>This is highly unlikely. India has a geography that more or less ensures that it's going to be a big player in its region, but it relies on imports too much for its industry and is hemmed in too much by its geography/neighbors that super power status is not likely anytime soon.
Highly unlikely? It's literally the case already, technically. I wasn't being nostradamus exactly, it's just a matter of china's collapse vs india's highs. Which is at the moment about 2008 levels of collapse, very near to asian financial crisis levels. Which is probably a few weeks away, maybe 1 month at most.
China's fault, nothing they can do to fix it at this point. Seizing Taiwan has to happen pretty damned soon if they want to make it work out.
India does have a main problem of it being surrounded by enemies.
Japan is going to be flying high on china's collapse as well, great news for Japan soon.
>Why would it have to go hot? Nuclear war isn't going to happen without existential stakes for either side and a conventional war would be extremely difficult to wage with the Himalayas in the way. In fact, that is in part why China annexed Tibet so that India couldn't sneak in a forward position on the other side, but it doesn't make a Chinese invasion of India that much easier.
They seem to be making due in the ladakh region. Major highway to nowhere with major AA... it's clear where it's heading which is why China has invaded them a few times. Makes total sense why China has invaded India multiple times now.
Not to mention... xinjiang genocide... if you believe that anyway.
Flipside, China has about 100million incels they need to kill off. Every single time in history when there's too many incels, they are sent off to die in war.
Nuclear war won't likely occur. They'll keep the fighting to the rural west and we'll see where the lines move long before nukes are used.
Meanwhile, punjabs are fleeing to north america in droves to avoid the inevitable. We benefit greatly.