The Lightning Network isn’t working as intended and the devs have basically admitted it’s never going to though. I don’t think blockchain as it is built for the btc network is as scalable as you think it can be.
The fact is that Bitcoin is very likely to absorb a vast percentage of the worlds value simply as it is. Once this has happened its value will stabilise and it will become useful as a unit of account/day-to-day currency. By this point, there will be far more motivation to focus on developing solutions (such as Lightning) to allow smaller and faster transactions.
You present this as a fact, but the actual valuation of Bitcoin doesn't seem to support this claim. John McAfee bet (and proverbially lost) his testicles on broad estimations of Bitcoin's continued growth. Without extraordinary evidence, you can't make claims of extraordinary provenience.
> there will be far more motivation to focus on developing solutions (such as Lightning) to allow smaller and faster transactions.
If you need an L2 transaction layer to solve an issue inherent to an L1 chain, you're kinda just admitting that the base layer is flawed. Why use Bitcoin at all if we need mediators to settle regular transactions?
The "we'll fix it later" mentality works for shitty altcoins that have nothing to lose by reinventing themselves, but I'm not convinced Bitcoin can change. I was mining Bitcoin about a decade ago now, hearing people say "Lightning will work soon" or "a good interchain bridge will exist eventually" in 2024 leaves me convinced nothing has changed. It's a race between the economics and the technology to see which becomes outdated first.
On a similar note, TCP is an admission that IP is flawed. And HTTP is proof that the entire networking stack is a scam.
Clearly, any decent networking protocol would handle any and all information interchange anyone could ever need.
The fact that HTTP is on its third iteration, and it’s still built in top of the same Internet Protocol from 1974, proves that _nothing_ has changed. /s
Unlike the OSI model, Bitcoin's solution to finance is not modular or all-encompassing. If it's not going to adapt to modern demands, it will get replaced. There's no point in keeping around a financial solution that is impossible to fix when it breaks.
Your prediction for the future that a ledger with the throughput of a 28.8 modem will absorb the world's value is "fact"?
By this point, there will be far more motivation to focus on developing solutions (such as Lightning) to allow smaller and faster transactions.
It has been in the works for a decade and no one wants it. Why would someone use that when any other cryptocurrency (except for ethereum) already do small and fast transactions?
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/transactionfees-doge-lt...
Yes, the base layer network is ideally suited for storing extremely large amounts of wealth, for large amounts of time. No other asset has qualities that come close, they all leak value compared to bitcoin.
Are you copying some talking points or can you explain on a fundamental level why you believe this?
As far as clones. Network effect takes care of that. They would have to be substantially better than bitcoin to beat it and that is extremely unlikely to happen as bitcoin is close to perfect.
You realize that ethereum already surpasses bitcoin in transactions and litecoin and even dogecoin do too right?
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/transactions-btc-eth-lt...
Also you still haven't linked where you are getting these ideas. When you believe in predictions of the future with no evidence and no possibility in reality, that's called religion.
Bitcoin refuses to increase their throughput and at the current rate, everyone on earth gets a single transaction every 50 years. What part of this actually makes sense to you?
First off, the transactions on the main bitcoin network will be the largest transactions in the world. All the smaller transactions will take place on different bitcoin networks. Lightning is a decentralised example, VISA and Paypal are centralised examples.
This sounds like you have been soaked in /r/bitcoin propaganda. You realize that subreddit is completely censored so that anyone who goes against the narrative of more throughput or the absurdity of the lightning network gets banned right? Try going there an questioning the common narrative to experiment for yourself then see what happens.
You aren't confronting why anyone would do what you're saying. Why would anyone transfer money onto a network where they have to pay huge amounts of money to move it around? What problem does that solve? It isn't like people can't already move money around much cheaper than a bitcoin transaction.
The lightning network has been promised for over a decade now. No one uses it because you have to make a little cluster of transactions that have no impact on the actual chain until you pay the enormous fees. That's like a little village coming up with their own currency of swapping IOUs with everyone else and not being able to use their money until they pay $12-$37 to convert it something Other people will use. If your IOU is less that the transaction amount, it's frozen. It's an absurd idea that no one wants.
Most of all you aren't confronting why anyone would put themselves through all this when they could either use traditional finance or other cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is right now useful for and used for only speculation and nothing else. Knowing that why would anyone put their money into unless they were speculating on it?
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/transactions-btc-eth-et...