CEOs Who Should Have Already Been Fired
forbes.com
forbes.com
I doubt Forbes serves its website from an iPhone.
B2C is a small portion of Microsoft's business (though massive on an absolute scale). From the days of their agreement with IBM, Microsoft has always been grounded in B2B relationships. The fact that the author can mention Dell, Nokia, and HP indicates a strength that companies to which they are often compared such as Google and Apple, lack - Michael Dell's B2B relationship with Microsoft helped make him a billionaire.
Under Balmer's tenure, Microsoft has become a stable mature company which has consistently realizes massive profits through established long term relationships with their customers. Microsoft started paying dividends a long time ago. It's not a growth stock.
Balmer remains CEO because he is not beholden to Wall Street. He's second only to Gates as a shareholder. They can look long term in a way that other companies cannot and direct Microsoft accordingly - because Balmer's job isn't at risk based on some two bit analyst's opinions.
But at the same time, Ballmer has made some horrible blunders. The XBox was nearly strangled by their obsession with beating Sony out of the gate with the 360. The Zune was a disaster. The years of utter denial regarding WinCE vs the iPhone and Android. Groove. Danger. Skype. The complete lack of a functional ecosystem between their own first-party products. [1] The critically successful Windows Phone being artificially hobbled by bureaucratic concerns [2]. Mismanaging the entire tablet sector for years, only to show up three years late with a confusing compromise...
In short, nothing but their B2B business (and you can lump much of their Windows licensing money in as part of that) has been run well.
[1] XBox Live vs Games for Windows Live, XBox Media Functions vs Windows Media Center, Zune vs XBox Marketplace (and don't get me started on the mess that they created when they tried to finally centralize media under the "Zune" service brand...)
[2] The name is absurd. Why not "Metro"? Why didn't they just put it on a tablet and call it a day? Why are they finally delivering a Metro-ish tablet, but under a different architecture and name and with some obtuse desktop metaphor lurking under the covers?
Microsoft owns it. They could build a worldwide phone network on top of it. They even have a hardware partner with deep penetration in the developing world.
And they're shipping:
http://blogs.skype.com/en/2012/04/skype_for_windows_phone_ha...
They could also seriously upend the market with a skype-only no-phone-plan, PMP/phone that runs off wifi and/or prepaid data. That could justify the price of the Skype purchase as well. And I'm just as pessimistic about that.
I'm not saying they won't ever do anything with it. But they paid a pretty penny and thus far don't seem to have any coherent plan.
It's not that Microsoft needs carrier approval in a technical way. But they absolutely need to be on the carriers' good side in a business sense. If Microsoft is pushing products that will erode carrier profit margin, the carrier stores are not going to push Microsoft's phones.
And Microsoft has had little luck to date selling phones without their help.
If they did, nobody would be using it.
Instead it is a worldwide success.
The US model of carrier subsidies for mobile phones is not only limited in its geographic scope, it is exceedingly vulnerable to disruption for the same reasons that cable and traditional phone companies carry internet traffic for a flat fee.
The early release was a mistake. A mistake that cost them billions of dollars and did nothing to help them measurably "win" against Sony. [1] The nonsense being grafted onto XBox Live and the dashboard in general is also a mistake. [2]
The 360 is an overall success despite those things.
[1] The 360 succeeded largely on the strength of XBox Live and Sony's shooting themselves in the foot over-engineering --and thus overpricing-- the PS3.
[2] Allowing publishers to erode the experience. Muddying up the formerly-clean media experience with largely nonsensical divisions of functionality is a mistake.
The PS3 was demonstrably price-bound for its entire first few years on the market. The existence of the 360 or its early lead just didn't seem to matter. And the "needed to launch first" position has a habit of entirely writing off any negative effect of having poisoned gamers against MS Hardware quality. (Which to that point had a spotless reputation.)
Bing is physically difficult to speak. And as every fourth grader who has taken math knows, Google actually means something. Bing doesn't mean anything; it doesn't even evoke any thought or emotion.
"Googol" is the mathematical term.
Based on http://toolbar.netcraft.com/site_report?url=http://forbes.co... they don't use Microsoft software either. As for Microsoft's profits, anyone who has read The Innovator's Dilemma can see all of the signs of a late stage great company that has failed to address disruptive innovations. They will continue to have great profit margins as they bleed customers until they wind up with no business left.
That could be in the next 10 years or 100 years. Nobody knows and I don't think anybody can predict that will happen sooner than later.
Just like IBM: they're not visible to our generation of IT workers but they exist in other lucrative market, embedding themselves quietly and nicely.
Ballmer deserves the crap he's gotten for his prior arrogance, but I have not seen that behavior in a long time. I have a hard time criticizing him for his lack of clairvoyance of Apple's success, but who else had it in 2007? Only Google comes to mind.
This story is just out there to get picked up by bloggers and hopefully go viral. I actually think the man deserves more respect.
That despite the fact that Microsoft has had some awesome researchers and projects. They have by and large failed to bring any those tools and products to market (the kinect again being a notable exception).
Now make me stop defending these guys, I'm getting heartburn.
iTunes? The app store? Redesigning touchpad interactions for OSX?
It's an amazing achievement for apple, their api's and UI have matured quite impressively.
With that said, I think they are in for a vary long vary profitable decline but IMO so is Apple. Honestly, that's just what happens to large companies.
Sharepoint appears to be little more than a recreation of the Internet "in the small". First time I saw it I had the same thought as the last time I saw it: "WTF do we need _this_ for? We already share files; we already have FTP; we already have the Internet. WTF???"
Am I wrong about Sharepoint?
IMO, It is mostly just a mix of document repository (SVN) and custom website with permissions linked to active directory. However, organizations that can't roll their own intranet site worth a damm can often setup a SharePoint site that meets most of their needs. It supports customization through both plugins and custom code which is how MS get's their long term lock-in. For companies that can maintain say a talented Ruby on Rail's team there is little benefit but where the 'programming team' mostly slings excel macro's SharePoint can still get stuff done.
It's a typical buy vs build scenario. From my understanding, it's not difficult to integrate other enterprise apps to Sharepoint and make a dashboard.
You can probably do that with a bunch of Rails people but if the platform provides a decent "Portal" capabilities out of the box with minimum modification, why build from scratch?
The alternative is to install MediaWiki, WordPress, some sort of CMS perhaps, some sort of Portal (LifeRay?), some sort of document management system that supports versioning and decent web UI, integrate a bunch of services using custom web-app. That's a lot of infrastructure to deal with.
What do we need Excel for when we have perfectly good Perl and CSV files, you might as well ask...
So it's both FTP + SVN rolled into 1 feature set under SP umbrella.
Whether that is worth what Microsoft is selling Sharepoint for, well, that depends on the buyer. It also has the "nobody was fired for buying IBM" point (and Microsoft does have decent support).
I still haven't seen an Open Source Sharepoint "killer", though I might not know of it (I had good hopes for Alfresco).
Last I heard everyone was ditching it for Dynamics or anything-else-but-Sharepoint. I've never heard a good word said about Sharepoint. Though they seemed good at selling it. But it sounds to me that it invariably turned into a disaster.
I've always regarded Sharepoint as the new Lotus Notes, I'm happy to admit being wrong as my experience with it is a little tainted as I once worked for a company that Sharepoint was often suggested as an alternative to our product.
Dynamics is their attempt to join the ERP, CRM market and so far it's still a niche because they're targetting mid-size to large enterprise but the larger companies typically would either go with Oracle or SAP for ERP and something else for CRM.
In some respect, it is similar to LotusNotes in which you can write little apps backed by a data structure called SharePoint List (or SharePoint Document Library). So when I saw Trello, that's like Sharepoint List. Period. Sharepoint List is the core data structure, everything else seems to be derived from it.
The biggest difference is of course SP is web-based and tightly integrated with Microsoft other products: Office, InfoPath, .NET, Dynamics, Outlook, Exchange, AD, etc.
You can pretty much do/build almost everything (specifically Line of Business type of app) with SP (let's avoid technical discussion regarding whether an implementation of Time Tracking should be backed by RDBMS or not since these days people are using NoSQL anyway).
I have to say that it's not a bad product and there are use-cases where Sharepoint can fit.
Then when they change something, the world goes into a shitstorm because it's different.
All of this aside, Microsoft hasn't needed to innovate to the degree of the other big players for a while. Apple needed to innovate in order to secure some set of markets in order to survive. Google wants to innovate since it needs to gather more data to boost its ad business. Amazon wants to be the retailer for everything, and anyone selling anything else (e-books, music, movies - notably) cuts into their profits, so naturally they want to cut into those markets first. Microsoft... had Windows and Office, no real issues there until Apple started to edge in on the consumer market alongside non-PC devices. Even prior to that, Vista was an attempt at innovation that resulted in major screw-up for a ton of reasons, Windows 7 was the fix. Is it really any surprise we're only seeing real innovation (in Windows) now?
Many small businesses or mom & pop shops may have benefited from Windows+Office (specifically Excel, Word, and Access).
They can also purchase Office 365 and have tight integration with their one and only laptop to run their small business.
Sharepoint Online + Office 2010 are extremely powerful and beneficial for those that don't have their own IT department.
Sure, people can keep pointing out Salesforce, Basecamp, Highrise, some random CRM, some random Time & Expense stuff, shopify and so on but if you can get SP Online + Office 2010 for less than $25/month... that's hard to beat.
This article was published in a week where the CEO of a major corporation admitted that he was completely wrong when he called concerns about his bank a "tempest in a teapot" just 4 weeks ago. He called his own company "sloppy" and "stupid" on national television.
And Ballmer is the worst CEO?
Clearly the industry has had that kind of growth in it, Apple did it. While MS is printing money like no one's business, the growth seems to have stopped where as they are a very rich company, a very talented company, with tons of resources, why haven't they grown?
It's hard to say Ballmer is bad, the numbers to speak for themselves. At the same time, if you maybe spun Xbox out and let it run as a small nimble company, maybe it'd be dominating, not carving off a third. Same with windows mobile and maybe even bing. There does seem to be some level of market share they can win with incredible expense (what they spend to win that market share has to be way more than the competition) and then the machinery of MS sort of bogs it down and it's a far smaller number than "Windows Everywhere" would have you believe they are capable of, it's not a leader in the market. You have to wonder about the future, I don't think they're in trouble but the tides can turn rapidly. What's the end game for Windows 8 tablet? 15% market share? 10%? What's acceptable? Moreover, it just seems like bad news is coming out about it and it's going up against iPad. Short of the DoJ leveling some sort of charges on Apple, I don't see windows8 tablets getting out of the blocks, let alone "Windows Everywhere." And then the flip side, what would they have Apple do? Allow IE on iPad? Is that going to change any thing?
Ballmer has done a lot to copy Apple in the past decade: Zune, Win7 UI, WinPhone. I wouldn't be surprised if they repackaged their old tablets in a sleeker Apple-esque style (which would be funny, because MS was genuinely first to that market) In general you get a very 'me too' feeling out their products in the past decade. (plus Azure and bing, which didnt copy Apple but other companies)
Could he have done better? I guess. Could he have done worse? I'm sure.
MSoft is becoming increasingly less relevant to my life, and I don't think I'm alone.
But, it is a sign that Wall Street is starting to pile on Ballmer?
They need a CEO with a strong openness principle and willing to listen two great advisors: a designer with strong UI/UX experience, and an engineer who knows how to implement those designs.
Summary: Drop Ballmer, get some Apple design sense, and keep shit open. That is how you'll move the industry forward with Microsoft leading the way.
What's wrong with windows as of Windows 7? As far as I can see, not very much. It seemed quite stable for the limited time I used it. It's good to look at. It gets the job done. What more do I need?
I'm sure Windows 8 will be a decent move up from here. A better choice for worst CEO would have been the former RIM CEO or the current Nokia one. I STILL CAN'T BELIEVE THEY DITCHED MEEGO IN FAVOUR OF WINDOWS PHONE!!! AARRGGGG!
I've used it.
It isn't.
It's well and truly a horrorshow. And I like Windows 7.
Opinions are a funny thing: they're not always logical.
But there is no direct upgrade process at all from XP to 7. It's possible to go XP -> Vista -> 7, but no sane person would buy a copy of Vista just to do that. Here are Microsoft's official instructions for upgrading from XP to 7.
http://windows.microsoft.com/en-US/windows7/help/upgrading-f...
First you export all your files and settings from XP. Then you install Windows 7, which is actually a fresh OS install and not an upgrade. Then you reinstall your programs and import your files and settings back in.
1) The start menu is just terrible, 2012 and they haven't imposed a method to avoid it being a jumbled mess. Worst part, even if i reorganize it to be more gnome 2 like, next time an app updates it fubars it again. The only thing that makes it remotely usable is the search bar.
2) Explorer's file copy capabilities are really bad, get 3-4 transfers going to your NAS, a USB key, whatever and it crawls to a halt.
3) Explorer just completely goes to hell if you lose connection to a network drive. I have my home NAS mapped as a network drive, take the laptop somewhere else, tell it to resume, "oh no i have a folder on by NAS open when it went to sleep", now I have to wait 20 minutes while it decides it can't find the network drive, nor will explorer do anything while it waits. Also the using the "file upload" window in chrome is useless when the NAS drive isn't available, it literally crashes chrome on my laptop since chrome times out waiting for windows to decide the drive is unavailable, i have to use drag+drop to attach files to gmail.
4) Mouse scroll wheel only works on the window with focus, luckily there is an addon that fixes this called WizMouse
5) No virtual desktops.
6) No native mounting of iso files, seriously I have to install some third party program that installs a fake CD-ROM drive to access the file system of an iso?
I think that covers my major gripes, my only major gripe of linux, and why I stopped using it as my primary OS, is just terrible management of multiple displays, especially in multiple orientations.
http://www.welton.it/articles/windows_for_linux_users
There used to be one you could install, which made Windows slightly more tolerable.
I have used Dexpot with success in the past (in XP though. Haven't tried with Win7)
http://blogs.msdn.com/b/b8/archive/2011/08/23/improving-our-...
But that's the problem, really. I didn't love XP - in fact I feel like I remember the inflection point sometime after SP2 where people were starting to say, 'XP isn't that bad any more - it's gotten pretty solid and isn't too much of a pain.'
That's not really attractive.
Innovating on UI is probably what they should be doing - because all three major operating systems are powerful enough when not intentionally crippled, but Windows 8 is pretty repulsive.
If you are someone who invests in learning how to use your tools, nothing. Technically, I think they've done a great job in fixing the issues of Windows past.
It is still a system for experts though. Just the other day I used Windows (7) for the first time since Windows 2000 was all the rage and found it to be an incredibly confusing experience. I almost felt like I had never touched a computer before.
Since this article seems to be directed at consumers, most people there are not experts, and that is where Windows is failing.
Anyone who has used anything else for any significant amount of time would rather have a root canal treatment than returning to Windows.
How about comparing profits ? Oh wait.. didn't Balmer double that..
for the record, i am not a fan of (developers developers developers) ballmer or microsoft, but this article just pure stinks. competition has heated up and this is after all the technology sector where even things like social media can lead the industry.
Surprised not to see Steven Elop of Nokia in the list.
Elop can legitimately be described as a disastrous CEO and should have been dismissed as soon as he uttered "burning platform". Even the similarly disastrous Apotheker who manned HP got less than a year and wasn't as bad by the numbers or employee sentiment.
I can't help but think that there are other factors besides a single individual regarding Zune, Vista, CE, and so on. Can it really be true that one individual is responsible for every one of those going the wrong way?
Microsoft is still a valuable company and continues to be in millions of homes, businesses and schools around the world. Keeping a foothold in that market seems like a success, to me. Losing stock value is one aspect of the measurement of successes of a company, but is it truly the reflection of a single individual?
No different from firing the manager or head coach of a sports team (which may inherit a losing streak due to pure luck or regression to a mean from a spectacular run of winning seasons).
The buck has to stop somewhere.
[1] http://www.investorplace.com/2012/05/where-did-warren-buffet...
Technically, the Burlington Northern Santa Fe purchase might yield well given the pipeline was killed.
In fact they've improved as a company quite incredibly recently, bar the legal shenanigans...
By the way, Microsoft is still growing all while investing in xBox, Bing and Microsoft Research (PE of around 11 and valued north of $250 Billion.) They have returned tens of billions to shareholders via dividends and still have almost $50 Billion in reserve. This blogger should send his resume and ideas to the board of top companies if he can do better as CEO.
Microsoft is about to make a cool and predictable $25 Billion in profit this year. 25,000,000,000.00 in just one year. Not sure what will happen 5-10 years from now (no one really does) but it's a great achievement for a "dead" company.
However, the Forbes articles ignores several important issues.
1) Ballmer has tripled the sales, and doubled the profits in the last ten years at Microsoft, while paying out $100 billion in dividends (and MSFT still has $60b in cash). This with a company that was already the most profitable tech company (2002). That is not a terrible performance, specifically because...
2) Had Microsoft gone with someone else, it's just as possible they could have ended up like HP, Dell or Yahoo. Microsoft is not in that boat however, and Ballmer has not destroyed the company. The article mentions Windows, but ignores server + tools, which has grown tremendously and is very profitable. Consumer Windows is not their lead profit machine any longer.
It's far more likely that someone would implode a company that is on top of the mountain, than that they would figure out how to create the first trillion dollar company. It's worth keeping that in mind: the only way Ballmer could have apparently succeeded by the article's qualification, is by creating a trillion dollar company out of a price per share ($60) that was derived from the greatest stock market bubble in world history.
There is a limit to how much money you can make at any given time in the global business eco-system. Microsoft had nowhere to go stock market wise, sideways from a stock market bubble price would have been a helluva accomplishment (just ask Intel or Cisco).
Everybody touts Apple today, but the most likely best-case outcome for their company is sideways (5% annual growth) for the next decade. Once you hit the top of the mountain, it becomes nearly impossible to keep soaring.