Woman with rectifier and electric car (1912)
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nyheritage.contentdm.oclc.org
I was trying to find the range of gas cars vs electric in 1912, and it looks like gas cars at that period tended to be a little over 100 miles and the best electrics were 80, with most at 50. It’s too bad the Model T wasn’t electric.
“ While the prototypes seemed to work well enough, in Ford’s view they had a fatal flaw. His development crew had been unable to get the Edison batteries to perform as required. While nickel-iron batteries have a long service life, they are slow to charge, produce less voltage per cell, and as we’ve already seen, are considerably more expensive. To move the project along, the team substituted ordinary lead-acid batteries, and at that point Ford’s patience reached its limit. Without the Edison batteries, the electric flivver no longer had any reason to exist, in Ford’s mind anyway. After a reported expenditure of $1.5 million, mainly in Edison batteries, Henry pulled the plug.”
https://www.macsmotorcitygarage.com/henry-fords-electric-mod...
I'd intuitively think so, as it's mostly chemical compared to mechanical work, and that would explain why thermic engine were favoured at the time. (On top of economic reasons)
If you completely ignore the externalities of oil (which we did for a very long time). Then it’s very hard for an electric battery to compete with diesel or gasoline. Gasoline has an energy density of about 46MJ/Kg, compared to a lithium ion battery at just 0.9MJ/Kg and that’s a modern battery. A lead acid battery is just 0.15MJ/Kg.
So right out of the gate, your thermic motor can be two orders of magnitude less efficient than your electric motor, and still achieve the same range with an equivalent mass of stored energy. And that’s ignoring the fact the thermic engine burns its fuel, so does more useful work as the mass of stored energy drops.
To be quite honest, it’s astounding to me that electric traction was even remotely competitive with thermic traction back in Henry Fords era. The head start thermic engines get from such high density fuel is kind of obscene.
But gasoline is so energy dense and at the time was so incredibly cheap I think it would’ve been a fight even if the batteries were better.
Did they? Even today, most travels are under 100km, often averaging around <60km a day for commutes and less for non commutes. Would that have been different then? I wouldn't be surprised to learn that back then, when the car was replacing horse drawn carriers, on a very rudimentary infrastructure (no tarmac, no paved roads outside of City centers) it was even less.
And about recovering from using your fuel. It's easier to walk (or hitchhike) to a fueling station and carry a gallon or 5 of fuel back to your vehicle than it is to carry back a similar amount of electric charge. So you've got to move the vehicle somewhere it can charge --- not too hard today, electricity is near omnipresent and highly standardized in the developed world and mobile generators are common; but in the early 1900s, not so much.
I imagine few people were regularly using personal vehicles for commuting at the dawn of cars, but cars and trucks are immensely useful to move goods. Rapid point to point transport of goods for routes beyond navagable waters and the rail network opens up a lot of opportunity for trade and doing business in more of the country.
Note that cars can work with minimal infrastructure --- pavement is nice, but not required, although modern cars might not like it very much.
That seems more like post facto justification than an original design consideration.
Early cars were meant to be easily fixed, though. And that was likely a design consideration. Before cars were fuel-injected and full of computers there were "shade tree mechanics" everywhere. Of course "easy to fix" is maybe just a proxy for "unreliable." Kind of like software . . .
> cars and trucks are immensely useful to move goods
So are wagons pulled by draft animals. In fact, those wagons are much more reliable before roads were built to enable the automobile. Probably why there was a reliance on them for several generations after the country was crisscrossed with rail.
> pavement is nice, but not required
Pavement as we think of it was designed for cars, not vice-versa. The Appian way has lasted for thousands of years, but that's not much like how our streets and highways are built.
https://pavementinteractive.org/reference-desk/pavement-type...
define reliable? Of course there was reliance on them, rail doesn't go all the way to your back garden
At that time, fast long distance travel was there: trains. So why was personal, fast, long distance travel wanted. And was it really fast (faster than a horse?)
Replace gas/elecric with digital/analog. Is something I contemplated having studied neuroscience.
When the voltage means something, you actually have to get it right. With digital circuits, just smash it in the right direction as fast as possible. Get anywhere near Vdd and you have a 1, perfect!
I wonder if anyone at the time had an inkling of the long-term downsides of gasoline powered engines?
There probably wasn’t widespread knowledge at the time of mass production.
Then ~70 years ago, vehicle and oil giants absolutely knew what was happening and got the wheels spinning on a massive propaganda machine that continues to thrive today.
All those cars would have needed electricity from somewhere, and at the time, gasoline and coal were pretty cheap ways to generate it.
It's pretty trivial to range extend a gas vehicle within reasonable limits. Gas cans had a lot of development (the shape and features of a modern metal gas can came together in the 1930s), but any container sturdy enough and sealable will work. In a model T, fuel was fed by gravity, so tank capacity is strongly limited by where you can put the tank. On a vehicle with a fuel pump, there would be more flexibility (my first car had a 33 gallon tank... if you combined that with a fuel efficient powertrain, the range would be huge)
While not entirely critical I suppose, not getting stranded in an EV today also relies on much newer stuff as well, like the on board computer using cellular communications and GPS to help find a charging station within range of your destination. I imagine that in the absence of this assistance, the number of disabled EVs would be intolerably high, and delivering a can of gas is much simpler than delivering electricity or towing.
But it doesn't make the question "where would we be now, if the choice had been made different" less interesting.
In isolation, sure, battery chemistry might've gone a little further. But I suspect it would've plateaued sooner without the sophisticated battery management systems that modern integrated circuits enabled.
When taken in scope of events of the 20th century like the World Wars? Countries that had adopted electric would've found themselves at a decisive disadvantage against countries that chose oil. The gas piston engine enabled advances in aviation and blue water ships. I have my doubts electric adopting countries would've survived against those advantages.
https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2023/2/28/a...
About full electric vehicles, according to the article they are planned for 2050 and
> “If your batteries are so heavy that you have a five-ton truck that has four-and-a-half tons of batteries on it, it doesn't leave a lot of room for cargo … and how am I going to recharge an electric vehicle in the places that we're going to be?”
ICEs were crucial for aviation during the World Wars. Even today we're barely able to build electric airplanes that can go anywhere.
gas cans!? the way we generally range extend a gas vehicle is to pull into a gas station and a couple minutes later you're on your way again.
For electrics, gas cans would be additional heavy batteries, while filling stations have the longer refill time, which can fit your schedule (recharge while at work) or not (stop to recharge every few hours on a long drive).
(please don't all start telling me about quick charging and a list of neat things to do while you wait and how the mindfulness is overall better. I'm just making a comment about available means to extend the range of a car)
in the transition phase (horse to car), a farmer with a model T could use a horse and buggy to bring a gas can to a stalled car. Would have to tow the battery car to where there is electricity and a rectifier. Look up "rural electrification program" to see how little electricity there was in the hinterlands at that time.
Familiarity is another thing that would have pushed people towards gasoline rather than electric. As well as the easy replication of the distribution network, by the same suppliers.
That was a time before electrical engineering as mature field really existed. The situation parallels software today.
It didn't help that Edison was electrocuting animals across the country to frighten people about AC in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Topsy_(elephant)
The mysterious workings of electrical gadgets were also the inspiration for Rube Goldberg's cartoons.
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/story-behind-rube-gol...
That was the electrical zeitgest a little over a century ago.
> The story of Topsy fell into obscurity for the next 70 years but has become more prominent in popular culture, partly because the film of the event still exists. In popular culture, Thompson and Dundy's killing of Topsy has switched attribution, with claims it was an anti-alternating current demonstration organized by Thomas A. Edison during the war of the currents. Edison was never at Luna Park and the electrocution of Topsy took place ten years after the war of currents.
Imagine if America chose to respond to the 1973 oil embargo by investing tons of resources into the development of solar panels and made true energy independence a priority.
We would be in a totally different position right now with regards to the climate and geopolitics.
EVs lost because gasoline is fucking awesome when considered solely as a means to transport energy and release it in a controlled manner. That's really all there is to it.
What sort of innovations in material science were needed to bring about the development of more efficient or affordable solar panels?
Meanwhile, in the 1950s and 1960s nuclear power was going to be the Next Big Thing, and it was understandable that low-efficiency PV tech was of interest only for things like satellites. IMHO, the top-down energy policy managers that couldn't fulfill the "too cheap to meter" promises of nuclear power wouldn't have been up to the task of accelerating PV technology either.
Solar cells are not like gas lasers, which could have been built in a neon-sign shop in the 1930s if the science needed to steer the technology had been in place. They are more like practical neural nets. Sure, they could have been built in the 1960s... if only GPUs weren't so darned hard to come by.
(And as someone else suggested, any nation that began the 20th century by pouring the resources into PV cells and EVs that we put into fossil fuels wouldn't have lived to see the 21st.)
Similar story for lithium batteries. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7215417/ seems to be a decent survey of their evolutionary timeline. They consist of multiple discrete technologies. R&D that goes into a good cathode has to be done separately from work on anodes. Same for electrolytes and separators. Looking at the bibliography in that article, batteries don't seem like the sort of field where progress could have been accelerated just by throwing money at it, and I think that's true for PV tech as well.
It seems to me that by the 1970s all the groundwork was there to start a solar panel revolution and that the major reasons it didn't happen were political and social, not technical.
Keep in mind that I haven't done any research on this subject yet, I just thought of it a few days ago and I'd love to hear input from anyone who is much more informed on the subject than I am.
If your dad thinks solar is failing today I'm not sure he's a very reliable source of information. Solar has been growing exponentially since the mid 2000s and shows no signs of slowing down - the average year over year growth rate in solar capacity since 2016 is about 26% (doubling every three years). The most common error in understanding and forecasting the growth in solar capacity is underestimating future growth - every IEA prediction for the growth of solar for the last 10 years has been significantly higher than the previous year's prediction, and also a dramatic underestimate of the actual installed solar capacity. Experts in this space have been predicting that the solar exponential will level off next year for a decade, and in all likelihood they will continue doing so for another decade.
The Battery story is somewhat different. My first set of batteries finally died a few years ago. Likewise I've probably replaced three or four inverters in that time.
Whatever, my off-grid Solar power system has repayed itself many times over.
But solar, I think we really under invested. My semi-trollish comment is if we invested as much in solar as we did for nuclear we'd be 30 years ahead. Trollish because it upsets people with an emotional attachment to nuclear. But it's also flat out true. The technology was rapidly developed in the 50's and 60's but no one spent the money to mass manufacture them until early 2000's.
It's not like people were commuting 60 miles each way on highways in 1920, and I doubt model t's were actually normally hitting their theoretical top speed anyway.
They'd have been outcompeted by the cars with longer range and higher speed (and no reliance on lead acid batteries that must have horribly degraded with intensive use), just like they were in the 1910s. It's not like they weren't tried: the tech had a longer history than the ICE and they actually outsold the ICE in the US in the first decade of the twentieth century
That's not what the commenter said. Don't put your interpretation of the words into theirs.
It is very feasible that the investment of 100-some-odd years of battery research and a marked non-future invested as deeply into oil and gas as we have now would have rendered our entire world vastly different. This is not a claim that the future would have happened sooner, but rather the events that unfolded and the research would have been different.
For example, it's way easier to move around a can of fuel rather than being limited to an electric grid in a time when electricity and proper roads were not ubiquitous yet. I imagine it would have been too limiting to need to bring the car somewhere specific to re-charge when you are still trying to figure out what this automobile thing is good for. Is it good at the farm for example? Can't tell with the electric car if you don't have electricity at the farm.
I think viable electric cars landed about when they became practicable. Lead-acid absolutely shits the bed rapidly if discharged below FIFTY percent SoC, so take your kWh rating and cut it in half straight away. And remember that you're carrying around a ton of wet lead to achieve that. Not great. NiCd is crap, NiMH is better but not overwhelmingly so, and lead-acid can deliver a lot more current. Li-ion, then? Remember how rubbish laptop battery max charge cycle lifetimes were in 1999? The battery lasts maybe a year of regular use, and then it's shot and the laptop runs for 30 seconds and powers off. And it costs $300 to replace. Now make it 200x the size and put it in a car you use for your daily commute and get ready to spend BMW money annually on new Li-ion. The improvements in battery tech in just the last 15 years are really something to behold, and not coincidentally that's when Tesla was able to start shipping compelling vehicles.
Now somebody tell me why I'm wrong ;-)
If you insist: electric motors have always been far more efficient than their ICE counterparts. 80% is easy, 90% is doable. 95% and up requires more tricks and even regular EVs don't bother because they might as well use some of that waste heat to heat the pack or the interior of the vehicle.
It's a pity we didn't go for Otto-electric hybrid drive cars like the EMD locomotives that have been running since before I was a going concern. The genset runs at its optimal RPM for power delivery and fuel consumption, with rapid refuelling and the massive range benefits of liquid fuel while the electric motors deliver a wall of torque and minimal driveline losses all the time. Dump it into a battery (or a flywheel KERS, whynot) to smooth out the peaks and valleys if you're feeling fancy. I am nearly certain that we had all that tech in 1912 - it's completely analog and self-regulating! - but it probably didn't pay for itself back in the days before they'd invented things like the environment and non-unlimited supplies of crude. Bummer.
I still want to build an EMD lawnmower.
EVs in my experience have been a step change in car tech. Having a battery as a starting point rather than an alternator opens so many doors, from just having a stable grid to run devices on, the real time AI video processing, to the ability to play modern games on the cars hardware. The designs are far more simple than ICE, take the steering wheel off a tesla vs an ICE and you can get a peak at just how far behind ICE is in relying on complicated and expensive implementations of basic functions.
I just don't like these comparisons regarding efficiency, we arent really making a fair comparison; if we did EVs would probably lose considering the energy source and transmission losses, and it still would be a useless metric because thats not what anyone (sane minded) has ever bought a car for. All I care about is that the cost of ownership makes sense; the fact that the total efficiency of my own setup, where solar charges my car, is probably <25%, does not concern me.
Like, why go battery-heavy at all? Why not design some sort of EVA-like tether to a utility pole in each set of fields? Hook up your equipment when you enter the fields, spend 8-12 hours driving back and forth attached to the tether, unhook and use a small battery -- or even a battery-trailer -- to reach the next field or the barn at the end of the day.
Obviously there are problems with this scheme, but the point I'm getting at is that field work is such a radically different set of constraints to interstate, city or even rail networks that it feels like there should be a different set of solutions possible.
Apparently there was one in 1882: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:First_Trolleybuss_of_Siem...
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/03/09/metro/overhead-electr...
Instead of the usual ICE loud bus noises, the most noticeable sound was like (IIRC) maybe some springy metal brushing along some other metal.
Something I’ve seen mentioned a few times but don’t know has been deployed is having trolley poles on a battery electric bus tho: you still have the battery space and weight issues but if you’re on trolley routes you don’t need to charge, and it allows more flexibility as the batteries mean you can go off-route (useful in case of blockage or roadworks), buses can now jump between sections, if the engagement procedure is good enough you can electrify bus stops with overhead hooks to spot-charge (just get the poles out and engaged), and you have the flexibility to explore bus route layouts and “upgrade” them to trolley routes without touching the rolling stock.
https://www.sfmta.com/getting-around/muni/munis-electric-tro...
Apparently Lyon (with a continuously operated trolley network just 9 days younger than SF's) has also been deploying electric trolley buses since early 2021. Before that they got some autonomy with small ICE (just 88hp).
I mean, I'm open to it. Batteries are expensive-- most of the cost of a tractor conversion. Go build a prototype that competes on cost and I'll cheer from the sidelines and maybe buy one if I can afford it.
https://jalopnik.com/when-the-soviets-built-an-electric-trac...
deere employee, but not speaking for the company.
https://community.twistedfields.com/t/join-the-solar-farming...
Also farms are the premium spot for electrification. Tractors need to run for long times (especially in the HUGE farms in the US that are bigger than some countries...), but there are other vehicles that can be electrified like ATVs, forklifts and other small tools.
The best thing is that many farms can produce their own electricity from biogas on-site. Or use the biogas directly in CBG converted engines.
Considering pretty much all power back then was produced by burning coal and that lead acid batteries are not exactly environmentally friendly it's not that obvious.
Seems unlikely. The core innovation behind lithium cells is polymer chemistry that didn't exist until the 80's. There might have been a market to drive adoption, but it still needs to wait for the science.
This seems unlikely. There were major industrial and military uses for rechargeable batteries throughout the 20th century. Things like submarines, portable electronics, stationary fallback for critical services (phone exchanges) etc., all added up to a substantial economic interest in battery technology.
The Nikel-Cadmium chemistry was known since 1899, but the materials and production process were considered too expensive to make them practical until mid 20th century. Advanced processing such as powder sintering to increase area were simply unknown at the time when the ICE vs EV competition was in play. By the 1920s, the ICE and petrol fueled cars were capable of ranges and fuel economies we can barely reach even today with Lithium batteries, a technology that became possible only in the 70s, taking advantage of substantial lateral progress in material and chemical science.
A hypothetical world of electric vehicles would have spurred battery sales and investment by an order of magnitude or so, but the actual effects in hastening productization of high density cells would have probably been marginal and below what was required to win against the ICE, disproving the hypothesis. You can see this diminishing return of research at work today where, despite the order of magnitude increase in the battery market, progress is very still sluggish, pitted against hard, physical limits.
Battery applications are critical. Tons of money has been spent on research. If there was something revolutionary to discover it's likely it would have happened.
100 mile EV town cars would be great, they'd be much less money than the long range EVs and target air pollution in the places that need it most. Trying to make EVs take over for ICEs via policy mandate is just insanity.
i've tried to rent cars and been turned away because they were out. I've tried to rent but discoverd I wasn't allowed to do what I want (rocks are hard on trucks so I don't blame them, but it means I have to own for those weird things)
Had a 100 mile range EV been available at a significant cost savings, I might have done that and started renting now for range reasons rather than space reasons.
I think there might have bee some confusion. I meant "cheaper than an EV with the usual 250ish mile range", not cheaper than an ICE vehicle.
I bought an EV last year. It was more expensive up front than a comparable ICE vehicle, but the loan payments + charging costs were actually cheaper than the loan payments + fuel costs would have been. With my vehicle, I may, in the future, have to rent a larger ICE vehicle on rare occasions. This was a possibility I considered before I purchased the vehicle and decided I was fine with it, since my monthly fuel savings will more than offset this cost. I was suggesting that, for a sufficient discount, I would have bought an EV with less range and started renting a vehicle now, instead of potentially in the future.
I've been looking at EVs, like you I expect that the savings in fuel will be significant - but the car it would replace is paid for so the loan is hard to stomach. (that car is 12 years, 215k miles, and otherwise showing age - I'm going to look hard at the id.buzz when it comes out this summer - but if I can buy a used minivan for half the price...)
Or the town cars can be designed to take an extra battery that you can easily rent (preferably from a charging station) when needed.
I save so much on the 99% of drives when driving with electricity vs gasoline so I can just rent a car for the or fly/go by train and get a taxi in my destination.
You might make the case that steam power would have dominated until the 40s-60s if the Doble-style steam generator had been available in say 1890. By the time they figured out how to make useful steam cars gasoline had already won.
For the curious: the Doble-style system uses a steam tube that flashes water instantly to steam - not unlike instant hot water heaters but for steam. They also used condensers so the steam was cooled by a radiator, condensed, and the water re-used. Often paired with a double or triple expansion piston and an aux piston to run an electric generator for accessories. In these cars you turned the key and within 10-30 seconds you can drive away. No need to warm up a boiler and no large tank that might explode. And no water loss so no need to fill up on water either. They could essentially burn almost anything flammable. Steam also has instant full torque at any speed similar to an EV. But it was all developed far too late to matter.
How many electron microscopes, X-Ray crystallography machines, mass spectrometers, computer aided simulations and design systems and other contemporaneous tools, methods and theories had to be used by Goodenough's team and then the thousands of researchers in the subsequent decades to get to the point we are today with lithium batteries? It just doesn't sound like something that was possible pre-1940, the period where the bulk of the ICE improvement happened.
And you really need lithium chemistry for practical EVs; despite the enthusiast conspiracy theory, the General Motors EV1 was nothing more than an clunky, expensive curiosity that failed in the marketplace. The only way EVs could become practical reality (if barely) was that the ICE stop improving, hampered by emissions regulations, to the point where advances in lithium battery technology and economics could catch up. Such environmental concerns were pure fantasy more than a century ago.
Another issues to consider is that, even if not used for road transport, ICE were essential for aviation, the history of aviation being, to a fist degree approximation, a history of high power density propulsion methods that made mechanical flight possible. Major improvement of road engines (for example turbocharging, fuel injection, VVT) came from aviation. Since electric aviation remains still a dream, it follows that any counterfactual road transport history must account for the existence of a highly competitive aviation ICE.
When imagining these fun little scenarios, like what if the Roman Empire invented the steam engine or Victorians the microchip, we almost always tend to discount the highly contextual nature of scientific discovery and innovation. Previous scientific and technical progress alter the world in profound and subtle ways, transforming what was once considered a pipe dream - and not for lack of trying and visionaries - into reality.
To take a simplified example - did Thomas Edison have a deep understanding of what was happening in a lightbulb filament? Or did he just try 10,000 different ways to make a lightbulb until he converged on a good one?
Good to know that steampunk could have been practical!
You also need to develop separator films with the correctly sized pores with very few defects or the battery eats itself. Pores big enough for lithium to pass but nothing else. And a stable non-liquid electrolyte.
No one could even conceive of such ideas in 1900 let alone attempt to make such things. They didn't even know where to start looking to grasp the problem, let alone any solutions to try.
But there are non-rechargable batteries. Zinc-air batteries have around 600 Wh/kg energy density (3 times more than Li-Ion) and they could have been manufactured with the technologies of the early 1910-s.
Zinc-air batteries can't be recharged in the usual sense, but zinc oxide can be reworked into the metal form easily.
Not only that, but the fundamentals of the thermo involved in ICEs were understood way before the electrochemistry thermo which lags thermal thermo by 50 to 100 years. Thats the theory; on the practical engineering side, by the time Goodenough was born in 1923, Sir Ricardo had figured everything we need to know about ICEs. Goodenough was working with late 20th (early 21st!!) century technology, Ricardo with turn of the 20th century tech.
Modern electric cars can now also use regenerative braking which means brakes last a long time.
The biggest downside of electric cars currently is the batteries. They 100x less gravimetric dense than gasoline/petrol.
Gasoline has volumetric density of 34.2 MJ/L and gravimetric density of 45 MJ/kg. Cost about ~$1/L. A 50L tank has same energy as ~450 kWh battery weighing only ~40kg.
Lithium ion batteries have volumetric density of ~1 MJ/L and gravimetric of 0.5 MJ/kg. A 450 kWh battery would weigh 3,240kg (3 tonnes!).
We are gonna be addicted to gasoline for a while until we solve for an equivalent clean energy dense fuel that can be efficiently converted to electricity.
--
In similar perspective, solar panels are now quite cheap (<$1/watt). The big problem is energy storage. Lithium batteries are still quite expensive, bulky and not much energy dense.
Nature on the other hand has solved this problem millions of years ago. Natural solar panels (leaves) store energy in wood (mostly cellulose).
Dry wood is ~20 MJ/kg and ~10MJ/L. Still >10X more dense than Li-ion batteries.
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Long range electric cars use most of the energy to move the heavy battery instead of the payload inside the car.
Humans don't weigh much (~70kg). A tesla model Y has (~770kg) battery. That's 10X the weight of payload.
Not to mention safety.
https://spectrum.ieee.org/lithium-ion-battery-fires
Recharge time is not the problem as much as recharge frequency. I can go on long trips with my Tesla. I don't mind the recharge time -- it's a good chance to get a cup of coffee or take a bio break -- but their frequency is a little irksome (if you're being cautious to protect the battery life). But then, generally I'm traveling with at least one person who needs bio breaks pretty frequently, so it works out fine.
A pail of gas is essentially inert and dead safe until you go out of your way to aerosolize it. Even though it will burn if lit, it doesn't light itself no matter how you abuse it, and, it even evaporates and dissipates itself completely away in a short while. IE, if you spill that pail, there is a short window of time where there is a risk of a fire, but after that the there is no more gas and no more risk.
A lithium (or any other battery for that matter) with the same amount of energy is essentially barely contained and always trying to get out and only held back by great care and no flaws in the materials and careful handling.
It's a totally different prospect or dynamic. It's not just the fires in the accidents.
"I don't mind the recharge time" is meaningless or valueless. It doesn't matter that you can afford to spend an hour getting a partial recharge, the world can not afford for all the bezillion refills to ballon to by such a crazy amount.
The system can absorb a handful of Teslas only because there are only a handful. And a lot of what makes an ev remotely practical is having an overnight charge at home. Many, maybe even most, vehicles do not have a matching garage where it's even possible to install a charger. Some day we might have street-side charging where every parking meter is also a charger, but that day is a far off fantasy. The power grid is not remotely ready for that either, especially when you add the removal of gas heating and cooking from new construction.
EVs are really completely impractical luxury toys that a few people in just the right hot-house environment can get away with, and only as long as it's not too many of them.
It will be a great future but it is the future.
But it's still under 50% of EV efficiency.
So despite the current state of modern transportation/ technological advancement, we can now all see what apparently matters most to a (now) seemingly useless generation of educated 'opinionated specialists' pitifully beholden to their investors or large banks (this means you Tesla!), the reality of actual utility (such as farm use or manufacturing) can be seen on a grander scale, eg. A mass grid of indentured servants working a non-optimized routine for decades (might have overestimated their capabilities in that sense) vs customized electric tools (think handheld farming, perhaps each attached with it's own horn - not necessarily loud or aggressive but like those you see on clown cars), would they have eventually revolted against the machines/electric tools taking their place? Like the farm equipment of the past, obviously not the current capable tech we have to read about daily (for lack of better offerings), those indentured workers would likely be seen as no different to said farm equipment of the past.
Their only outlet to vent their frustrations at their inabilty to escape their milieu wouldnt amount to much more than dainty gossip, or to take a term from reddit 'circle jerks' (probably with not much to jerk about), but perpetually useless against effecting any actual change to their plight, espousing their views as best they could. So at least some technical know-how would give them a voice!
Workers rights have advanced leagues upon leagues in the past century.
We can only learn from the past and apply those competitive (capitalistic!) tendencies and methodology to building better tech and actively avoid the same pitifalls.
ICE cars soon bettered them in sales because 1. range 2. speed 3. oil price - due to the discovery of large oil deposits in the USA. 4. initial cost - thanks to Henry Ford's innovations.
The difference is that it is downright trivial to add range to a petrol vehicle. Making the tank larger by 10 liters will add less than 10 kg of weight, but will increase range significantly. The same is not true of battery electrics.
From an engineering perspective with the information available at that time, the decision was probably "correct". Batteries were something like a necessary evil. For example to propel uboats because of the lack of oxygen. Otherwise the energy density and triviality of re-fuel-ing easily wins out.
Yes, induction motors existed then because Nikola Tesla had invented them, but they couldn't be used in a car because they required AC. So cars were stuck with brushed DC motors. Those work but they're not maximally efficient and the brushes eventually wear out and need to be replaced.
Today we use efficient induction and brushless DC motors in cars, and those are only possible because we have cheap power electronics that can chop up a DC voltage into an AC waveform of arbitrary complexity with fine precision. Power electronics didn't exist until the 1960s, and they only got cheap in the 1990s.
The technology wasn't even remotely ready yet in 1912. Remember, the GM EV1 of 1996, with VFD drive and NiMH batteries that didn't exist and couldn't exist in 1912, still only managed a hundred miles of range. Despite the conspiracy theories, the EV1 wasn't a very compelling car. It required better batteries and motors to get something like a Tesla a decade later.
Pretty terrible compared to modern engines that are >90% but that's just about twice more "fuel". Not negligible, but fairly small compared to everything else.
As for the brushes, they are cheap carbon rods. I guess that on a car, it would be like changing the brake pads. Not much, especially compared to the amount of maintenance cars needed at the time.
Compare to early internal combustion engines that were about 5% efficiency in the early 1900s and have steadily increased to almost 40% today. That's 8 times!
So yeah, their electric engines were primitive, but their gas engines were even more so, the that would have been in favor of electric.
edit: Nikola Tesla is credited with inventing many things he did not invent. He was very skilled and prolific at patenting his improvements on existing inventions, though.
Tesla made induction motors practical.
I don't think it's wrong to say (informally, to a first approximation) that Tesla invented the induction motor. Edison didn't think up the light bulb either, but by virtue of making light bulbs practical it's not wrong to refer to him informally as the "inventor" of the light bulb.
It's worth pointing out that the early electric cars were almost exclusively sold to women. Early cars were messy and dangerous, and a safe easy-to-operate car was often bought by the wealthy to give to their wives. It ended up being the advent of the electric starter that killed the early electric cars more than anything. (Breaking your thumb hand cranking a car was a very common occurrence previously).
Glad to see copyfraud alive and well on Public Domain Day.
This article from 1936 captures it well.
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1936/05/16/farewell-my-lo...
> A rectifier is an electrical device that converts alternating current (AC), which periodically reverses direction, to direct current (DC), which flows in only one direction. The reverse operation (converting DC to AC) is performed by an inverter.
As soon as electric starter became a thing, electric cars were dead. Their usage continued only with delivery vans for some time as gas engines were still unreliable and for delivery fleets, dispatch reliability was very important.
Properly dangerous in case people dont realize this. This wasnt people being squeamish.
>In the winter of 1908, a woman stalled her Cadillac in Belle Island, Michigan, and didn't have the strength to crank the car over. So she sat there. Another driver by the name of Byron Carter happened along and offered to start the stalled Cadillac. Carter was the founder of CarterCar, which was acquired by GM in 1909, largely due to the company's development work with friction transmissions. Carter was also a friend of Cadillac founder Henry Leland.
>When Carter turned the stalled Cadillac's crank, the engine reportedly backfired, the crank hit him in the face and broke his jaw. Tragically, gangrene set in, and, medicine being what it was at the turn of the last century, Carter died later that year.
Delivery vehicles (post/milkman) had to do the uphill people first as the batteries did not have enough power to get the car up the hill at the end of a day.
...it was dangerous and dirty. Especially women.
To be clear, women were not dangerous and dirty back then.Also, I'm sure there were women who could turn the crank - and men who could not.
Jokes aside, it is enlightening to see how far we have come. Just 10 years ago, seeing a Tesla in SF bay area would be a topic of conversation. Today, I have two Teslas parked in my garage and yesterday when we went for a NYE party, 80% of the attendees drove Tesla (or Tesla drove them ;)
(own an S, an X, and two Ys; also have a Cybertruck reservation)
And for my S plaid, it will beat anything on the road. Any super car or hyper car, it will take in 0-60 and the quarter mile.
The sound system is extremely good.
And the fact that my car has a gpu with steam and wireless controllers is a very cool feature. Playing street fighter in my car on an 18” screen is extremely neat.
What roads are you racing on and how often are you having to race a quarter mile?
I'm not being sarcastic in that question: my cousin waited several months for a repair on his Model 3 in the Phoenix metro area with at least 2 dedicated Tesla corporate garage facilities.
My car has adaptive cruise control too.
> Any super car or hyper car, it will take in 0-60 and the quarter mile.
Wow such a high schooler mentality. It's literally the only thing worth mentioning when describing Tesla to someone.
Shouldn't you watch it at all times, since it's not reliable? Sounds more like a gimmick to me, just driving the car yourself seems less tiring than constantly hovering over an ai-driven car, being ready to take over in an instant.
I don't predict EVs will completely takeover though, as there is major distrust now of most governments and the one world order that seems to be attempting to form, and the highly dense energy of easily transportation gasoline is an obvious way to not be dependant on an easily controlled-captured power grid.
That's because you're restricting the ICE to gasoline. I believe you don't need a refinery to produce ethanol from sugarcane (ethanol-fueled ICE vehicles are common here in Brazil); I don't know much about diesel, but you might also not need a full refinery to produce biodiesel.
I know EVs will get cheaper. But there’s no chance they’ll ever be as inexpensive as the cheap gasoline cars that some people can barely afford today. It’s unavoidable for car ownership to go down on the long run.
It may not be such a bad thing to have more public transport or car sharing schemes though… but in the mean time expect disenfranchised people to vote for populists candidates that go against EV policies, hence slowing down adoption.
The tail end of EV adoption will be a lot longer than people think in opinion.
My guess is 20 years for 2/3 cars to be EVs. 10 years for new cars and another 10 for the second hand market.
It took about 10 years for SUVs to become the de facto car form factor. So I see a similar adoption here.
ICE vehicles otoh depend on gas stations & all the infrastructure behind those. Yes they're still everywhere & you have range, but sooner or later you have to visit one. Only exeption are engines that take fuels like plant oils (some diesel engines) or perhaps ethanol.
Apparently the inventor had tried to make a solar thermal generator but noticed a direct voltage being produced.
- https://www.driving.co.uk/features/charging-electric-car-loo...
- https://artsandculture.google.com/story/ge-and-the-electric-...
More photos of women and the GE Electric Car ca. 1912: https://www.flickr.com/photos/gereports/4993857638/
https://artsandculture.google.com/story/ge-and-the-electric-...
I dunno, actually, it is hard to say because we tend to be a little pessimistic nowadays, I don’t think we overlook much, it is just that there’s an all encompassing feeling that every choice has negative outcomes and we have to pick one. Maybe that’s the thing we’re overlooking, cynicism disguised as skepticism resulting in total paralysis.
I'm pessimistic, but I doubt the human race can bring up the sacrifices needed to save itself from slow (or fast) annihilation.
We have the tech, the knowledge, the urgency and the funds to change. I'm convinced all that's holding us back from actually fixing stuff is social.
It's tempting to blame the industry, and endeavor into conspiracy theories, but even without doing so, it is baffling how modern charging infrastructure and policies (again, at least in Europe) are not progressing very well. Apart from the Tesla supercharger network, all other charger networks still require you to have a dozen accounts, different payment methods, sometimes mandatory "balance" accounts, RFID tags, etc.
Elon is very intolerant but at least he is popular with the traditionally hardline climate change denier crowd. I'm really hoping that will make for bipartisan climate action support in the end.
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/republican-strongholds-are-barel...
If you want to have some app-based loyalty programs or whatever, the way supermarkets do, that's fine.
But this seems to be a perfect area for consumer regulation.
In Amsterdam a lot of the officials that collected the coins actually took a lot for themselves even. All those little coins add up to a lot.
But it should NOT be necessary to give up your privacy. Privacy is a human right.
Considering the fact that the machine counts the coins it receives, and a value of coins gets deposited in a bank, this seems like the easiest fraud in the world to catch.
If that went on for a long time, that is some horrifically incompetent oversight.
Edit: I'm suddenly realizing this was probably about the pre-digital coin-operated parking meters. Which makes me wonder how could you prevent widespread skimming? Unless they had tamper-proof "odometers" inside that you had to record the value of each time you emptied them?
> Considering the fact that the machine counts the coins it receives
It doesn't. The added hardware for that would be redundant if you could trust the coin collectors. Remember, these were completely mechanical devices.Eventually it was very hard to find who tampered with the books but eventually they were caught, which is how we know about it.
Most gas stations in the US take cash without having to fend off constant robbery attempts. I don't see why EV charging stations could not do the same.
Putting cash in a pole in the street is really going to casuse a problem at the amounts that EV charging requires.
I rented an EV, and had to download an app, use 2fa, and store my credit card, to be able to charge at the hotel I was staying at. This was pretty crummy.
Vehicle-based auth, at least w/ rental cars, sounds like a great way to make lots of money with fees.