DJI's First Delivery Drone Takes Flight Globally
dji.com
dji.com
What about if broken down by sector - consumer/prosumer/hobbyist, industrial, military?
Honestly realistic. Very hard to stop.
[0] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offens...
As for the good stuff like the F-35, the US still dominates. The overall problem is that it's like 100000x the cost. Take this, if the US lost it's entire navy in an instant it would take the US over a decade to rebuild. If the same thing happened to China they can rebuild that Navy in a year.
If Lockheed were to try to make a drone equivalent to the best that DJI has to offer they would make that drone more expensive and actually much worse in performance, size and technology then the Chinese counter part.
One isn't more advanced then the other but each respective country is more advanced then the other in both of these technologies.
Both countries would strike the other down in a heart beat if there wasn't a huge economic cost associated with war.
Why did Russia absolutely have to attack Ukraine? Because it's very existence in peace with the west, eventual economic prosperity (like Poland, Czech Rep. etc), eventual diminishing of corruption as the country implements new laws are an example what Russia could be. Why is Poland the most hated country by ordinary state TV watching Russians? Because it's a medium sized country that achieved success being a part "of the West". The typical part of the Russian imperial (designed to enslave others) narrative is: Every strong partner will exploit a weaker one. Democracy is a lie. All you do by becoming democratic is you hide the corruption and you switch one ruler for another. China uses the same narrative, but internally. That's why these countries will do absolutely everything to poison the society in the US and any democratic country. When they are prevented of doing so (and they will, because people will learn what is the truth) and their regimes inevitably collapse economically (as China is starting right now) war is the only way these people can stay in power. So yes, a war between autocracies and free countries is inevitable unless free countries are strong enough militarily to be able to win it in few months tops. A prolonged war, like what we're seeing in Ukraine is actually a huge benefit for autocracies, because it removes the only thing they fear the most, their own people uprising.
So the next question is how US will respond. If the west chooses to defend Taiwan, they are basically at war.
The West will not be "choosing to defend Taiwan" because the West doesn't actually truly care about Taiwan, Ukraine, gaza or Israel.
The West cares about being the number one power and to this end it will be the US "choosing" to engage in war with china.
I'm Taiwanese, china isn't being coy with words here. They will invade Taiwan to force reunification in the same way the north forced reunification in the US civil war. They truly believe this.
This is entirely different from how the US is hiding behind the "defense of Taiwan". No the Taiwanese know the US doesn't care about Taiwan. They care about staying number one economically and they will may use the "defense of Taiwan" as an excuse to use war to stop Chinas economic advancement.
If it was clear that the US would stay out of it then perhaps China would have already retaken Taiwan. Arguably some of the other conflicts are really part of the same power struggle. Russia's half-failure in Ukraine is maybe causing China to take a pause.
Ukraine and Israel are a little different. Israel has the capability to defend itself. Ukraine is arguably less strategically important. A direct confrontation with Russia has perhaps a higher risk of turning into a nuclear war.
We as civilians have to choose if we want to live in a democracy or serve a dictator. It's clear dictators like to invade democracies, as is the case with both Russia and China.
Economic advancement of a dictatorship is asking for problems.
Take this article. It really has nothing to do with war or even china. But propagandists or people influenced by propaganda always insert that narrative. Try it with anything remotely china related. Someone or some bot or something always inserts a war narrative or anti-china narrative in it. It's clearly intentional and not organic. There is a coordinated effort to fearmonger war with china.
Edit: Interesting. Downvote brigaded. Wonder if it was this comment or the comment about ukraine...
The trend lines for the growth of the superpowers are clear.
Your great grandchildren will be native speakers of Mandarin.
Additionally china has already surpassed the US in overall manufacturing.
Maybe the Boeing issues are related to the use of JavaScript in Aviation?
Not really arguing about China being a manufacturing power house but I don't think that was the point that was being made. That part might be compatible with their regime (though arguably not the current regime any more). What would be the top 10 tech/science areas, other than aviation and JavaScript where China has demonstrable leadership over the west?
During Covid we saw mRNA vaccines coming quickly from the west. Including their manufacturing. Semi-conductor manufacturing technology is still led by the west (all the way up and down the stack). Tesla is manufacturing in the west fairly successfully (ofcourse with lots of Chinese parts). In the compute world I can't think of a single technology where China clearly leads. They might be manufacturing a lot of components but they're not the ones innovating/designing. Manufacturing is about cost/scale/momentum and they're still carrying a lot of the investment forward but I don't think the derivative of that is as steep as it was 5-10 years ago.
Wait 5 or 10 years and they wouldn't have enough young people to do it. The USA is doing much better on the reproduction & immigration front than China, so China probably cannot afford to wait in such a war of attrition.
Also thinking about the USA culturally, nobody would speak mandarin even if China was dominate, mostly for the same reasons why most of latin america only speaks their native language.
The US has a decent military drone industry, extremely expensive compared to international competitors with not as much dynamism/variety, but good volumes and reliability. China has good prices, is the global leader in dynamism/variety, and also global leader in volume; they're the biggest exporter. Turkey and Iran are both way above their weight class specifically in drone production, too, as is Israel. Turkey is even to the point where they're competing with China, which is really impressive for a middle power.
https://youtu.be/MNnB_50Z20I?t=553s
Previous HN discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33949895
Similar design MIT patented: https://news.mit.edu/2022/lincoln-laboratory-inventions-win-...
To be fair, the limiting factor might be manufacturing capabilities, given most attempts were using 3d printed propellers which results in terrible surface finish, compared to injection molding.
Mountains/ sea: expensive deliveries, lack of infrastructure, long delivery time, easy environment to navigate, less competition.
Urban: cheap deliveries with plenty of existing infrastructure and competitors, complex and dangerous environment to navigate.
DJI: 30kg/16km or 40kg/8km, 70 km/h (max)
Like defense.
They have accelerometer, gyro, full 4 channel control - basically a stripped down version of everything in a big drone (no optical flow based stabilization tho)
I assume this is what it was like in the World War I & II era watching tanks being developed.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-produce-one-mil...
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/construction-progresses...
^ not just ukraine but I think they're the farthest along this curve
you realize we still use planes in combat right
I know from experience.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraines-drone-spotters-on-fron...
and his book that just came out
A better analogy would be the airplane as it had dual civilian-military uses like the drone. Whereas a tank is solely a military use vehicle.
But the drone definitely has the ability to change war like the airplane did. Especially drone swarms backed by AI. You could buy 100,000 drones for the price of a single jet fighter. Imagine millions or even billions of drones fighting to take control over a city.
The reason for Caterpillar pivoting towards construction equipment after WWI is that they had essentially only made military equipment during the war, so their equipment gradually shifted towards larger and heavier machines. When peace came, their products were too heavy to be used as farm equipment, but perfect for construction.
I was letting my old friend rubber-duck on me with these topics, I think 5 < x < 10 years ago. I don't know who he was quoting, sounds kind of right in retrospective.