Physical cash is dying–and you don't need to be a conspiracist to worry
prospectmagazine.co.uk
prospectmagazine.co.uk
I’m not down to have rent seeking companies taking a slice of my hard earned money just so I don’t have to manage a few pieces of paper.
You’re generally paying 3-4 percent of every transaction now, as that’s pretty standard for debit cards on businesses, and it doesn’t matter if it’s charged to the card holder or the business, the consumer ultimately pays for it in higher prices. Heck, people pay transaction fees on payments they make the to government because the government won’t take cash.
Do we really need to make not paying invisible fees in everything illegal? Seems crazy.
That’s not to say I think cash should go the way of the dodo, but I don’t think there’s that much difference paying g4s to collect your money vs Mastercard.
IMO the benefits of cash are on the consumer, not the business.
Alternatively, they were counting the time they spent cash handling as a business owner as zero cost, which isn’t really true.
Someone willing to take the risk of the severe penalties for dodging taxes would not be deterred from offering discounts for cash payments because they broke another law by doing so. They can also avoid the law by not taking card payments at all. I have found that many people in businesses traditionally took cash payments do not take cards but are happy to be paid by bank transfer (which is usually free on both sides in the UK if the sender is not a business).
The value of the time spent on cash handling may be very low. What is the opportunity cost of the time if it can be done in otherwise dead time? It is worth what value they attach to it.
Most small places not declaring cash want to stay off the radar, they use tricks like using old cash resisters that don't have trackable invoice ids.
Food places are rife with it as they can claim excess food was thrown out as spoiled.
It is much cheaper for the bank and customers to use cards, but where I live the banks own a payment network that does not involve visa and mastercard so the cost is much lower and there is no rent seeking so card use have no fees.
We also have an app for sending "cash" for free to friends, family and businesses that under the hood are just instant bank payments between the accounts.
And derisking is illegal, so you have to provide a bank account and cards to anyone who wants. The high risk customers just need more follow-up on terms of AML.
Also, I wasn’t able to get a debit card until I was 12, but perhaps that has changed over the past few decades.
My kids got a card at around 5, but they are older now. Not with visa/mastercard of course :)
With respect to closing accounts, there are extremely few cases where people can be denied a basic account with the largest banks, but most smaller banks are not required to provide a basic account, and other account types can be denied at will, and most people have other accounts types (there are something like 7 million basic accounts).
However the homeless problem is virtually non existent in this country, same with the lack of id.
It's just so much more convenient to use digital payments that almost nobody use cash anymore.
Unbanked people is more concerning, as unbanked people include political enemies of the state. The centralisation of power that digital payments allow is concerning.
The other thing which isn't mentioned in this comment chain is that a reason credit is cheaper is that your transaction data is harvested.
Most banks here don't handle the actual payments themselves except the biggest ones.
The small "savings banks" like the one I work in doesn't have shareholders either, they are owned by the depositors. Almost every small town and community here has one.
Furthermore you get a lot more than just writing a few bits with a credit card transaction. You can bypass the cc companies and cash logistics costs by taking checks. But certainly the revealed preference is to not do that.
Exactly. All the talk about fees misses the point because accepting and securing paper money is also very costly.
And the provocateur's stunt in the article also misses the point, because electronic payments for groceries aren't a dystopian tyranny no matter how loud he screams about it.
And the crypto skeptics are missing the point when they say you can't buy a coffee with bitcoin, because buying coffee is a solved problem, tap to pay with a bank card works just fine.
And the crypto advocates are missing the point when they say that lightning or solana or something else will solve the coffee-buying conundrum because that's not a problem that needs solving.
The real point about cash payments and crypto is whether people should be able to make large person-to-person payments that are not trivially surveilled or controlled.
In a free society, should people have this capability? Or are the dangers of illegal transactions so great that this freedom must be eliminated?
Europe has mostly free and mostly instant SEPA transfers which are one answer. Large payments are easy and cheap, though they are not secret or untraceable. Perhaps that's a reasonable trade-off.
The US payments system is a mess by comparison, where we have no privacy paired with extreme inconvenience. Try to buy a $20,000 car from a private party on a holiday weekend to see how well that works.
I’m not convinced that spur-of-the-moment, trustless private-party $20,000 transactions are a significant problem.
Every system has edge cases.
The FCBA coverage, on the other hand, has some real value. That said, even though I have used it a few times, I doubt it has saved me as much as I've spent in CC fees.
In fact, I have seen some small places ask a 3-4% surcharge for cash payments, because banks don't process cash for free any more.
Edit: alternatively they might not have same profitability requirement as other restaurants, because a cash-only restaurant is perfect front for money laundering.
You’re pretending as if there weren’t any costs associated with handling cash. There’s almost always a handling fee if you want to put the cash into an account, which you will need to do if you want to pay people that are somewhere else than you are. If you have larger quantities of cash, you’ll also have to pay for safe transportation of the funds. If you make an honest comparison
Citation needed. I've been depositing cash for years, with multiple banks, and nobody has ever charged a "handling fee".
> safe transportation of the funds
Yes, a lot of people have this irrational reaction to carrying large amounts of cash, as if your unremarkable Toyota miraculously sports a giant "BRINKS" logo every time you carry cash, attracting the attention of would-be criminals everywhere. I assume you believe that thieves and pickpockets are regularly carrying millimeter-wave scanners to see what's in your pockets, briefcases, backpacks, etc?
It's a fee associated with business accounts.
>https://www.bankofamerica.com/smallbusiness/deposits/resourc...
>Cash Deposit Processing No fee for first $7,500 in cash deposited per statement cycle at an ATM or Financial Center; then $0.30 per $100 deposited thereafter
No, the total costs of handling cash currency & coins for large businesses will still add up to 3% or more which is in the range of the fees of credit-cards processing. Costs of accepting cash also includes:
- paying for armored trucks and security guards to transport bags of cash to the bank
- percentage of cash lost to crime such as
--- employees/cashiers theft/skimming by handling cash,
--- robberies,
--- counterfeit bills
https://www.google.com/search?q=retailer+total+costs+of+hand...
For a business, a true arbitrage of not paying 3% credit-card fees would be convincing customers to pay by check or electronic ACH bank account withdrawal. Those payment methods avoid the costs of managing loose cash and also avoid the fees from the credit-card processors. But they also have the same privacy concerns as CCs if customers care about that aspect.
Like today I returned some deposit bottles and they had run out of 20€ bills... Which should be the most common ones. Going on trip so I preferred 10€ bills, but still...
Nobody is paying 4% for any cardholder-present transactions.
Where? A quick search on their website shows 2.6%: https://squareup.com/us/en/pricing#rates
often as high as 2-2.5%
====
How we pay
- Credit cards account for 31 per cent of transactions.
- Cash accounts for 29 per cent of transactions.
- Debit cards account for 26 per cent of transactions.
So what does it cost to process a transaction? The Bank of Canada survey looked at the estimated cost of processing a $36.50 transaction, which was the median cash transaction in its survey. Costs broke down like this:
Debit card: 19 cents.
Cash: 25 cents.
Credit card: 82 cents.
The study notes that the overall cost of electronic transactions falls as the volume increases, which the authors suggest, may encourage greater use of electronic payments.
====
But you should be very careful in eliminating cash.
I assume cash handling fees are made up by banks who want more transaction fees. That’s not a real thing in my experience. I many times have gotten a discount for cash. I have not shopped a few places because they don’t accept cash. But I have yet to be charged a cash fee by any of the banks I use.
And they have insane surveillance data on their customers from doing so. Data that is used for all kinds of unintended purposes.
Cash is also one of the last strongholds left to maintain anonymity and keep purchasing information truly private without handing heaps of data to the corporations that make a buck off your receipts—or worse, to hackers, in the case of a data breach.
To say nothing of the unbanked… which is a massive issue.
If that’s the future you want, we don’t see eye-to-eye. You are giving up a LOT more than you realize.
That's because you presumably have a consumer account. If you had a business account and were depositing thousands in 20 bills they're probably going to charge you fees.
The entire reason why small businesses moved away from cash is because its cheaper even taking into account fees. Food trucks, popups, small merchant kiosks. Not needing to take cash means far less overhead.
You're more than welcome to argue the benefits of cash transactions and in most cases I would agree. But you should not miss the truth of the situation.
Electronic payments are much safer, no physical cash someone can steal.
From what they tell me, that's because: - they get 100% of the money (no tax) - it grants them the right to cheat with tax declaration (which is always good) - it can be quicker and easier than credit card (I'm think of those guys who sells stuff for 5€, for instance)
I believe medium/large businesses loves credit cards, because the people doing the payment are low-waged, untrusted people, who cannot do maths etc (or whatever the reasons managements got in their head) But small businesses ? When you give money to the owner of said business ? They have credit cards because the consumers use them, but they hate them
[1] https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20180130005244/en/New...
If you are paid via direct deposit, you're financially incentivized to stay cashless. The direct cost of spending via debit/credit card (if one doesn't carry a balance) is zero, compared to the cost of withdrawing cash.
If you want to inventivize salaried professionals to pay with cash, try outlawing fees on ATM withdrawals first.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FedNow
The support is still very limited, but in India a similar system (UPI) managed to become ubiquitous.
Have you never done a chargeback on a credit card? With Fednow, UPI etc you can't.
Try to explain buying with cash in 200 years to someone who never seen it.
What if I need to pay just a little, do I tear a bit of the paper?
No, you can't tear. If your piece of paper is worth too much then the seller gives you other pieces of paper worth less.
Can I throw out the rest of paper after I'm done buying?
Not unless you want to lose a piece of your value.
What if I don't have enough pieces of paper on me?
Then you can't buy.
So I should just carry all my worth in pieces of paper on me at all times?
That's a bad idea because when you loose this paper or it gets stolen or destroyed you no longer own their value.
Where do I get the paper from? Your employer can five it to you every month or week and you hold it in your home. Alternatively employer transfers the value to the bank normal way and when you need paper the bank can dispense it to you through various devices or service points.
Are any of those devices handheld?
Unfortunately no.
What if my house get burned down or robbed?
Then you lose all the value associated with all the papers kept there.
And so on.
If you do it by hand yourself the effort burdens you and the seller.
You might argue that the cost is too much and maybe it should be state run and paid from taxes since it's the state that provides the service of money.
Try to explain buying with a credit card online 200 years ago to someone who has never seen it.
You type in about 23 digits (16-digit card number, 4-digit expiry month, 3-digit verification code) to make a payment.
But these digits only change every few years as you renew your credit card. So many parties will learn of your digits and you won't know who leaked them.
The merchant on the other end can take out any amount of money from your account; it's pull-based, not push-based.
The merchant on the other end can trap you in a recurring subscription without your knowledge or make it very hard to cancel.
People have credit limits in the thousands of dollars, and in any single transaction you are liable to lose that much money. Meanwhile, you can't lose more than the hundreds of dollars of cash in your wallet.
You can call your card issuer to dispute charges, but now you're at the mercy of an intermediary.
The intermediary skims about 2~4% of every transaction, for the luxury of being able to spend your own money.
You can't process certain types of transactions in an offline environment, such as debit cards during a power outage or on an airplane (though Wi-Fi is slowly becoming more common).
And you think cash is crazy?
I agree that giving anyone your card number is insanity. I only did it few times in hotels and it required tremendous leap of faith from me. To be honest I should have gotten plastic prepaid for this purpose.
No seriously, when I first moved to the Netherlands I was wondering what kind of backwards country wouldn’t let me use a credit card at the grocery store. And that’s when I learned about how crazy it is that credit cards and even American debit cards have such needlessly high transaction fees.
The interest argument of course is nonsense because the opportunity cost ia outweighed ~50x by the interest benefit you receive from the entire purchase going on credit vs just the 2% interchange.
Thanks for responding — can you clarify this interest benefit you are talking about?
Anyway, as somebody else said, a 3% fee on transactions is just ridiculous. If you get any bit of competition, transaction-value based fees tend to be on the order of 0.5%.
But you know, our governments are fucking useless, so that ain't happening anytime soon.
- Cash is anonymous
- Cash is an "old" or "low" technology.
When a serious crime is committed you might be surprised how much the police can do to trace cash. Serial numbers in and out of ATMs and shops are tracked, and frequently your face is captured by cameras in stores, ATMs and vending machines.
Modern cash is high technology. Look at a UK or European note already. Holograms, nano-technology, advanced materials science... It's well past the point of being worth forging, and it is likely that future banknotes will use einks, embedded printable passive electronics to do all of the things people hope or fear of purely digital cash, such as time-out, store variable value, and be more traceable.
The function cash really performs is a resilience buffer for person to person transactions that works independently of electrical power and Internet. Smart people at the top are never going to let that slide, because it would be national security suicide and practically inviting civil unrest.
Cash, in evolving forms is here to stay, but it may not have all the properties we think it has and defend it for.
Which is neither here, not there. Cash is effectively anonymous for 99% of uses that don't involve "major crime". Your buying something is not logged anywhere, for example.
Exactly. Almost all cash transactions remain anonymous because there's no criminal investigation involved.
Most people are honest and just going about their business with friends and family.
That's how it should be.
A cost bar for tracing is a desirable feature for non-authoritarian societies.
Digital currency mediated by bank apps, active cards, smartphones or whatever, makes for "convenience" but also zero cost to spy on people who are not criminals. And that's a problem.
So maybe it is here. Or there. I'm not sure where you're standing :)
It's disingenuous to even suggest that the traceability of cash transaction is even remotely close to that of credit cards and e-payments, and that what keeps them anonymous is that "there's no criminal investigation involved".
It's the exact opposite: cash transaction are anonymity friendly by nature, and only when there's a great need, and with quite an effort, like in a criminal investigation, are they attempted to be traced, and even there it's more difficult exacty because of the nature of cash making it more difficult.
1. You might not be involved in a major crime but you might be a suspect. Lots of innocent suspects get convicted.
2. You might be a whistleblower. Lots of whistleblowers get framed.
Etc.
"If I've done nothing wrong I have nothing to hide" didn't work out well for Soviet Russia or Nazi Germany.
A lot of the reason many of us want privacy preserved is to prevent a similar path here. Totalitarian governments don't always pop up overnight on a revolution; they often creep up on you.
The creeping process is also often:
1. We'll track X with major checks on privacy; it will only be used for terrorism and child abuse investigations and held in a secure vault
2. We're just doing a better job of sharing / using data we already collect
Neither off those is objectionable, but together, you end up in a distopia.
Is this true? When I buy something from my local gas station is there a system in place tracking every serial number exchanged on the cash?
It's literally adding a 50 cent camera to a cash register.
- you take out cash from an ATM. The machine is loaded with sequential or logged order of SN that can be matched to withdrawals and times.
- you take that cash immediately to a vending machine or supermarket auto-checkout that takes notes. The machine scans all notes it ingests and can match them to timings and purchase details.
- Even a small shop might have a camera at the till, along with a UV light frequency used to check for forgeries.
Obviously as the time between withdrawal and re-appearing in a system grows the strength of the association gets lower, as notes change hands. But in a serious crime investigation that doesn't matter, it's a good-enough capability to warrant chasing.
I can tell you they don't do that, at least for the systems I know in Europe. And for manual systems obviously the cashier doesn't record serials and match them to transactions.
Specifically can you prove (or give compelling anecdotes why) the linear CCD array used to determine the legitimacy of the note cannot, on internet connected machines, retain and store that scan? I know that's a tall order, because I'm asking a negative.
The most obvious proof I'd say is that there is no law mandating this, so nobody is going to bother doing it just for fun.
Remember supposedly most printers were printing some semi invisible serial codes - for tracking whistleblowers and leaks.
Probably cannot easily prove that ATM or money counter machines manufactures are not doing something similar.
I have owned a retail shop. There are plenty of rules and regulations to worry about, and labor is a massive expense. At no point would I have been inclined to purchase equipment or pay for labor to track serial numbers on bills without a specific mandate to do so. No such mandate exists.
There is a reason why governments don't want large cash transactions. It enables illegal sales, tax evasion and money laundering. Dude/ette, if you think the police can track a single 20€ bill that precisely, they wouldn't have a problem seeing through 500k€ cash deals when drug money goes legit through real estate. Basically every restaurant and cafe on earth uses cash to do creative accounting.
However, of course, there are particular crimes where money tracking does matter. If you rob a bank or break into an ATM your cash prize comes with strings attached, as those known bills will get flagged. I think the most important implication would be these bills becoming actual evidence instead of an happenstance mysterious cash finding. If a bank scan finds them in circulation again, they may be able to narrow down your location, do statistics with mobile network data and so on, but it's not like every note is tracked by default at every endpoint.
Crime runs on cash. How often have you read about anyone getting caught on cash serials??
Why on earth would any commercial store invest in cash tracking? They only got one point of the cash flow, are you implying they are all connected in some grand conspiracy?? Such stores got an abundance of way more accessible and relevant customer data they could (super illegally) collect, like biometrics, RF device IDs, loyalty programs, ... I also never seen a self checkout store which accepted cash at all.
You are telling a fatalist narrative which only helps the abandonment of cash, especially for small, daily transactions, which matter most for privacy.
Crypto won't happen. Lol.
> You are telling a fatalist narrative which only helps the abandonment of cash, especially for small, daily transactions, which matter most for privacy.
I hope that's not true and this is the only point I dispute.
Yes cash can be tracked, down to a single note, but it's extremely hard and expensive, as most of us here with a little more knowledge understand. No big conspiracies, just a sobering appraisal of the state of the art. What that knowledge does is debunk the political lie that digital cash is the only way to fight crime and money laundering etc.
Now, we were going to do a Cybershow episode on drug dealers who accept Google and Apple pay, but shelved it because frankly I'm out of my depth journalistically and can't protect sources or navigate the risks of side effects. But it happens, and those companies collude (because it must be bloody obvious from the data).
Meanwhile I think the front line is dispelling the "convenience myth". Convenience is such a dirty and dishonest word that most-times stands in for "something that makes me feel good". In reality I can pay cash for a round of drinks and tip the barmaid before my mates have got their phones out their pockets.
That is not the point. The point is in the contract - e.g., that you are not accepting to untick a "do not track" flag. That circumvention is always possible is not what matters there.
Who exactly? Where are these people in power defending physical cash or recommending an alternative monetary medium resilient to grid failure?
I simply said "smart people at the top". I didn't say there were any.
You could be unlucky if your crime passes a certain threshold or affects someone with power but, most of the time, it will not be investigated with the resources of the state.
I had a funny conversation with some LE types the other day (in the context of something we call "fly-tipping") about how, in theory, everyone who litters could be brought to book because they leave their fingerprints all over stuff.
Nobody in forensics is ever going to do that unless it's a very serious case. Nobody wants to be compelled to investigate some bs crime just because its possible. Make things too convenient and you've got China.
It doable but not at all trivial.
>It's well past the point of being worth forging
The news seem to indicate plenty of forgers still, e.g.:
https://www.europol.europa.eu/media-press/newsroom/news/poss...
>it is likely that future banknotes will use einks
einks are too expensive right now?
Maybe yes. But track their falling cost and you'll see where the price point intersects with near disposable cost. European transport tickets made of cheap plasticised card only took a couple of years to incorporate RFID - that's already a long way toward low cost "intelligent cash".
For a brief few weeks in the 1980s we had "phone cards" with stored, decrementable value that you could use a few times. Purely passive and using an optical technique to see where pressure had been applied to plastic (which turns milky). In Hungary in the communist era I saw tram tickets using ingenious mathematics (an ephemeral mechanical key set by the driver) and punched paper holes to provide multi-use.
It's amazing what can be done to make cheap or even disposable portable artifacts to transfer value.
I do recall that patents/trademarks/tech are owned by E-Ink inc., and one of the biggest reason for the cost is them gouging the market? That mechanism can keep high prices for a long time.
recall? gouging? You mean you have data showing is not just simple volume issues?
Go to bank, take out 100's, to small mom and pop get change... problem solved.
Further it is highly unlikely that if some bill I got out of ATM finds it way to a crime scene or something that they will be proof of anything a defense lawyer would shoot that down in about 2 secs
>> It's well past the point of being worth forging
Not really.
>>future banknotes will use einks, embedded printable passive electronics to do all of the things people hope or fear of purely digital cash
and those should be opposed as well
An example list of completely legal transactions which you might not want someone in your life knowing about:
a) You don't want your spouse to know that you bought some beers / fast food / pornographic magazines / cigarettes / other vice
b) You don't want your employer to know that you saw a therapist / oncologist / family planning services
c) You don't want your parents to know that you bought contraception
d) You don't want your car insurance provider to know that you purchased a repair from a mechanic (i.e. you don't want your rates increased).
Making payments in cash is making a decision for them not to be entered in some database which may be hacked and sold for profit to someone who values their interests more than your privacy.Part of that is helping people to have a realistic but not paranoid view of technological society. My work also means I help people who have serious crimes or security issues to solve, and have legitimate investigatory needs.
I think privacy violations are not rooted in economic greed, but in unboundaried, controlling impulses that get encoded into technology.
Hope I am responding respectfully and appropriately, sorry if I got you wrong. BTW, in a safe way (ie not online) take one of those "authoritarian personality tests". It will shock you how much we have hidden in ourselves just ready to be provoked by demagogues or disinformation.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Authoritarian_Personality
[1] https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/rethinking-mental-he...
Cash is anonymous, by and large. That’s a fact, not a fallacy. I’ve never in my life seen any shops track serial numbers of cash transactions, nor associate them with me. I’m skeptical that anyone does it, but I welcome any evidence of this dubious claim that you’d like to provide. Having your face capture by a camera does not track the bills you used, nor the items you purchased. You’re spinning a mostly false tale.
E-money on the other hand tracks everything you buy, what you buy, when you buy, what you paid, where you bought it, and that information is used to construct a valuable profile of your purchasing habits. That profile is used for advertising. But it could also be used to deny insurance claims. Should be illegal, but I knew someone who worked for a credit card company that informed me they were thinking about how to do this legally.
E-money is tracked on everyone for everything by default, and cash does non of this. It’s insanely expensive for the police to try to trace cash, and they can only do it for one criminal at a time. They do not, and cannot, track everyone’s cash.
Spending profiles captured via e-money tracking are captured by private corporations and they are offered for sale. Any criminal cash tracking by police is used solely for capturing criminal and is otherwise not available to anyone else.
> Modern cash is high technology
Again, who’s even arguing? This is a straw man, the context is digital money. There was no debate about how much technology is used for printing bills.
> Cash, in evolving forms is here to stay
So you say? I’m not going to argue or pretend to make predictions, but one thing we know for absolute sure is that there is a downward trend of cash transactions globally.
lmfao what. Unless someone is committing large scale crimes involving bands, no one is tracking some small bills between private citizens, some stores, more citizens, et al.
For the vast majority of people, cash is anonymous. No advertising company or government is obtaining tracking data on your purchase of an apple and a cup of coffee with cash.
They literally increased the purchasing power of each remaining pound by doing so.
Did they. Notes aren't a limited resource and they can still be considered in the cashflow
If the notes were counterfeit or had otherwise managed to come into existence without being owned by anyone, then no.
Generally it's accepted that the value went up because it became more rare as the number of unit went down. Or similarly because if all the money represents the price of everything in the economy, as there is less money and assuming that everything in the economy didn't change, then everything has now a slightly lower price.
That's true.
> Or similarly because if all the money represents the price of everything in the economy, as there is less money and assuming that everything in the economy didn't change, then everything has now a slightly lower price.
That can't be true in any meaningful way, because all the money doesn't represent the price of everything in the economy. "Everything in the economy" is always worth many multiples of "all the money".
The definition you'll see in economics is MV = PY. It's defined with reference to the concept of GDP, and the variables are:
M is the amount of money (that year).
V is the "velocity of money", the average number of times that a particular dollar gets spent (that year).
P is the price level. The value of money (that year) is 1/P.
Y is the amount of non-monetary stuff that is produced (that year).
(I would be happier if Y was the amount of non-monetary stuff that existed, but that does not appear to be how economists prefer to talk about it. This set of definitions lets you say that MV is equal to NGDP.)
You can characterize the effect of destruction of money as a reduction in M or as a reduction in V. If you take the view that the money still exists, because it's listed on a balance sheet somewhere, then M has not gone down, but under that view V still has; it's impossible to spend that money. Assuming everyone's urge to spend as a function of their ability to spend stays unchanged, you'll see that the party who locked up $1 million (by destroying it) will, as a result, spend less. Everyone else in the relevant universe is unaffected and spends just as much as they would have anyway. Then, by our special analysis, the amount of total money spent has gone down, and the amount of money in existence hasn't, so the velocity of money has gone down.
Y is unaffected by the destruction of money. For PY to go down while Y stays constant, P must go down, which means that 1/P, the value of money, goes up.
------
Note that the implication of this velocity-based analysis is that, if a miser with tons of money in bank accounts that he'll never use happens to one day withdraw some of that money and destroy it, there will be no effect on the value of money. This is correct; that money had already been effectively destroyed when the miser committed to not spending it.
(Over a much longer term, the effect of destruction would be visible when the miser's heirs inherited a smaller amount of money than otherwise and consequently spent less.)
If people like Musk lose wealth because of sinking stock prices, his workers don't have suddenly more buying power.
Most money is book money and the burning of 1 million doesn't change the purchasing of the people because cash isn't linked to a finite resource like gold.
Rephrasing that question, if you were holding a bunch of shares of stock, and you sell them, will that lower the price of that stock?
Even if it were possible, the purchasing power wouldn’t change - you coffee shop wouldn’t reduce their prices but they might adjust staffing levels in an extreme case (not remotely likely to happen with £1mm diff in circulation)
But I agree this is likely unmeasurable.
By the way, being hard to measure doesn't mean it doesn't exist. And there are plenty of things easy to measure that are meaningless
>> being hard to measure doesn't mean it doesn't exist
No in this context it does. Either you can measure the increase purchasing power or you can’t. And if you can’t measure it, it doesn’t exist in this specific case.
The difference is that when BoE destroys notes they are accounted for by either the issuing of new notes and or crediting their withdrawal with a bank-entry credit thus the money in circulation does not change.
Burning notes willy nilly effectively reduces the amount of currency in circulation because the central bank thinks the money still in circulation and doesn't replace it. This is why in many countries defacing or destroying the currency is unlawful.
(Miniscule until I manage to stuff my face with enough donuts.)
Clearly, in modern times in modern democracies it's very unlikely that in any practical scenario that some entity would be capable of unofficially adding or withdrawing enough money from a currency to actually destabilize it, moreover in such an event the central bank/government would be onto it in seconds.
It's however an altogether different scenario if the citizenry somehow has the perception that the currency isn't exactly what the central bank purports it to be. Just the notion that something may be wrong with the currency could destabilize it, hence hellishly tight laws to ensure this never happens.
But it's also no different than if they stuck it under a mattress for 10 years, at least until the 10 years is up. So that's also sort of a donation primarily to the rich.
Of course when the 10 years is up and they spend money, more of it will wind up in rich people's accounts than in anyone else's, if not immediately then eventually (otherwise they wouldn't stay rich.)
[laughs, in disappearing bitcoin]
Currency is a freedom to perform transaction and arguably a given right, it's existed since humans learnt trade.
Cash allows anyone to transact without a prerequisite or control. Two parties. Centralised digital currency will change it.
That worry doesn't even include the privacy concerns and as systems become centralised either through standards or legislation. It will be easy to track someones habits or location globally.
Nor does it save you from 90% of transactions you do. Banks will know when you deposit/withdraw money. Stores know the moment you walk in. Unless you deal purely in cash (and I mean PURELY) someone somewhere will know when and how you're spending your money.
If you want to deal with privacy concerns then it needs to be codified in law. And that involves dealing with the entire chain, not just point of sale and not just thinking cash will save you.
And in the end, physically seizing cash & goods only takes away what the protesters have at the time—they can still go earn more cash to transact with, unless they are arrested. Someone whose accounts are frozen, and who is prevented from opening new accounts, and who can't use cash, is running out of options.
If the government wanted to freeze your accounts and take most of your net worth, they can. And while cash transactions can be secure, in our day to day life where our transactions are done cash is not meaningfully adding anything to our privacy. To actually achieve any sort of privacy with cash involves operating purely with cash: That means no bank accounts, no investments, you are paid directly by your workplace with cash etc.
That's why again, cash will not protect you. It will not protect most of the people here acting like it will.
But well, no, there isn't much of a difference.
Next step is a blockchain-based crypto, controlled only by a single structure, such as Fed. Total control directly by the government, no banks involved. Full access to the history of all purchases and means to immediately lock out anyone who does anything "wrong".
Personally I'm going to move out of the country as soon as it forbids the cash transactions, as I don't want my kids to be slaves to the government.
Which country is it? In many jurisdictions cash transactions are already illegal above certain threshold. It might be that you won't have too many places to go.
Even in an unlikely apocalyptic scenario you have described they won't gain much more power than they already have. I don't see how this makes you a slave by itself. Only if government begins using this as a tool to control you but then, if we hit such a point, they have much more other tools people have to worry about.
I'm sure I won't be the only one accepting USD notes as payment.
So really either all countries go card only or people just move to other currencies, at least for certain transactions.
* Debit cards charged as debit, by entering a PIN. Some terminals allow you to "bypass PIN" and/or automatically charge debit cards as credit. I don't know, it's shady.
Many gas stations (usually ones serving trucks) have cash discounts for fuel, too.
(US, midwest)
The downside of going cashless aren't hypothetical or as far-fetched as people think. The whole society can be put on hold overnight. We can see this happening in front of us.
Using whatever payment method for convenience in itself is fine. But, eliminating cash as medium, without providing a better alternative, one that can still work in disasters where power or network is down, is wild.
The difference it makes is that now you only have one way to access your savings. Any failures, technical issues, outage, etc. and you're out of luck to say the least.
The principle is that you shouldn't rely on a single system ever. If you're eager to go that way be my guest. I was using a real life scenario of how that turned out bad for people.
I don't care about paper vs electronic. I care about relying on a single point of failure.
Now of course, the government won’t do this as they want physical currency to be inconvenient so they can track you and deny you access to your own money when they find it convenient. We’re in an era of growing authoritarianism. Hopefully we survive this one.
Japan mid 1990s to mid 2010s is a real-world example: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decades
In the worst cases, deflation causes demand to drop causing a recession, which further depresses demand. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deflation
The only reason that people invest in the stock market is to maintain wealth.
What would you do if you could count on your dollars buying 2% more next year? Would you shove all your dollars in a mattress and forgo buying food so you could save a few more?
Or would you keep buying everything you do now and worry a little less about investing to maintain value?
Less dollars in the stockmarket enriching others and more dollars in savings building personal wealth is what deflation brings. The only people this is a problem for are stockbrokers.
Highly suggest picking up some econ primers, as its almost universally agreed even mild deflation is destructive.
It would take a lot of evidence to convince me that deflation is worse in the long run for human flourishing than inflation. I don't care about the economy as conceived by bankers and economists. If ever more people are flourishing the economy is working.
If a few are getting exorbitantly wealthy, at the expense of everybody else, by being close to the flow of new money, the economy is not working.
We have been at inflation so long there is no painless way out.
My new wife said, "Wait, why not just use Stripe? I'll tell them."
I had to explain to her that one does not simply pull forward a society thirty years into the future. There is an incredible amount of cultural inertia to overcome.
So I carry a lot of cash out here.
Chip-and-PIN (EMV, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EMV) is the standard in Europe and Canada for relaying credit card info & authentication.
Many USA retailers were stuck using the credit card's magnetic stripe for entering card info. Evidently the USA still hasn't moved to Chip-and-PIN, with Chip and Signature being more common. Updating the point-of-sale terminals has been the chokepoint supposedly, https://lauraclery.com/chip-and-pin-united-states/.
I'd change if it became an aberration or weird to do but it's just not a problem in general. (And I wouldn't try to pay by check or cash at Walmart for example.)
I'm guessing she has a banking app like I do that lets her deposit the check in about a minute?
Between the bank writing/mailing checks for you to pay bills and an app you can use to deposit checks, checks just aren't the friction that they used to be. That's probably a big reason why there just isn't a big outcry in the US to get away from checks. For most of us, it's just way, way down the list of day to day pain points.
Every EU country (and the UK) has had fast free digital bank transfers for decades now. Here in the UK we pay all “casual” services like cleaners, dog walkers etc via a simple, quick bank transfer. It’s great, I don’t need to keep cash, and person providing the services has the money in their account, ready to spend, about 500ms after I tap the “send” button on my phone.
I can see how cheques are convenient for purchasers, but for suppliers they’re a bit of nightmare, as they need physically deliver the cheque to cash it. Then wait for it to clear, and also take on all the risk of it bouncing. All of that just goes away with proper digital money transfer technologies.
Everyone takes Zelle or Venmo.
Maybe I'm getting it wrong - cheques are something I've only seen in films, in my country no bank accepts them since 2020 anymore, they've been completely phased out.
And shopkeepers can still take a name off a card.
I can’t think of an area within 65 miles of downtown Austin where checks would be common. Which direction from Austin do you live? East maybe?
Denmark Is the most cashless society I have yet experiences (and I have been traveling a fair bit).
This comes with pros and cons. and I think the reason why it works is because of an incredibly high social trust.
and yes, even on small markets merchants charge with a handheld terminal.
It's definitely less private, but the convenience is unmatched. Honestly, I don't even know what the modern Swedish notes look like now!
Of course I asked for payment in cash, which the buyers duelly provided.
But it occurred to me as I observed the new $50 notes in my hand, which were of a new design that I'd never seen before that it had actually been so long since i'd handled physical currency that I wasn't really sure whether the notes in my hand were legitimate designs or not.
I've actually timed this.
It takes ~8 seconds to fish out the card, insert it, wait for approval, and replace it in the wallet. Roughly similar time frame for unlocking your phone and approving the NFC transaction.
It takes ~15 seconds to fish out a C-note, insert it into the self-checkout bill accepter, retrieve the change, and put the change into my wallet.
Delta of 7 seconds.
Let's say you're a typical tech worker, and your time is worth on the order of $120/hr. 7 seconds is 23 cents to you.
Let's further assume you just paid 23 cents to buy $80 worth of groceries as a non-convenience fee so the data brokers and/or the Feds don't know your precise shopping habits.
You just paid a 0.3% "transaction fee" for your privacy. The Visa network takes on the order of 2+% to DESTROY your privacy. You're getting a really raw deal here, by choosing this "convenience".
I assume it is not the case in Sweden or most of Europe. Here in Belgium, the fees are maximum 5 cent or 0,2% whichever is lowest (apparently, to be lowered to 0,1%).
It's a bit higher in France at 0,2% + up to 1% or so bank fees depending on the shop's bank, but that's still lower than anything I'm reading in this thread.
So at least here in Belgium it's cheaper for me to use a card, according to your calculation. Which doesn't take into account what I must do with the change, as I can't always just use a new note and sometimes I'll have to count and use that change. I also have to go out of my way to find an ATM.
For contactless payments, I can see payment taking less than 5 seconds total. In Canada, probably spend more time dealing with tip/receipt screens than the time required to perform the contactless payment.
[1] https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/payments--cash/payments-in-swe...
Yeah that shit should be illegal.
The highest denomination in my country is worth about US$40, but that is a large amount of money. Yesterday I payed for lunch for 4 with about half that.
So I wish the larger denominations would just go away.
With the rise of ML, and people salivating over the data inherent in currency flow, I suspect that trust may soon go the way of the dodo.
In the US, anything that makes money tends to get helped along. Regulators look the other way (until some knucklehead starts stealing from rich people), and even the lowest-level employees become "stans" of their bosses.
I am a believer in the promise of socialism, but, like communism, it's something that works on paper, but people screw it up.
Capitalism works. It does that, because it is completely in line with human behavior. Human behavior is pretty awful, when we don't have external restraints, so unrestrained capitalism is pretty awful.
Despite that cynical stance, I do have hope for the future. It will almost certainly make me uncomfortable, when it comes (as my own generation did, for my predecessors), but I think we'll prevail.
social trust is not a new thing in Scandinavia. it has been a part of the society for centuries.
Denmark is arguably also more capitalistic than the US. the median wealth is almost double that of the US. hence the Danish system, despite some of the world's highest taxes, easier allow people to build wealth.
I love Scandinavian socialism, but I have also watched as US-style capitalism has permeated even the most resistant societies.
The Internet, and the platform it provides for social contagion, are probably responsible for that.
Additionally, it is easy to have socialism, with a relatively heterogeneous population, but nations like the US and, increasingly, many other nations, make it a lot more difficult.
Denmark, and EU by extension, is far from perfect. But I do see less oligarchy-leaning tendencies in the EU vs. the US. and I don't see that this is currently changing, quite the opposite.
My immediate understanding of US capitalism would be an oligarchic type of capitalism where regulation favour those with wealth already.
Very self-centered, self-absorbed, make sure that everyone else knows you're rich. You are only considered "successful," if you can display certain wealth tells.
That tends to breed certain behaviors; regardless of the society.
The premise itself is screwy because it doesn't account for human nature.
For me Denmark is best example of modern slavery with brainwashed slaves. I was born in USSR and current Denmark looks very similar. The values of society are too far from what I respect.
I believe if this work in Denmark all other countries should avoid it with all costs.
I really don't like cash and am happy to see it basically dead in the country. I'm also very concerned about privacy, I'm that sort of HN person - never had a Facebook account, run self-hosted email for 20 years, use Signal for messaging as much as I can, etc. But I don't think cash is a good solution to privacy. I'd rather see laws and (better) cryptocurrencies as the privacy toolkit.
One common concern I see from US-centric articles is about your transaction history being sold for ad targeting, etc. That at least is illegal here. A store is not allowed to track your history of purchases or similar unless you opt in, such as via a store loyalty card. Banks are not allowed to disclose anything about your accounts except in some investigatory contexts, but definitely not for commercial purposes. So neither "the store will track my purchases because I pay by card" nor "the bank will sell my history to advertisers", which would be major issues for me, are actual concerns.
We wont see those. Instead we'll see more enchroachment of privacy - because cash was actually the solution: existing for millenia, trusted, no transaction fees, no monitoring of purchases, non remotely invalidated, not requiring fancy technology to use, works from buying a car to getting some help as a beggar on the streets.
>That at least is illegal here.
Would that ever stopped companies pulling that shit?
What would you do in case of a emergency or natural distaster? Basically a situation where any of the following is not available for any period of time: power, network, financial infrastructure, access to digital devices.
1. On personal level: Maybe your wallet and phone was stolen
2. Region: Power/Network is down
3. National level: the whole infrastructure is down or under attack
Have you been in such situation or thought about it?
These things can be handled easily: In case of an emergency you can just revert to writing credit notes to each other, which is is spirit the same as cash (contracts denoting that someone owes you something).
> On personal level: Maybe your wallet and phone was stolen
This is the same as forgetting to withdraw money and an unfortunate accident. It is also handled quite well already, as modern people have credit cards in their wallet, in their phone and on their watch. So there is already a 3-way backup that needs to break.
Personally, I'd not use the word 'backup' if you can lose all three in a single accident. Also, these are just different forms of access, none of these would work if the infrastructure is down. It seems you dodged my points.
I'm not advocating for cash, more like warning that an online-only system isn't resilient enough in the first place.
In the scenarios I provided, if cash doesn't exist (as per OP wishes), the only solution I see would be going back to trading goods/services. What valuable possession/skills does a person have.
A personal-level outage is a problem but less so than with cash. I have three separate items on me I can use to pay - my card holder with bank cards, my phone and my watch. That's more redundancy than with cash, which is one item (wallet).
Power or network outages aren't a big issue. I've experienced those and it's smooth. Most payment machines work fine without power (batteries) or without network because they then store the transactions locally and send them later. I've even had lunch when the lunch restaurant was having IT problems and couldn't accept any payments - they noted how many people came on paper and I came back the next day to pay, as I'm sure the vast majority of patrons did.
Bank or card issuer outages are handled by using another card or payment method. If some bank's cards aren't working (uncommon but it happens), mobile payments generally work still, and most people have more than one card.
Major national level outages are a concern. It would be impossible to buy e.g. a train ticket as those require immediate payment, so if somehow Internet was down nationwide, you couldn't get a train ticket online or at the ticket machines. This is one major goal that the e-krona (state-issued digital currency) project is meant to address as e-krona is intended to also work offline.
Over here, like most of Europe, we're pretty safe from natural disasters aside from storms causing local power outages. There are no earthquakes, tsunamis or similarly destructive events. So a hypothetical situation where payments are down nationwide for a significant period of time would almost certainly be part of an even larger disaster where a lot of infrastructure is non-functional due to military attack or something akin to a complete crash of all computers.
The largest Telco was hit by ransomware and this has affected most of their systems. They are unable to receive electronic and card payments, or sell digital packages, it seems their billing, CRM and Helpdesk systems are down.
So all prepaid users are able to use the inrernet and call for free.
All of which are electronic and depend on centralized services. Bank notes and coins work offline and without electricity.
Not too long ago, a restaurant I went to with a coworker had an Internet outage and no card or mobile payment would go through. I paid for the whole bill since I was the only one carrying cash, then we went to the nearest ATM to reimburse me.
I always carry cash. I don't use it often but it always works, even if everything else fails.
We're so dependent on IT systems that even cash doesn't always work. One of the most significant outages we've ever experienced was when Coop, a grocery store chain, had to close all its stores for a couple days because of an IT outage. It didn't help that the stores accept cash - the payments still couldn't be registered, receipts couldn't be printed, so the stores were completely unable to function.
We clearly need a robust fallback solution. Some kind of payment system that can work despite centralized outages (a bank's systems failing) or local outages at the merchant. But that shouldn't be cash. The practice of exchanging fragile, filthy pieces of paper whose ownership you cannot prove once outside your possession belongs to the past, we can do much better now.
Telling people they need to use a less convenient payment method only to keep it alive for an emergency also seems doomed to fail.
The correct solution is probably to force banks and critical stores to always accept cash + encourage people to keep some cash for an emergency. But changing the banknotes (and making the previous ones invalid) every 10 years doesn’t help with encouraging people to save cash at home. That’s another one of those US-isms that blow peoples minds: that dollar bills of any age are legal tender. That and the use of paper checks. I think it was the mid 80’s the last time I saw a check.
Who said that? Certainly not me
Personally, I'm not advocating for cash. I just think it's stupid to brag about eliminating cash while putting all your savings and trust in a fragile system and infrastructure . There's nothing revolutionary about that.
People should have options and backups.
I think people should not have to use cash, and I certainly won’t. But I do think society must have a resilient payment system - even if only as backup.
On that note we can agree. The goal is having a resilient system where you can access your funds when you need it most.
See my other comment for backstory:
That's not so impressive when the National Bank of Sweden for instance is legally obliged to exchange any banknotes it issued for current ones, regardless of their age. You can theoretically get current money in exchange for a 17th century obligation or certificate issued by the bank, though even early 20th century notes are worth more as collection items than their nominal value.
The laws we already have do not work. A large part of Swedish intelligence policy is to trade information with partners like the US, and I would consider it extremely unlikely that highly valuable data like bank transactions was not part of that. The US intelligence policy in turn is known to use such information occasionally for commercial purposes, when it has a national impact.
The Swedish courts are also not trained to deal with low-value evidence data. There is an assumption that if data exists, it must do so because there was a reason someone deemed it worth gathering. This assumption breaks apart when data is always collected as a default, which means courts would need to be retrained when this kind of data is presented as evidence (we are slowly getting there but still very far from where I would feel safe). It also makes investigatory contexts dangerous, especially if records are part of fishing operations where single bit errors in storing, retrieving, copying and relaying records can have extreme effects. This include swish which records are very common in court hearings. In some cases it seems that only a single swish record is enough for someone to get charged with a crime, with the accused having to provide evidence to prove that they are innocent.
That's fine for you but some of us need to buy illegal drugs.
If you think they won’t point and click seize your assets and freeze your accounts prior to trial for publishing the wrong thing, you’re crazy.
Cash is the backup, and must be preserved. Electronic payments can be centrally censored.
15 years ago IE6 received its final stable release, but it would still go on to be supported for another 8 years. That’s also the same year Chrome was released, but it would take another 4 years before it overtook IE in market share.
I used cash semi regularly when I moved to Denmark nearly 10 years ago. I haven’t touched Danish currency in the last 3-4 years.
With regards to CC fees, there have been none for (DanKort) cardholders since 2005. I haven’t had a non-DanKort rejected since 2016 or 2017, and the only times that I pay for card fees is when I use the CCs issued to my companies.
Yet somehow, you still can’t buy tickets on the bus with a CC, only cash or apps.
He spent 3 months in Germany last year, and used cash for just about everything.
There are still some holdouts though - it's only recently I've started to see taxis that routinely accept card payments, and without a ludicrous extra processing fee.
I've travelled a lot, and I'd say Norway, Sweden and Denmark are all way ahead of Scotland in terms of cashless.
Removing cash makes that hard.
There are plenty of countries where I would not dare to register certain spends on my card or where the risk of using cards would be considered high.
I can barely enjoy a full day without being required to bring my phone / debit card with me because the register does not accept cash.
(Not actually true since basically everyone accepts card in the UK, but it illustrates that your point makes no sense.)
So you tried to prove me wrong by giving a made up example?
1. You argue cashless is annoying because you have to remember your card/phone in addition to cash.
2. I countered that you could equally say that cash is bad because I have to remember cash in addition to my card/phone. Which makes them at worst equal. You just have to remember whichever one is accepted.
3. Except - as I stated and you highlighted - that is not really the case. Almost everywhere accepts card - more than accept cash, so not only is cashless equal to cash, it is better.
(From a "having to remember things" point of view anyway.)
I'll clear it up, cashless is annoying because instead of being able to walk outside with a couple of bills, I have to bring my whole phone or wallet with me because some vendors just don't accept cash. Sometimes I even prefer paying with cash because it helps the vendor avoid the fees they have to pay for each digital transaction.
It's got nothing to do with remembering.
That still doesn't make any sense. Firstly, 99% of people carry their phone with them pretty much everywhere so you're already a special snowflake.
Secondly, instead of "a couple of bills" you have to carry... a single card. Wow. So much hassle.
> Sometimes I even prefer paying with cash because it helps the vendor avoid the fees they have to pay for each digital transaction.
Yeah I have more sympathy with this but my feeling is vendors prefer cashless even with the fees - at least debit card fees (~0.5%), maybe not credit card fees - because cash isn't free. You have to spend time taking it to the bank, dealing with employee theft, etc. etc.
I feel like CBDCs could really help here.
In case I’d get robbed, I would only loose a couple of bucks vs losing my debit card (which does not require PIN until a limit). I live in a bas neighborhood, so walking outside when it’s dark side is not fun. So having no valuables on me feels good.
> Yeah I have more sympathy with this but my feeling is vendors prefer cashless even with the fees - at least debit card fees (~0.5%), maybe not credit card fees - because cash isn't free.
I have the totally opposite experience, most small shop owners I’ve spoken to have often asked me if I had cash instead of card, some would even give better deals and include free fries If I had cash in me, it’s on that level and one if the reasons why I often prefer cash now. I actually had a discussion regarding this with my local barbershop and he told me how much he hates people who pay with cars because of those fees he has to pay.
I had no idea about CBDC, had to look it up. It’s an interesting concept.
You don't need it all the time, just for emergencies.
I do this especially when it’s dark outside and I have to go out to shop, this way, I don’t lose anything significant if I get robbed.
Another good reason is that some shops have to pay a fee for being able to accept digital transactions, for some shops, the fee is quite a lot. So paying with cash is preferred and helps them a bit.
Lastly, while it sounds shady, being able to pay in cash keeps me from being traced by the government. I don’t really have anything to hide but having the option to be anonymous If I want feels good.
If I have to buy larger amount of groceries, then I wait until daylight. No way I’m carrying more money when it’s dark outside.
Buy somewhere else (if humanly possible), and tell this to the vendor who doesn't want to accept cash.
While it's not clear that these behaviours are legal, it does not appear that there is any enforcement.
I'm not aware of a law that requires them to clearly sign post which payment methods they accept. I think there are various laws in other places in Europe though. I'm definitely all for that
They're taking on the risk of spoilage by not putting in any effort to make you aware before ordering - and hoping you'll just pay by card due to the sunk time cost. Shady but not illegal AFAIK.
[0] https://www.which.co.uk/news/article/what-are-the-rules-on-p...
Get Alipay. Link your credit card. Put in a pin, but no not that pin because it has two consecutive numbers. Pick a different pin. Forget it by the time you need to pay and reset your pin. Go to the grocery store and have to download a new app to pay, they can’t take Alipay even though it’s the same parent company. Oh the machine didn’t work, so pull your phone out again to scan. And the endless additional services you need to sign up for to avoid price discrimination upwards of 200%.
It’s a nightmare. Japan has it right, keeping with a cash based society.
But how do you get a regular re-supply of your cash to pay the places that take cash?
For me, I would have to make a regular trips to the bank ATM machine to withdraw cash. That type of errand is inconvenient which is why I haven't done that in 15 years. It's been so long that I don't even know what my secret PIN code is to withdraw cash. I pay for everything by credit-card.
I can see where bringing a debit card can be inconvenient but the alternative of ATM withdrawals is inconvenient too (and also vulnerable to physical loss/theft).
I mean, sorry for the sass, but when did it become acceptable to base an argument on slight inconveniences? Being alive is slightly inconvenient most of the time.
It's not about avoiding any and all inconveniences.
My comment was based on gp's framing of the situation as "being required to do <X>". He wrote that a cashless businesses was not ideal because it means "being required to bring my phone / debit card with me".
Ok, I can accept that inconvenience exists but then the alternative to "hassle of debit card" is just substituted with "hassle of being required to regularly re-supply the inventory of cash on hand".
Substituting <X> with "debit card cashless" with "visit ATMs and carry wad of cash" didn't seem like a slam dunk tradeoff. Another issue I remember with cash is getting a stack of $20 bills from the ATM and then trying to spend it but the business' cash drawer doesn't have the appropriate inventory of small denomination bills to give back the correct change. (Even if the ATM can also spit out smaller $10s or $5s, they can often run out which then leaves only the larger $20 bills left for dispensing.) The credit-card transactions eliminate that issue because you just pay the exact amount.
Sure, if transactions privacy is the #1 concern, then one will happily withdraw cash and deal with its inconveniences. But privacy wasn't in the gp's comment so I just interpreted it at face value.
I withdraw a sum of cash at the beginning of each month at the bank.
I carry maybe ~150 euros whenever I’m out doing stuff.
What’s interesting is I spend less this way - and preserve my privacy.
The major stores would be a problem, but on an individual basis I would bet many people would switch to silver or gold if cash were truly eliminated.
Same for convenience
What liberty? The ability to make transactions without a centralized and/or permissioned finance system
Depending on the time of the day and location I just ran errands with only the smallest amount of cash needed and an old phone. And sometimes I kept an emergency $1 bill to pay the bus in my socks . If I was robbed, the most they could get from me was the small cash I had on hand.
As money became electronic, organized crime changed tactics, and instead of only taking money from victims, they'd take the victims to ATMs to withdraw all their funds. Banks then reacted by limiting withdrawals at about $300 in ATMs depending on the risk of the area.
Now I am against a cashless society for other reasons, mainly ideological, but claiming it's less convenient feels odd.
I can’t count how many times I’ve heard elderly people complain about vendors not accepting cash anymore.
“…thousands were queuing in Nairobi to have their eyeballs scanned as part of the “Worldcoin” project, founded by OpenAI chief Sam Altman. In exchange for handing over their biometric data, some 350,000 Kenyans each received 25 free crypto tokens, worth approximately $50. Those tokens were transferred directly via Kenya’s main mobile payments app, M-Pesa.”
Actually that doesn’t sound so forward thinking when you consider that the UN has been doing since 2016:
“In 2016, the UN World Food Programme trialled a system that issued relief payments through the use of biometrics. Refugees were able to buy items from the supermarket using their biometric data as a credential: all they needed to do was scan their iris to pay for an item. The idea was to improve convenience and prevent fraud. Since that trial, the World Food Programme’s Building Blocks initiative has become the world’s largest humanitarian use of blockchain technology.”
"State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data indicates that the Cash in Circulation (CinC) has increased to Rs9. 2 trillion ($32 billion) at the end of June 2023, which is equivalent to 30 per cent of the total money supply (M2), or around 11pc of the national GDP." [0]
I really really really dislike that my money can be whisked away at the whim of a cray government or a glitch in the system
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Indian_banknote_demonetis...
Or just issuing new money at a rate that exceeds demand for the money (meaning the relative desirability of the money, which relates to the trustworthiness of the community using the money and the economic productivity of the community using the money).
Like when the population pyramid starts turning upside down and the benefits promised to older people need to come into fruition from a smaller and smaller labor supply.
Edit to respond to 4bpp:
> With cash, they can only do it to everybody at once or not at all.
I think government can use the new money to inflate the price of certain things quicker than others, effectively advantaging certain portions of the population, which is what I allude to in my 3rd paragraph.
For example, inflating asset prices lets those who own more assets (or certain assets) lose purchasing power more slowly than those who do not (see most labor sellers).
This is a somewhat related example of how a policy change for all can be designed to affect certain populations differently:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-hutchins-center-expla...
Use lower CPI to update tax brackets, and higher CPI to calculate Social Security benefits, i.e. increasing wealth redistribution from young to old without explicitly saying it.
Just respond to the actual comment next time.
There's a lot wrong with the cryptocurrency world and with Bitcoin specifically. So much wrong, that I'm afraid we closed the one way out of government and corporate-controlled "digital money" and all the risks that comes with. But maybe it never was a good "way out" in the first place: maybe there never was a way out at all.
I keep hoping the grifters and scammers and marketeers move on to the next hypetrain (metaverse, ai) allowing the bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies to be salvaged and become the way out again. But that hope is diminishing.
But I also know quite a lot of people who lost a lot of money in the 2018 banking crisis. So I highly doubt your really don't personally know a single person who lost money this way.
Not everyone lives in the US. The US is not the world, but the 2018 crisis was worldwide.
Here's two (edit: three) of several use-cases in which friends and people I know, in a western European country, lost money.
A couple who signed the contracts of a house suddenly couldn't access their savings on (DSB, some local bank), a bank that went bankrupt. Eventhough they eventually got their money, after nearly a year, they lost the contract, had to pay big fines (some of which they got back after long legal battles).
A friend with a lot of money, way over €100k, in a savings many from the sale of a company meant for his early pension, lost everything above that guaranteed €100k when his bank (IceSave) failed. He still has a royal pension (I'd call him rich). But he no longer had access to his dream of a yacht and villa in the meditereanean. While you may think "I don't care of some rich guy lost money", and while I can understand that thought, he did lose money. He lost more than I'll probably end up with in my pension.
A couple in my parent's street had to sell their house because of their bad mortgage. It probably was bad to begin with, but suddenly that mattered. They had to sell that house for far less than they would've gotten without the enforcement - I know the guy who scooped it up in the auction and know how much higher he sold it a year later without any significant improvements made. What's more, the couple then had to move (costly) and rent (under pressure, so not much room to say "no" to too expensive or bad places) for way too much.
My dad lost nearly his entire "investment mortgage", which was for his pension too. He is doing fine and it was a mortgage on only a small part of the house, but the portfolio went almost worthless within months.
And so on. There are quite some stories of people who lost a lot.
Sure, that's different from "I lost my bank-card, now my whole account is gone", or "I forgot my PIN and cannot ever access my pension ever again".
But to say that no-one ever lost any money in the "traditional banking system" due to neglect or poor management is simply not true. It's simply on a different scale - but the outcome is on a very personal scale nontheless.
That’s like saying I know people who lost money due to Bitcoin volatility due to massive crashes. Losing money in the 2018 banking crisis was a result of your property value falling and thus your mortgage was underwater, not because money in the bank itself disappeared in some way.
You basically brought up something totally unrelated to the common failure modes of Bitcoin being discussed about a totally unrelated industry (2018 banking crisis was not about personal banking issues but about a massive credit crunch in bank investment arms due to speculative losses that rippled out into other markets)
It did in many European banks.
The whole thing is just postulating about a hypothetical then getting mad when it's completely wrong.
The "You cant stop our unstoppable money" to "it's disgusting that you have the power to stop our unstoppable money" pipeline
Also, bitcoin never claimed to enable privacy (contrary to monero and zcash). All it ever claimed was to be pseudonymous. It has been crystal clear to anyone in the field that "if people can link your addresses to your person, they know all your transactions". In fact, this has often been presented as a feature (though I personally don't really think it is a good one) in which e.g. all payments to and by a politician or NGO can be transparantly tracked by the public.
> Some linking is still unavoidable with multi-input transactions, which necessarily reveal that their inputs were owned by the same owner. The risk is that if the owner of a key is revealed, linking could reveal other transactions that belonged to the same owner.
But the community at large, is still crap. Rugpulls, pyramid schemes, bad management, misleading marketing and so on, are more common than not. It's easier to get scammed or grifted than to find a good, solid provider of a service. That's even more true for the cryptocurrency world at large, but even for the "niche" of bitcoin(maximalists) this goes.
I know many people will reflexively disagree with the notion that the bitcoin world isn't entirely made up of bros and scammers.
It's tractable but challenging, every single transfer of a digital-cash note would necessitate an entry into a public Merkle-tree. You could mitigate this by introducing a multitude of denominations (a separate Merkle-tree for each one) trading some anonymity-set size for the mitigation. Another possibility is to introduce special cash pools that have expiry dates, incentivise their use with lower transaction costs. The transaction costs would have to also be ZKP vouchers but much more flexibility on those, such as rapid expiry.
If a government was crazy enough to do this, they would give up all control over how the money is spent. The only control they would have is whether or not to shut the whole thing down. Discrimination would not be feasible, reversing transactions impossible. They could still print money of course.
Uncensorable, anonymous digital payments is the very last thing the state wants for its citizens. That allows private people to raise (and pay for) an army.
Preventing rival armies within their territory is the primary and most important function of a state.
GNU Taler satisfies one half of these constraints (cashlikeness + taxability). The Swedish e-krona pilot also has a token based component to allow offline payments.
When you have enormous amounts of debts denominated in a currency, so many time the price of those things that would be lost, its value is almost entirely determined on what interest rate the central bank sets. If you hoard it to get people to default so as to obtain the value of the collateral, the central bank will printing to stop you.
Meanwhile, there's no point in trying to do that kind of thing with bitcoin. The value of the collateral is probably less than the value of the physical cash. What you do then is to invent your own bitcoin and hope that somebody will accept units of it.
For this reason I believe that the fair value of Bitcoin is zero, but I can't know when it ends up at zero, so I'm not shorting it, just as I am not shorting the US real estate market, even though it's clear that from a discounted-cash-flow PoV it must be incredibly overvalued, provided that it wasn't incredibly undervalued back when interest rates were at 1%.
cashu is still online and its anonymity claims should be taken as suspect given that no cryptocurrency has managed to achieve it in practice.
So to summarize: Bitcoin only really works online, offline equivalents are more fragile and can’t be used for the same use cases as cash, and anonymity continues to lag physical cash.
>offline equivalents are more fragile and can’t be used for the same use cases as cash, and anonymity continues to lag physical cash
OK, no argument there.
The same issues with opendime apply to satscard - cash can be transferred thousands or tens of thousands of times and doesn’t carry any extra cost and can be trivially broken up into smaller transactions. This thing requires gas fees to transfer onto and off the card + the cost of the card itself + limited number of transfers if you want to change the amount.
These devices are clearly meant more for long term cold storage using physical security to avoid losing the key and not as a way to replace cash transactions. Totally different applications even though cash also can be intrinsically used as long term cold storage (just more complicated physically)
But I prefer an electronic solution and do not want physical cash. This is of course a slightly risky view, but I believe that it can save us huge amounts of money and strengthen our economy.
No thanks.
States and banks benefit by printing this tool for you, because in return they control the movement of money when it comes back to them, and its value.
But with digital currency, they've hit the jackpot, realizing that they can have their cake and eat it too: they can control the movement of money, its value and even tax it on a per-transaction basis. And without any advantage other than saving space in your pocket.
I should keep cash as a backup just like I keep some canned food, but I wonder how society would work in that scenario when many stores don’t have cash registers, many bank offices don’t allow cash deposits and so on. The US would be far more resilient in that situation.
They were still accepting cash and physical card insertion (Chip & PIN, or Chip & Signature).
Despite that lots of people were getting flustered at the checkouts (manned and self service) when they were unable to pay. Always carry some cash!
For the first time I realized that I'm a slave to my bank. They can just freeze my money just like that.
In a fully cashless system you'd be a complete slave to the system.
(Some details at: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/dbs-digibank-payl... )
The news outlets in Singapore then commented: please, as these things can always happen, do not forget to bring some cash with you...
Canada's payment network had an outage for over an hour last year, 2023 Sep 23. see https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/moneris-network-outage-1.6976...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right_to_privacy
> Over 150 national constitutions mention the right to privacy.
Not the US, but:
> In the US, privacy and associated rights have been determined via court cases and the protections have been established through laws.
Privacy is not a privilege, it is a right.
Same for the "right" to privacy. It is something that would be strongly defended because its absence would not be accepted.
I guess you'd be in hot water for the prior act of stealing though
And then there's the rent seeking inherent in any commercially provider payment service combined with enshittification. No single company payment system will remain "good" for long. Not that credit cards are good to start given the puritanism and censorship they impose. And that's not even mentioning the US state dept. control of those networks preventing donations to political groups like wikileaks.
Cash matters. Having some corporation promise to pay for your stuff 3 days in the future means giving up control. You might not care now, but you might care in the future when $localpolitics get dicey. Imagine not being able to pay for an abortion with $companypay because it's illegal in $company's legal place of operation.
Plus cash is just so much more convient and faster.
There are many reasons I'm not anti-cash, but I am really struggling to think of a single example of this specific statement being true. Just acquiring cash at all means I have to take time out of my day, repeatedly, to make withdrawals. Then I have to carry it securely (as well as the cards I need to get hold of more), which is annoying at the best of times and pretty much impossible when I'm out running, say. Handing cash to a merchant means they need to figure out change, and eventually I end up carrying a bunch of coins and they are even slower to spend than notes. Boarding buses was so much slower when each person paid in cash. Paying for a beer or meal needed the staff to take the money back to the till and return with change. When going abroad I need to use notes and coins I'm unfamiliar with. Honestly, when is cash faster?
Try to give a random person $100. Can they accept credit cards? Unlikely. Do they have the random cash app installed you use? Maybe. Do they have a bank account? Depends on where you live, and it could take days, and you have to bring long numbers with you and input them into your banking app.
Or simply turn off the internet.
If you choose common app like Venmo or PayPal, they likely have that installed. It is annoying to do the dance about which app to use. But the transfer is done before can get more cash. With contractor I was glad they took Venmo instead of having to write check.
That's all completely separate from the fact that cashless payments shift immensely shifts the power balance and takes away all of your payment privacy - irreversibly.
I still love using cash in restaurants because the credit card dance adds 10 minutes waiting at an empty table. The server always drops off the check and runs, as if I'll need to think about the 43 dollar bill, getting them back is a whole thing, then waiting for them to return with my card and 3 receipts I don't want is another.
Since I'm in the states, i'm already tipping. I put down a few bills and go about my way. Same for things like pizza delivery, why pay part on credit then tip at the door(because basically no company gives the e-tips to the driver, you're just donating money to the company at that point).
Also, the switch to chip chard should mean faster credit card payments. The server brings the terminal, you enter the tip, and then tap or dip your card. That is how it works in Europe and Canada. I hope we can avoid the printing and signing to receipt that happened when I visited London.
Cash in restaurants pisses me off because it limits my consumption to what I can afford with the cash I’m carrying. What if I fancy the most expensive main, or a really nice whisky at the end of the meal?
You mentioned "puritanism and censorship" as your main issue with cards (and I assume with other digital payment systems), but to the best of my knowledge that's only an issue with online payments, for which cash isn't really possible at all. Unless you feel that sending bills in an envelope to some postal address you see on a website to be fast and convenient.
The experience of using cash is very simple, fast, and reliable. In the future digital payment systems may become those things but unless you're in an urban area they currently are not. Your experience of using digital payment systems in person in, say, a coastal megalopolis differs significantly from using it to buy a shovel at a hardware store in a small town. At best (with credit or debit cards) it's almost as convient as cash, most of the time.
If I want to exchange value with another human person cash makes it easy and simple. It is far from easy with digital systems involving arbitrary third party corporate persons.
As for online stuff I mostly use bitcoin.
His total assets were quickly converted to New Yen, a fat sheaf of the old paper currency that circulated endlessly through the closed circuit of the world's black markets like the seashells of the Trobriand islanders. It was difficult to transact legitimate business with cash in the Sprawl; in Japan, it was already illegal.
I am fairly convinced that using cash will slowly be labeled as a "criminal" activity and gradually shamed into non-use by regular people.
Of course. The only people who need cash are criminals and terrorists. Now move along citizen.
"We aren't the kind of people that use cash," and so forth.
There have been political groups spreading and promoting exactly that concept.
"Thieves and junkies", they say. Forgetting completely "people with dignity" - also because that image is fading from aggregate memory.
But paying a carpenter, cleaner or similar, who will give a lower rate (and not pay income tax and VAT), that is very much the norm (though socially frowned upon). Also drugs I guess.
Government prerogative is to create currency ex-nihilo; there's no need waste a bunch of energy in that process.
However, that doesn't mean it happens routinely. Most banks probably just send the cash between one another, decided via a clearing house with no central bank middle man. I am only describing the cash handling process here by the way. 99% of the business still operates based on electronic reserves.