Wendy's will experiment with dynamic surge pricing for food in 2025
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
They also really shouldn't be doing "suggestive selling" whether with humans or machines. Just shut up and take the customer's order rather than trying to talk them into ordering something. Nobody likes when stores or restaurants do that even if it "increases metrics" because some people choose to buy the item being aggressively pushed. What you don't see are all of the people who go somewhere else to avoid having to deal with that.
"Sir, this is a Wendy's."
Wendy’s is doing this in order to compete with McDonalds, which has been pushing up prices much faster than inflation for several years in a row… and McDonalds has publicly claimed it’s not hurting their business.
https://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-price-hikes-puttin...
McDonalds is routinely lambasted on social media and in memes for its recently gilded pricing. the quality just is not there. I suspect actual sales are flat, or in decline as a response to the price increase.
The alternative to scalding a frog is a world where corporations occasionally have to suffer the consequences of inflation as well as consumers.
so...you are assuming their sales are flat or declining based on your sense of the vibe and are assuming they lied in their SEC filings?
this is a fairly bold method to analyse the world with.
It's the same reason why prices keep going up at the grocery store. Those companies know you're going to buy groceries anyway and most people are going to buy the name brand instead of the store brand.
Where McDonald's runs into trouble is if their prices get so high that you might as well just go to a sit down restaurant instead. Five Guys and Smashburger are getting pretty close to that territory especially with the tipflation added onto their already high prices.
The other risk for McDonald's is that somebody else will try to replace them as the replacement level[0] restaurant. If your customers are choosing you because you're the cheapest and fastest restaurant then you can't afford to have a competitor undercutting you on price or speed. That's why it's so surprising to me[1] that McDonald's would be raising their prices aggressively. Even if they improved the food quality dramatically, they're not going to be able to move their brand up market because their existing reputation is well established.
[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_over_replacement_player (McDonald's is basically the restaurant equivalent of this baseball analytics concept)
[1]: I virtually never eat at McDonald's so I was completely unaware that they've been jacking up their prices. I don't even know where my local McDonald's is without checking Google Maps.
It is entirely possible for the number of hamburgers sold to go down while the price goes us, and for MCD revenues to stay even or earn more money. That might lead to a hollowing out of their customer base, and could lead to eventual decline, but there’s no guarantee of that.
McDonalds also has a lot of incentives to try to escape the rock-bottom commodity pricing, if it can, and regardless of quality, some companies do charge “market rates”. Apple and Starbucks come to mind. Starbucks is a good example of a company that took a cheap commodity product and pushed the price up considerably without suffering decline; the primary consequences were mountains of profit.
It's crazy to me to think that no one else out there thinks like me? That these companies can just confidently do this and succeed doing it?
Would you like fries with that?
Are you interested in the catch of the day?
May I suggest a wine to pair with that?
Unlimited breadsticks!
When Uber/Lyft are surging it incentivise more drivers to go to the surge area. This raises supply and the surge rate decreases. Drivers are distributed automatically where they are needed. Overall trips taken should be higher compared with a no surging model. So it shifts both the demand (higher ride price) and the supply curves dynamically. That’s an easier model to market to customers as there is at least some logical sense behind it.
However in Wendys case dynamic pricing has no effect on supply. It just modifies the demand curve.
Fundamentally they are betting that their food demand is inelastic enough that they’ll make more money overall. That just feels more exploitative and is going to be harder to market.
To be fair I think it's less exploitive than Ubers prices surging during a terror attack..
This is sort of a problem if a society depends on them as a piece of critical infrastructure. If a city owns a bus route and needs to evacuate a population, they can just do it by edict.
No one is considering this edge case and how it should be handled at Uber. A company or community that has pride in what they offer would probably provide rides for free during such an anomaly. This is a drawback on the scalability of technology as we currently implement it.
Yeah, I have no idea how they can sell this to the consumer. I have to pay more for food at supper time? Why would I want to pay for that? You're asking me to eat earlier or later to soften the demand curve, but why am I choosing fast food if I don't want convenience?
Or.. it incentivizes drivers to create surge conditions so they can make more money.
https://www.businessinsider.com/uber-drivers-artificially-tr...
Happy hours are designed to increase demand.
Surge pricing is designed to capture some of the value that high demand loses to limited supply.
I agree with your framing, but 20 hours of happy hour is a tough sell for PR, but worth getting right.
I also disagree with everyone here saying people will just go to an alternative restaurant, when the entire point is that all the drive thru’s are already full during these periods.
"We're sorry, there's a 15 minute delay for hamburgers; are you OK waiting or would you prefer to order something else".
Also:
"Happy hour pricing".
As long as they have a somewhat reasonable fixed maximum price I suspect consumers will accept this quite well. Then it wouldn't be much different than dynamic happy hour pricing or any of the many other types of sale pricing that other stores run.
And it's not much different from what McDonald's is doing. The pricing for walk in customers at McDonald's has gotten horrendous. Yet if you use their app you can pretty much always find a coupon to get a more reasonable price. McDonald's would get a good reception if those more reasonable prices were also available in store during off-peak hours.
In the first scenario the restaurant is reducing stress on the kitchen and the client by offering an alternative with a good reason. If the restaurant instead said "you can pay an extra $2 or wait 15 minutes", then it's comparable but I haven't run into that yet.
In the Happy Hour scenario the restaurant offers specific discounts to increase sales volume
Happy Hour is incentive pricing to try to get customers to come in earlier than normal.
While I actually like surge pricing in situations like a natural disaster or New Years Eve (e.g., gets more drivers/suppliers on the road), as proposed by Wendy's it's a very poor anti-pattern.
One is a loss-leader, the other is not.
Edit: This is exactly why I usually quote the person I'm responding to (I failed to do it here). Their current message is not what they originally posted, they edited it and pretty much repeated what I said.
And happy hour isn't a loss leader.
Surge pricing = increase price in response to demand with a goal of increasing profit margin
Happy Hour = decrease price of specified items at specified times to drive demand and increase sales volume
Surge pricing, as the definition of "surge" suggests (1), is a subcategory of dynamic pricing where the price is increased in response to higher demand.
(1) https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/surge
If yes, no.
Customers are far worse now. Glad i'm out of it again because it's a lot harder to put up with the treatment once you've worked in anything else.
You (generally?) can't advertise one price, and charge a different one when the customer actually shows up.
"Dynamic pricing can allow Wendy's to be competitive and flexible with pricing, motivate customers to visit and provide them with the food they love at a great value. We will test a number of features that we think will provide an enhanced customer and crew experience."
So I guess that means somethings things will cost most and sometimes things will cost less? I would hope there's something on those digital signs that calls out the pricing."THIS BURGER IS 25% MORE THAN NORMAL!" or "25% OFF YOUR FROSTY BECAUSE IT'S SNOWING!"
Hopefully there's some way to escape the line after you notice that your fries are going to cost $15 because there's a long line.
https://wamu.org/story/11/11/04/inside_the_beer_and_burger_s... http://thebigboarddc.com
I could have sworn I've been to a place that does the letter flipping, but I might be misremembering. And yeah, lots of places where that wouldn't be legal.
They are a regional chain that offers a sit-down meal with service for about the same price as fast food nowadays. And it is far better from a health perspective.
here in buenos aires there's apparently a law requiring restaurants to post prices for all their menu items, so in additional to the 'digital menuboards' in all the fast food restaurants, there's always a laser-printer printout in 10-point type on the wall which lists many food items that rarely or never appear on the digital menuboards, such as hamburgers without fries and drinks. so, unless that law goes away, they would have to cloak such price discrimination as discounts, maybe discounts for coming in at off-peak hours ('happy hour', as several people have referred to in this thread—though if alcohol-induced impairment of your consciousness tends to make you happy, i think something is very wrong with the way you're living the rest of your life)
for the most part, privacy is a public good rather than a private one; the benefits to privacy flow to society in general rather than the individual whose privacy is protected. price discrimination is an exception to that general rule, but biometrics make it impossible to preserve your privacy in wendy's; you can't order food there without exposing your voiceprint, your irises, and usually your face
Eventually all ads will be like ads for drugs where you have a 1 minute ad and then 3 minutes of a grandparent playing with their grandkid while someone speed reads the fine print at you.
This is a good example of dystopian capitalism run amok.
Next logical step --- they track those that fall for this and start charging them "surge" prices all the time. Then some accountant gets the bright idea that they can sell their "sucker list" to other like minded establishments.
And soon these "suckers" will find themselves branded for life. Where ever they go, they will be charged more.
More discussion a few days ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39514464
Wendy’s Digital News Update
Especially since fast food demand appears to be much easier to predict.
Labor is a huge component of food costs.
Labor cost per menu item is directly dependent on sales per time unit, as the labor has to be staffed regardless of sales.
Ergo, food at low-volume times (late night) should cost more.
PS: It's not as if airlines, online retail, etc. aren't already doing this. I find it hard to get outraged that one industry is different than others.
So it doesn't matter if the late night restaurant is quarter-staffed, if they only do a tenth of the sales volume.
Surge pricing only really works when the demand and supply can be elastic, and a Wendy's restaurant is a bad example.
Why not true price if you have the ability?
Previously, it wasn't possible because of printed menu costs. Now it is.
And I feel like food prices can absolutely be elastic, with a notification method like app pushes.
If the local Wendy's says they're selling burgers at $2 because they're slow today, more people might decide to go.
And critically (and what this is probably really about) they can reprice in real-time in relation to their neighboring alternatives.
I.e. McDonald's across the street discounts their cheeseburger, Wendy's can mimic
That's what this stuff is really used for when retail adopted it.