Germany's parliament approves easing dual citizenship
dw.com
dw.com
https://service.destatis.de/bevoelkerungspyramide/index.html
If I was a nationalist in any country with roughly the demographic shape of Germany (so, most of the wealthy ones), I would regard open immigration as the highest possible leverage move, to the point, where I (not, in fact, being a nationalist) actually feel bad about the devastating effects this is ultimately going to have a few years down the line for the countries these people are leaving behind.
Bar an AI miracle, everyone is going to need bodies, and the bodies they are going to produce, to avoid societal breakdown. By current looks, it is potentially the scarcest resource of the future.
I understand that immigration of unskilled people is a little off from the "skilled immigration" pipe dream and less convenient, but are people really that confused about the slightly longer term and exponentially scarier cost of no immigration?
These countries have a system that, while not perfect, is the most excellent at creating skilled enough humans. Letting anyone willing and able to produce a child in the country, that you can then pump through that system, is the absolute cheapest and most realistic way you are ever going to get the amount of bodies you are going to need to avoid a total demographic disaster.
Also, Denmark has studied this issue extensively and found that "non-Western" immigration actually imposes additional burdens on the state, costing over $10k per year per migrant. Having a young population that doesn't work is even worse than having an inverted population pyramid, and that's without getting into the qualitative damage to social cohesion and trust caused by mass migration.
https://www.thelocal.dk/20211015/denmark-says-non-western-im... https://archive.fo/DU17J
> an oversupply of labor, as demonstrated by stagnant real wages and weak labor force participation rates
How do weak labor force participation rates indicate an oversupply in labor?
> How do weak labor force participation rates indicate an oversupply in labor?
It means people either can't find work, or the work available is so unattractive that it is preferable not to work. In a tight labor market employers will offer better pay, flexibility, hire less desirable workers, etc.
OECD stats linked below, for ages 24-64 it's under 80% for OECD countries on average. And that includes part-time and underemployed workers.
https://data.oecd.org/emp/labour-force-participation-rate.ht...
Reports from the Open Society Foundations show that instead of finding protection and relief in Europe, refugee women and children have often been trapped in makeshift camps that lack adequate food, sanitation, water, or safety. These camps sometimes resemble prisons, and the inhabitants, especially women, live in fear of sexual violence, smuggling, and trafficking. Legal and medical access is also a significant issue for them.
According to USA for UNHCR, 40% of individuals arriving in Europe by sea in 2019 were women and children. In 2022, over 159,000 people risked their lives trying to reach Europe by sea, with more than 2,400 reported dead or missing.
> It means people either can't find work, or the work available is so unattractive that it is preferable not to work.
I disagree with your interpretation, but let's not also get into that.
> Reports from the Open Society Foundations show that instead of finding protection and relief in Europe, refugee women and children have often been trapped in makeshift camps that lack adequate food, sanitation, water, or safety. These camps sometimes resemble prisons
Prisons? Are European refugee camps as bad as prisons, really?Sorry, billionaire advocacy organizations aren't credible sources on the issues they are trying to influence.
https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2016/08/02/4-asylum-seeke...
73% male, 83% under 35 at the peak of the migration crisis. I think my characterization was pretty fair.
> According to USA for UNHCR, 40% of individuals arriving in Europe by sea in 2019 were women and children. In 2022, over 159,000 people risked their lives trying to reach Europe by sea, with more than 2,400 reported dead or missing.
That number should be 0. Guess how we can make it 0? Eliminate pull factors that incentivize migrants and allow NGOs to aid and abet human trafficking. Australia had a similar issue with migrants arriving via ship, but through effective policy they have virtually eliminated both arrivals and deaths.
You will notice (in sofar you are willing to do so) that I was at not debating your claims about the prevalence of males among asylum seekers. That is because I do not disagree. I just don't think it's terribly important. I was just irritated by your characterisation of life in migration camps.
The earlier assessment still applies. Short sightedness aside, I fail to see how anyone can confuse immigration for not being the lesser of two issues.
> I understand that immigration of unskilled people is a little off from the "skilled immigration" pipe dream and less convenient, but are people really that confused about the slightly longer term and exponentially scarier cost of no immigration?
In the case of Germany (and Europe more broadly) the unskilled migrants typically arrive as asylum seekers. So when we look at the data and the facts on the ground for how unskilled migrants integrate into society, and if they make a positive economic contribution or not, the population being studied will largely be asylum seekers from MENA countries.
So far it has been a bit of a disaster. Sweden has done a 180 on immigration policy, Denmark has tightened its rules, Merkel tarnished her legacy with her complete mishandling of the migration crisis, etc.
So it isn’t like opening the immigration floodgates is a magic bullet. There are definitely growing pains and it ideally is something that is phased in rather than a sudden reaction to a problem that should’ve been foreseen for decades.
It is not painless, but, for all intents an purposes, it is magic. Chemotherapy. Right now it really sucks, but, bar an actual (as far as I can tell) unforeseeable miracle, it is the only thing that is going to keep your system alive in a few years,
Either you do the chemo now, or you are going to have a really bad time later. Right this second you might not feel the cancer, while the drug hits you hard. But are people really that confused about what it is going to happen if they refuse?
The west can obviously always hope for wars to rage on, to at least have people at the then open door. Fingers crossed. But People will not be so super excited to leave Africa in, oh I don't know, 10 years or so. Living conditions are improving and people are actually not that excited about leaving a country, if everything is pretty okay in that country.
Of course you are right, that does not make it easy and it could have been a lot simpler. That would have required foresight. Not our forte. Alas.
So what’s the solution if not this? The entire developed world is seeing a drop in fertility and reproduction so they’ll all eventually be fighting for people from places that are - Africa and Middle East and some other regions.
The alternative is eternally staying on a residence permit, and getting kicked out when you stop making money and paying taxes. It's not what I want, and the transactional relationship cuts both ways, but it gets you taxpayers with no strings attached.
However I want to be more than a worker. I want to build a life here and I'm getting really tired of the humiliating residence permit renewals at the dysfunctional immigration office.
Gulf states have awesome solution. You can go there and make money, never path to citizenship. If you are expat - you can make a lot of money and live well. If you are low skill laborer - well they can improve their conditions.
But I no see problem with importing people just to work, send money home and then send them back.
That is if you have an explicitly ethnic understanding of "the west" and Germany and, implicitly, that there is any kind of significant ethnic overlap between the west and Germany: there isn't. The west is made up of Anglos, Scots, French, Germans, Portuguese, Spaniards, Italians, and many hundreds of smaller cultural and ethnic groups which have spent the better part of the last 2000 years of european history trying to utterly annihilate each other (not to mention that larger "political west" which can include Japan, Korea, and other non-european liberal democracies).
Imagine going back in time and lamenting to the French people of the late 1800s that there aren't going to be enough Germans left. I don't think they'd react with the same sadness as you but rather breathe a sigh of relief. "The west" is an invention: what matters is the survival liberal democracy and the human race
Funny you should mention it; one of the election posters in Alexanderplatz is for the Partei für schulmedizinische Verjüngungsforschung ("Party for Biomedical Rejuvenation Research") — a single-issue political party in Germany that seeks to accelerate the development of medicine to reverse the aging process.
I can't vote here, but if I could, this is appealing.
(I might still not actually vote for them, it depends on the details of the voting system and single-issue parties like this in the UK seem to attract people that don't play well with others).
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Another solution is one I mention in half the threads around here on the topic "are AI companies evil copyright pirates?", where my comments revolve around asserting that any AI good enough to be economically disruptive is necessarily also good enough to be the kind of thing that a government can take ownership over in order to supply the means of production that enables a sustainable UBI alternative to the current economic paradigm.
The problem with Germany today is that the social state is archaic and has not been updated for the modern world. Unsurprising when the government still uses fax and snail mail for all communication.
This of course does not fix declining populations as a whole, but all advanced economies go through population decline almost like a rite of passage now. Unless growth is maintained, the system shrinks. Ultimately politicians and economists are more concerned with this over any other social ramifications of bringing migrants into the country. Obviously a balance needs to be struck, but Germany doesn't seem to be good at moderate and effective policy, e.g swinging from being a haven for refugees to now wanting to initiate mass deportations
How is this a solution? Let‘s say you are a social worker or a teacher, lower middle class income. What kind of financial trickery can potentially save you after retirement if you barely meet the ends now and demographics aren’t looking good?
The main advantage that it works with both a growing population, but also a shrinking one
Investing savings via a fund is not unreasonable, but will it beat the inflation in the long term, taking into account management commissions and taxes? The answer is not obvious to me.
This is not an "Everyone knows..."
Unfortunately, the major right-wing party wants to reduce immigration and actually remove German citizenship from non "native" Germans with multiple passports.
People who say life here is getting worse or that it will collapse are either dumb or Nazis.
Whether AFD wants or not, immigrants will continue coming to Germany and will eventually be a majority.
"Native" Germans mostly want to experience life and go to Mallorca, not fulfill silly reproduction goals for an antiquated belief that it's a duty.
Germany will become a really European and diverse country in a few decades and this is awesome. Deal with it.
> Dual nationality is usually only allowed for citizens of other EU countries or Switzerland, although it is permitted for other immigrants in certain exceptional cases.
Yes, but that's the law as it's been, 1 exception is e.g. one can't renounce one's Turkish citizenship, so Turks granted a German citizenship become dual citizens. As far as I've read the changes will apply to children born with dual citizenships, not adults who want to gain the German one, AFAIK they (if they're not EU/Swiss) still have to renounce their old citizenship when able to.
Edit: OK according to this[1] the AFAIK above no longer applies now.
[1] https://www.juraforum.de/news/doppelte-staatsbuergerschaft-i...
Been waiting for this. Opposite direction though - want UK citizenship without losing German. That was previous possibly but require submitting a rationale/motivation letter of some sort.
Also, the official article that deals with loss of German citizenship on gaining another now has a banner thing at the top pointing to this new law (without saying anything too solid)
Would frankly also be quite weird for German law to favour "foreigners" over native Germans by having it go one direction only.
Generally smaller eastern EU countries would be much easier on the wallet, but the quality of education and the need to learn irrelevant language bother me.
It is mandatory for all German residents to have comprehensive health insurance which covers all treatment for any condition at any hospital with no deductibles.
Employees are eligible for a government scheme which delivers health insurance for a fixed proportion of your income, and covers all non-working spouses and children for free. You would however have to purchase private insurance for 4 people which complies with German requirements, which would cost a fortune, particuarly if any of you have any pre-existing conditions.
I think you also really don't know much about Germany if you think it is a good place to get by without learning the local language. German is such a widespread language that Germans can live their whole lives without having to have much contact with English, whereas in smaller countries films and books in English are widespread because it's not worthwhile dubbing/translating them.
Roughly how much are we talking?
They speak a language and it's probably not his either.
Many languages are really irrelevant though. Objectively. Like under 20m speakers total.
For children Germany is ok, but you have to take into account that they must attend school (yes, home schooling may be a problem here). No shopping on Sundays, housing crisis, low level of digitalization, terrible weather in winter (at least in Berlin, which I assume you would prefer as an expat).
However Germans could already become dual citizens of a European Union country (and Switzerland) so many were covered under the old law (that will remain).
Nowadays traveling is much easier and many immigrants are simply, put it harshly, colonizing the foreign country instead of adopting it.
I hope one day humanity will surpass its empathic barrier of societies. It might be too much to hope for, I suppose.
If a group doesn't assimilate, it looks like a ghetto or a "colony". Settling, on the other hand, is inherently about control.
They are not synonyms.
So what if the indigenous people are displaced, demoralised, dispossessed, marginalised, denigrated, etc? Nobody seems to give a damn for what indigenous Europeans are currently experiencing.
Please don't ask us to be empathetic to your dislike of a particular term considering the very real danger and harm being imposed on our entire race.
Is it because they were colonized by the french and we had a war many decades ago I have to take a punch in the stomach, or how does this work exactly?
"When you're accustomed to privilege, equality feels like oppression."
There is still a silver lining though. EU (and specifically Germany) ruined any optimistic future of theirs by severing energy with Russia and allowing US to bomb the nordstream pipeline.
The effects of de-industrialization due to higher energy costs along with reduced usage of Euro in international usage is not going to paint a pretty picture for EU in the long term future.
This allows third world countries to equalize quickly and hopefully in a generation from now we have less dehumanizing language for people trying to seek a better life for their families.
Note that "failed asylum seekers" does, for the most part, not mean people actually resisting deportation in any illegal/violent way, but mostly consists of people who are being granted a sort of amnesty ("Duldung") for various reasons in line with german law.
This only leaves 54k people that would actually be candidate for deportation in June 2023, which increases the deportation rate to roughly 30%. At this pace deportation for the average failed asylum seeker that is actually traget of deportation shrinks to 3 years.
* https://www.dw.com/en/germany-migrant-deportations-rise-shar....