Silicon Valley is pricing academics out of AI research
washingtonpost.com
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In general our lab was very good at research & the rigidity of current academic institutions means that
1. admins are always the first hiring priority
2. academics do a ton of free work in publishing, service to their institutions on panels and committees, etc.
The leadership above our program head were so entrenched by block grants, & their de-facto recipients, that there would be fights over post-doctoral salary increases on the $5k level.
We had more money, which we won on competitive contracts, meaning if we won new contracts we could pay for better people... this was not welcome news to block grant recipients who had, essentially, fixed budgets & old mindsets.
The result is, as it typically is, driven by incentive structures.
In other words, it's incentives all the way down. At the national level, there are other factors that dilute the influence of this infinite regression of incentives, such as geopolitics, war, etc. But for states the only real factor that shines through - the green tint in our infinity mirror - is "how much money do we want to spend on secondary education" and the answer is invariably "less than last year" and "can we find someone else to pay for it?"
Voting is what allows us to overcome this sort of prisoner's dilemma, and prevents coal from being burned when it hurts society in aggregate to do so.
If instead, you adopt a system where how much you own decides your voting power, then when the coal gets concentrated enough, it doesn't matter how bad it is for society, that coal will get burned, because the voting power is concentrated among the people who benefit from it the most.
Saying voting is the source of this incentive structure is ignorant.
I said that it's incorrect to describe the bad things the government does as being driven by "voters acting tactically". It's not even rational to vote. Changing what I said so that you can disagree with it more easily is also dishonest.
And there's nothing irrational about voting. Maybe it is irrational to spend a lot of time reading about obscure candidates for assistant deputy dogcatcher, but you can just leave those choices blank if you want, and just vote on the things where you already have a strong opinion.
1. Management by private institutions : National labs within the US are no longer managed by the government, there are LLCs which charge statutorily limited management fees of ~7% of lab revenue. The higher the revenue, or higher the operating budget, the higher the $ accumulated by the management company.
2. Liability limitation : Large science orgs, in the US, are deathly afraid of lawsuits related to personnel & the business of conducting science (ie employing lots of people who may test the boundaries of technologies, materials, & etc which could be hazardous long term). Typically government institutions are self-insured institutions, meaning there is no insurer who will underwrite their liability in the event of an incident. Safety & Admins are deployed as inertial dampening on the approvals of new research efforts. Admins also dilute responsibility for decisions made high within the orgs, via a hierarchy of admins that looks more like links in a chain: one admin reports directly to another admin, effectuating potentially arbitrary delays and dilution of scientific input on decision making within day-to-day operation.
3. Incumbency of older guard : Block funded scientists (the majority of whom were hired 25years or more ago) will get staff positions within large science orgs, because there's no risk to continued employment of that person long term to the org. Staff have all the political power at my old org, therefore staff positions [=] influence to drive the org. Older scientists are reluctant to cede political power, but also do not have dynamic budgets. Their task is to run projects with cutting edge science on, mostly, post-docs & grad students. Paying more for labor means they will have fewer papers, the scientific currency.
Every public university I've participated in has had an ever expanding court of nobles that don't do anything except give the universities money away to each other and consulting groups (who ironically always recommend cutting off the heads of the nobility).
Departments are stuck seeking out private funding at this point, which doesn't seem like it should be legal, but it seems to be unprosecuted at the very least.
But her article in The Atlantic places a greater emphasis on the effects of a brain drain of AI researchers from academia to industry. She gives examples about how 40 roboticists left Carnegie Mellon for Uber in 2015, and how her close collaborator Andrej Karpathy chose OpenAI in its earlier days over "a faculty offer from Princeton."
She most notably recalls a quote said by someone at an OpenAI meeting that said that "Everyone doing research in AI should seriously question their role in academia going forward," and added the reflection: "To be honest, I wasn’t sure I even disagreed."
[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2023/11/ai-et...
There was also past discussion on HN about her article at: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38362242
This trend heavily biases AI research towards Google problems. Perhaps things will swing away as LLMs (and especially smaller LLMs) take over the field.
There are so many edge cases that render this data meaningless. There are people who have their name on a dozen papers. Reviewers are terrible and papers with a lot of graphs run at large scale and easy messages tend to get in (I'm not saying that this is the only thing Google publishes, but people with access to a lot of compute tend to publish papers like this).
The funding gap between Google and academia is also massive. The fact that we're still competitive with Google is simply a testament to how incredibly efficient universities are and how inefficient Google is. They pay their people several times what we get paid. They have engineers which we don't. They have orders of magnitude more compute. They don't waste time on grants. Their total AI research budget is larger than the total combined AI research budget of all US universities. But.. somehow, they still account for only a small fraction of papers.
They are only going to publish results which have no effect on their competitive advantage as a business ... which could be a small fraction of their results.
Business is built on engineering. That's what they spend the vast majority of their resources on.
No one has any secret sauce science at the moment. And if they did their engineers would be bragging about it in private, bringing it to new companies when they move, and we would be seeing it in products or features. Heck they would be telling us when they apply to grad school.
The space of possible models is huge. And we don't know in which direction to go to build better models. But knowing the vague general direction is all it takes. Any researcher can follow along given that knowledge. That's true of a lot of science not just ML.
No one has any secret sauce. Not even OpenAI.
With an approach like this you can get $2-5M/year in funding, hire 1-2 really good employees, and use the rest of the money to pay for cloud infra (or on-prem or other infra if that's your preference). And of course, any ideas you have, you spin off into startups that you have equity in.
It's annoying organizationally, though, since employees can't just hop between the sides. So it makes it harder to have a sane reporting structure, and encourages the pseudo-flat "nobody technically has a boss but also nobody is empowered to promote you" academic style.
In some not so distant past a family could live on a single-income, one person is an associate professor at a university type arrangement. These days without dual-incomes it's anomalous if you can even afford to buy a home.
It's a circular problem too because the recent waves of "tech boom" + after-shocks from CV19 and associated economic "policy" the slope has become even steeper.
It doesn't help that modern academia, if it was really ever different, at the graduate, post-graduate and doctoral level is basically indentured servitude. There's a reason why most graduate programs are filled with "foreigners", it's no different than H1B abuse in the tech industry -- unversities know they can abuse this work force for peanuts.
So if you just finished your PhD after doing 70-80 hr weeks for the past 4-6 years and you have choice A) Continue the same and hope you can get a crack at your own research team B) Get a job, work ~10hrs/day and afford to buy new clothes, a decent car, eat well and not live in a shack, you'd likely pick choice 'B'.
Basic cost of living is : rent, food, utilities. Those three have gone up astronomically, especially in the past 3-years.
A graduate stipend is probably $22K/year, maybe more for a PhD student. 20-years ago that was reasonable, if rent is $1700/mo you're already underwater given you have to pay taxes on that meager $22K.
In my graduate experience, I didn't see most grad students walking around with the latest cell phones, laptops or luxury goods, they struggled with the basics.
A number of graduate students at various universities are going on strike and forming unions and honestly more power to them:
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-01-02/uc-strik...
It seems like SWEs are a dime a dozen now, and they will “come to you” - but I’m seeing more and more internships and roles seeking PhD grads/undergrads for roles that traditionally you may have seen just this as a nice to have or a plus.
I’m convinced these secret founders Signal group chats are all just CEOs saying how scientists and academia persons are really who they want working for them. My hunch is that they will most likely be less enthralled by the usual tech bubble that these companies tend to hire in, less problematic, and “less company focused” (focus on the task at hand, don’t lean into company culture or ask questions, follow the straight line).
How does academia compete?
How do universities compete? They can't, but they don't need to right now, because they've got a large existing stock of employees that have heavily invested themselves in the academic enterprise. That's a problem for a decade from now, but few administrators think ten weeks into the future, much less ten years. They'll still have a plentiful supply of humanities faculty, so at least that 10% of the university will be okay.
Pay more, or offer enough other perks to entice employees. Teachers already have a massive perk in the fact that they work ~1/3rd fewer days than other jobs. That's a great draw, if you can offer good enough compensation to get over the "not making enough money to live a comfortable life" threshold.
If people will risk their lives as cold-water crab fisherman for the right price, there's certainly a price to put up with highschoolers.
I mean we should. But good luck convincing.
We can create our own such society.
Wanna sign up?
Refs:
Robinson Crusoe (book).
The Swiss Family Robinson (book).
I read both of them as a kid.
The USA (country).
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39697025 is the ref for my "3x".
You don't have to beholden unless you want to.
Figure it out.
And who said anything about little brats as clients?
Go for big brats.
You don't have to be (or feel?) beholden, I meant. Typo.
Given this knowledge, it's hard to you comments like this any differently than comments from googlers talking about how fulfilling it would be to work a construction job or romanticize pre-industrial Society from a downtown penthouse
A lot of teacher salary problems come from idle retirees outvoting children on personalised social care vs mass school funding. There is no reason for children to have absolutely no representation in government.
We don't need to triple teacher salaries. We need to give teachers better tools so they can teach material they don't know, same as how managers can manage employees.
We also don't need to stop private industry, we just need to open their work to benefit society as a whole.
Teachers probably don't want to run ice cream trucks
The degree to which they actually tackle those things is debatable, but there is value in research that doesn't happen on the exclusive behalf of shareholders.
This was in the before transformers times but after alexnet revolution
To me "This system is broken because of bad organization and institutional incentives which led to a bloated and useless admin structure which ultimately led to poor research outcomes. Also funding is very low and all the good people went elsewhere." seems like a problem that solved itself.
This is what you want in an academic field... to no longer have it confined to academic research.
In general, tenured academics can't code.
~15 years ago in automotive, juniors making 60-80k/yr. Most engineers were making a nice 100k+/yr. Experts making ~20-60k more. Top of field can make your 300k+ with consulting.
Academia? Oof, 40k/yr starting, never breaking 90k.
Your best talent basically goes to industry due to the forces of capitalism. The 22 year olds getting masters/PhDs were seen to be the failures who didn't get a job.
Now if you talk to the people in Academia, their prestige was well worth the cost of living on an assembly line worker's wage.
The head of the automotive program at my alma-mater was very well off and was completely open about the fact that he did consulting on the side if he wanted cash for a new truck or something. This also made him considerably more immune to administratorial university politics.
A lot of university bloat and wasted resources came from the fact that the various regents, deans and heads of so-and-so wanted their fingers in every pie and would push various "initiatives" that academic staff were expected to support (which would then be a notch on the belt of the administrator who created it, giving them power to hire more staff and create more initiatives).
There were a lot of levers that could be used against academic staff who focused too hard on teaching or supporting grad students. Loss of lab space, no grad students funneled to them, etc. The people who'd already "retired" once and were only there to teach were basically the only line of defense against this type of stuff, because they simply didn't care.
I don't know if I totally disagree, but I think it's fair to point out that one of the most society-changing inventions of the past 50 years came out of one of these "boondoggles": NCSA Mosaic, which basically led to Netscape: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mosaic_(web_browser)
Completely unwalkable, no transit, freeways and highways everywhere, no bustle or nightlife even downtown on a weekend. Extremely limited culturally. Large parts of it feels like a third world country. Just what.
Sure there are some redeeming qualities like being near the Bay and great hiking, but I can think of countless other places I'd rather exist at any compensation level. (including nearby SF which has at least some city qualities and amenities)
Bye, Felicia.
I hope many others follow your lead.
Also, some people include "nearby SF" when referring to SV. I disagree, but especially since Uber and other companies got big, the geographic definition expanded.
But it's not just tech firms — sometimes law firms and other types of companies will open an SF office and call it their "Silicon Valley" office.
Oh pity the poor colleges... how will they fund their over-the-top, debt-financed facilities and football teams?
However you're absolutely right about insane amounts of wasted money on bureaucracy.
Well... "a few" is probably more accurate.
https://twitter.com/tjaltimore/status/1763571057703723344?s=...
That's the athletic department as a whole. At my alma mater, which is on that list as one where the athletics department costs 500-1000 per student, our football team (which is consistently mediocre) and basketball team were, as far as I know, profitable, and subsidized other D1 sports. I believe that cost also covers the funding for things like intramural sports, the student athletics complex (gym), and various other athletics adjacent things that are student-services shaped, and not D1-sports shaped.
They do it for "prestige".
Meanwhile these 3rd rate sports programs keep getting sanctioned for giving athletes under the table scholarships, which isn't allowed in lower tier schools.
That's the main issue. Nobody cares about some "cut" that a college administrator would get (how? how much?).
Any economy that prices out its labor is doomed.
No one is going to buy that mountain of shit. The labor had only a part to do with the cost.
Everything works that way.
I have heard this claimed a great deal, but has it ever happened in a major city (heard of it in some tiny rural towns)? The places with high housing costs are some of the most productive economies out there.
Toronto, New York, San Francisco, Vancouver, etc. should be experiencing the worst possible labor shortages were this the case.
For example: https://transparentcalifornia.com/salaries/search/?q=Police+...
But it might mean the workers your economy deems most worthy of reward can't afford to have children; and the workers who clean the offices and suchlike are sleeping in bunk beds four to a room.
As visions for the future of our society go, some might consider that somewhat unambitious.
Except it's the exact opposite, and the poorer you are, the more likely you are to have children, whereas the rich who can afford those homes are not.
> and the workers who clean the offices and suchlike are sleeping in bunk beds four to a room
There is nothing 'wrong' with that.
Is ejecting a person to a lower-cost and lower-income area from a higher-income area going to increase or decrease overall productivity? I would say decrease.
Some overhead is necessary of course, you need buildings and offices and the people who take care of them but it's likely more bloated than it needs to be.
I saw them take 60% as overhead at one of my institutions.
I know of some institutions with F&A rates at or above 70%!! I presume that an institution trying to negotiate a higher F&A rate than this would have some significant pushback!
And even with all that universities still have better a more altruistic profit alignment than most private firms.
People keep trotting this line but without any substantial proof. Harvard's highest paid employee is a faculty member, David Malan, of the popular CS50 course earning $1.6 million annually [1]. It's always been faculty members earning even more than the President.
I assume you're counting Harvard Management Company, the firm managing Harvard's endowment. Yeah, the CEO earns $9 million annually, which is quite high [2]. But there's a catch; were he in the private industry managing a $50 billion+ fund, he'll easily clear $50 million+ in annual compensation, if not $100 million depending on the performance.
The endowment managers operate differently from the institution, and salaries are actually much lower than in the private sector. Maybe you want to complain about inequality, sure, but that's another thing entirely. They're paying the least they can to get expert fund managers..
1- https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/421...
2- https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/237...
Now compare that with the profit of big tech… that is truly insane.
1) Private research doesn't benefit all
2) Private research precludes public research
3) A local Maximum would be a problem or trap
4) The underlying view that the public has a right to individual wealth and it is underutilized resource.
You still have to get grants and all for that area, and then "profit motive" of one form or another might sneak back in, but that would be true even without SV firms as well.
To me it doesn't matter if a CEO is working to get money for investors or to pad his own pockets. at the end of the day, the incentives are the same.
So, no, I don't think this matters at all. While true that universities do have space for non-commercial work (which is usually funded by outside parties like the NSF or corporations anyway), the university leadership have a huge profit-motive to get more students (via attracting to professors) to pad their own pockets.
In some ways, the non-profit sector is even more self-serving than the private one. At least private companies have to seek the best for their investors, while many non-profits simply seek the best for the CEO.
Managing an organization of any complexity is like herding cats. It's got a life of its own and you're at the top just leaning on the helm trying to steer the ship 2° starboard.
Any large group is going to form into a hierarchy naturally. The senior leadership at any large organization are ridiculously talented individuals at the tops of their classes. Half the reason the top jobs pays more is to signal the hierarchy.
A risk of proprietary research is that the company can hoard knowledge, exploitation thereof, etc. It's the suboptimal quadrants of the prisoners dilemma.
The academia should be rejoiced that it has make an economical impact
So WAI?
Another is to ensure that research results are publicly available. This is quite important in AI, where a handful of large companies could take control of a critical technology, and nobody outside the companies would have any understanding of it.
A third is to ensure that all types of research are considered. One of the results from the economics literature is that using algorithms to set prices can lead to the same prices you'd have if the firms colluded. It's plausible that some companies would be hesitant to have their high-salary employees do that type of research and share it with the world (but also plausible that they'd be happy to do that type of research and keep it to themselves).
My brother in Christ that’s the WHOLE SYSTEM. Thats always true because academia is a small corrupted line item in American society, and industry is where all the resources flow. The solutions are a) invest WAY more in universities, or b) socialism. IMO. Anything else would be ineffectually treating a symptom
Ofc this doesn’t apply to private universities. Haha sucks to suck I guess you’ll just have to fade into no existence, what a shame…
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_by_re...
It was possible because students didn’t need to worry about meeting commercial needs because they could a comfortable life doing what they like without pressure, and because grants were not beholden to commercial interests.
Not only have Bologna accords creeped in a slow Americanization of European education but open source has also been hijacked.
A lot of this is on Europe’s own self destructive policies though. When they try to mimic the US all that comes out of it, is a crappier version of the US, with more bureaucracy, where they cannot compete on dollars spent.
The main story here isn't so much the headline as it is acedemia asking for more funding.
The whole notion that universities should be profiting in some personal form from research conducted at and for the institution is a rot on modern academia.
[1] https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/sectors/sp500-compa...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_colleges_and_universit...
This isn't true at all. I know people in academia who have to be convinced by their unions to not teach for free during disputes. Past about the 150k mark, The only thing left to optimize is how much you like to do your job. You couldn't pay me more than that do do something I like less.
I think it says more about incentives for people working in automation than it does anything else
They're interesting part is that these things change with time. Academia might have been the best option for a fundamental AI researcher in the 1980s.
I don't know what the salaries are, but there is actually a private archaeological industry which services the need in many countries to do archaeological excavations prior to construction.
If you got an ML degree from University of Alabama, You have a vastly different experience than someone who got theirs from Harvard or MIT. It has its place, as with all things, but how many of the AI/ML grads with go work at Google or OpenAI? Not many.
A degree does not guarantee you success, but in some cases, it is a barrier to entry (Physicians).
I think you're describing a system where stagnation is allowed momentum, because perpetual innovation of ideas and the people promoting them can be stymied by "tenure".
Is this what you mean?
However, people with PhDs have a much easier time getting promos at commercial places. They get a built in assumption of high competency, especially if the PhD is from a highly regarded institution.
But if your intention with a PhD is to become an academic, and you want to spend your time teaching or doing research, besides being necessary it's also very worthwhile. Or if you just really enjoy learning and don't care so much about salary when you're done, then it's extremely fulfilling.
"Every rich person I've met has said money doesn't matter." Okay, but there's only one way for them to prove it...
as a CS/SWE, only go for post-grad if convenient (e.g. Some schools had a 4+1 program for a MS. That extra year probably does pay off), if you have a very specific topic you want to work in, or if you want to work in acedemia specifically.
There's a reason SV is hiring out of academia: because they can't hire the same minds out of a 4-year program, and certainly not off the street. In this case it shows the value of those programs that got them there, so for these former academics to report, as OP is suggesting, that it was a waste of time/money seems to hold no logic.
I half agree. The degree holds some value (and for some schools they can even influence the curriculum to their needs), but value proposition comes more from a supply of people who 1) have sole semblance of fundamentals 2) an ability to see a long term study through (which is why every job, even many that don't need a degree, put up a Bachelors as a requirement when supply > demand) and most importantly, 3) aren't a training cost for the company itself.
I'm sure well chosen apprentice could be trained by a company for a single year and would be comparably productive to any new grad, but no one really wants to train talent directly. With academia right there there is no need to, at best you have a set, 3 month internship to Gauge value. It's the economically best decision (arguably. If everyone wants to make offers of 200k to a top student instead of pay 80k for an apprenticeship, is it truly worth it?), but not necessarily the best from a company quality standpoint. But we know which of those 2 win out 9/10 times.