Will edX Put Harvard and MIT Out of Business?
forbes.com
forbes.com
Fundamentally, the elite schools are in no danger from these online education initiatives. It is the state schools, community colleges, and for profit schools that are in danger. If a school can't figure out a value add beyond simple education (which the elite schools have had for centuries), that school is in trouble.
The free online education programs remind me of the initial chess online experience. Yes, it's different, but over time, the improvements in convenience, price and quality make online chess a forerunner of future online education programs. There is still a local chess club, but I can play against quality opponents anytime, online.
Keep in mind that $200,000 will pay for a lot of plane tickets, so the competing service could involve lots of world travel and still be much cheaper than elite schools.
Harvard gives these numbers:
Tuition and fees for 2010-2011: $36,142
Room and board for 2010-2011: $12,308
Average financial aid package for 2010-2011: $41,300
This is presented to look like the average student pays $7150 a year to attend Harvard. (Not including incidental expenses, books etc.)
This is misleading because not mentioned is that the financial aid package typically includes a Pell grant of a maximum of $5500 (average $3,593), leaving the remaining $35,800 covered by loans at 8-10% interest. Other than the Pell available to low family total income US citizens, the financial package is not scholarship style grants that come free and clear. The student ends up over $140,000 in debt upon graduation and Harvard gets their entire $48,450 each year.
The term "financial aid" is intentionally misleading and used against naive parents and students in articles and personal exhortations to convince them that college is affordable to them. We don't talk about "financial aid" when discussing loans for houses or cars, that would be considered misleading by nearly everyone. Saying college is affordable because you get "financial aid" consisting mostly of interest loans makes no more sense than saying that mansions and Hummers are affordable because "financial aid" consisting of deferred loans is available so that you won't have to pay hardly anything during the first four years. Actually the mansion/Hummer case makes more sense since their loans are not ones you can not get rid of no matter what (not even bankruptcy) and that if you don't pay will cause serious legal problems like revocation of needed professional licensing.
http://www.thielfellowship.org/
down market, something like http://codeacademy.org/ might give you a state university qaulity network for a fraction of the cost
As long as students who take edX are blocked from the branding and professional networks
that their parents pay so dearly to obtain, such top schools have nothing to fear from giving
away what the teachers are getting paid modestly to deliver.
University teaches a lot more than the course material.A few scenarios:
* Would you pay tuition to be taught by [well-meaning] no-name professor Dave at no-name Community U?
* Would you be willing to pay a nominal fee to receive a certificate for edX achievement?
* Would you be more willing to pay for a certificate from Harvard/MIT, or UVA?
The online education trend will act as a channel for the most prestigious schools to capitalize on their brand without diluting their stature. And we'll see them making hand-over-fist money by outcompeting community colleges and other online programs that don't have the weighty reputations.
But, what's going to happen is that profs like me are going to continue using them in our classes in the same way we have been using textbooks, which will liberate a little time for us to provide more one-on-one help. At least, that is my prediction. But, you know, predictions are hard, especially about the future.
[1] http://www.jose-vidal.com/2012/05/online-classes-are-just-ne...
http://chronicle.com/article/From-Graduate-School-to/131795/
That's why it's so scary for universities and elites. One of the moral validations for restricting the life chances of certain groups of people has been removed. Others will pop up I'm sure.
Would you like the next surgeon you visit to have a certificate on his wall from YouTube Medical School.