Yen sinks to 34-year low
nippon.com
nippon.com
During trading on Wednesday morning, the yen dropped to a low of ¥151.93 against the dollar as investors defied two days of intensifying warnings from officials.
Finance minister Shunichi Suzuki stepped up verbal warnings, saying the government “would not rule out any steps against any excessive moves” in the yen.
Forex analysts believe that the Japanese authorities have pencilled in a level of ¥152 per dollar as the “line in the sand” that would trigger a direct intervention.
The national bank increased the interest rate in order to increase the value of the yen and now it is the lowest in several decades. How do you conclude that it is a "needed balance"?
I doubt the official Japanese interest rates are directly connected to the markets in a way that makes sense using traditional thinking. Most rational actors wouldn't be involved in a market where there is lots of downside and no real compensation. So the people involved aren't likely free to make rational decisions and all bets are off about what they do.
Taking short term rates from negative to zero is just going to slow the bleeding a little. With these rate differentials this should be expected but it also might be a good place to long yen here but I am not a currency trader.