There's probably a cliff in complexity. Once Apple starts requesting signed attestations from the secure enclave on the devices that have one, it's game over.
They probably don't just yet, since still too many people use iMessage on first-party clients that don't have one, e.g. Intel laptops without a T1 or T2.
Note that iPhones already receive SMS spam and fraud just like every other phone.
However, you are correct that the blue bubble is no longer a guarantee that the bad actor is using an iPhone.
Like the legal action that is currently protecting us from robocalls?
I don’t know if iMessage registration requires bidirectional SMS verification, though. If it does, that would be significantly harder to spoof than just caller IDs.
Whether the number uses iMessage or not is totally irrelevant.
There were also differences in the platforms with how/when your phone number can leak to spammers and data aggregators, although I'm no longer deep enough into mobile OS or related CVEs to know current details.
Spam protection should be on the recipient, rather than the sender.
I'm willing to bet the latter is much, much higher. It certainly is for me.
That's not to say that requiring remote attestation or blocking third party clients entirely is proportional, but Apple should (and does) play a role in spam prevention.
(perhaps different sets of data can be used, but it must be something that Apple already has, and the user has already provided (i.e. the iMessage email or the iMessage phone number, from the iPhone's enabled Settings)
I spent a number of days with them where they were trying to work out if they were fake. The serial number was real but they were fairly sure the number had been taken from a real product and reused, but were unable to say for sure.
I ended up just returning them (because of the ebay return window) but found it interesting that Apple couldn't easily check this, and was very aware of the issue.
If it ever becomes popular, there will be a lot of duplicate serial numbers. That's easy to detect and ban.
> Apple can break Beeper without relying on the secure enclave: If Apple devices just send their serial number
You have come full circle with the comment 4 posts up.
I would think that’s the biggest issue right now. If spammers can register “real” iMessage accounts at scale without Apple hardware, Messages becomes less pleasant, very quickly.