I don't feel knowledgeable enough about the expected process to comment on that. Two points of speculation though:

1. It looks like the commission believes Starlink is trending away from the targets rather than toward them, and that can't help their case.

2. It's hard for me to see how there would not be at least some political considerations here. The fact that this program exists at all is a political decision. So it's part & parcel of the playing field — which is probably why most leaders work hard to not piss off their regulators.