Is the market really that dumb? I'm increasingly thinking about becoming an active investor.
Look at this other comment https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39222007 in this thread. A lot of it is just idle speculation based on the commenter's personal values. These are the analyses that drive retail investors to invest. I don't mean to pick on this commenter specifically; I just felt it to be very illustrative of the kind of analysis that the average tech person does to justify or not justify an investment.
But where we go wrong is thinking that our tech smarts translate to other fields like finance.
Personally I know it's one of my weak spots so I stay far far from investments.