based on aspirational reasons that are detached from reality.
e.g. buying an SUV for adventurous road trips, a truck so they can carry lots of large items.
Which is why range anxiety is still a big deal.
5 might be a lot but I think a lot of families take at least 1/1.5 full day trip in the car. go to the beach, etc.
Most households do not do this. The average car goes like 13,000mi a year, you're doing more than that 4-5 times? You're 4-5x beyond the average.
EDIT: sorry, somehow saw an extra zero in there.
No, aspirational means that you aspire to do it, which is probably why most people buy most cars, at least in the US. One exception does not disprove that theory.
If you only need the range 4 times, let alone once, a year, why not rent a car for that rare and buy something more optimal for your daily needs? That's what we do, and our daily need is no car at all.
Tata motors are made in India. BYD is Chinese. Both involved much lower cost of labor, both from the engineering perspective and the manufacturing too.
Heck, even Tesla themselves have a factory in China and from the most recent figures I could find, their Chinese built Tesla's are 40% cheaper than the American built Teslas -- https://financialpost.com/commodities/energy/electric-vehicl...
If they can make a $15,000 car in China, they can make it for $18,000 in South Dakota.
The price difference is simply due to Tesla having bigger batteries, bigger motors, bigger hype, and I'm going to assume all those FSD engineers aren't cheap (Even though they have yet to produce anything of value).
Most of America is very much NOT city. If you start on the East coast of South Carolina and drive West, after 9.5 hours of driving you'll be in...South Carolina still.
> secondly, on highways there are chargers popping up so it wouldnt matter
Call me when fully recharging an EV takes the same time as fully fueling an ICE car. I don't want to sit at a station for 45 minutes every 180km on my road trip.
You see those photos of rows and rows of giant apartment towers in Chinese cities? Now compare that to photos of Atlanta or Nashville or Dallas or LA. Notice how there's a big lack of the oceans of giant apartment towers? Maybe that makes some kind of difference in transportation.
For text and numbers: Shenzhen urban area is 1,748 km2. Atlanta is 353.04km2. Los Angeles City is 1,299 km2 (yes the metro area is quite larger, but so is Shenzhen's).
The average length of a trip in the US is 19.63 km.
This is simple basic stuff. There is absolutely nothing that makes Americans uniquely need tank-sized vehicles with 1000km range, even with the uniquely terrible urban design that most American cities have.
https://external-preview.redd.it/l-nJkXPlhrxDStYQNwQ7BUfpNFc...
https://live.staticflickr.com/2486/4155417202_9510efd2dc_b.j...
Hop on Google Maps. Just look for yourself. Does Shenzen look like Atlanta Or LA? Where's the seas of single-family houses? They're not there. Have all the text and numbers you want, just look and see. If you really think Shenzen's urban areas look like Atlanta or LA after spending two minutes on Google Maps, you're delusional.
> uniquely need tank-sized vehicles with 1000km range
I'm not arguing people need 1,000km range, but personally I wouldn't buy a car without at least 150+mi range for a non-road trip car given the realities of the city I live in. At least monthly I drive >100mi round trip and would like some amount of range extra in there, as the destination doesn't yet have charging. And I'm pretty light on driving!
They aren't there because Shenzen urban planers have higher IQ than room temperature in Celsius. That doesn't mean most Americans travel huge distances daily.
> I'm not arguing people need 1,000km range, but personally I wouldn't buy a car without at least 150+mi range for a non-road trip car given the realities of the city I live in. At least monthly I drive >100mi round trip and would like some amount of range extra in there, as the destination doesn't yet have charging. And I'm pretty light on driving!
Again, the average trip in the US is less than 20km. So that means that the majority of people living in America would be totally fine with a Renault Zoe, Dacia Spring, Renault 5 or equivalent vehicle for most of their trips. Hell, many will be fine in a Citroen Ami.
The urban design absolutely has a huge impact of routine distances travelled and total miles driven in a day. If there's a corner store at the bottom of my 40 story tall apartment tower instead of driving a few miles, it changes your travel distances considerably.
> the average trip in the US is less than 20km
I don't buy my car for my 50th percentile drive. Probably 60% of my drives are less than 10mi. I'm not going to buy a car that only gets me 20mi though. I'd rather buy a car that meets at least my 80% needs on range. I'll deal with charging on long road trips, but until there's at least a good number of chargers locally where I'm almost guaranteed to be able to charge at the destination if on one of those 75-80th percentile drives I'm going to want plenty of charge to go there and back again without needing to stop in the middle, even if only for like 10 minutes or so.
Also, when talking area, you're comparing Atlanta proper to Shenzen. You should really be comparing the Atlanta metro area (21,693km²) or the LA-Anaheim-Riverside CSA at 87,940 km². China doesn't really do the same thing as the US with tons of smaller cities surrounding a small central city, they largely just have the one big city.
Don't get me wrong, I'm in agreement that people generally don't need 300+mi range on their cars, Americans tend to drive massively oversized vehicles for their needs, lots of urban design in the US has been pretty trash in the end, etc. And yeah, I'm in agreement that a Renault Zoe, with ~250mi of range, could suit most Americans. That's still 2x more range than a Tiago.ev, and the Zoe is still quite a big larger.
Thinking the Tiago.ev would be widely accepted in the US, in its current climate, is a fantasy.
> I don't buy my car for my 50th percentile drive.
For most people the average is more like the 95th percentile.
19.63 km is the average commute distance in manhattan, one of America's densest cities and a place where most people don't even use cars. The average for america in general is 67.2 km. And those are averages for a daily use. People need cars that can handle the longest distances they would need to travel. People don't drive 500+km every day, but trips of that length are not unusual either. I'm going to be driving 650 km one way tomorrow.
No they don't, it's much more optimal to buy something that is geared towards your daily needs, and then if you need to drive cross country a few times a year you can rent a big car, that's almost always going to be cheaper, even before taking fuel costs into account.
> People need cars that can handle the longest distances they would need to travel
You should not buy a car for the rare, most demanding use case.
If GM made the Bolt a foot shorter with half the range, they probably would be able to hit a little over $10k while having American union workers assembling it. But they would have sold even fewer.