SF streets were clean for APEC, here's what Tenderloin and SoMa look like now
sfchronicle.com
sfchronicle.com
[1] - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Escalator_to_Bannan_...
https://web.archive.org/web/20110615070709/http://entertainm...
A lot of "NY/SF or nowhere" types have forgotten their prior lives, or simply never lived outside their bubble. I have many friends like this in NY and I find the "global citizen but only leave my city when I take a jet to another country" demographic fascinating.
Living in NYC or SF is great, but you know there's more to the world than your downtown condo & the same dozen European/Asian cities and tropical resorts you fly to 1-3 times/year.
You may find that the surrounding "nowhere", "flyover country" and "the burbs" you frown upon do bring something to the table and at least are worth experiencing from time to time. You may find it does almost feel like another country in some respects.
You pay at the pump.
Texans aren't somehow morally superior to everyone else, despite wearing crosses on their sleeves.
Our ancestors stole this land from Mexico, and Texans will absolutely steal fuel from you if they think they won't get shot.
You also find "pumps open 24 hours" even when the station is closed, but those are credit card only, of course.
For famous cities, urban decline is often an ebb and flow. If SF loses the tech crowd, it will attract new kinds of people who previously couldn’t afford to live there.
You need to have political will (and voter support) for policies that will get you there.
There is also an attitude from people who moved in at the early end of this trend saying "well it was worse when I moved here". Sure, but you got to buy your condo at 1/10th to 1/4th todays prices, and everything around you got better for the last ~25 years, which is probably why you've stayed.
No one deserves to be a victim of a crime. When the value proposition you offer to new residents is "your apartment will cost you $3M, but you still won't feel comfortable in your own neighborhood" then those people with money will make other choices.
My observation is that only now are we starting to see some the loud "theres no problem" voices die down so maybe we are on the way to rationally tackling some of the challenges. Ironically 2023 was the year that the 2020->2022 crime wave at least in NY started to die down, so sentiment really is lagging.
But I can't deny there have been periods where it's been palpably worse than normal.
In the late 90's early 00's Market St was a porn hub. Before Twitter was gifted their headquarters, that part of the city was a dump full of porn shops, abandoned buildings and bums. In the 70's it was a dangerous heroin invested place with open air prostitution and lots of crime.
The greatness of SF is its ability to not only reinvent itself, but with it reinventing how the US and the world at large function. SF will emerge from this slump in a new and better form. This is just a part of that process. In other words: Same as its ever been...
You have to want things to get better for them to get better. It is not an automatic force of nature. "Shrug, it's always been like this" is not how society moves forwards.
Basically it proves they can clean up for superficial appearances, but when it matters to everyday residents they are incapable of acting.
This is pretty much a guaranteed characteristic of a systemic problem.
The problem being public safety, not the national homelessness crisis. Although I'd love to solve the latter, it's a separate problem that San Francisco clearly is not capable of solving on its own. The former problem, on the other hand, it can.
This event apparently cost "$11.3 million in overtime", for an event one week long, so I'm going to just approximate that as $587m for a whole year, or $720/person/year (more per tax payer, but I don't know how many tax payers there are in SF).
This may be OK for you, especially as that's out of a total budget of $14.6bn[0], so your total taxes would only go up in this case by x1.04.
But that was funded by the expectation that the event itself would bring in about x5 as much extra economic activity as the increased costs. If you do this all year, perhaps it would also boost the economy, which would be good; or perhaps it will only displace the people with the issues, which would be bad, because where exactly the people are is a zero-sum game for your nation, while actually moving those people costs money… and your city government has to deal with the surrounding cities all deciding to respond in kind, which could make the cost of such displacement arbitrarily high, not bounded to just $720/person/year.
[0] https://missionlocal.org/2023/08/explore-san-francisco-budge...
[1] https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/sf-apec-budget-overti...
It cost a lot because of the momentum of the current status quo. If they changed the status quo and set different expectations of what will be permissible and not, it would not cost so much to maintain.
It's like comparing refactoring vs rewriting. One is a semi continuous process the other is a periodic thing that takes a lot of work.
External areas would respond in kind. However, they will balance two possible responses: "anti-displacement" and provision of homeless services, depending on what's most effective. The latter does more than shuffle people around.
In fact, that dynamic in reverse is how we got to the status quo: other areas have essentially no homeless services but plenty of appetite for displacing to places that do have homeless services, like SF.
Usually it’s not lack of funding that prevents good solutions to public safety issues, but rather people’s individual rights (very strong in the US) rubbing up against the commons’ rights (very weak in the US).
That is a bit more cynical than your take, but it is possibly the more realistic one given that the people in power are there because they want power.
For example, if you tried to fully enforce all the traffic laws, you may find that very quickly everyone's banned from driving (including the police). Perfect enforcement of copyright law would probably destroy all of the Hollywood studios and newspapers, for all of the newsworthy examples of the MPAA and newspapers suing individual pirates for copyright infringement.
But in each case, while you're doing that, you get some combination of all the other crimes go unresolved and/or the costs go up massively, e.g. if the UK were to fully enforce the UK prohibition on heroin[0], it would need to triple the nationwide number of prison cells even if literally every other crime was ignored.
[0] which I choose as an example of things nobody even wants to defend, not even if they otherwise think drugs are cool
- Poor, mentally ill or unhoused people are corralled into a lawless district. Though the district was perhaps set up with some justification about helping people, it mostly just segregates the very poor from being seen
- The society has extreme wealth inequality; Dax meets/befriends a tech entrepreneur in BART
- We even meet a low-level administrator who knows that the system isn't working but says something like "I need this job"
I am especially interested in hearing actual current SF residents comment on whether or not this article is roughly speaking accurate.
It's win win if you avoid the bad areas and the bad areas don't grow too large. SF failed because its underclass grew too large and they stopped arresting the criminals among them. Now the people with the nice jobs in the nice houses don't want to live there because they increasingly need to live among the poor.
There's a decent chunk of people living in SF that think it's the best place to live in the world BY FAR.
The idea that SF property values are going to tank is, well, completely disconnected from reality.
If property values did tank, there would be a far better chance of solving SF's problems, but the root problem is that about 1.5x-5x people want to live in SF than they allow for homes to be built, creating massive inequality and misery.
The revulsion you feel at living in SF is quite similar to the feeling many have about not living in SF.
It's not "if" but "when."
And big liberal cities are the places where you can get money.
WFH showed us that if you give people options, they will take them.
>spend all your money on housing and property taxes and etc.
If you can’t get that kind of job in SF, but still live in SF, things are really tough, leaving is a good option.
Let's say my salary is $100k/year, and my expenses are $90k/year. I have $10k/year to save (or blow). If I move to somewhere with 3x salary and 3x costs, then my salary goes to $300k/year and my expenses go to $270k/year, and so I now have $30k/year left over.
But it's not that simple, because of progressive tax rates. The federal income tax on $300k/year is more than 3x the tax on $100k/year. Or, to put it a different way, you get 3x the salary, but not 3x the take home pay. Out of that less-than-3x take home pay, you now get to pay the 3x expenses.
Now, it could be that when people say "3x the expenses", they're taking that into account. But I suspect they're not. I suspect they're looking at COL numbers, and I suspect that the published COL numbers are just housing, food, medical, and the like.
Lots of costs aren’t indexed to the area you live in. Computer, phones, trips to Mexico, and to some extent cars cost similar in SF as they do in Mississippi. Food prices don’t vary as much either, their might be a 20% difference, but not 3X, same with medical (really, housing is the main thing that is very much more expensive, everything else is slightly more expensive to the same price).
Your retirement savings include your house, so you have a career in SF and then retire to New Mexico, the locals will hate you and your crazy home equity you bring with you.
However our disposable income was dramatically different. So anything in "US dollars" like airplane tickets, smartphones, etc were out of reach to them.
Gee, I wonder...
Liberal literally means freedom.
Poor people would no longer need to steal for their daily dose, all would be provided by the state. The illegal market would disappear since you can't compete with $0 price.
You would have hard drugs vending machines on street corners, that you can access with your government provided drug card.
IMHO, if a person is prepared to habitually commit crime to fund their habit, it's time to get them off the drugs, by force if necessary.
Develop 'rehab jails' for addicts, where they can be kept off the streets, tapered off the drugs, and given decent treatment for underlying mental health issues.
You would probably still need to get these people into treatment, and prevent them from selling the drugs onwards, and prevent new people from getting on drugs.
The invisible hand of the market could be a powerful ally in all of these, but we prefer as a society to do things in a difficult way that has never worked.