A startup founder's hourly rate
ninjasandrobots.com
ninjasandrobots.com
The fact that on the 10% chance that a startup is successful the founder's time will need to ultimately have been worth $1000/hour in order to make the gamble worthwhile does not by any stretch of the imagination justify your making decisions as if your time was actually worth that much. Because nine out of ten times, your time is actually worth nothing. [Not to mention that the market doesn't care one bit what your time would need to have been worth to make the gamble worth it for you, nor the fact that increasing your burn rate actually decreases the chance that you'll succeed at all]
Your time is only worth whatever you can reasonably expect it to be worth, and that has to include the chance that it's worth $0. If you start only considering the upside, then you can start justifying all manner of stupid purchases: why walk when you can save six minutes ($100) per trip by keeping a limo service on-call? Why bother cooking for yourself when you can hire a private chef? Hell, why bother coding when you can "only" pay $500/hour and get a best-in-the-business programmer to do it for you? You're still "saving money".
Please don't think like this. It's a recipe for failure.
Really, this essay sounded like the opposite of the 'lean startup' idea. Remember, cutting expenses is relatively easy. Whats hard, is bringing in real money.
Direct link: http://blog.idleworx.com/2011/12/your-time-is-not-worth-that...
It should also be pointed out that you probably shouldn't bother with the startup if all you care about is money and the expected value is exactly the same as predictable contract work. If it's worthwhile then either the payout should be significantly higher or there should be some reasons other than money at play that are again going to influence calculations.
The logic certainly applies to time invested in product choices. If you're doing a VC-backed startup, you are playing a high-risk, high-reward game. Early on, unless you are building something crucial to delivering a lot of value to a lot of people, the time spent is waste.
So if I spend $10k of developer time (as measured by, say, salaries) to build a feature that only makes $15k back in revenue or cost savings, then that's a bad move in a VC-funded business, even though most businesses would be happy with that.
Our rule of thumb when making build/buy decisions is to use a number well above loaded developer costs. 3x, I think, for precisely these reasons of opportunity cost.
I agree that startups should still strive to be frugal, but I do note that Google had a chef from early on, and it's pretty standard startup advice to pay up to hire the best people you can get, rather than getting somebody cheap but adequate-ish. Sometimes being frugal requires paying up.
You get the pots from your parent's house because you don't have pots and you have 10k in the bank. Getting those pots extends your runway by 5%. I do agree with the idea that certain services should be bought, but if anyone really, really believed what they were doing was worth $1000 per hour the first thing they would do would be to hire a do-everything-secretary that would make coffee and lunches, would send emails and do laundry. But people don't do that, what people do is maximize the chance that they can take off.
In general, I'm sure there are plenty of successful people for whom this worked out but there are probably as many unsuccessful people (that we don't hear from) who ended up spending cash they didn't need to. Cashflow matters.
Personally I try to optimize for "overall lifetime impact". Sometimes that means picking up pots from my parent's house. Most often it means going without pots.
I guess you can also optimize for "likelihood of success in current venture" or even "present value of future earnings" and get similar results.
I don't care how much I was making before. And I don't need to code as if there were a gun to my head. I'm not worried about being beat to market, or about the expectations of capital.
I'm just going to do the work I love, within a relaxed atmosphere, in the way that makes me happiest. This seems like a way to produce good work. And eventually, good company culture.
I was actually hoping this article would translate the amount of equity most startup founders receive into a per-hour rate. Now that would be an interesting read.
Something doesn't add up here.
That road trip to see your parents (or going out with friends, or stoping to take in the present) is valuable in itself. It gives you time to center and to regain your balance. Thinking that every hour that you take off is costing you a thousand dollars is a great way to burn out.
Saving that $30 on hosting though, that's probably not worth it.
I would imagine many small businesses fail because they are making the decisions that would make a lot of sense if their company was the big established company that they wanted it to be but not the tiny cash strapped thing it is.
Just about any successful small business founder (not necessarily tech founders) I have spoken to has told me stories of staying up entire nights stuffing envelopes, traveling all over the place to beg/borrow expensive equipment that they required but could not afford or trying to learn HTML themselves so that they could get a basic website up.
Of course for an established company it makes no sense for the CEO to do these things but at this point survival is priority #1.
If a startup founder's hourly rate is <potential value of work per hour> / 10 (using Author's logic).
The saving of $600 is guaranteed, assuming it takes 10 hours, the founder would be "making" $60/hour. Making it more "profitable" than working on something that could potentially worth $5000 for 10 hours (given 0.1 probability, that ends up being $50/hour).
The reality is that founders, before they have money in the bank, value money more highly than time. Money seems finite vs. time which doesn't seem to be (that's obviously wrong). It's easy to spend extra time doing something vs paying for it to be done because it feels like time is the asset you have plenty of (vs money).
In addition, doing anything can make you feel like you're making progress. When actuality, you're just mistaking activity for progress.
Hypothetically, if as a one person startup, spend $1000 on rent and $1000 on food a month, and can expect to work 8 productive hours a day every day in a month (Just imaginary numbers here!)
That means we have an hourly cost of about $8 dollars an hour. Which is to say, for every 8 dollars you spend you have one less hour of time.
P.S the counter intuitive property of looking at it like this, is that if you are spending more monthly, it also takes more money to loose an hour. But this is due to the fact that you have fewer hours to start with, and thus each hour is worth more.
However, from a bootstrapping perspective, I think it is useful to look at the value of your time in a different way. If you are thinking about leaving a job that pays $100K at big company X to bootstrap something, you might think of your opportunity cost as $100K. But a lot of that $100K will go to taxes, so when you quit your job you really only loose $60K. What's more, you might spend more on living expenses with your big company job (vacations, etc), that you would give up while bootstrapping but not really miss. So, maybe you are really giving up something like $30K/year in true lost value.
I quit my big company job about 9 years ago to bootstrap a very small company. It has worked out well, and proved quite profitable by whatever measure of opportunity cost you'd like to use. But because when I quit, my taxes went to zero and my expenses went way down, I found that the actual cost to me of forgoing income for a period was much lower than I had imagined.
The real practical value of this should be applied to maximizing your time when you are actually "working."
Asking yourself is this coffee break, phone call, friendly chat, HN comment, or whatever else you do at work, "Directly Contributing to Making Money (i.e. talking to users, building features,etc...)"
As a consultant, I set a goal how much money I want to make this year. I assume I get about 800 actual productive work hours a year(being honest with myself) and divide it by the goal of what I want to make and now i have a minimum value of my time.
In this context, when I stay true to it, I eliminate a ton of wasted time at work because I know every moment I waste is another dollar i need to make up elsewhere.
A founder should only get (truly) paid on a liquidation event, be it an IPO, acquisition, or a new round of funding (this last one being a very big no-no).
No founder should ever be paying themselves market rate. If you hire a CEO from the outside and you need them for your company to succeed, _that's_ an instance when pay market value. But, if it's just you running the company, you should be keeping cash in the company, deferring to when it really pays off.
Should you be eating ramen for 10 years until you sell a billion-dollar company? Of course not. You also shouldn't be squeezing every penny into your salary until you hit "market value."
I have a trick for how much you should pay yourself: figure out how much you need to make per month so your company focus isn't interrupted with "how am I going to pay rent this month?"
There needs to be some point at which you say "ok, I've done well so I'm going to reward myself by upgrading my lifestyle"
While I think it's important not to waste time away on twitter, reddit, hackernews et al: if you start running a tally of how much $$$ every one of your waking hours is worth, you'll drive yourself crazy.
A related issue I'm having right now though - I only want to spend my productive hours creating and developing. I don't want to do the "social media expert" work as well (test-marketing and promoting my sites, etc.) I feel that my "developer hours" are worth considerably more than the non-development work, especially given that I'm not very good at the latter. I've been thinking how I could engage my unemployed friends to help me out with testing, promoting, etc. and make it a fair deal (based on future success/web statistics) but haven't gotten very far.
If you always think in terms of "how much is this activity costing me per hour?" then you will never let yourself do anything fun or relaxing because the guilt will be too much to let yourself enjoy it.
Having fun and relaxing to prevent burnout is equally important to making your startup work, otherwise you will drive yourself (and the business) into the ground, in which case everything is worth $0 anyway.
If anyone actually used this logic (note the expectation of 4-9 failures per success that brings about this time valuation), they would be broke very damn quickly. Good luck getting funded the next time after 4+ failures.
You should only be working on two things. Talking to users. And making features.
:)