The falling nutritional value of crops
jeroenvanbaar.substack.com
jeroenvanbaar.substack.com
Yes, in general indeed. Essentially every major sustainability problem on the planet is caused by people refusing to acknowledge that there are no free lunches, and no free loans either.
That's a strange argument to make. Once these fertile soils become usable it is preferrable to have these resources inside the EU, not outside of it. And if you're worried about competition in the agricultural sector inside the of EU, then you could as well be concerned about a few other countries in the EU right now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernozem?useskin=vector#/medi...
(and wouldn't that be an incentive for Russia and Canada to have the world warm up?
When clearly at least one other country has even more black soil?
>Chernozem layer thickness may vary widely, from several centimetres up to 1.5 metres (60 inches) in Ukraine
How do you know it's incomparable?
That statement would still hold for other countries with layer thicknesses in the 1m to 1.5m range. Which seems entirely comparable considering the area covered is multiple times greater.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/15/ukraine-memb... https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/ukraine-says-pol... It will probably destroy all non Ukrainian farms for grain and might even do it for specialty foods because it's hard to complete with (guessing) 40% black soil verus 1% or less. They can grow for a very long time with no need for crop rotation or fertilization.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernozem#/media/File:Chernoze...
So drawing a straight line between soil nutrients and food nutrients is simplistic
Soil are complete ecosystems. Plants are complex organisms.
You can dumb it down a lot and get very good result for some time, but eventually what made it anti-fragile, à la nassim taleb, will run out. And your alternative is not anti-fragile.
That’s generous. Someone’s in the holiday spirit.
Molecules that would be synthesized by the plant from trace compounds or pathways that require trace compounds would be lacking in the plant if it's lacking in the soil.
So if the soil is lacking in those trace compounds, there will be a gap in the output nutrients when we consume the plant or vegetable as food. This goes up the chain and is a reason why grass fed livestock is higher in Omega 3 fatty acids due to the differences in the feedstock.
Same as how farmed salmon don't have orange flesh because they do not consume the same food sources as wild salmon. So their flesh lacks the molecular compounds that result in the natural pigmentation that results from consuming organisms that consume krill.
Commercial fertilizers replenish the compounds that are required for the rapid cellular growth of the plant, but do not sufficiently replenish the trace compounds that would be in the soil from natural cycles of growth, decay, and recovery. There is also the factor of biodiversity as different plants, animals, and fungi will enrich the soil composition in different ways through their natural lifecycle which does not occur in monoculture industrial farming.
(Not critiquing modern monoculture industrial farming as its efficiency has allowed for huge growth in the human population, but it's clear why it would result in less nutrients in the output over time as the soil itself becomes depleted)
The main drivers could very easily be due to a variety of other factors. Like the sibling comment says, it could for instance be changes in agricultural practices (like the plants growing faster) b/c farmers naturally optimize for volume and not nutritional value per-kg or per-calorie
There are just a million other variables at play - and the nutrients in the soil aren't intrinsically the limiting factor for the nutritional of plants - b/c what's nutritional is fundamentally different
Those fertilizers are also responsible for saving the lives of millions of people.
Perhaps we should go back to nightsoil instead.
Per the article, that doesn't appear to be a critical factor.
> The problem is that while dwarf varieties and increased CO₂ levels allowed wheat and rice to grow larger, the amount of nutrients they sucked up out of the soil stayed roughly the same.
Sounds like you can grow/gather the same size apple faster, leaving less time to soak nutrients.
The theoretical model put forth is this: the nutrition in fruits and seeds comes from the plant, not the ground. It’s substantially what’s been saved up all season. So when a smaller plant has bigger fruit, it doesn’t have the reserves you’d expect for such a volume of produce. Hence nutritionally anemic food.
Add to this fruits and veg selected for shipping stability. Longer times to rot, and thicker skins that don’t bruise when loaded into crates. That shitty bland tomato you bought probably wasn’t even ripe when it was picked. It ripened in transit, possibly by being exposed to chemicals that boost ripening. Underripe fruits were picked before they were ready.
Don't get me started on tomatoes. We have ourselves to blame for pivoting the supply to tomato varieties with no flavor. [0]
> But as growers bred tomatoes to meet those priorities, flavour gradually diminished. “Every time they bred it and tasted it, they thought, ‘that doesn’t taste so bad,'” says Tieman. “But after doing it over and over, the flavour has changed.”
[0]https://chatelaine.com/food/trends/tomatoes-taste-florida-re...
I don’t even like tomatoes, but they piss a lot of people off.
I heard an NPR interview a few years ago where a farmer was trying to do for peaches what we have done for apples - make a palette of flavors instead of the 2 we get. Those are selected for shipping as well. They are only really flavorful just before they spoil, or when baked.
Imagine if every farm needed to test their produce for nutritional value and have nutrition labels at the store. I'm sure things would change.
Because there's more CO₂ each individual plant will grow larger and draw up proportionally fewer nutrients. At the same time, we are also able to rotate crops more often, so whatever replenishes nutrients in soil is probably now "covering" a larger numbers of growth cycles.
Odd that you would be well informed about organic farming circles but blissfully unaware of the routine practice used by the majority of the agricultural industry.
If the intention was long term sustainability, focus should be on feeding the soil, not the crop.
Which means it definitely doesn’t have much nitrifying bacteria and absolutely doesn’t have any fungi transporting minerals from deeper underground or by organically weathering sand particles.
I keep sharing Gabe Brown's three-part video series titled Treating the Farm as an Ecosystem, now and then, here on HN, whenever such threads come up.
Some really solid practical and pragmatic stuff there, on regenerative agriculture, which, as I understand it [1], goes beyond organic farming, and is related to many of the issues talked about in this thread.
[1] I had done organic gardening successfully, for a few years, some time earlier, so I have at least some practice and experience (and also a lot of reading and thinking about what I read) as the basis for my opinions of his work and those of others I mention, such as Elaine Ingham (a video by her is below too).
One of her most astonishing finds / claims is that (IIRC, I saw the video a few years ago), almost all soils anywhere on earth have more than enough nutrients for plants for many many years.
She said the real issue and limitation is the lack of soil organic content and soil structure and mycorrhiza ( https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mycorrhiza), without which even applying tons of nutrients is useless.
And, Gabe has a big farm, a few thousand acres (so not small scale) in North Dakota, USA, with field crops, green manure, livestock on pasture / prairie, etc. And is making profits from his farming operations, sustainably, even regeneratively, without government subsidies, and more than his conventionally-farming neighbors, some of whose soils are getting worse, while his get better over time, by objective measures (checked by external govt. agencies) that he mentions.
Here is Part 1.
Treating the Farm as an Ecosystem
https://youtu.be/uUmIdq0D6-A?si=bTLRoacXTGiAP-Qr
And here is the video by Elaine Ingham, The Roots of your Profits, in which she talks about the points I mentioned above, and some more relevant ones:
The Roots of your Profits
Human waste never makes it back into the ecosystem
So we only extract minerals, consume them, then bury them (landfill) or put them into the ocean (wastewater)
Modern humans halt the natural cycle of life in every region we inhabit
We have to actually restructure society to get to any kind of widespread health
Note that this waste is a bio hazard. So the obvious, just send the waste back to the fields in the empty truck cannot work. Once a tank has been used for waste you cannot use it for food again. Thus you end up with twice the trucks gong back and forth if you try this - and this in turn presents more CO2.
Paris casts twenty-five millions yearly into the water. And this without metaphor. How, and in what manner? Day and night. With what object? With no object. With what intention? With no intention. Why? For no reason. By means of what organ? By means of its intestine. What is its intestine? The sewer.
Twenty-five millions is the most moderate approximative figure which the valuations of special science have set upon it.
Science, after having long groped about, now knows that the most fecundating and the most efficacious of fertilizers is human manure. The Chinese, let us confess it to our shame, knew it before us. Not a Chinese peasant—it is Eckberg who says this,—goes to town without bringing back with him, at the two extremities of his bamboo pole, two full buckets of what we designate as filth. Thanks to human dung, the earth in China is still as young as in the days of Abraham. Chinese wheat yields a hundred fold of the seed. There is no guano comparable in fertility with the detritus of a capital. A great city is the most mighty of dung-makers. Certain success would attend the experiment of employing the city to manure the plain. If our gold is manure, our manure, on the other hand, is gold.
What is done with this golden manure? It is swept into the abyss.
And they are routinely re-added while working on the fields. All it would have taken is a visit to a online fertilizer storefront for farmers.
The problem is the rising efficiency of photosynthesis with higher carbondioxid in the air. Means, faster growth, more sugar, less everything else.
In addition I want to express my deep disgust to the "blood and soil" nazi ideology most back to natural farming people push as soon as you drill down on the consequences.
There have been many changes in the consumption pattern in the last century.
Many fruits & vegetables where not available year round, so even if they have less mirconutrients, orange, bananas, strawberries, etc. used to not be consumed as much as now.
There's also been a huge drop in the consumption of organ meats, which contain much more vitamin and minerals then most vegetables (with the exception of vitamin c).
And it's also certainly not like the ways in which we used to can and/or boil vegetables was great at preserving vitamins either.
We currently have unprecedented variety of produce. Even if one item is lower in a vitamin that it didn't have much of to begin with, now you get to eat something else that naturally has tons more.
Today, a new same jars have iron listed as 2%
Historical changes in the mineral content of fruit and vegetables in the UK from 1940 to 2019: a concern for human nutrition and agriculture
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.1080/09637486.2021.1...
There are not half as many carbs in wheat and potatoes as there were. I don't understand nutritional value to mean 'amount of trace vitamins', and neither does wikipedia. Is this a fair definition
That’s why you’ll die without adequate carbohydrate intake, but you don’t really need any, say, vitamin a, right? Right?
You may not like that fact, but it is a fact and your straw man about vegans eating carrots that you hallucinated into my post doesn’t change that.
> carbohydrates, fat, protein, minerals, and vitamins
So, it seems accurate to include minerals, which are essential for health
(But that's not what's going on here)
The researchers aren't arguing that we eat less. They've defined some things as important "nutrients" in some sense and noted that the relative (not absolute) concentrations of those have decreased.
Whether that matters for a particular application is up for debate. Certainly macronutrients matter. It's really not hard to understand what they mean though.
Secondarily, I disagree with you a bit I think:
(1) Wheat is an important iron source. Lack of vitamins minerals in modern rice definitely killed a bunch of poor east-Asians who couldn't or didn't know they should supplement their diet more heavily with non-rice foods.
(2) Even if the focus on cereal grains were the main point, an obvious side-suggestion is that cereal grains would not be the only afflicted crop. At a minimum, that would need more study. Some of that study has been done though, and potassium and iron (among others) have significantly declined in other common vegetable crops this century.
(3) A diverse intake of food absolutely does not suffice to reach RDA's of said micros. Just to leave things brief in the context of short interweb comments, (a) how would you hit an RDA of calcium in a day's worth of calories and without additional supplements, (b) is that diet "diverse", and (c) does that plan leave enough budget in your available calories for the other micros you'd like to target? Calcium isn't the only micro which is hard to satisfy with a generic "diverse" or "raw" or "natural" or whatever diet, and in 2000 calories (less as you age or if you're smaller) it's very, very difficult to hit all your micros with any combination of commonly available foods, especially if your strategy isn't to explicitly make sure you hit those RDAs.
A related phrase is "empty calories," which I define as foods with no vitamins or minerals, but plenty of carbs.
I don't think it means you're wrong, you're just ignoring a common use.
The "nutritional content" is the part of the food that your body can make use of.
Mostly carbs, proteins, etc.
The trace minerals are essential, but hardly central.
Even if the definition of 'nutrition' is just those trace minerals (because somehow all the carbs, proteins, and everything else are 'free'), the article grossly exaggerates.
And given the whole shtick of this blog is 'using science to make sense of society', it's a poor show.
Therefore we can say that nutrition value increased as well!
"Almost half (48%) of the US population consumed less than the required amount of magnesium from food in 2005-2006" [1]. Iron deficiency is less prevalent, peaking among pregnant women around 25% [2]. I couldn't find data from 1940 for either. My iron is indirectly tested for (hemoglobin), but I couldn't find any recent bloodwork for magnesium.
Agree, broadly, that the article is a nothingburger. The real story might be the lack of testing for magnesium deficiency.
[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22364157/
[2] https://lpi.oregonstate.edu/mic/micronutrient-inadequacies/o...
The rda for a male is 400+mg.
Unless you’re eating tons of pumpkin seeds everyday, everyone is missing the mark.
And magnesium deficiency is implicated in depression, anxiety, etc.
Focusing on carbs leads to situations where people may be overweight, but also malnourished, which is increasingly common in poor areas.
This is something that everyone understands when we're talking about bears, but somehow forgets when we're talking about people. Those "empty" carbs are 99% of the reason you eat anything. "Nutritional value" and "energy content" are the same thing.
For all animals, of course ensuring that you have enough energy to function is a primary concern, but health studies in modern contexts always assumes that the supply of carbs is a solved problem (modern foods generally have far more carbs than most people need), but at the expense of reducing other nutrients.
Note also that 100 calories of whole wheat flour is more flour than 100 calories of white flour, which will matter to people who need to eat, but gets glossed over as you do the calorie-for-calorie comparison.
Any fiber is still better than none, but it’s not just a matter of amounts.
Sodium consumption per capita has remained rock-steady in the face of an intense demonization campaign. It doesn't really go up (as you might expect, if people develop food to satisfy cravings for it) or down (as you might expect if people pay attention to public messaging).
(See e.g. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7042a4.htm :
> Mean usual energy intake–adjusted sodium intake among U.S. adults aged ≥19 years was lowest (3,333 mg/day) during 2003–2004, and was 3,464 mg/day during 2015–2016. )
This tends to suggest that it is not in fact overabundant in modern diets.
Micronutrients are still important but there are relatively abundant sources still available, for example in leafy greens.
Per wikipedia: >Nutritional value or nutritive value as part of food quality is the measure of a well-balanced ratio of the essential nutrients carbohydrates, fat, protein, minerals, and vitamins in items of food or diet concerning the nutrient requirements of their consumer.
Is there an issue with taking a daily multivitamin that I am not aware of?
Multivitamin pills are the worst bang for the buck. Amounts of actual vitamins are very small. It's better to buy mono-vitamin pills.
Many of the vitamins have no strong evidence of usefulness. I keep buying Omega-3, D3+K2, Magnesium and B, specially B1 but there are good compounds.
Magnesium is ridiculously difficult to source in good quantities, the labels are consistently misleading, bordering the scam. Happens with all, but Mg is the worst offender.
Any recommendations for vendors/brands?
https://www.amazon.es/Omega-3-Aceite-Pescado-Salvaje-concent...
https://www.amazon.es/Complejo-Vitamina-Cápsulas-Vitaminas-M...
I bought B1 much cheaper in powder, but no idea where... some site for bodybuilders's supplements. That Aavalabs complex is also good. Magnesium is from the same brand as Omega-3, Zenement. The D3+K2 is from GloryFeel.
I tried a lot and the ones I keep buying are the same you do - Magnesium, Omega-3, D3+K2 and a B complex. These are not only the ones that most people are likely to be deficient in, these were also the ones that I subjectively felt had a positive effect on me, and either low or deficient levels were confirmed by blood tests. I feel a lot better, too! :)
Regarding the magnesium: I did not know that. How do you make sure the brand and/or it's magnesium is of good quality?
It's curious you say this, I wasn't totally sure, but I sometimes felt like there was a difference in quality, even between the same brand or product of the same form of Magnesium.
The ultimate quality is impossible for me to judge. I just believe them at face value. The problem is that there are different kind of Mg (citrate, carbonate, oxyde) and different ways to write the quantities in the label. It's been a long time since I read it.
One common trick is saying that there is one gram per serving. But in the fine print they say that a serving is not one pill, but two pills. Or three or four.
Another trick was playing with total vs. elemental Mg weight.
The underlying study doesn't support this claim in the slightest.
An accurate claim: some crops contain a few nutrients in smaller quantities than they contained in the 1960s. Primarily sodium and iron.
This is absolutely not a crisis, especially in the developed world.
Somewhat expect just the affect is unknown.
Most minerals are in plants because plants need them for their own needs. So it doesn't automatically follow at all.
Copper is probably the only mineral where your simplistic model applies.
Nutrient density is driven by two related systems - the photosynthetic efficiency (amount of sunlight converted into sugars) which can range from 10% up to 30% + and the soil microbiology. As photosynthesis improves more sugars are exuded into the soil - often to select for microbes that perform certain function- such as making magnesium or phosphorus into a plant available form. This begins a flywheel in the soil. As microbes in a healthy soil die, larger proteins and amino acids are consumed by plants roots. Now plants have to spend less energy building these larger compounds and they become more efficient at producing the proteins and amino acids that make food healthy.
IMHO - after 10 years of farming vegetables - this can all be jumpstarted by testing plant leaves for nutrients via plant sap analysis and then providing folier sprays that help improve photosynthesis and address protein synthesis pathways.
On the consumer side…we aren’t that far off from a device that can scan a fruit and have your phone tell you how nutrient dense it is. Bio-nutrient food association and the gathering of open ag technology have been working on this for some time.
Doesn't seem concerning at all. If you're a man you probably have too much iron.
> As one example, the World Health Organization estimates that 42% of children under 5 years of age and 40% of pregnant women worldwide suffer from anemia due to a lack of iron, folate and/or vitamins B12 and A. A primary cause of this problem (although there are others) is the lack of these minerals in people’s diet. Remember that iron (Fe) was one of the minerals whose presence in fruits and vegetables was found to drop by 50% between 1940 and 2019 in the first study I mentioned.
Probably [1]. That said, most Americans get enough iron.
If you were sustaining yourself from vegetables even if they had 1950s and before iron, I doubt it would positively affect anemia.
Copper deficiency is extremely rare, and it's mostly due to a rare disease rather than a dietary deficiency.
I have helped two different girlfriends with almost lifelong migraines basically completely get rid of them by upping their salt intake.
But we can't even have simple labels warning for high sugar, saturated fats, and sodium. SMH
We're a complex system of interactions, and our approach of killing life we don't like hurts us more than we'll ever know.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00652...
His tomatoes, dill, pomegranates, lemons, oranges, grapefruit and grapes are better than you can buy in any store, no matter how organic, special, artisan you try to get. There is definitely something to quality soil, and no chemicals rushing the process.
That said, I found CO2 levels seem to have changed by 25-30% from 1960. And a small multiples of the current concentration, humans tend to feel effects.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1091926/atmospheric-conc...
Maybe there is something to this?
Somewhat awkwardly, the CO2 produced by the Climeworks DAC plant was initially sold to such a greenhouse, which was used to boost plant growth and then immediately exhausted to the atmosphere. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climeworks#Projects Carbon captured... but not quite sequestered.
Very few people in the west have meaningful micro nutrient deficiencies.
Obviously there's flaws in my silly theory. I'm not a biologist or chemist, just something I think correlates in an interesting way.
It's absolutely astonishing to me that after the absolutely catastrophic response to the pandemic by 3-letter agencies like the CDC, WHO, and FDA, people still believe their advice when it comes to nutrition. The output of those agencies is just a toxic mishmash of various special interests, it has no relationship to reality. These are the same people who, 20 years ago, promoted the "Food Pyramid" with massive servings of carbs as the base.