> The extra energy needed to make an object travel fast enough to stay in orbit is more than 30 times as much as the energy needed to lift it to an altitude of 100 km.
https://www.sciencelearn.org.nz/resources/272-launching-sate...
SSTO is driven by the notion that staging is dangerous and worth avoiding. I think the SpaceX experience shows that effort was better spent making staging reliable rather than trying to make SSTO work.
This is not me advocating for winged SSTO every day of the week. But I can definitely see the lure.
I think a more complicated ground facility is fine if you're doing enough flights.
If you can launch from and land at any airfield, even if just any military airfield, absolutely. You've opened the market for point-to-point ballistic transport.
What does ICBM early warning look like in a world with point-to-point ballistic transport?
What I was getting at, is do all ICBM early warning systems sit on edge more often? That would be my assumption.
We have come close to annihilation from mistakes before, this seems like a path towards more possible mistakes.
Ballistic vehicles do not have much cross-range capability, so knowing both where they came from and where they are going is easier than with aircraft. But of course real-time human-seeming communication could be faked with good AI, and even if that were not an option I'm sure some kamakazi pilots would volunteer if necessary. Anything could be faked, but the barriers are not unsubstantial.
And, of course, MAD remains a deterrent.
The point still stands, though, you have to get to nearly 8km/s otherwise you aren't in orbit and you fall back into the atmosphere.
You can't get to anywhere near that speed while still in the atmosphere - SR-71s only manage about 1km/s, and because kinetic energy is proportional to the square of the speed, at that point you are only 1/64th of the way there.