However, inflation versus crime is studied across nations with academic rigor. Bias from a single source does not undermine the conclusion that inflation is a higher factor in certain crimes than, say, unemployment.
Search "Reproducibility Crisis", "Dan Ariely" or "scientific fraud" and you should get the jist of why you shouldn't trust many headlines for new discoveries right now. Especially "surprising" results that go against expectations
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03486-5
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/10/09/they-studied-d...
My take on the replication problem (I’m not a social scientist) is that we now think the original experiments missed a confounding factor out of ignorance or lack of statistical sophistication.
This is not how Ariely and Gino were caught, though. I wouldn’t call their research surprising at all (again, not my field), but their randomization failed. Replication should have found a different level of support and introduced skepticism of the rigor of their methodology.
It's what I originally wrote. Good job cherry picking. You sure this isn't your field?
You should always take media 'headlines' about science with a grain of salt.
Not just for social sciences, but for dark matter, string theory, everything.
The replication crisis is bit overblown because the 'right' want to use that to drive their own more 'biblical' view of the world. By sowing doubt about all science, like done with cigarettes.
Social sciences do replicate at rate over 50%. That is long way from nothing replicating. Sorry 50% isn't good enough, it isn't like string theory is replicating, and nobody is getting out pitch forks.
another take https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/21504366/science-replicat...
The Right believe they are being directed by GOD. Their soul will be tortured for all eternity if they don't fight a war on earth following the will of God.
How do you argue a factual point with someone that is basing their decision on being directed by the god of the entire universe.
Basically the modern Christian Right, is fighting their own Jihad. We just don't have a good word like that to describe it.
So, I would disagree they are two sides of the same coin.
The left is maybe skewing some statistics, while the Right is ready to kill people for their god (checkout how many mass shootings are based on Right Talking points).
‘ The work of the historian David Hackett Fischer identified four major instances of inflation in Western history, in the 14th, 16th, 18th, and 20th centuries. In each of these periods, violent and property crime rates increased, and then fell once prices stabilized. When inflation decreased in the early 1990s, both Europe and the United States saw a corresponding decline in crime.’
Other sources use something called the Modified Wald Causality test, which should only be convincing to someone already acquainted with the field. The modern European data comes from Interpol, which might suffer the same collection bias as USA. We’re looking at first-order changes, anyway, so I wager this causality test can be sensible, even if the incoming data suffers from a linear bias.