83% of Warren Buffett's $365B Portfolio Is Invested in Just 7 Stocks
fool.com
fool.com
Not much I can say. Sounds like Warren did his homework, made a big investment, it took off and never stopped taking off. Not sure if he is to thank. Like does Tim Cook call Warren and ask for advice? Do they interact a lot with board decisions? Does Apple take outside input? Is Warren 100% hands off silent investor?
2. Bank of America: $33,278,491,633 (9.1% of invested assets)
Interesting why Bank of America and not JP Morgan.
3. American Express: $27,770,51,919 (7.6% of invested assets)
What would America look like if credit card processing fees were closer to 0.1% instead of 1-2%?
4. Coca-Cola: $23,932,000,000 (6.6% of invested assets)
I know they have a lot of brands but I'm surprised they have a $23b bet on basically a company whose brand name is associated with unhealthy drinks that are bad for you.
5. Chevron: $15,681,716,627 (4.3% of invested assets)
I know energy companies truly do mean "energy" and not "oil/fossil fuels". I wonder how this investment will do next 50-100 years. Energy companies obviously have resources and infrastructure to pivot from fossil fuels into whatever the next best thing is. I doubt they'll get left behind?
6. Occidental Petroleum: $13,750,445,662 (3.8% of invested assets)
Is this one company where Buffett + team did something the average investor can't: negotiate with company under duress using his globs of resources (money) then gain from it?
7. Kraft Heinz: $12,074,539,051 (3.3% of invested assets)
Top brands:
Oscar Mayer
Ore-Ida
Mac & Cheese
Velveeta
Jello
Kool-Aid
Lunchables
Maxwell House
Caprisun
Grey Poupon
I'm surprised they have this much in 'assets' tied to 'not sexy + boring' things like "not the best foods/drinks for you"
From the 2022 letter, heading "Secret Sauce":
> In August 1994 – yes, 1994 – Berkshire completed its seven-year purchase of the 400 million shares of Coca-Cola we now own. The total cost was $1.3 billion – then a very meaningful sum at Berkshire.
> The cash dividend we received from Coke in 1994 was $75 million. By 2022, the dividend had increased to $704 million. Growth occurred every year, just as certain as birthdays. All Charlie and I were required to do was cash Coke’s quarterly dividend checks. We expect that those checks are highly likely to grow.
> American Express is much the same story. Berkshire’s purchases of Amex were essentially completed in 1995 and, coincidentally, also cost $1.3 billion. Annual dividends received from this investment have grown from $41 million to $302 million. Those checks, too, seem highly likely to increase.
These are positions that have matured and paid for themselves years ago.
Buffett drinks five cokes a day and has said 25% of his body is coke. I haven't read his biography yet but I've heard that his family has never seen him drink water.
Boring has low capital expenditures. You don't need to keep pouring money in to maintain the product. They're also sticky, stable goods that people will keep buying no matter what. They're also able to grow stably year over year.
~20% of their revenue converts to net income. That's the amount after cost of goods sold and fixed costs.
>I'm surprised they have this much in 'assets' tied to 'not sexy + boring' things like "not the best foods/drinks for you"
I can't tell if this is moral surprise or purely financial surprise. It certainly doesn't seem surprising financially, right? It seems very normal, surely. I can't speak on the nuances of how good an idea it is, but it certainly seems like a "normal" thing to bet big on. But even morally it's only even a little surprising if you have some reason to believe that Buffett is an unusually moral person (like, very very unusually).
> He says, “Under those rules, you’d really think carefully about what you did and you’d be forced to load up on what you’d really thought about. So you’d do so much better.”
-- Charlie Munger on Warren Buffett, https://jamesclear.com/buffett-slots
(It's Apple)
"Apple has repurchased in the neighborhood of $600 billion worth of its common stock since the start of 2013. These buybacks are increasing Berkshire's stake in Apple without Buffett or his team having to lift a finger."Sure, this is extremely time consuming, and this mean, such investment business could only have very few wards, but this is extremely effective.
You may wonder, why such simple rules are not widely used, but in reality many humans are not serious investors, they just like to play games with real money.
Arent "hackers" interested in this?
There's not a big incentive for thoughtful investors to jump in to conversations centered around "investing = gambling", "why bother because efficient market hypothesis", etc.
It's a fun question to speculate about why that is. My guess is that most of the hacker type people who've grown wealthy (and therefore had disposable income to invest with) in the last 20 years were generally conservative people (i.e. people working at BigTech for 6+ years).
It's perhaps ironic that the source of their outsized wealth was effectively a concentrated bet against the efficient market hypothesis and passive investing strategies.
For me, it's humility.
If from now on, I quit everything else I do and just focus on studying a competitive game, like chess. I'll treat it like a full-time job, spending 8 hours on it a day, for 3 years. That's about 8k hours.
What'll this land me on? Unless I'm covertly the best chess genius ever, the chances are: pretty good, but not great. I'll slay a local chess club, while having 0 winrate against pros.
That's why I'm hesitiate to invest actively.
It's much easier to "double" your money in one of those local games, because the competition is weaker, their attention is divided, and their holding periods are brief.
Until you're playing with 10s or 100s of millions USD or have super short holding periods, there's no need to play against 1800 elo players – the pie of "the market" is absolutely massive. The 1800+ players exclusively play in big markets, on the payroll of people with billions and tens of billions of capital to deploy – but if you're not throwing billions around, why bother playing that game?
You might need 10k hours to bet competently on highly-competitive, complicated financial instruments. But I reckon you'd only need ~100-1000 hours of education to do a surprising amount of damage in simpler markets. YMMV.
If you really want to “get rich quick” you can probably come up to speed on effective real estate investment (aka landlording and leveraging real estate equity to build a portfolio) in a much shorter horizon.
Easy to develop a lack of interest - and/or "lack of scrap".
Much harder than having a healthy discussion over C++ vs Rust (which is already borderline impossible).
A lot of the people here make it seem like they are the type of engineers who make $300k-$3m/yr total comp with stocks and probably don't have to worry about money a lot. They are either super high level engineers, managers, founders who have done well. They probably "fire and forget" into some boring index funds and call it a day. I don't think the "wise" hacker is really attracted to known risk/gambling. A lot of hackers just want to ticker and probably get turned off talking about money. It's probably frowned upon, as if you brought it at a dinner table basically?
I drank the diversification cool-aid for two decades and saw my portfolio generally hum 8-9%. then few years ago I moved all of my money into 4 stocks and my returns have been same as before with few extra zeros in front of 8-9