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Comment by mc32 | Hacker News Reader

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mc32·

These incidents are interesting due to because of how people like to assign blame or not.

Nordstream 2? Of course it was Russians despite how illogical it was.

This cable? No way the Houthis despite them saying they would attack them.

The prejudice is interesting.

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Nothing illogical, Russia had been limiting supply due to supposed technical reasons for months before, with a clear intention to empty European/German reserves. Look at the charts of gas flows and storage prior to the war and the literally hindreds or news articles on this.

Maybe because the Houthis clearly stated that all their efforts are linked to the Gaza conflict.

I'm 50/50 on whether Nordstream 2 was Russia or someone opposed to Russia because Russia's response to it has been indistinguishable from its usual disinfo dance when trying to shift blame for something they have done. I don't think it made strategic sense but neither did invading Ukraine (and especially not right before the start of mud season).

I thought with the cable the general objection to the Houthis having done it is that they're too incompetent to pull it off. I'm inclined to believe the Houthis did it as they could have literally done it by accident at this point.

The difference I’m seeing is on one there is a readiness to accept attribution despite the uncertainty and in the other there is a reluctance to accept attribution even if the likelihood is slightly higher (they said they’d do something like this —which certainly would need some confirmation).

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