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“Downfall” seems a bit dubious of a term here, Google is doing just fine…

Google is far from doing just fine.

Rome wasn't built in a day, and neither was it destroyed by a single incident or individual.

The downfall of empires gradually happens over years... decades...

But make no mistake: the sign of the first derivative is negative.

Sorry but this seems like wishcasting to me; Alphabet’s stock is up 46% yoy, beating the market by 30%+. I think it’s at an all-time high, even.

Any day now though, right?

The first derivative of what exactly? Certainly not their stock price. And not their quarterly revenue either, nor even YoY growth.