For most games, if you can see a way to an end state within 3-5 steps under these idealized conditions, there's only so much that an actual opponent can do to make the board deviate from the initial static board state that you used in your assumption. The optimal strategy will always be just a few minor corrections of edit distance from this dumb no-theory-of-mind strategy. You can always be sure that whoever has the longer path to victory has to do something to interfere with the shorter path of their opponent, and there's only ever so many pieces which can interact with that shorter path. Meaning whatever path to victory is currently shortest short circuits the search for potential moves.