* Regulation is passed specifically to limit what artificial partners can do. Possible limitations: alignment required, limits in ERP, limits on session time. Best bet is China.
* Stronger regulation is passed to limit unauthorised cloning of people’s voices in one of the major economies. This beyond current weak IP and privacy laws.
* AI becomes a scapegoat in several major elections.
What I got right last year:
- text and image generating AI is hugely disruptive to education and content generation
This was pretty obvious
- Inflation eases, stock market recovers
Less obvious at the time but still likely
- A Twitter alternative breaks through.
Who woulda thunk that it would be Meta with Threads
- One of the big tech companies joins the fediverse (Microsoft most likely)
Once again, Meta for the win with Threads joining the fediverse
Now, nobody look back at all the predictions I made that didn’t happen.
Also, fairly gutted that Reddit hobbling its API was my 2022 prediction. I’m clearly prognosticating too far into the future.