Collapse hasn't been the suggestion in fact. That's a straw premise to distract from the negative claims (which are supported by persistently bad economic data).

The US didn't collapse due to the great depression either.

What is being suggested, is that China is facing a very bad economic stretch as a result of their extraordinarily poor command economy choices.

Beijing's fabled (supposed) long-term thinking has shown itself to be a complete fraud. The Emperor, Xi, is wearing no clothes, as is the case with all dictators. An economy the scale and complexity of China's can't be run effectively with an authoritarian command approach. We have been seeing the proof of that increasingly since the great recession hit, wherein China switched to forever stimulus & debt fakery to prop up their flagging economy. In the span of a decade China became the most indebted nation in world history, while their growth sank below that of the US (which is a very mature, slower growth economy). And now the imploding demographics are setting in hard and fast, while the affluent world shuns China (leaving them with key partners like Russia, Iran, North Korea).

It's quite obvious that while China kicked the can down the road for a long time, the cost of doing so just keeps increasing in the form of negatives on their economy.

Not sure if you call this "delivering"

1.) The heavy market losses in 2024 come hot on the heels of a bruising run last year, when the CSI 300 index, comprising 300 major stocks listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, fell more than 11%. By contrast, the United States’ benchmark S&P 500 index climbed 24% in 2023, while Europe’s grew almost 13%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 soared 28% last year and is still going strong, notching gains of nearly 10% so far this month. https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/22/business/china-stock-market-f...

2.) China suffers from deflation, while the rest of the world combats inflation. Not only does deflation signal a stagnating economy, it can lead to high unemployment, unaffordable debt repayment, and dismal outcomes for businesses. In the worst cases, deflation can lead an economy into a recession, or even a depression. https://www.wsj.com/world/china/deflation-worries-deepen-in-...

3.) Crushing debt. Going back further, China accounts for over half of the entire world’s total debt-to-GDP increases since 2008. https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/backgrounder-china-econo... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-01-06/bloomb...

4.) China’s youth unemployment rate hit consecutive record highs in recent months. From April to June, the jobless rate for 16- to 24-year-olds reached 20.4%, 20.8% and 21.3% respectively. https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/14/economy/china-economy-july-sl.... For reference, G7 countries is at 10%, US is at 8% https://data.oecd.org/unemp/youth-unemployment-rate.htm

Everybody said the USSR was collapsing and it kept growing until the country collapsed. China’s GDP numbers are notoriously opaque and difficult to vet. It’s no different than saying Los Angeles is going to get flattened by an earthquake. Its inevitable but good luck predicting it.

Maybe not collapse but a slowdown and significant decline in some sectors seems like a real risk. Which would be a big issue because China is still quite poor per capita and at this pace it's unlikely to ever catch up with the US:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.CD?end=2...