Super Micro Computer has gone from an obscure server maker to $60B market cap
wsj.com
wsj.com
https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/years-later-bloom...
Bloomberg originally broke this story in 2018, then repeated the allegations in 2021. But AFAIK it was never proven.
The Nvidia + Meta connection finally broke the spell and allowed investors to look at SMCI with fresh eyes.
Isn't that libel? Or something similar at least, not super familiar with US laws.
ADDED: Standards are somewhat different between private people and public people/corporations.
We should all be paying attention to hardware suppliers and making sure that objects are "as-ordered", but today even a standard chip packaging can hide a ton of malicious logic.
For smartphones, laptops and PCs that is relatively easy to defend against if you think you might be a target for three-letter agencies - just walk into a computer store and buy what they have on the shelf with cash. Even the NSA doesn't have the resources to intercept and modify all the shipments to Apple, Best Buy, Costco and whatnot - and I'd guess at least Apple has pretty strict security in their supply chain given that Apple stuff has insane value even just for parts if someone were to intercept a delivery.
Network architecture however, that is more complex. Cables, Ubiquiti, HP and Dell stuff, you can buy that off the shelf, so same advantage. But servers? Good luck finding ones on the shelf anywhere.
Your words are close to truth, but not equal to it. I don't know exact resources of NSA, but I know businesses in exUSSR, who done exactly what you say with smartphones and audio/video.
This was grey scheme of import, with which imported more then 90% of tech in these countries, and this was reason, why Sony was condemned in Russia in 90s "for extremely low quality" (because local Sony representatives participated in scheme and central office closed eyes on this).
So, in Eastern Europe that time existed zero import taxes for electronics. They imported electronics, disassembled it to parts, and exported to exUSSR as garbage; then these parts reassembled in garages and sold in ordinary shops as new devices.
As I said, more then 90% reassembled, only less than 10% imported as ordinary contraband, or officially imported.
For scale, as I remember, US have about 300mln population, Russia have 140mln, approx half (sure, Russians have much less purchasing power, but it is hard to estimate now, if may help, Russia GDP is very close to Italy with about 59mln population).
> Apple has pretty strict security in their supply chain
Must admit, Apple have better security than other manufacturers, but grey iPhones still sold in Russia, so real hackers found ways.
By 2018, all the eyes that could be opened already were.
It's true that there were people that aren't convinced by the well-evidenced reporting from the Snowden, etc revelations. Of that group, I can't see Bloomberg's low-evidence story as what finally opened their eyes.
Never attribute to ignorance what can be explained by malice and corruption (post-GFC/Madoff, finance and its cottage industries no longer get the benefit of the doubt).
And in case of Nvidia it's even much worse.
In order for Nvidia to be worth a decent premium over the yield of some index fund like VOO (you're taking much more risk), it has to grow in the order of 42% per year for a decade in revenue.
There's no such amounts of money to be spent in hardware, it's lunacy.
Not even the other tech giants combined have even a small part of the money required for such growth.
And on top of that, this is a very dynamic sector where any competitor, technological breakthrough can make you the new IBM.
Prices like Nvidia were highly overvalued but understandable with a stretch of imagination of 25% growth for a decade when it was 300$. I could almost see it and would've still concluded it was an unlikely outcome and risk/reward ratio was not there.
But now we long past that mark and in the territory of insane expectations and high premiums paid with a very high risk.
Oh, money there is. NVIDIA is selling shovels to hordes of people searching for gold... first it was cr*ptoc*in miners, now it's billion dollar companies in the search for AGI. But unlike shovels that anyone with access to iron, a fire and a hammer can make, there are only five companies on this planet that can design the chips in the first place: Google and Amazon (who don't sell to outsiders), Intel (who has other, more pressing issues than to design AI training accelerators), AMD (who has the chops on the hardware design side but seems to be completely unable to get the software side stable enough that people would be even willing to look at it) and NVIDIA.
And to make the issue worse, there are only three fab houses who can physically manufacture the chips: TSMC, Samsung and Intel... TSMC is all but booked out already, Samsung is nowhere near their level, and Intel both doesn't do fab jobs for outsiders and has completely botched their new nodes for years now.
There is just no way anyone can outsmart NVIDIA at that point, and demand is only going to increase in pretty nasty bidding wars.
Spot on. Nvidia can't even meet all existing demand right now.
https://fortune.com/2024/02/21/nvidia-earnings-ceo-jensen-hu...
That's all of Microsoft, Apple, etc, etc revenue combined all being spent in GPUs at 50% margin. It's not realistic.
You're taking a bet where risk/reward is just against the investor.
Currently if NVDA can double their earnings next year they’d have a P/E ratio similar to MSFT. I think many investors believe they can reach this target hence the high valuation.
Whether NVDA will continue to maintain this level of profit for the coming decade is another issue.
Any of your arguments has been done about leaders like Cisco, Intel or Tesla that balooned to valuations that did not meet reality regardless of those companies in fact doing well, the revenue and growth expectations were just asinine and void of basic math.
There's no such thing as infinite demand growth and infinitely deep pockets, let alone margins staying that good for so long (and again the aforementioned companies are examples of the phenomenon).
You will likely do much better investing in VOO today than buying Nvidia, let alone having a much better risk/reward ratio.
Even assuming the current push toward general AI is a bubble, which is not unreasonable, the company can afford to throw away billions of dollars. It doesn't matter at all; they own the money printer and can make as many bets in as many markets as they want.
The same GPUs that are presently being used to create semi-open AI projects can just as easily be repurposed to power a public launch of their Codec avatars, which are lightyears ahead of what Apple has, or for better prediction engines in what are quite probably the best sales engines of all time: Their websites.
Their data centers will be useful for the future of selling products to gullible consumers: Short-form video, which is the first chance in years that they've had to meaningfully take market share from Google.
Even assuming it was all vanity, Zuckerberg has earned the right at this stage in his career to make vanity plays. He still has majority control over his company, which shareholders have insisted upon, and he has an almost untarnished record of making incredible long-term bets that seem irrational at the time (Instagram acquisition, Whatsapp acquisition, arguably the Oculus acquisition).
He's earned drastic amounts of money for speculators, who have done little to deserve any of it. It would be a strange thing to argue that the speculators suddenly have a better grasp of what he's doing than he does; there are millions of speculators, but only one person with a track record like Zuckerberg.
how's the metaverse going?
[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonmarkman/2023/05/24/metas-ai-...
[2] https://www.socialmediatoday.com/news/meta-outlines-evolving...
(Also, lately, look out for listicles of stocks "to buy" (not financial advice, of course) and "Forget X".)
Consider: the BMC has access to the system via PCI-e, as well as kvm and comport. In some systems, the BMC is in the path of the main NIC. There have been some major software flaws in BMC software, including revisions that SuperMicro shipped, where passwords could be bypassed in the network interface.
Stuff like this https://web.archive.org/web/20140625065505/http://blog.cari.... and other things on this page http://fish2.com/ipmi/ are all pretty nasty if you thought IPMI was secure in the neighborhood of 2014.
I can't judge their intentions. But Bloomberg doubling down on the story in 2021 strongly discounts the possibility that the original reporting was based on any kind of bad info.
ref: https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/years-later-bloom...
Three years is a long time to believe in bad data, with everyone everywhere pointing out the same issues with their story.
Still kind of reads like someone told us there was a bad chip on the motherboard. And there was, and it was the BMC/firmware for the BMC.
Did SuperMicro (or their suppliers) just write shitty firmware with zero security for their BMCs because that was the industry standard, or was it a Chinese Ministry of State Security plant who did it as part of an evil plot?
Did big companies pull out of SuperMicro because of poor BMC security? Sometimes, a bit, often as just one more checkbox on the way to OCP style defluffed machines; in an early revision of OCP, rather than a BMC, the NIC's wake on lan signal was rerouted to reset, to become reboot on lan. But then OpenBMC happened, cause reboot on lan isn't enough for everyone.
How so? If there was an ulterior motive (I don't know if there was, but it's been suggested) then they'd also double down. They also didn't even attempt to respond to the issues. If they had good information based in reality, a lot of the claims would've been trivial to refute.
I feel like the reason why SMCI has done so well in this AI round is because their server architecture is best in class and they have been able to support the internal changes necessary for AI workloads. They also support AMD CPUs, while others only offer Intel.
6 years ago, Cenly Chen / SMCI was saying AI was going to be huge and that total revenue would be $36B, in 2025 [0]. We are well past that number now. Amazing how AI turned out to be even bigger than anyone could have imagined, but at least they had some vision even back then.
Dell, Giga, ZTS are all behind in their offerings while SMCI is iterating and are now even getting to the point of water cooling and L11 manufacturing.
I just received a shipment of AS-8125GS-TNMR2 (8U MI300x) and the thing is an amazingly well designed beast of a chassis. Everything slots together perfectly. If you study the user documentation, the layouts of the internal block diagrams are fantastic and build for speed.
We are lucky enough to have been able to open an account directly with them. It wasn't easy and required a ton of due diligence, but working with the team there has been a top notch experience.
To be honest, they are really not set up for individual accounts. It was a bit of back and forth with the paperwork to get everything done, which took a lot of time.
They asked for everything about the business.
As for the direct account, once you have it, it is a golden egg because this way you also have direct support from their teams for anything you need. It is fantastic and I feel lucky to have gotten in.
Shipped a SYS-531A-IL workstation in less than a week including a weekend as my latest workstation configured with my chosen, albeit from a limited selection of memory, good CPUs and NVME and SATA drives (enterprise options for all of those), all properly kept cool per lm-sensors and smartmontools. I used their live chat to quickly get a couple of answers, it was packed well, and in theory for a reasonable up front cost they'll cross ship a replacement for the next 5 years.
When Mr. Rsync.net was composing his message today I was adjusting my scripts to do their nightly backup to his service that uses their servers.
For a couple of decades have bought a bunch of their motherboards through resellers for myself and family, and built some rack mount systems for a friend bought I forget from where with excellent results. The current swapping of hardware due to the above purchase took down a system that had been in service for a dozen years.
Interesting, I just did a search for 8125GS-TNMR2 on that link, and nothing came up.
See also its Nvidia equivalent https://www.supermicro.com/en/products/system/gpu/8u/as-8125... which is implicitly on allocation because TSMC has been contracted to make only so many H100 chips per unit of time, I think I heard 550,000 for 2023. I remember seeing that the Nvidia cards list at around $30K each....
I think the store is more for stuff that's in more plentiful supply and less ITAR restricted, with a limited number of SKUs and options for each that they're prepared to support for a long time.
The store never showed the server boards in stock that we were after. We had to go in via a disty to get anything of value. The impression we got was that nothing was staying in stock very long, and at the time there were enough part shortages that they seemed to be slightly modifying SKU's at a rapid enough rate that it didnt make financial sense to keep the hobbyists happy.
As I'm finding with a Raptor Lake CPU and conservative stock Debian 12 bookworm and it's 6.1 kernel, largest format video playing has some tearing and so on due to driver support based on the error messages I'm seeing, 720p is much better. At the bottom of the stack root ZFS is rock solid: https://openzfs.github.io/openzfs-docs/Getting%20Started/Deb...
Today availability should be different and skimming their rackmount SKUs the vast majority claim "Ships Within 3-5 Business Days" which was my experience with a tower workstation.
I went to the above few minutes of effort because the company has done very well for me and mine in the last couple of decades, and people who are buying small quantities which certainly includes small or startup businesses as well as "hobbyists" shouldn't think the old shortages still hold in a period where I hear general demand is down outside of AI platforms. And prices are certainly pretty good.
guess what, that is exactly what is playing out.. due to certain uniform services closely tied to the show
As for permission, look up 88 Fed. Reg. 73458. I (and every other CSP) had to sign multiple documents agreeing to those regulations. Both SMCI and I are taking them very seriously, especially as a CSP renting them out. I'll vet every customer personally.
Neutral or not, from what I understand, there is no backlog for MI300x. You're either on the approved list or not and the entire list is spoken for. AMD knows every single business buying these chips right now, and they are carefully watching the orders ship out.
First google server racks
https://blog.codinghorror.com/building-a-computer-the-google...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Google#Late_1990s
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Category:Google%27s_first...
were build using Supermicro P6SBM
For example, their quad opteron boards allowed me to make 64 core systems in 2013-era!
their Atom half-step servers were very, very effective for building out call center routing and VM nodes. Atom has/had some problems with one-off issues like race conditions, but they worked quite well.
data center vendor also let us do some non-traditional airflow steps as long as it didn't screw with the hot aisle, so we packed racks with these things front and back
`Analysts clash on Supermicro’s ability to hold on to its position longer term. Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson said, historically, no company selling servers has had more than 30% market share.
“There’s not a reason Dell can’t do exactly what they’re doing,” Bryson said.
Others aren’t so sure. Some analysts say that established competitors will have a hard time bringing new products to market so quickly and have larger revenue streams from software and services.
Supermicro is trying to gain further market share by doubling down on AI and continuing to ship its servers out quickly. The company is also keeping prices low to entice new customers: Its gross profit margin totaled around 15% in its latest quarter, down from 17% in the previous one. HPE, by comparison, had gross margins of 36% in its latest quarter.`
my work is moving from supermicro to dell nodes due to the immaturity of the support (interface and personnel).
I find that quote interesting. As someone that worked for Dell, I can figure out why - they're heavily-invested in the support side of things. They're too busy with that and their current consumer and business-class offerings that realistically the server market segment they're already in doesn't exactly overlap with Super Micro, and most likely never will outside of some buzzword AI marketing.
The “companies become too stagnant to disrupt their own revenue streams” isn’t just a trope about leadership vision, it’s a very real financial phenomenon. Customers don’t like open price discrimination and often it’s better to keep your best customers than to chase after new ones and push all your margins downwards.
See also: the gpu market.
what they offer is a set of standard parts, tailored for verticals they think are important. but the secret sauce is that they are willing to customize just that much to make things work the customer.
even if you are a small startup and can't promise more than 100 units/yr, its entirely likely that they will build a custom PCB or riser or chassis on the chance that you will be successful. not a whole design, but a tweak on one of their standard models. they've done that for me before with no NRE, maybe they do charge sometimes.
so their moat is that they have enough money to make those bets, and an engineering organization that can do that in a lightweight enough fashion to make the whole thing work. and they do this while remaining very cost competitive
I have no idea what money, if any, changed hands, other than the fact that I paid, IIRC, about $600 for the board.
This has been the case for years.
There's a bunch of other kit too, but https://servethehome.com reviews a bunch of the various rack systems.
Example of some late January posts. Albeit none are of the "fits lots of GPU" sort that is helping propel Supermicro, but these folks all have those offerings too,
Supermicro SYS-511R-M Intel Xeon E-2488 1U Server Review https://www.servethehome.com/supermicro-sys-511r-m-intel-xeo...
Gigabyte R183-Z95 Review Dual AMD EPYC Server with a EDSFF Twist https://www.servethehome.com/gigabyte-r183-z95-review-dual-a...
ASRock Rack ALTRAD8UD-1L2T Review This is the Ampere Arm Motherboard You... https://www.servethehome.com/asrock-rack-altrad8ud-1l2t-revi...
1. You're a small company. None of the big companies will talk to you. You're a waste of their time.
2. You're a medium company. Maybe the worst sales person on the team is desperate enough to talk to you.
3. You're a big company. They will be only too happy to talk to you.
You want to buy a rack of servers. They will not sell you a rack of servers. No, no, no.
You need to talk about how their SAN is much better than your current SAN. Also they just bought a virtualisation company so maybe you should replace your virtualisation stack with theirs. And have you considered how helpful their outsourcing service could be for running your datacentre? They'll undercut your current team of staff as long as you commit to replacing all your servers with theirs. Also they hear you're making use of REST services, have you considered one of their REST security appliances? They'll throw them in free.
None of these conversations happen with the person trying to buy a rack of servers, they'll happen with a vice president or procument or your finance team. Your rack of servers comes with a bunch of "free" stuff that you didn't want and don't have time to implement. Eighteen months later you're being told to drop all your work that your customers care about, because whoever inked the deal with the free REST appliances looks stupid if they don't get used, so you have to implement them
Supermicro are just selling you a rack of servers.
I need it in a very custom arrangement.
I need it without 10 layers of sales muppets trying to upsell me.
I need it delivered quick.
Supermicro.
Also they seem to do a bunch of off label stuff for other parties. I found one of their boards in the router of a small network hardware provider.
It's one thing to say they wouldn't or couldn't fix products already made with the flaw, but it's another entirely to have a culture of security that says, "Sure, this flaw could cause your machine full, unfettered compromise, but because it's not likely to happen and not highly publicized, we don't care."
It makes me think they'll treat current and future security problems the same way. Security shouldn't be based on popularity contests.
Sorry, but not for me.
Most of their motherboards have IPMI with a separate a management port. A good number of them share IPMI management with the motherboard's primary ethernet port by default if nothing is plugged in to the management port. The motherboards have no way to configure them to NOT share the primary ethernet port beyond having the full stack of software needed to configure their IPMI.
What this means is that there're no jumpers one can change and no settings accessible in the BIOS that can force IPMI to stay on its own port, so if a BIOS gets reset, the battery dies or even just temporarily fails to provide power (like if it's being shipped by air and gets very cold), or you want to ship servers directly to a datacenter, the machine is 100% ownable on the public interface BY DEFAULT unless the management port is connected (and even then sometimes it decides to share the primary port - probably a function of link negotiation speed with the switch).
Sure, it's not a common occurrence, but it happens.
The solution for all the servers we already had deployed? We got ethernet loopback plugs for every one of them where the IPMI port wasn't already connected to a switch we administered.
A reasonable response: "Sure, that could be a problem sometimes. We can't change motherboards we already sold, but we'll bring this up with our design team so there'll be a jumper you can change so sharing will never happen, even with a reset BIOS."
Their response: "This isn't a security issue."
Root on another device on that public network would do, you could forge the necessary DHCP responses to get it configured with an IP address of your choosing. Non-root on another device on that network might also work, if it fails DHCP and self-configures on a 169.254 address, assuming it does that.
Is there an obvious way to exploit such an issue from beyond the public subnet?Every attack I can imagine would be blocked by either inbound firewalls, or a failure to reach the IPMI as an unexpected device on the public subnet. I suppose that it would be a possible risk if you have a DHCP server on that public subnet issuing IP addresses to all devices, but that seems like a larger risk anyways. Server networks should be static assigned or static DHCP in all cases.
I think you misunderstood the level of fucked up this really was. The BMC device sits on the north bridge and literally scoops up packets from the main NIC which means it can even be accessible from the internets (if you didn't firewall port 623). See [0] for an example how variation of this unfolded.
[0] - https://www.zdnet.com/article/over-47000-supermicro-servers-...
I ended up using a PCIE nic, which ipmi does not auto bridge to.
That still leaves very real things that've happened - the IPMI switches to the public interface and can no longer be reached on the managed local interface, and then you're rebooting several times in hopes it'll switch back and making aliases on a public interface to see if you can talk to it on the public segment. It's not professional at all.
The expected network port is plugged in, so even if your switch is checking MAC addresses, everything is in order. Most networks use DHCP, so the IPMI picks up an IP address. A student finds it with their port scan.
Most of your claims are false.
Super Micro has a utility to write the correct bits into EEPROM to disable this behaviour and stop the failover as default.
The utility was available years ago, prior to the time frame you state.
Any competent sysadmin would just build this into the deployment task sequence.
Second, "any competent sysadmin" would have to know that this exists. Super Micro's security team didn't know this existed, or if they did, they failed to mention it in their response.
But we're all Irish today and I'm in a particularly giving mood.
https://www.supermicro.com/Bios/sw_download/645/IPMICFG_User...
IPMICFG -lani 0
You're welcome.
(I do recall the syntax being a bit more cryptic, passing hex values, perhaps they've improved things since I last did this. Nevertheless, the capability has always been there.)
SuperMicro themselves not knowing this exists isn't surprising in the least.
See my comment about remembering the process to be rather cryptic (writing hex values to address offsets) but the capability WAS there.
Perhaps they added that switch recently to make it more user friendly.
And I believe you that you configured this pre-2022, but anyone could use the IPMI tools to configure this pre-2022 and pre- -lani option. You're trying to say it's in EEPROM, meaning it's invulnerable to battery loss. It definitely isn't.
The sideband feature also tends to be associated with an interface on the board that is considered the non dedicated IPMI "management" interface. Use one of the other onboard NIC ports or an PCI-E NIC like x550-T2, etc.
this says more about WSJ-reading "enterprise" IT than anything else.
As far as I know, as much as being obscure, they've also been around forever.
Liang said it has been helpful that his base in San Jose, Calif., is just a 15-minute drive from Nvidia’s headquarters in Santa Clara. “Our engineering teams are able to work together from early morning to midnight,” he said.
Supermicro’s recent dominance in the AI boom, industry executives and analysts say, also stems partly from its strategy of making electronic “building blocks” that can be assembled into servers in an almost endless number of configurations. Rivals offer a more limited menu to customers.
That flexibility has been an advantage in the AI boom, analysts say. Developers of self-driving car technology want different server setups than companies making language-generation AI systems such as ChatGPT. Supermicro can deliver customized infrastructure for both.'
The problem is that security groupies are really eager for there to be obscure security flaws. HN was full of them. And they have this thing about "respected sources" and shit like that because they don't know how to evaluate things themselves.
Your loss, my gain. Haha.
My favorite chassis so far has been this generic one, the fans suck(just buy a new set of good fans right away) and supplied drive bays suck. but look at all them 5 1/4 bays, bays for days. You can put every stupid hotswap bay, fan controller and drink holder gimmick you want in there. and still have room for more.
https://www.newegg.com/rosewill-rsv-l4500u-black/p/N82E16811...
Stock market shenanigans are also hardly a new experience for this symbol, either: Already forgot about the discredited 2018 Bloomberg hit piece? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-10-04/the-big-h...
rsync.net is built entirely on supermicro head units and, until a few years ago, their JBODs.
Then they got greedy and tried to do the old "certified drives" bullshit with their JBODs and that was the end of that ... now we use the celestica JBODs we source from IX systems.
Head units are still supermicro, though. Fingers crossed ...
After the power supply failures we started switching to their "twin^2" units (or something named like that) which were 2U RM boxes with redundant power supplies and 4x semi-blade servers, which again we could provision for the sub-$1,000 price.
I've since looked at pricing some systems from them as an alternative for the Dell servers we've been buying more recently, and oddly enough the prices all seem to be in the $10K+ range. A pretty big shock to see what used to be "dirt cheap servers" up in that range, but the RAM and SSDs really add up. Even though Dell seems to have insane pricing in their configurator for RAM and drives...
As an employee of a customer of Softlayer, the servers were very reliable. I have my personal hosting on a rented SuperMicro server now, and pretty happy with it, even if the hardware is 10+ years old (Xeon Lynnfield) and the IPMI requires ancient JNLP that barely works ... I only barely need IPMI (gotta console in to decrypt the disks on reboots, and it was handy for setup)