ALOHA robot learns from humans to cook, clean, do laundry
venturebeat.com
venturebeat.com
The Github repository is more useful.[1] That separates autonomous from teleoperated mode. Also, there's video at 1x speed. This thing is actually very slow in autonomous mode.
It's real progress, but the hype exceeds the results.
The days where new cool technology that would make our lives better was something to look forward to are over. Now it's "How is this new technology going to be used against me?" and "How soon will this technology be deliberately made worse in order to take more from my family?"
The best we can hope for is that cleaning robots will be something that people can build and program themselves from trusted parts, but considering how that hasn't worked out for most of the recent tech in our lives today I'm not encouraged. No one I know is using a cell phone, a smart TV, or a modern game console that they built themselves. Most people feel that they are incapable of even putting a simple camera on their own front door that doesn't also hand their data over to amazon and to the police.
Until new technology can be truly owned by the people who pay for it, and isn't used against the buyer for someone else's interests I'll be skeptical of every new device and gadget they try to sell us.
Just install a Faraday cage around your house. Problem solved!
/s
This is a very very bad vision of the future.
It's actually a fantastic example of probably one of the last jobs/trades to be automated.
And while I personally enjoy working from home I know a lot of people who would claw at the walls if forced to WFH.
Point being - it might seem like a small difference - doesn't mean that it is a small difference.
However, for cleaners or domestic servants, well expect a race to the bottom, think North Korean prison colony for a model.
Edit: I also don't understand why we suddenly jumped from GP's scary dystopian warning to robots operated by foreign slaves. Casting aside how unrealistic the underlying technology is, applying it en masse is an entirely different discussion. You're essentially allowing the whole world's population to migrate to your country.
I believe there really is no way out of this direction of affairs. It's capatalism, free market at work.
Hopefully soon the machines become smart and cheap enough such that the poor can benefit as well. In the end anything can be automated, building and operating houses and infrastructure, and making food.
What's the difference between this and me doing a pull request from 1000 miles away from the company office?
A pilot dropping bombs from an airplane vs operating a drone via screen/game pad from an air-conditioned office -- vastly different experiences.
Also, some bad news, you've been outsourced and you're being evicted and the bank is selling it to a large corporation that owns half the property in the country.
Could the denizens of a North Korean prison colony do your job? If the answer is yes then shortly expect that to happen unless something like a functional democracy stands up and stops it. If teleoperated robots come in then expect that simple tasks like cleaning and laundry will get done by people living in 6' * 4' freezing cells and existing on cabbage soup. If they aren't good at it then they'll get the pigeon and another chance, or just get shot.
We do this already with things like textile manufacturing, IT support, call centre work, and we profit from the labour of those less fortunate than us. Teleoperation is an attempt to widen this pool at the cost of those folks who provide labour locally to you and me who do skilled work that can't be replicated (at the moment at least).
It's to late, my girlfriend already caught me watching it. Telling her the real thing is slower had no effect. I then told her the final product looks like this. https://youtu.be/ACtozUE6Rzw
With Robots, i also think this is just another demonstration which shows more in what direction it is going than we had bevor. Teslas fake Robot demonstration helps here too.
I personally think we are at the start of the robot exponentail curve and i bet i will see a useful working robot in the next 10-20 years.
And the usefulness of a robot can be achieved a lot sooner now tx to the AI progress / investment. alone Wishper pushed boundaries a lot. Never seen something free with such a good audio to text quality.
If a robot is able to understand "bring this blocks to the top of the building" and will be able to act on it, boom.
We are also seeing a lot of progress in similiar fields like game character movement, training physical worlds in virtual simulation (a lot of progress of nvidia and digital twins).
Teenage me read that years ago and scoffed, thinking "that's now how programming code works, like, at all." Now with this robot and the new Rabbit device from CES, it seems that Heinlein was exactly right.
Hi robot, here is my kitchen. Here are dishes etc.
Basically, no real breakthrough has happened in robotics and everyone is hoping to be able to replicate LLMs/vision path for robotics (i.e. data). But no one really knows how to even collect so much high quality data and no one is even remotely close to executing it. The best we seem to have done is: https://robotics-transformer-x.github.io/
Overall, just too much hype.
ALOHA + RT-X is a great combo to collect a lot of somewhat uniform data to enable such a breakthrough.
> Overall, just too much hype.
True. :)
Collecting data will not enable anything. Google, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft and others are doing it since 10 years and no "breakthrough" in sight.
Historically, this has not been the case. Collecting data enabled speech recognition, image recognition (and subsequent breakthroughs), machine translation.
What is so special about Robotics that collecting data will not enable anything?
I expect Robotics (in particular, solving manipulation) to follow the same route: super expensive R&D, multiple false starts, but eventually (tons of data => breakthrough to get smarter robots).
But I disagree there has been no progress. Check out this lecture from Sergey Levine about sample-efficient RL in the real world (no simulator): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17NrtKHdPDw
Sim to real, self play, and curriculum learning have yielded superhuman performances when done correctly in situations where they can be done. Behaviour cloning doesnt.
Certainly for most commercial/industrial/agriculture/hotels/mining settings (in fact, everything except a private apartment butler thingy..?)
I don't think it's necessary for an open-ended system.
The challenge is that 80% accuracy is a far cry from being actually useful in real-world situations to the point where humans can rely on them to perform the desired task correctly. They have to "just work". And closing the gap on that last 20% becomes exponentially difficult.
How would it affect peoples' diets? Would we eat more healthily because our robot can easily cook delicious and nutritious meals? Or would we have our robots make us delicious unhealthy meals?
Kind of like a spatially distributed cyborg. Imagine being confined in bed or in a wheelchair, and have this thing be your gofer / nimble hands. It could be a gamechanger for so many!
I'm looking forward to my autonomous wheelchair and my Paro plushie: http://www.parorobots.com
It's slowly getting better, but it's still confusing enough of them.
That might be at least as difficult as folding.
(aka, we're out of flour)
Kitchens are very difficult for humans, let alone robots