The biggest crisis is the end of scarcity
foreignpolicy.com
foreignpolicy.com
“Visiting the planet every half-century has made her (the alien), unlike her Earth friends, an optimist. Humankind never goes the easy way around, and given the stakes, they could easily mess up—by starting World War III or being unprepared for a more lethal pandemic than COVID-19, unrestrained artificial intelligence, or the deadly consequences of the climate crisis. She reminds herself, and wishes the citizens of the planet could remember, that few living in 1974, 1924, or 1874 could have imagined the extraordinary progress earthlings have made since. Which, perhaps against her better judgment, gives her hope that she will get to visit in 2074 and be impressed once again.”
(https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39783112 might be a good intro?)
I am getting a bit of an odd vibe from your claim of cultural technical superiority though. I assume it was intended to be more of a self-aware quip than anything else.
But it is a gang sign, of sorts — instead of throwing "westside" or some similar geographic allegiance[1], it's declaring (an actual, or a desired?) membership with that gang of people who care about systems, existence and uniqueness of sol'ns, and the distinction between general and particular sol'ns.
Are we better at coming up with technical sol'ns than that other gang, those who spend their time finding new ways to tell people what they like to hear? That question I leave as an exercise for the reader.
[0] compare https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyril_M._Kornbluth#:~:text=Whe...
[1] compare https://external-preview.redd.it/TQRIW7YgWIIzjk4-yrci1V7VMxJ...
I was once eating a sandwich when an elderly man struck up a conversation with me, as he noticed I was reading something either by or about Norbert Wiener*. It turned out this fellow had made his pile in the 1950s by automating bowling alleys, then nearly lost it again by trying —as a classical second system— to automate restaurants a bit later.
These days we think of the Jetsons as a future-that-never-was, but in 1954 I think they would have seen it as a future-that-plausibly-could-be.
* compare "at your service" (2016) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oyLBCND6sY8 with https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Human_Use_of_Human_Beings (1950)
> "The ethics and philosophy of under-consumption …"
> "So essential when there was under-production; but in an age of machines and the fixation of nitrogen–positively a crime against society."
(My headcanon is that it is sold as a dystopia largely because it presents a future devoid of english teachers; the savage proves his savagery by committing suicide, despite having been offered the islands: the Rumspringa of the world After Ford)
The sphere of production and circulation are impacted simultaneously. So you have an excess of resources and labor, but also not enough money to buy it, because access to resources is gated behind money and money is earned in correlation to productivity.
In its essence, you need to be productive in an economy which no longer needs further production, simply for the sake of obeying the "productivity <=> money" rule.
If this wasn't clear maybe this example is more illustrative: house prices go up by 50%. You need to work 50% longer, but this doesn't mean the economy will actually consume 50% more just because you need the money for the house.
In the scarcity regime you don't have to think about this at all, there is enough of a backlog to just work through it.
Now, if you were to object that poor people still have unmet needs, then the answer is that rising wealth inequality is allocating money to people with a lower propensity to consume. That by the way is where positive capital returns eventually end up, simply because exponential growth outpaces the human brain at some point.
Optimism is the only way forward if we want to get out of the quagmire.
Education (at least for anglophones) is plentiful like never before; it's only the "old boys' networks" that remain scarce.
Medicine as in pharma is still scarce, but medicine as in "how to avoid needing pharma for as long as possible (and how to tell when it's time to learn to love big pharma)" is as plentiful as education, above.
What is really scarce is any incentive for people to learn to use the plenties above.
(Lots of plastic is crap. The plastic bagging that allows me to leave fodder out all winter in the snow and rain? Defo not crap)
Magadan is an extreme example but there are a lot of such settlements not only in Russia and Eastern Europe, but also in USA and Western Europe.
That's if AI doesn't get all the jobs first though, which seems increasingly likely. But that's another question.
Smaller post-industrial cities could also be a good option for commuters, if they are located close enough to big, living city. Many are not, which admittedly is problematic.
A trouble with naive expansion is that logistic-S curves can't stay on the exponential path when one approaches 50% market penetration.