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You forgot the last point, which is that creators who don't want their work used in the training data for these megacorp LLMs without permission will get what they want.

And we won't have open models.

Try training an "open" model on Nintendo's, Disney's, and Elsevier's IP and see how long it takes them to bury you in lawsuits citing copyright infringement. The only way out of this would be to abolish copyright.

Or indeed carve out an exception for AI training in recognition for their potential to revolutionize our society.

Let my big tech company fuck you or the big media company will fuck you instead.

B: Development of AI accelerates. Necessity being mother of invention and all that. After all a human doesn't need to ingest every written word out there to show signs of intelligence.