Coinbase targets financially vulnerable young adults
popular.info
popular.info
BTC lost value through the great inflation and is only gaining value today now that inflation is down to 3%.
Sounds like a pretty bad hedge against inflation. People need to stop repeating this lie.
EDIT: If people need an inflation hedge, buy i-bonds first, and then TIPS after you max out. These are indexed against CPI, so the more inflation happens the more i-bonds/TIPS make.
If BTC were a person, it'd be entering high school and thinking about a student-driver license. We've got an extensive history to draw upon now.
They aren't making any more VHS copies of Toy Story, which IIRC was estimated to be ~21 Million copies of tape.
* Zimbabwean dollars aren't being made anymore.
* Lunacoins / Terracoin isn't being made anymore.
Do these have any reason to go up? And they are (were) real currencies / cryptocoins.
Actually, it is. There is even activity in the repos.
https://github.com/terra-money
People still trade it too:
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/terra-luna-v2/
I don't agree with it personally, but just clarifying a fact.
I'm talking about v1.
The problem with vapid statements is that I can just copy/paste your argument and change the words around... demonstrating how its a useless phrase all together.
-----------
"Inflation Hedge" would be a truly useful thing. That's why it sticks, because people desperately want to prove BTC to be useful. Unfortunately, the stats just don't work out, so you see people twisting the meaning of "inflation" and "hedge" in this very thread.
"Hedges" are things that have high amounts of correlation. (Ex: Hedge on gasoline would be buying assets correlated with gasoline. Exxon, or maybe Brent Crude). And the r-value / correlations can be readily demonstrated. Either positive r-value or negative, it doesn't matter. The important bit is that there's a strong correlation (or anti-correlation).
Why is there such a correlation between all cryptocoins and BTC?
Methinks your definition of "hardness" isn't as important as you think it is.
The desperate rationalisation will only increase with each halving cycle. The oh-so-clever "tulips" joke is becoming increasingly tragic.
Bitcoin is undeniably volatile, but it is becoming less volatile over time and it continues to (on an investment period longer than a year or so) be a fantastic hedge against inflation.
Even if you buy stocks, the general consensus is that you should be looking at a longer timeframe to ensure you can handle any short-term losses.
Yeah. "BTC Is an inflation hedge". Then BTC doesn't protect you from inflation. Then "Inflation hedge doesn't mean inflation or hedge, it really means..."
I'm tired of BTC community defining terms, and then redefining them when the statistics don't work out in their favor. I recognize that BTC community wants "number goes up", but just stick with that and be honest with yourself. Don't invent new bullshit terms for bullshit reasons that are discarded almost immediately.
> be a fantastic hedge against inflation.
Holy crap here we go again.
Bitcoin Cash works great and has for over ten years.
Alternatively, maybe they're British but the great inflation affected both sides of the Atlantic. Then again, Coinbase is an American company providing American services, so I think its safe to say that this topic is American focused.
"Coinbase operates as a remote-first company and has no physical headquarters.[5] As part of its SEC filing to go public, the company reported 43 million verified users, 7,000 institutions, and 115,000 ecosystem partners in over 100 countries."
As for inflation, let me refer you to this post (and thread), a favorite of mine.
Seems likely the time horizon you're talking about is too short in this case. The last few years have been a bit weird by the metrics - it looks like something has changed in the financial plumbing. But the USD has a policy of being an unreliable measure of value and Bitcoin does not, so there is a pretty good chance that Bitcoin will hold its value over time. The price hasn't been trending down (yet?).
Although I'd advise people not to choose their investments based on advertising. People don't really advertise good financial deals. They use the ad budget to get in on the deal.
[0] https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synops...
M2 has shrunk for the last 18 months. Anything correlated to M2 would have similarly shrunk for the last 18 months... which is basically nothing being discussed in this topic.
------------
"Inflation Hedge" is traditionally CPI, maybe PCE if you're being fancy. There's a few other inflation indicators but they're all within a magnitude (and well correlated) to CPI / PCE.
And "Inflation hedge" has been redefined to be something that isn't very useful for investing. You'll notice I'm talking about prices going up due to money creation, not inflation. I choose my words carefully there, we don't have a pithy term for that effect as far as I know.
So you're saying that your "inflation hedge" has no appreciable correlation to inflation or monetary supply over 18-month periods?
> And "Inflation hedge" has been redefined to be something that isn't very useful for investing.
"Inflation Hedge" is just bullshit. Its easy enough to call out. If you want a real reason to invest, then tell me the real reasons. Don't make up bullshit terms.
And you are correct that I also disregard correlations over 18 month periods. I suspect most small-timers do. It isn't clear to me why that would matter.
[0] To clarify what I meant a few comments ago, I meant what most other people would call an inflation hedge in common parlance - ie, something that can't be printed. I don't think they'd be using the term in a way that has an actual definition though, and I don't expect that sort of asset to have anything to do with the inflation rate when it comes to price performance.
In 2021, "Inflation Hedge" meant that if inflation would happen, BTC would protect you from it. Inflation then happened, and BTC failed to protect anyone. Now that its been disproven, people are changing the term "inflation hedge" to mean things that they never meant before.
-------------------
If it takes over 18-months for an "Inflation Hedge" to protect you from inflation, I think I can safely say it fails at its job. (A hedge is supposed to protect you from the event, so that you can reallocate your money from the hedge into all the assets that drop during said event).
Now if you want to argue to me that "inflation hedge" never meant anything with regards to inflation or hedging, then sure, we're both in agreement there. Its a meaningless term inside of the cryptocoin community.
--------
Meanwhile, the people who actually were worried about Inflation bought TIPS, and then sold TIPS during their height (making money, that they could use to purchase other assets). That's what a hedge actually looks like.
So if someone is worried about monetary creation devaluing the currency, based on what we've seen so far, they'd be doing well to buy Bitcoin. Now you are correct that that isn't an inflation hedge. But typing out all that is a lot of words so unless someone invents a new short phrase to describe "monetary creation devaluing the currency" people are going to keep misusing the word "inflation" to mean that. And, frankly, that is what the word should mean in monetary contexts; the technocrats can go hang. Hopefully not literally, but they seem on a mission to upset people.
[0] Assuming the situation snaps back to pre-COVID trends, anyway. At the moment there is a lot of excitement and the M2 is going down.
TIPS and i-bonds are limited in their role as a hedge. Sure, you are exactly compensated for inflation on the capital you invest. However, without the ability to have any leverage, you can't actually use this as a hedge against other capital which has exposure to inflation but which couldn't be converted.
So why is BTC going up when M2 is shrinking for the past 18+ months?
Correlation of what, to what, and what's the R-value? Across what time frame?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation
These words normally have _meaning_ ya know. They're not just things you toss out in a meaningless online discussion.
And if the amount of money available goes down for 18 months... then what?
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS
An "inflation hedge" goes up when inflation is up, and down when inflation is down. But in practice, BTC is closer to down when inflation is up, and up when inflation is down.
Anyone claiming "inflation hedge" needs to tell me how they calculated this correlation.
House prices are sticky and dont drop by 50%.
Also in general the inflation created through interest is not returned by central banks, so they make rich richer and poor poorer.
2) The Bitcoin price is currently comparable to its all-time highs. So someone who lost all their money on crypto was doing something more exotic than just buying and holding a diverse basket of cryptos.
I would give the same advice to people who freak out 'oh my god, inflation, it's going to eat all my money, even though I live in stable America and not Argentina' - chill out. Instead of freaking out and putting your money into unstable investments that have a high non-zero change of going to zero, find a way to make more money.
Stories of people who put their money into risky investments that promised high interest, only to lose their shirt, are quite common in crypto at least - those people would have been much better served just keeping their cash.
Your second point makes zero sense - BTC is 40% lower than it's all-time-high, I just looked it up. Other cryptos are much worse.
Regardless, being down 40% is not losing all the money. It isn't even losing half the money.
The Federal Reserve doesn't control housing policy; local politics (often NIMBY's) do. House prices are high because there are not enough houses in cities where NIMBY's control the city council. No amount of interest rate adjustments will lower house prices if there are not enough houses to begin with.
The alternative to high interest rates from the Fed is high inflation, and inflation is even more harmful to the average citizen. There's a reason Powell keeps emphasizing stable price levels in every single speech he gives, because high inflation is something that must not be allowed to happen.
Cryptocurrency is not an inflation hedge, it's way too volatile for that. Cryptocurrency is the most speculative of speculative investments, and one must buy in knowing that you're flipping a coin and praying that it lands on tails.
It appears that HN comments promoting/defending crypto employ the same tactic.
I'll bite, because I struggle to find people who think this. What value is created?
For other people I’ve seen a wide variety of things they consider valuable that I don’t care for. Trading, community, loans, art, gaming for examples.
Doesn't cash also fulfil these? I'd have thought bitcoin is more fickle than cash.
> For other people I’ve seen a wide variety of things they consider valuable that I don’t care for. Trading, community, loans, art, gaming for examples.
Sorry - is this crypto related? Or just examples of things people like?
Carrying more than $10k in cash is dangerous, and likely to be seized during international travel.
That’s a list of things people use crypto for. Obviously, if they preferred the non crypto version of those services, they would use them instead.
> the ability to always have access to my money, accept contracts internationally, and to be protected from a fickle financial system
What's the difference, that is valuable enough to explain the bitcoin price differences?
But I'm not saying there's zero value to bitcoin's advantages. I'm saying that that in no way explains the price of bitcoin. What explains it is greater fool theory.
Also, if you're assumption is that all government regulation is automatically good then we don't have common ground on this one but ... most government regulation is destructive. The market for bitcoin is implicitly showing the enormous costs of financial regulation where it makes sense to burn absurd amounts of energy rather than get involved in the financial system. Shaking that off is likely to lead to better outcomes. Freer systems tend to prosper more than systems people don't want to be in.
We don't know exactly what the value of being able to do that is, but it is not something that has ever been possible before and it is a concrete action that would help a friend. So it definitely has some value.
Concern troll political hit-piece.
One Black employee, cited in the report, said that “her manager suggested in front of colleagues that she was dealing drugs and carrying a gun.” Another Black employee said that a co-worker “broadly described Black employees as less capable” during a recruiting meeting. The company told employees that the story painted "an inaccurate picture.”
Is it really a concern troll political hit-piece, though? These seem like pretty concretely bad and racist things. Also, way to pick a single line you don't like out of an article that enumerates a whole bunch of issues with what Coinbase is doing."10 alarming things Trump has promised to do in a second term"
Please list the EO numbers and explain your rational of how you arrived there using the text in the EO, rather than some highfalutin opinion written by an activist.
I keep hearing this, but nobody can seemingly answer such a simple question. I can only conclude they are blatant liars and propagandists.
And I don't think the surprise win of 2016 with no GOP machinery backing him out of the gate is going to be a good analog to the preparations that are ongoing right now. He will have far, far more capable people around him, a sense of revenge, and nothing to lose.
The correct answer to "Will you be a dictator?" when asked to a US presidential candidate, is "No." The fact that ridiculous question even had to be asked, and came from someone throwing him a softball (Hannity), and he still couldn't answer it correctly are all serious alarm bells.
And if you look what he said in full context it doesn't seem that bad?
>"You are promising America tonight you would never abuse power as retribution against anybody?" Hannity asked.
>"Except for Day One," Trump said.
>When asked to clarify, Trump said he would use the presidency to close the border and increase oil drilling in the U.S.
>"That is not retribution," Hannity said.
>"I love this guy. He says, 'You're not going to be a dictator, are you?' I said, 'No, no, no. Other than Day One.' We're closing the border, and we're drilling, drilling, drilling. After that, I'm not a dictator," Trump said.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-sean-hannity-dicta...
I agree that it's not a great thing to say as a presidential candidate, but it's tenuous to go from that to "he's going to go full dictator like Xi Jinping/Putin/Maduro/Orban".
1) he is clearly authoritarian (adjective) and
2) there are several answers other than self-control or lack of willpower/desire that could explain the fact he didn’t successfully “become a dictator” in his first term, and some of those components have changed dramatically between then and now
I'm also not going to waste my time indulging in it, but it's worth pointing out for passers-by that that's exactly what this is. It's a low-effort rhetorical gambit designed to waste time demonstrating from first principles something that the questioner isn't going to change their mind about anyway just because somebody more clued-in than said questioner sighed and pulled up EO 13769 to cite chapter-and-verse.
The word "racist" has been so over-used by activists to silence dissenting voices pointing out how brain-dead their ideas really are, that the word has lost all meaning. Just imagine if the word "dumb" had the same effect. How long would it take before it's meaning is completely eroded away to protect indefensible positions? That's is where we are.
I'm convinced there is no legitimate rationale here other than "orange man bad". This is very easy to falsify, but the fact there's a continued refusal to engage in the argument presented speaks for itself.
For all that's been written about Trump, you'd think this should be easy to retrieve. I've personally looked and found nothing, but maybe my methodology was flawed which is why I asked.
If no evidence is provided, it's reasonable to conclude the claims are false.
>These seem like pretty concretely bad and racist things
Nothing about them seems concrete at all? Like, if there was any context and a quote, maybe?
Coinbase is a HN unicorn, created in the US, where the names of all the executives are known. While SBF was running a ponzi.
It's dishonest writing.
The examples are one-sided claims without evidence, and there are many ways they could be "an inaccurate picture". The first case most likely is an inappropriate jocular interjection during casual mutual banter on clothing, music, or a story. The second case could well be a common misinterpretation of meaning during a discussion about affirmative action or DEI policies.
Maybe just focus on fixing the actual problems? How is this any different from Army recruiting? Or Draftkings ads on every sport channel? Or medical ads? Or insurance ads? Or basically everything marketing?
> cable television
????
Yes, it's risky. That doesn't mean it should be restricted only to the wealthy.
If you can't provide them with enough money to be worth their time in lawyer's fees, vetting you as an investor, and accounting... no quality company is interested in you as their 36th investor. If you can provide them with enough money to make that worthwhile, you have enough to be an accredited investor.
Scammers are very happy to take a piddling sum from a nobody, as that ensures you don't have the resources to go after them. And they don't need to vet you as an investor - the fact that you aren't invested in a high-quality company is all they need to know you're a mark.
Accredited investor laws aren't about protecting you from risky investments. They're about protecting you from scams you lack the self-awareness to identify. And given that you can't see that, I'm betting that's a lot of scams.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murphy_v._National_Collegiate_...
All these exchanges are
1. Super scamy, often in dubious jurisdictions
2. From the layout obviously targeted at very young people
3. The appearance, interactions and handling resembles more an online casino.
Coinbase is pretty heavily regulated.
... Wait, is this correct?! Why does anyone use this? Like, you can buy delicious bitcoins through normal brokers, these days, right? And those don't usually charge 0.5% for, well, just about anything.
> Purchasing crypto on Coinbase with a debit card triggers an additional fee of 3.99%. Funding your purchase with your bank account comes with a 1.49% fee.
... Eh?
This all seems so _wildly_ out of whack with conventional discount broker behaviour, it's hard to understand why anyone uses it if this is accurate.
> But there are questions about Coinbase's commitment to racial justice.
[1] Rollerball is kind of a hidden dystopian film. More people should watch it.
Lift up our proud and loyal voices, Sing out in accents strong and true, With hearts and hands to you devoted, And inspiration ever new; Your ties of friendship cannot sever, Your glory time will never stem, We will toast a name that lives forever, Hail to the I.B.M.
Our voices swell in admiration; Of T. J. Watson proudly sing; He'll ever be our inspiration, To him our voices loudly ring; The I.B.M. will sing the praises, Of him who brought us world acclaim, As the volume of our chorus raises, Hail to his honored name.
But in all seriousness, Coinbase is not a particularly ethical company. I still won’t forgive them for how they pulled off the insider trading and boosting of Litecoin, which made Charlie Lee rich off the backs of the peanut gallery.
EDIT: for those with seemingly limited memories - Charlie Lee worked for Coinbase at one point, and was able to successfully get his shitcoin (which was basically a hastily tweaked bitcoin) accepted for off ramping to fiat. Sounds like a direct conflict of interest, and I’m surprised Coinbase wasn’t investigated for this.
You missed the best part though. Charlie Lee sold all of his tokens at the top and then told everyone he sold the top, causing the top to not be so top any more.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/20/litecoin-founder-charlie-lee...
Probably should have left Coinbase in handcuffs, but I digress.
This is really just the latest iteration of paycheck cashing, 1-800 personal loan lenders and the like.
Sure, Coinbase shouldn't target such people. This requires government intervention (for all the libertarians out there).
Ultimately though we're treating symptoms. The problem is capitalism. The unquenchable desire for ever-great profits leads to extracting every ounce of value from people so Jeff Bezos can have $200 billion instead of $100 billion.
All it takes is one more breakthrough. We saw it with AI.
When the chatgpt of crypto comes around, it will sweep the world.
Are we waiting for, some novel computational model? If its use-cases, cryptocurrency is more than a decade old. You'd think that someone would have figured it out by now.
You mean when a consumer facing product that actually has value is launched?
What are young people to do with their money? Real estate has a high cost of entry. Retirement accounts tie up their money until late age with rules that may change. Pensions are a thing of the past.
Crypto for all its flaws is soaring, less boomer, and allows for ownership of wealth.
https://twitter.com/TheBTCTherapist/status/17353627302388821...
Equities means shares in companies, which are what real economy is made of. The population collectively producing physical goods and services. Tangible real things, created by people doing actual work.
So personally investing in Bitcoin would have lost me money. So I do not think you can blanket say doing one over the other is a clear choice. The day to day volatility of crypto is absolutely a concern for making any kind of financial planning.
I have literally never seen a coinbase video ad in my life. Anywhere.