The absurdity of the return-to-office movement
cnn.com
cnn.com
Why do so many organizations seem to have such a poor grasp on estate management that you keep hearing the same story again and again? Maybe the question should be: why is it apparently so common for leadership to make wide ranging policy without arming themselves with the most basic data, which should be easily available? It's not even a bigcorp thing. I've seen it personally somewhere that has nothing in common with GM.
LIRP/ZIRP prevented the market from weeding out businesses and practices that should have failed. Any time the business world seems incongruous with basic assumptions, LIRP/ZIRP is the culprit.
Remember, maximum employment and 'stable prices' are our monetary goals. Not production or efficiency.
They're even trying to force time travelers back into the office? Grim
> Now [they say] it's the second week [of] February [that we have to return].
Plus, taking things literally when that's obviously not the intention is the majority of software developer humor
Oh, and also ironically, we just hired a bunch of Silicon Valley people who get to be 100% remote, along with some execs in HR, DEI and the like that are weirdly all in Denver. These announcements came roughly in the same time frame as the new RTO mandate, which is especially insulting because a number of people hired in 2021 and 2022 were hired as fully remote, but if they live within 50 miles of a major office center (not counting assembly plants) they were all redesignated as hybrid or in office, without their consent. This means that some of my coworkers now have 40 mile commutes and needed to figure out much more complicated child care, since they get to spend hours on the road that could have been used to pick kids up at reasonable times. Gotta love the double standard.
This is the worst of all worlds.
These factors together seem to be conspiring to cause companies to try to solve a non-problem related to the physical location of the work activities. This will gradually sort itself out as companies come up with better ways to measure performance, but the transition period has been a bit rocky so far.
At first it was denial - "everyone will be back in the office eventually!"
Then it was anger - "you will RTO or you will lose your job!"
Now it seems like we've finally hit bargaining - "you'll come in 3 days per week, wait, 2 days, wait, special exception for the last week of every month".
I wonder how long it goes on until we get to depression and acceptance?
This seems to me to have been forgotten as technology evolved over the last 2-3 decades. There was a time when you HAD to be in the office, because that was where your desk phone was, your desktop PC (including local software) was, the physical access point for your corporate network/applications was, etc. With laptops, smartphones, the internet, VPNs, SaaS applications, that hasn't been the case for a long time, Covid was just the CATALYST that forced people and companies to actually utilize the capabilities they already had.
I think the answer was that most office workers would have struggled to work. Yes, we could have mapped home phones to office numbers, bought people cell phones and paid for their plans, subsidized a second phone line, etc. But it would have been hard and difficult; most people would have been nowhere near prepared. I suspect at the end of the day, we'd mostly have made do for a month or three, said screw it, and reopened offices even if we knew more people would probably get sick. Oh, and forget things like grocery delivery or streaming TV (Netflix DVD barely existed) for the most part.
In the case of Sweden, people will counter-argue that Swedes aren't overly social anyway and people did take precautions so the end result was sort of the same for all the hubbub. Is that true? Don't know.
Estimated deaths Spanish flu - 25 to 50 million
Estimated deaths covid - 18 to 33 million
Not a huge difference, considering covid is known to be less lethal.
I worked at a large asset management company during Hurricane Sandy's arrival in NYC. Ocean water was dumped into lower manhattan and many buildings' elevators shorted out from the salt-water. Also, so many buildings had the same issue at the same time that we had a 3-mo queue for replacement parts. We didnt go to the office for 4 months.
No work was done. At the time, most of the staff didnt have VPN. Virtual jump boxes were tried but the latency was too low. Ultimately almost all staff except accounting/etc were "off"
So it would have been clunky but the enterprise software company I work for could have presumably made things work but with more friction. Certainly I was mostly working from the road or at home by then. I wouldn't have been out of commission for 4 months assuming working physical IT infrastructure.
But to my basic point, most office workers wouldn't have been able to effectively work remotely most of the time until somewhere between the late 90s and the mid 2000s or so no matter how questionable going to an office would have been as a matter of health policy.
Some people I knew that had to use tools that were not available at home did so "off-hours" so that there was a smaller cohort of people in a confined space at the same time.
WFH is great for those who commute to an office, it’s quieter than working on a Sunday.
This is not nearly, to my mind, as interesting as the question "Was COVID the direct beneficiary of 21st-century technology?"
That is, would COVID have had the chance to spread intercontinentally without the benefit of affordable air travel which itself is the byproduct of workers enabled by cell phones, computers, and global economic trade?
Furthermore, had mRNA vaccines been available 25 years ago, many more millions of people exposed to the first virulent strains of COVID would have died.
The idea that workers would have been forced to RTO because WFH would not even be an option does not even rise to the level of fantasy, much less meaningful speculation.
And mRNA vaccines were presumably not going to be available 25 years ago.
So I don't see the evidence that, had COVID emerged from China in about 1996 (which it may not have done but see other related diseases), it would have had so much less impact. (And if that were really the case, we'd just have ignored it in the West and you'd still be working in an office.)
I had a fast-growing career trajectory and it was definitely due to the magic of working in close quarters with my co-workers and especially bosses and mentors.
That was 20+yrs ago. I do wonder how that would work now -- I go into the office and i'm on Zoom calls for 6hrs of the 8 or 9hrs. The Zoom calls are with overseas team members.
Even the folks in the office on the same call are on Zoom, each of us in separate rooms to prevent microphone reverb. It feels nothing like the magic of 20yrs ago when we were all elbow-to-elbow in war rooms.
I think RTO makes sense, but we need a lot of breakout conference rooms. We also need to be opinionated about scheduling meetings so there is actual facetime IRL rather than just facetime via Zoom while in office.
With RTO I’ve found that people are communicating a lot less over chats/docs, but not communicating well in person either because half of the people are remote or in other offices. Personally I believe we need to all be remote or all on-site for things to work properly.
Hence why the communication sucks.
> Even the folks in the office on the same call are on Zoom, each of us in separate rooms to prevent microphone reverb. It feels nothing like the magic of 20yrs ago when we were all elbow-to-elbow in war rooms.
That sounds like my life at GE. I worked there 2002 - 2010.
Yeah, I also like to reminisce of my youth, playing video in LAN centers and having endless energy to go do pointless things like commute in traffic, and have nearly 0 responsibilities outside of taking care of myself (which is easy when you have a young and fit body).
This is completely orthogonal to the pros and cons of RTO though.
I speak as someone who likes to work in the presence of others, so I mostly do, but I appreciate the option to work remotely and make use of it regularly. The notion of "the office" isn't going extinct, it's just evolving, and in this case I think it's evolving in a good direction.
I happen to be on a very distributed team and the person I'm mentoring lives in a different city anyway, so it's impractical for me. But I'd actually go into an office now and then if it were convenient and I'd know people there.
Honestly, it's a first world problem to solve. It's great that we have the flexibility, just need to figure out how to avoid long-term negative repercussions that have not fully been felt yet.
I have a great home situation, though (it's better than my office physically), and most of my coworkers are older than I am, so they're less keen on interpersonal connection and rarely ever go to the office.
So when I go into the office, even though I’m pretty extroverted for an engineer and would love to collaborate on stuff, it’s just as lonely as WFH.
I sorta feel like you do lose those few actual benefits of being in the office together collaborating though, if you don't all come in on the same days. E.g., Mike comes in on Tuesday, Sarah comes in on Wednesday, Marks come in on Thursday--when this happen no one actually gets that benefit of in-person collaboration and mentorship.
So I think some structure is necessary to get real value out of hybrid RTO. Otherwise it feels like this ham-fisted management RTO crackdown is really just about control and justifying expensive downtown leases and not actually about trying to get people working together.
It's a lot less PR friendly for them to be honest and say to their employees "You need to spend 2 hours a day in a car in traffic, whilst not being compensated for that time, so the office building I own doesn't lose value" though.
Personally, I think the benefits of in-person apply equally to both.
While they do not care if the companies ability to function is degraded. Notice how the people who are impacted by this are the ones calling to return to in office.
Also, workers are paid during that time, whereas children, particularly of younger age, can't really be expected to maintain concentration for 7+ hours in a physically isolated environment with no other children, or a teacher watching.
Fully appreciate it’s more nuanced than this of course and there is some negative impact on some people having to WFH.
Adults either do not have to learn that anymore, or are hopeless anyways and won't learn it ever.
In theory kids can do the same too, but in practice, you'd need some set of adults to get all those kids into the same place somehow, another set of adults to supervise them so they are safe etc... at which point it becomes more efficient to combine this with schooling.
Also with working adults, there is an explicit expectation of delivery. Both the employer and the employee knows of the consequences for performance or non-performance, and part of being an adult is that you are aware of those consequences and choose to behave accordingly. With kids, such expectations aren't realistic.
One one hand, there's no travelling to school when it's dangerously icy with snow drifting across the roads. OTOH, kids get pissed because they remember when they'd have a snow day.
Let me pick a simple one: do people regularly drive half an hour or more to send their kids to school?
"to say nothing about the reduced pollution and energy consumption that comes from fewer commuters"
In my case the office is a 50 min drive away and my car is a 6 cylinder petrol engine. I've been WFH since 2020 so 4 years worth of car fumes prevented.
Savings on fuel, tolls and commute time. 100 minutes driving per day x 250 work days x 4 years = 1,666 driving hours prevented. I like driving but driving to work is the worst kind of driving.
What happens when office workers no longer have to be in the office? What happens to the physical buildings, the people who maintain them, the local businesses who serve the office workers (e.g. lunch), etc? There are many knock-on effects.
WFH, on a large scale, is forcing us to rethink the concept of cities, suburbs, infrastructure, housing, transit, telecom, etc.
The fact that WFH has been shown to be viable on a large scale indicates that we are probably going to experience a massive societal shift at all levels. A shift to where? No one knows yet.
In 2022, they started talking about RTO. Then they tried to enforce it. People quit. They didn't let up.
But worse, if they decided to sell. Who in the world can buy their vanity building? Everyone else has the same problem. Governments also came in and restrict you from using the building for other purposes. So you cant sell to someone who might make use out of it.
So you might as well try to force people back into the building, but go softly because the last people you want to lose are the first to leave.
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How sleazy can their language get?https://lite.cnn.com/2024/01/22/opinions/remote-work-jobs-be...
Fixed. :P
Using sleazy language should be punishable by hanging at the end of the same day.
Most companies advertising jobs, have remote positions now
I don't see a RTO movement, I think they are experimenting what works best, trying to get a balance. But their processes have not evolved enough to include remote workers
Software development tasks are hard to estimate. How can a company, without being too invasive, make sure a employee is not underworked or overworked?
how do you do it when in person other than walking around and checking that people aren't playing minesweeper instead of coding? (OK, there is the social pressure to at least look like you're coding in case someone glances at your screen, but that doesn't mean you're actually getting anything done. Of course for people who slack off, WFH is a great enabler -- and that indeed is a problem.)
Water cooler talk "hey everything alright with you?"