Gasoline is cheap – but charging an EV is still cheaper
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See for example https://www.carbonbrief.org/factcheck-how-electric-vehicles-... for a good debunking of many common myths (good showing here).
Yes, one should not accept the all-rosy picture of EVs being all-clean and ideal. But my EV a) is 4-5 times more efficient overall in converting energy into motion than a car that burns gasoline, b) has significantly fewer parts, c) of the energy I use, at least a portion comes from non-CO2-emitting sources (nuclear, solar, wind), d) when I brake or go downhill in the mountains, I recover some of the energy, while purely gasoline-powered cars recover none, and finally d) we seriously need to stop burning dinosaurs, or we'll cook ourselves.
BTW, as a datapoint from someone who has done some calculations in real-world scenarios: when charging at home (EU), my ongoing cost-per-km is roughly half that of a gasoline-powered car.
I would love to have one, but I cannot afford one. Well, I could, I could easily get finance, but I wouldn't do it. I think if you live in the US, the way people on HN talk about cars, they must be cheaper there, finance is cheaper and wages are higher, such that you can just get a new one rather than making an agonising decision over months, even years.
We're just about to replace our 15 year old car with a 4 year old 7 seater because the kids are fighting over space in the back too often. There was 1 EV on the market with enough space (as an aside, all newer cars have less space across the width because of more safety features in the doors) and it's 2.5x my budget. A new hybrid is 1.7x my budget. You can buy a hell of a lot of petrol in that price difference, more than we'll use in 10 years of driving. So we'll keep this one until some of our offspring have left and the next car might hopefully be an EV.
When people find out that we drive a (totally reliable) 2005 CR-V with 235K miles on it and are going to sell that and replace with a 9 year-old 2015 car, they can't reconcile that with me being "able to afford" a new car if I wanted. To them, the only reason to buy a used car is if you literally could't afford something new. It's madness, but I'm glad they buy/lease new cars so that I can have used cars to choose from later.
Yes an ICE engine needs regular maintenance, but currently that cost savings in an EV is offset by the larger repair costs as well as wait times for repairs (due to parts availability, like dearth of OEM parts, like you can’t go down to NAPA and get parts.
If they fix the above then yes, repair costs should come down and make their total cost of ownership make sense.
As it is people try to convince others that because there are fewer moving parts on the drive train, that TCO is in theory lower, in practice it’s not yet due to all the above issues you mentioned.
I have a suspicion that that is true primarily for Teslas.
I have a Toyota plug-in hybrid, which theoretically is an EVs as well as an ICE car, and its repair/maintainance is similar to that of an ICE.
The high cost of Tesla repair is due to their vertical integration, perhaps limited capacity devoted to spares and monopoly over who repairs (max rent selling from repair). EVs should be cheaper to repair and maintain.
So much hearsay from people who never really used an EV. Yes, there are drawbacks. But except for extreme long range trips EVs are perfectly usable while being more energy efficient and less prone to breaking down.
I'm writing this comment having just driven about 2000km-long trip with an EV :-) In cold climate (-5C).
It's not my first long trip, either. My key observations (some were surprising to me):
1. You should expect to travel slower, as you will need to make breaks for charging, and the EV world presents an overly-rosy view of ranges. In a long trip, you use the battery from 10% to around 85%, so only 70-75% of your full "range" is usable. In my case rough estimates are a stop every 2h or 250km.
2. It's not a big deal. Especially if you can find a place to charge where you will also eat or drink.
3. I feel significantly better after a trip with those additional stops, than after a trip with uninterrupted several hours of driving.
1. Our trip was on major interstates (I10 and I8)
2. Not every charging station had full speed
3. Charging stations weren't so close that I could reliably skip one
4. Range goes way down on open freeways (wind resistance, lack of regen)
5. Charging stations aren't always on the freeway like gas stations, so you may find yourself going into towns and off of the freeway, increasing drive time
6. Charge times weren't bad, but I have one of the fastest charging cars, so literally, YMMV
Overall, in a gas car it would have been a 2 day trip; in my EV, it was more like 2 2/3 days (adjusted our intinerary in SD, else we would have had additional hotel costs). That said, I drove just to prove haters wrong; I'd fly the next time. However, if I had to do a long trip, I'd probably consider renting something else.
As a huge proponent of EVs, I have to imagine a major chunk of the population would disagree with you. Most people (in the US, at least) aren't leisurely taking road trips. They are in a hurry, trying not to eat up all 3 weeks of PTO with the annual family road trip. Aside from the inconvenience, finding something to do every 2 hours with a family of 4, like eating or drinking, is liable to become prohibitively expensive, or incredibly boring.
Source?
My longest ICE-powered trip recently was a ~500 mile trip across Europe with precisely one 15 minute break to pee and buy coffee. A total of ~8 hours on the road, and I was driving alone. On the plus side it was a very nice rented Audi.
I’m on bus right now to pick up my ICE vehicle from repair shop. Will need to drive back home for 45 mines MYSELF!
Edit: my insurance is more than my gas bill but pretty cheap. All electric cars cost a lot more to insure here because of repair costs I’m guessing
Off the cuff, running a car to the end and then switching to a hybrid seems fairly environmentally friendly, right?
I don’t think we want to prematurely take reasonably recent small cars (since you say your car is light, I assume it is small) off the road if that means building a bunch of new electric ones… especially for someone who drives little enough to gas up once per month.
I charge at home every 4-5 days using the standard 15A-250V socket that is present in every single indian home. So, no matter where i go, i am able to find a socket to charge my car. Whether its a hotel/airbnb/friend's place
https://old.reddit.com/r/bayarea/comments/191tybu/driving_my...
EVs also have much higher costs in repairs, maintenance and car insurance.
Not sure about the maintenance cost being higher here. The only things that need regular service are brake and tires as all of the moving parts of an EV are contained within an electric motor assembly that are very reliable across manufacturers.
By contrast, an ICE vehicle is loaded with moving parts, all of which need lubrication, have wear profiles that demand replacement occasionally, need to pass emissions testing, etc.
Sixt and Hertz seem fairly sure, and they are the ones with statistically-significant data on this:
https://cleantechnica.com/2023/12/08/sixt-dumping-teslas-due...
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/hertz-...
> Sixt is directly singling out Tesla here, as it continues to increase its electric fleet,” they write. “The company’s goal is to slowly replace its gasoline and diesel-powered cars until at least 90 percent of its fleet is electric, and it aims to do so by the end of this decade. Unless Tesla improves its quality, collision repair costs, and residual values, the second-largest rental fleet in Europe (and fourth-largest in the U.S.) won’t include cars from the American automaker.”
And spare parts are VERY expensive, like $5000 for LCD screen!
Yes, post-accident repairs are generally more expensive.
Also, many bearings in an ICE vehicle use special high-pressure, long-life, “tacky” lubricants that stick and do not usually mix with engine oil or transmission fluid. The bearings on the wheel hub most definitely do not but that’s also a part that both EVs and ICE vehicles have in common (which is also the easiest bearing to replace).
A while back I did the math for Chevy Bolt vs an ICE car that gets 39 mpg.
The results were charging the Bolt would be cheaper per mile than filling the ICE car whenever G/E > 9.4, where G is the price of a gallon of gas and E is the cost of a kW of electricity.
I think categorizing people into "with garages" and "normal" might be a little contentious. A quick search indicates 63% percent of all housing units have a garage or carport[1]. Housing Unit includes apartments and condos. I'm sure it's very geographic, and in large cities the number will be much lower - but many many Americans live in suburbs, where 80% will have garages - this doesn't make them abnormal or particularly wealthy.
[1] https://www.energy.gov/eere/vehicles/fact-958-january-2-2017...
Where I live in the US having a garage is a luxury. However as you point out having a garage is much more "normal" in the US.
the math is clear on what's more normal
I'm not saying this will work perfectly in every location or for all cities. But it is relatively easy in many areas to add charging ports with existing infrastructure.
Q: How much do you pay to charge on-street?
By comparison, a Telsa Supercharger will run about 0.65/kwh here (but is obviously faster) and other brands I've seen as high as 0.85/kwh for rapid charging.
However if you agreed to an electricity plan where you pay floating hourly rates and you can charge at home with the right equipment, you could in theory pay less by only charging at low rate times overnight.
But given the the limited amount of driving I do (basically just weekend trips), the street charging costs are usually so low as to be a rounding error so it is not a big deal either way.
An even more interesting calculation would be how much you are shortening your life by standing at a gas pump inhaling carcinogens. Not to mention breathing the exhaust of all the vehicles around you.
LA has some of the worst air quality in the developed world [1]. Do you want to live there and breath that everyday?
[1] https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2023-04-19/l-a-get...
[Full disclosure: worked for years in a chemistry lab where we had "proper" risks, including but not limited to real carcinogens]
CDC: "there is no evidence that exposure to gasoline causes cancer in humans"[0]
Petrol and diesel are easy to avoid inhaling, not least because they both stink. It's trivial to avoid any potential risk by turning away from the vehicle while fuelling.
[0] https://wwwn.cdc.gov/TSP/ToxFAQs/ToxFAQsDetails.aspx?faqid=4....
"There is not enough information available to determine if gasoline causes birth defects or affects reproduction"
My god, spend some time in a remote aboriginal community in the 80s and 90s before OPAL fuel was invented and you would have had all the information you'll ever need.
There's a reason they spent millions developing OPAL, and why regular unleaded gasoline (petrol) is illegal in virtually all aboriginal communities.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opal_(fuel)
From that article: "Opal is a variety of low-aromatic 91 RON petrol developed in 2005 by BP Australia to combat the rising use of petrol as an inhalant in remote Indigenous Australian communities. ... Typical unleaded petrol contains 25% aromatics, such as toluene, ortho-xylene and para-xylene. In contrast, Opal contains only 5% aromatics, which means that it has less of the toluene and other solvents which produce the intoxication (or "high") that inhalant users are seeking."
"There is not enough information available to determine if gasoline causes birth defects or affects reproduction"
Borderline criminal.
https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/country-sites/en_au/austra...
Since we're talking about EVs, note that if "electricity" had an MSDS, it would also be full of lawyer-speak warning about risks :)
China and India have way over a billion people each and still pollute less than the USA on a per capita basis. If you want them to take responsibility for moral reasons, your moral high ground isn’t very high.
Even level 1 charging (as you call it "overnight slow charging") gives you ~5 miles per hour and only requires a cheap charger of ~200 bucks. Charge it from 8PM to 6AM and you get 50 miles of range. If you have a <50 mile commute, you can charge from 8PM to 6AM, and your work commute is taken care of. Charge a little longer on weekends and you can budget further.
This situation might not work for everyone! Street parking of course makes this nearly impossible. But A LOT of Americans have a <50 mile commute, and a garage with an outlet. For these people, they're saving money every day, and never have to use a gas station ever again. In this situation you'll pay off that initial $200 in ~8 months. But even disregarding financial savings, many may simply prefer the tradeoff of not having to go to gas stations in exchange for plugging in when they return home.
Then, if you need to go on a >200 mile trip, you have to use a public charger, and the math is less favorable as those will cost more and you'll have to hang out for a bit. But once again, you need to consider how often this is an occurance for you. For some people, it's weekly (or daily!). For some it's once a month or once a year. I agree that we're not at the place where from cost savings alone, it is maximally effective for everyone, but I don't think it's unrealistic for a very large portion of Americans.
A large percentage of personal vehicles mostly take short distance trips between which they spend the vast majority of their life parked at one of a handful of consistent locations. Even with slow charging, EVs have ample opportunity to "refuel" with no additional time investment. As for monetary cost, the electricity to refuel an EV can be generated by a huge number of sources to leverage the cheapest (or greenest if that's what you want to optimize for) ones and be centralized to take advantage of economies of scale. Even if the electricity is fossil fuel generated, a power plant can be far more efficient at turning that fossil fuel into energy than your car engine can.
This is different than saying this charging reality is true for everyone right this second, but they key point is that it's possible for EVs while it is fundamentally impossible for traditional internal combustion vehicles. Your ICE car is never going to be able to be refueled at home overnight or at work during the day. It will never be able to take advantage of solar or wind or nuclear energy. Refueling an ICE car might be fairly convenient now, but this is as good as it gets, it's never going to get any better. My current situation doesn't allow me to charge an EV at work or home, so it would be marginally less convenient for me. But that's pretty fixable in the grand scheme of things, while I'm never going to be able to refuel my ICE car while I sleep.
Anyone doing the comparison between ICE and EV now and not accounting for all the extra upside room to grow EVs still have (and ICE does not) is definitely missing the forest for the trees.
> Factor in your time hunting for a charger
Not really an issue, there is a large variety of apps to navigate you to a charger and check availiability beforehand.
> waiting around for the car
In my experience when on the highway the time you need for a break (toilet, eating, relaxing) is equal or less than the time the car needs to charge. If you are shopping, your car will be done charging before you finish.
> Usually you need to install some infrastructure or deal with overnight slow charging.
If you are just using the car in the city for short trips you only need to change every 1-2 weeks. In that case you can just go to a quick charge station which many gas stations are installing now in paralell to their pumps.
The problem I see right now: While consumer prices are 0.3€/kWh at home, quick chargers demand 0.65€/kWh, which is insane.
Fully 70 countries in the world generate more than 50% of their energy from renewables [1], and it's climbing rapidly.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_renewable...
Burn it in a combined cycle power plant to convert it to electricity and there are still substantial loses to waste heat but much less than when burning it an ICE car. There will be some smaller losses in the power grid and charging infrastructure to get that electricity into your battery, and some small losses in your EV's electric powertrain, but in the end around 40% of the energy of the fuel ends up going toward propelling your vehicle.
I will happily keep driving my diesel. The people I know will only keep driving their EV until people have to start paying roadtax for them.
It is said wrong then. I drive my EV all ov er Europe and most chargers work most of the time. In three years of driving I encountered three broken stations that were shown as functional in the app.