Why fake research is rampant in China
economist.com
economist.com
There are some interesting points about academic motivation here, I dont see why we have to make this a red vs blue issue. Are people offended we are talking about a particular nation? Are shills or bots steering the conversation?
But I think even then, the best way to understand would be to make comparisons to your own culture.
We could ask why articles like this have multiplied in recent years and that's interesting, but people here are just running with the implied comparison.
Anybody interested to see if this is anything special about this case, or just the standard amount that goes on everywhere.
Singling out some country for something that happens everywhere, wouldn't be that different than someone saying "immigrants from X did Y amount of violent crimes" to paint them as particularly violent, when the number might be totally proportional to their share of the population and/or some controls for income level.
Because the "west", with all its flaws, created the scientific method, also shortened as "science".
Trying to explain science while excluding the Greeks, or Roma, or France, or UK, or Germany, Sweden, Spain, USA, etc... is a total nonsense. Western societies are the standard measure to compare anything related with science, because they were shaped by science.
Maybe in China there's less need to find private funding for research thus scientific impact based on papers may hold more weight.
But I'm 100% that fake research and cheating is rampant in all of natural science everywhere in the world, and I myself had spent 6 months of my life in a lab trying to reproduce fake results from a previous researcher in my lab.
We only caught up it was fake data way later, when we spotted one single outlier number, an impossibly high voltage generated by his system (a 5/10% open current voltage that compounded all the other results).
Surely the outlier could have been an innocent digital capture error.
And it wasn't an outlier.
The simplest comparison I can make to illustrate the point without boring you is measuring the power of a car engine.
Imagine that you get a very high torque number, but horsepower doesn't match. Issue is: torque and horsepower are linearly dependent
torque = HP * RMP / 5252
Measurements that linerarly correlated with the voltage published were all consistent with a number 10/15% lower.
You are supposed to try. Whether you succeed is necessarily subject to any measurement issues.
> And it wasn't an outlier.
You said it was.
A single anecdote doesn't support having 100% certainty for such a broad claim.
I wrote about this in 2021:
https://blog.plan99.net/fake-science-part-i-7e9764571422
One Chinese doctor who was rumbled pleaded with the (anonymous) guy who spotted the bad papers:
“Hello teacher, yesterday you disclosed that there were some doctors having fraudulent pictures in their papers. This has raised attention. As one of these doctors, I kindly ask you to please leave us alone as soon as possible.
Being as low as grains of dust of the world, countless junior doctors, including those younger me, look down upon the act of faking papers. But the system in China is just like that, you can’t really fight against it. Without papers, you don’t get promotion; without a promotion, you can hardly feed your family. I also want to have some time to do scientific research, but it’s impossible. During the day, I have outpatient surgeries; after work, I have to take care of my kids. I have only a little bit time to myself after 10 pm, but this is far from being enough because scientific research demands big trunks of time. The current environment in China is like that.
You expose us but there are thousands of other people doing the same. As long as the system remains the same and the rules of the game remain the same, similar acts of faking data are for sure to go on. This time you exposed us, probably costing us our job. For the sake of Chinese doctors as a whole, especially for us young doctors, please be considerate. We really have no choice, please!”
If the system existed, it would actually make the expectations more realistic and make doctor's lives easier rather than increase the amount of research. But I assume the government isn't interested in the truth, i.e. realistically to fix this situation you would also need to admit that plenty of work done was basically bullshit and your numbers go down as a consequence.
China has a history of things like this, e.g. the way that villagers melted down their pots and pans to increase "steel production" during the Great Leap Forward and ended up with unusably low grade steel combined with no cooking implements.
In the US marginal students can take a degree and leave academia without churning out fake garbage.
There are a few reasons but they include 1) almost everybody is committing massive fraud making actual policing difficult (are you going to fire everybody ?) 2) strong incentives to publish papers without quality (in the us judging aspiring faculty applicants on total papers is taboo)
It’s all fun and games until someone goes too far.
"Bad incentives are a big part of the problem."
Scientists aghast at AI rat with genitals in peer-reviewed article - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39391034 - Feb 2024 (67 comments)
No title could have prepared me for that image.
This is a generalized problem because back in the "good old days" science was done by a select elite of passionate individuals (think physics between 1900-1950). Nowadays science is dominated by midwits that were forced to do "science" because of societal expectations that everyone needs to go to university and become "educated". The end result is an endless tsunami of grifters and people who cargo cult science by making a few pretty graphs and dropping some massaged data sets so that they can get their pretty baubles and titles. This is the full extent of modern scientific thought for 99% of people doing "science". Of course the passionate 1% are still there pushing the envelope further but more often than not they are inconvenienced by the modern academic system and all that it entails (think Grigori Perelman or others like him)
That doesn't solve the publication treadmill, but it would expect it to be a step forward.
For one thing, we understand statistical methods much better. We have a much better sense of what theories only sound good and what theories actually have support in data. Even in psychology, we understand the problems with non-replicating results much better.
The callback to the good old days when only the elite had the privilege of contributing to science rings very off to me.
0: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/24/books/review/lifes-edge-c...
The problem is not one of "midwits". The problem is that in science one is supposed to be in search of the truth and nothing but the truth, but we do not reward honesty. We only reward new discoveries or what appears to be new findings. Then it is no wonder that people are being dishonest.
I’d trust a paper coming out of the Netherlands way more than I’d trust one from China. For the same reasons I’d trust a paper from a reputable publisher over predatory one.
If any, from 1970 we got RMS, Linus Torvalds, GCC, Emacs, Gnuplot, Perl, Python, BLAS/Lapack and so boosting scientific research to unthinkable levels...
Even Edison with DC vs AC. Pick either that, or... the lead industry. Or tobacco. Or...
Research may fail to replicate for many reasons. Especially in areas like social science. Test subject (person) randomly selected from a population in say, the '50s, was different from similarly selected test subject today.
Bad incentives & outright fakery just add to that mix of possible causes.
a) Real economic research funded by Koch brothers and other fossil fuel companies write all policy: trickle down economics, no taxes on rich people, billionaires must become trillionaires first for us to see the trickle down effects.
b) Tobacco cartels funding scientific research purporting the health benefits of tobacco[1], a playbook now employed by all industries.
c) Lead is a gift of God and is healthy funded by auto, fossil and chemical companies which poisoned the world from early 1920s to early 2000s[2]. Though its banned now, there is lead everywhere on the planet now and is only banned because of the work of Claire Patterson[3].
"After Patterson completed his work with calculating the age of the Earth, he turned his attention to a problem he had discovered during his research. He was perplexed at the amount of lead contamination in the atmosphere. Furthermore, he was surprised that the general population was not aware of the effects of lead on the human body. This was mainly because for the last forty years, all studies done on the effects of lead had been done by doctors with no specialized training in chemical pathology and who were primarily funded by the manufacturers of lead additives, notably the Ethyl Corporation. One of these doctors hired by the Ethyl Corporation was a man named Robert Kehoe. His job was to perform scientific research to raise doubt in the public that lead was poisonous. Some of his reports stated that there was no evidence that lead was toxic, that since it was naturally occurring it could not be deadly, and that if workers are overexposed to it, then it is simply an issue of regulations within a company. Kehoe was able to persuade the public that lead poisoning should not be seen as an issue.": https://publish.illinois.edu/clair-patterson/fighting-for-a-...
d) All chemicals are healthy until proven harmful, anything can be added to food, and the environment polluted with no consequences. And there is always industry sponsoring research that whatever substance is in question is in fact healthy. Well know harmful substances take at least 3 - 5 decades (or never!) to be banned or regulated! (a) above gives the foundational basis to let rich people (aka companies) do whatever they want with the same playbook employed by tobacco and lead.
Europe is better in terms of food regulations compared to US: https://wellwithrae.com/food-chemicals-in-america-vs-europe/
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c25mqFtg6AA&t=218s
[2] all research on TEL’s health impact would be underwritten by GM, Standard Oil, Du Pont, Ethyl and lead-industry trade associations: https://www.typeinvestigations.org/investigation/2000/03/02/...
[3] Clair Cameron Patterson: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clair_Cameron_Patterson
[4] Lead a gift of God: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/video/2023/jan/12/the-gi...
[5] The Secret History of Lead: https://www.typeinvestigations.org/investigation/2000/03/02/...