What they know (at 50k ft) is...globalization, central banks, and the popularity of war continue to devalue all major currencies. Prior to globalization the resulting crisis from such things was localized. Not any more.

It's only a matter of time before the sociopolitical bubble bursts on a less localized scale.

No.

It’s insurance.

You don’t buy insurance if you think something will happen, you buy it because you think it might.