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Could be the other way around.

"People who are more gullible are more likely to try a bluff" makes more sense: they aren't aware enough to read the situation and react accordingly. That makes them more gullible as well as more likely to attempt a bluff.

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I think it's more likely that people judge if there is an opportunity to lie by thinking if they would themselves fall for it. So, morals aside, somebody gullible sees the opportunity to lie all the time, while somebody very skeptical may think that they would only embarrass themselves by trying to lie. Or possibly lie unintentionally, giving an evasive reply, incorrectly believing it will be understood that they don't want to answer.

It’s hard to know but I doubt there’s that much reflection happening. Perhaps it’s as simple as “people with low emotional intelligence lie more often because they think they’re getting away with it more than they are. Also they are fairly insecure but don’t know how to manage it in a healthy way”

This is what I think it is too. A gullible person draws on their personal experience and overestimates other people’s susceptibility to deception.

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