Before the whole WW2 and holocaust thing, Germans really laughed off Hitler. They believed they were too artsy, too cosmopolitan, and just too advanced for a dictator.
So my guts tell me we're not great at judging real threats politically.
This is a little dated, 4-5 years maybe. There are 30,000 gun related deaths per year by firearms, and this number is not disputed. The U.S. population is 324,059,091 as of June 22, 2016. Do the math: 0.0000925% of the population dies from gun related actions each year. Statistically speaking, this is insignificant! What is never told, however, is a breakdown of those 30,000 deaths, to put them in perspective as compared to other causes of death:
• 65% of those deaths are by suicide, which would never be prevented by gun laws. • 15% are by law enforcement in the line of duty and justified. • 17% are through criminal activity, gang and drug related or mentally ill persons – better known as gun violence. • 3% are accidental discharge deaths.
So technically, "gun violence" is not 30,000 annually, but drops to 5,100. Still too many? Now lets look at how those deaths spanned across the nation. • 480 homicides (9.4%) were in Chicago • 344 homicides (6.7%) were in Baltimore • 333 homicides (6.5%) were in Detroit • 119 homicides (2.3%) were in Washington D.C. (a 54% increase over prior years)
So basically, 25% of all gun crime happens in just 4 cities. All 4 of those cities have strict gun laws, so it is not the lack of law that is the root cause. This basically leaves 3,825 for the entire rest of the nation, or about 75 deaths per state. That is an average because some States have much higher rates than others. For example, California had 1,169 and Alabama had 1. Now, who has the strictest gun laws by far? California, of course, but understand, it is not guns causing this. It is a crime rate spawned by the number of criminal persons residing in those cities and states. So if all cities and states are not created equal, then there must be something other than the tool causing the gun deaths.
The point of rules like this is usually to make the government very afraid of it’s own people and to make sure they (the government) serve them (the people) well.
There are a 110 ways to kill people, if someone wants to kill you on the streets, not having guns aren’t what’s holding them back. It’s far easier to buy fetanyl in your streets, and just inject someone with a high dosage and leave.
> I'm not too concerned with a Cambodian genocide happening in the US.
I wouldn’t cast the concern aside that freely if I were you, I don’t think its productive to look down on Cambodians as less civilised or believe in a sort of American exceptionalism, where things like the Cambodian genocide is not a possibility.
As an example, I’d like to show the time when the government of California, was actively sterilising perfectly healthy american citizens for “eugenics” purposes [1][2] (a precursor to what could constitute genocide if those policies were nationalised)
This is however just one example, you could argue they are linked to racism and a race superiority complex from those times, but reasons and causes can change across different times, the communities targeted may also change, the outcome (the potential risk of a government turning its back on its own people) is always present.
The great governance (in comparison to nations across the world) that america benefitted from in the last century, was earned and paid for in blood, ideas and sweat by you’re previous generations of citizens, constitution designers, policymakers, independent organisations, and right groups (on both aisles).
I would say the concerns of a gov fallout is always ever present and the duty of every citizen in any democracy across the world to keep an eye out for, and put in all sorts of protections against such fallout whenever possible.
- [1](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXn3IzQTDOg) - [2](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zCpRVP1DgQ)
If this were true, then America wouldn’t have failed so badly in Afghanistan, guerilla tactics work. The objective isnt to defeat the military in a war, if that were possible it would lead to instability and random groups of americans from taking over the government anytime. The objective is to give enough capabilities to everyday citizens to atleast be able to setup a resistance severe enough that no government would consider such an action. For those abilities I think the liberties provided are helpful enough. But I agree with you, there are far more dangerous instruments being used against common citizens now, that it makes people protecting themselves with guns a bad joke. That calls for more policies to allow citizens to defend themselves, whether that’s a more robust education system to help citizens catch lying politicians, or a more robust system to bring in control the massive polarization spreading across all democracies, and defences against gutting out of the middle class that’s taking place. But all of them call for more protections to be added, not existing ones to be removed
There is quite a gulf between making a democracy give up on occupying you (especially when the reasons for that occupation become kinda nebulous), and an internal rebellion or civil war.
Guerilla tactics are often successful in the former case. The latter situation is much more prevalent, and in most cases just devolves into long term suffering.
More effort should be placed in helping people improve their lives, get access to healthcare, education, food, clean water, protect them from isolation and mental health issues, improve the civil discourse so people are kinder and gentler, more civil to each other.
The answer might not be present in taking people’s guns away or remove methods for people to protect themselves.
America has had a century of prosperity, while having the liberties to carry arms. You’re right a lot of democracies are right now at risk of an internal rebellion and civil war, including america. But the question is what caused it and how can we reverse the trend ? The answer surely cannot lie in removing something (gun rights) that was present even in years of prosperity.
The risk of foreign governments initiating civil war is real, and america itself has done this to other countries that once used to be democracies, civilians not having guns certainly didn’t prevent those civil wars, it’s not that difficult for nations to pump in guns to rebels and terrorists to cause instability in a nation. None of those countries had gun rights like america did, yet they all fell to civil wars.
The answer lies in government serving the people, and being afraid of the public.
Not in making gov fearless, and thus less concerned about working for the masses.
Think about it for a moment, you and I are worried about a civil war breaking out. Why ? Because the recent government on both party sides haven’t been too honest and diligent in working for the public.
Whether that’s in deteriorating public education, prospects of high tech jobs, destruction of good blue collar jobs for people to improve their lives without obscene college debt, bad healthcare policies.
These situations can only happen from an apathetic government structure that cares 0 about the masses.
How do you think, it’ll make those same governments more caring towards the public, by removing the first and second amendments ?
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think gun rights are necessary or some messiah that’ll save mankind, I just don’t understand the obsession with trying to remove them.
Guerillas fighting an occupier (especially a democratic one) have had a reasonable track record of success. Guerillas fighting their own government much less so - the world has been and still is littered with those conflicts. There's a big difference in what is at stake from someone who can just go home, and someone who is fighting for their own home/survival.
No more cinema, golf, theater, water park, mountain hiking or yachting.
Not being able to take a walk within half a mile of your property's border, always waiting for security to check the cars you are about to use, often having them tell you that you cannot go to xyz, because they lack manpower (or whatever reason) to secure the routes.
Citizens having access to weapons is a deal with the politicians that their daily lifes will only be as great as those of their subjects.
There are no (or very few) other democracies with that culture. From the outside, it seems that culture and those attitudes are more likely to erode your democracy than protect it. A tiny minority viewpoint could create that fear, get that protection enabled, and then you've lost that leverage over the politicians you're touting.
As democracies go, US politicians are already the most removed from contact with their citizens - it already seems like you're in a vicious circle here. Politicians fearing their citizens doesn't seem like a good basis to form a healthy democracy on.
And yes, constitutions should be designed to keep representatives in check and afraid of messing with the people. A constitution should restrict the power of a government and empower the citizens.
I'm ex-military and I don't agree with this statement at all. It's even less clear when you look at the number of people involved in Jan 6 and their affiliation with police or military.
You can pull from history on what members of the U.S. military will do against their own citizens so long as those citizens are properly vilified.
If there's one thing we've learned over the past century is that conventional armies are terrible at winning guerilla wars against population.
> The point of rules like this is usually to make the government very afraid of it’s own people and to make sure they (the government) serve them (the people) well.
Does the existence of the problems not demonstate that that idea has failed in practice?
It's supposed to do that, but it ain't.
Iterate.
Like many other laws and policies, 2nd amendment alone is not sufficient.
The better question to find the answer to your query is.
Is removing the 2nd amendment and gun rights going to magically save america and stop its marching decline?
I don’t think so.
> I don’t think so.
I don't think that's the right question at all.
I don't want to make changes to "magically save America and stop its marching decline" (whichever decline you happen to be peddling).
I want to make changes to get fewer people in America shot in the short-to-mid-term.
Do you still believe that getting rid of the 2nd Amendment would hasten an American collapse? Because I haven't seen it effectively stop ANY so-called government overreach, and don't believe it will prevent any in the future either.
In the long-term, it also introduces its own existential risk: why should I assume "the citizens people with the most guns who do the best in a revolution" would institute a government better for me than the current American one?
I think it's silly to pretend that different countries' institutions are all equivalent. Some have much more robust systems of checks and balances, justice systems, levels of corruption, etc. And no, it's not that Americans are 'more civilized' than Cambodians, it's just a byproduct of the circumstances of history that led to this point.
What a violent fantasy. Can you show us any legitimate, serious source that says such a thing, or indicates that it has any basis? When in US history has the government or it's officials been "very afraid" of the citizenry? (Who would serve in such a government?)
And given that the government is chosen by the people to carry out their bidding, it would be odd for them to then threaten it.
I don’t think its good to pretend that some holy god falls out of the sky every few years during election time and asks every citizen who they want to choose as their leader.
No one’s talking about slinging guns and start shooting up all the politicians. If one doesn’t like a policy, they should go to the courts, write a letter to their representatives or vote for someone else the next time who they agree more with.
The issue is in pretending as if all of this is a god given right. It needs to be defended every moment.
You dont want an elected representative to come to power, setup the military to be loyal to that leader and then pull the rug on everyone else, jail the opposition, enslave the public.
I’m not saying this out of some fiction book, it’s happening as we speak in Myanmar, happens every few years in Pakistan, essentially the status quo in North Korea.
A robust democracy should not depend on the good will of dear leader. But be based on the foundation of its public.
More people are dying in america from drug addiction (from hopelessness and neglect of society), obesity, drunk driving, suicides every month, than you’ll see deaths from the 2nd amendment rights of everyday citizens to have guns and the right to carry them.
You have to ask yourself, why politicians rile up the public so deeply about the 2nd amendment, but totally ignore the common public’s disheartening reality and abandonment.
The 2nd amendment is a worst case scenario law, if you read history of most countries across the world and the tyranny of governments who have 0 fear of public, maybe it might change your mind.
I’m not saying that the 2nd amendment makes american politicans shiver in their beds and make it hard to sleep at night, or prevent them from still disappointing the public.
But there are far more worse realities which would make the current “hell” look like a sweet ideal utopia.
Every country and its citizens should strive to improve the lives of the public, disarming the masses is an odd hill to die on while on that quest.