Humans are bad at predicting the future going by the record
Humans are bad at predicting the future going by the record
Some countries have tried to stave off population decline with indiscriminate mass immigration, but that turns out not to be a long term solution.
The Kaya identity is relevant: impact = population × affluence × technology.
If population falls slowly, then it's likely that growth of affluence will more than compensate.
In addition, resource usage grows when peoples lifes improves. So we don't need to have more people, we can just give more people basic rights and have economies like India grow. Their consumption of luxuries like meat is constantly rising, because more people can afford it.
An extreme example (from memory) is Ghana. One american uses as much CO2e as 200-ish Ghanans. Imagine a miracle happens, and we stop with the neocolonialism. Suddenly, Ghanans can afford the basics, and they use twice as much CO2e pP.