Cybertruck Is Already a Production Nightmare for Tesla
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
It'll be interesting to see how quickly Tesla brings out another truck to replace this model. Like the Model X, they'll have learned a lot that they can apply on their next truck.
That seems unlikely given how much of Elon's ego is tied up in this thing. It'd be the sanest thing for them to do, but I just don't see it happening.
I'd be overjoyed by an electric minivan.
Corporate accountability is consumers not forgetting the bullshit they pull, and making and standing by statements like “Because of their deliberate hostility towards consumers, regulators, and the environment, I will never buy a Volkswagen vehicle and have less respect for anyone who does”.
There are many vehicle manufacturers out there. No one needs a Volkswagen. They’re not even good cars or particularly economical.
I personally think it's great that they are attempting to build such a thing.
EDIT: Media sure tries to put negative stories out around launch time.
Why? It seems like a novelty and crumple zones were added to cars for a reason - a feature stainless steel likely cannot replicate.
I think it's unlikely that a company that has launched 3 wildly successful, completely new cars already has gone this far with the cybertruck and hasn't thought of crumple zones.
patina as a sign of virtue and long ownership?
I don't get it how people don't understand this.
It will be interesting to see how the cybertruck turns out.
Bigger picture, I just like seeing attempts at stuff that is quite different. It feels like we’ve become incredibly risk averse.
Tesla vehicles also have some of the highest safety ratings around. Metal choice is also probably less of a factor than the shape of the pieces, so if they can do it with aluminum, steel is probably not that much different
edit...
It seems most vehicles are primarily made of iron and steel. So do these points made still hold up? Is your vehicle chassis made of aluminum or steel... the answer might surprise the commenters here
https://www.statista.com/statistics/882580/us-and-canadian-b...
Materials matter a lot.
https://www.demandthelimits.com/what-is-the-biggest-factor-i...
https://www.khanacademy.org/science/physics/linear-momentum/...
Also consider that existing vehicles are mostly steel today, this is just the body, which can be thinned out, as it does not serve as a major structural component
There are aluminum vehicles that weigh more, it's really momentum rather than gross weight
Or, to put it another way, can a soft body deform around the vehicle and be thrown away from the impact? The sharp wedge shape from the front grille to the hood kinda says "No" to me.
Regardless, it will be good to see what comes out of testing.
Once again today i'll be fair to Elon, most new US SUV/pickups don't pass EU crash tests.
Frankly, I have doubts. Being entirely different from the rest of the players in this multi-billion dollar industry is a pretty high bar to cross. Especially when some of them have been working in this industry (and had access to the same materials) for over a century.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WNWYk4DdT_E
Sandy Munro is a leading expert in the auto industry, tears down all the vehicles and consults with all the major manufactures. He has many great videos on the trends. One thing he consistently points out is how adverse "old auto" is to new ideas or change of any kind, that they don't know how to innovate
I used to work in automotive assembly, specifically in body panel stamping as a controls engineer (ie programming the robots). The big presses were set to accept both aluminum and steel. For example, the robots could use magnets for the steel or suction for the aluminum to move the parts, but the basic manufacturing used the same assembly lines. It was common to run both in the same shift.
How does this logic hold up for another application, like the distributedness of the internet? It started out very distributed, but the last ~20 years we have seen a significant centralization. Yet we now see people trying really hard to re-decentralize major services. Should they not try based on your rationale, analogized?
Do you or Tesla have any data or studies or announcements that point to some unknown advancement with one of the oldest industrial materials in one of the oldest industries? This isn't some hypothetical discussion. You should have something to point to.
The fact of the matter is that there isn't a known advancement to point to. This is a production vehicle that goes against several well-known, established for decades design principles in car design. It will not absorb energy in a crash like every other modern car with crumple zones. It will deliver energy both to the crash target and to the inhabitants.
If Tesla had made some magic advancement, do you not think they would share it?
You keep implying towards some ethereal advancement and arguing with people based upon known, existing facts. Until there's something different, you're just speculating without basis and on a product made by a company well-known and infamous for lying and overhyping product features and advancements.
You keep implying it is impossible to build a crumple zone with a steel body, I just don't buy into the impossibility. Either way, despite orders and production, the vehicle will only be allowed on the roads of it meets safety standards. So either they will make it work or have to change things.
I'm sure you, as an expert, shall point out how I'm wrong yet again
Please tell me which other car has a steel gigacasted frame.
There are videos of old cars vs. new in crash safety tests. The old cars are "stronger" and hold their shape better, but that doesn't help the occupants at all. It only transfers more energy into the humans inside.
It's not like the strength needs to be consistent everywhere. For example, you might want stronger frame around the battery while still having a crumple zone. Again, I don't see the metal choice as a determinate factor here, you can always make a steel part that underperforms an aluminum one, vice versa too
Some parts of cars are steel, which is fine. But having the entire body of the vehicle be steel is where you lose any benefit. What's going to crumple when there are no crumple zones? Most likely your spine...
So you posit that it is impossible to make crumple zones with steel? That we cannot design a steel part that has crumple features? (or in Tesla's case, a single cast rather than numerous parts bolted or welded together)
EDIT: this isn't me being some contrarian cuz I don't like Elon. This is thousands of scientists' discoveries, research, and data over the course of almost 100 years at the tops of their fields in material sciences. If stainless steel could make a good metal to ensure passenger safety, we'd be using it by now.
harder does not mean impossible, any vehicle will have to go through the same safety review, and with Tesla's above average safety ratings, this all seems moot to me
According to the IIHS, the Model Y is the only Tesla that made the safest cars list out of nearly 50 vehicles.[1]
[1] https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-safety/the-safest-n...
It's different in that the Cybertruck is attempting to do things (stainless steel body design, for example) that conventional cars never do (for good reason) so it's not just a matter of Tesla learning to do what other car manufacturers can already do. It's a matter of building out a whole new set of manufacturing capabilities.
Whether they succeed at that remains to be seen.
* The battery - Tesla is using some new battery technology on this model, which they haven't done at scale before. This will come together with time, as it did on the S, 3, Y, etc.
* The body - Unlike practically every car on the road, the CT is made out of stainless steel. Instead of stamping typically used on body panels, they have to be bent on very precise folding machines. The higher strength causes a lot more wear on the dies used for stamping. The only other production car to be made with stainless was the Delorean, which was also a mass-production nightmare.
https://wisconsinmetaltech.com/why-dont-we-see-more-stainles...
I have no idea how they're going to keep the stainless from corroding in states that use salt for the roads in the wintertime. I was a project manager on many jobs fabricating stainless steel pipe, and we had to go to great lengths to prevent contamination, including shrink-wrapping every piece, in addition to using covered loads to prevent contamination from road salts. That's tangential to the manufacturing difficulties, but I have no idea how Tesla will respond to owners' rage over rust on their cybertruck after one winter.
That's a good point. Seeing this headline immediately filled me with schadenfreude, and I bet I'm not the only one. Instead it's worth it to take a step back from all that and just say, "Damn. I hope this weird truck gets made and helps change what a truck is."
It's still too large, not functional enough as a truck, and focuses more on status an a "look" than usability. Can you imagine pulling into a quarry and getting a yard of rock in the bed? It would be a disaster. Or, how about getting a load of bricks or lumber from a big-box hardware store? They already have to put up signs with disclaimers that the truck bed might be damaged on loading... And forget about taking a load of trash to the dump.
I think my biggest fear would be that stainless steel is not uniformly protected. There's a thin layer of chromium oxide that forms on the surface which provides the protection. If you scratch through or damage that layer, you expose normal iron which can start to rust. It should mostly be cosmetic, but damaged stainless steel can still corrode.
And yes, I have a highly utilitarian view of what kinds of pickup trucks we really need on the roads.
I get not being mad at the company. It's their money, they can do whatever they want with it. I get not hating the product - everyone's milage may vary. But I sincerely do not understand defending the company from the very valid criticism that they are engaging in a boondoggle? They are. It's not a good thing. It's not necessarily a bad thing, but it's not a reasonable endeavor. It's self-appeasement, plain and simple. Again, understandable not to condemn; but what is there to defend?
*please don't bother with recommendations; nothing on the market or in the near future is a chevy S10 (isuzu pickup/ford ranger/etc) with an electric engine and sodium batteries, so I honestly do not care about whatever somebody thinks is 'almost like' what I'm looking for. Yes; I know about the wheelbase EPA bullshit that makes those trucks invalid for ICE.
I understand (and agree) with this sentiment, but I think there's an important nuance. What we want is good risk-informed decision-making, not simply a higher risk tolerance. Just increasing risk tolerance doesn't automatically increase good decision-making. I don't give bonus points for just being different, I value being different for good reasons.
Everything is easy until you scale.
they did do an RCA on it iirc, it was the hammer to the door that pre-damaged the window before the ball
well, maybe.
This is also the company that claimed a driver killed by autopilot had been warned for inattention while omitting that the warning had been 17 minutes prior to the crash. It's the company that promised their cars would be able to self drive from LA to the east coast by 2016. It's (basically) the company that claimed they had a production solar shingle that was actually fake.
Like, the list of lies and misleading statements goes on and on. And it's not like just big lies, they lie about small or inconsequential things too. Like, why would you trust them on the claims of their RCA?
All big corporations lie, nothing new here
https://www.hotcars.com/carmaker-caught-in-embarrassing-lies
Do you think the current claimed reasons from old auto about EVs not being viable are truthful reasons?
Also it was a ball, not a hammer.
The level of excuse-making for Musk's bullshit gets really tiresome in these threads. Production car looks like a Pontiac Aztek rendered on a Commodore 64? New things are hard at scale! Prototype breaks when you hit it at launch event? New things are hard, this is fixed in the new model!
There's nothing cynical or malicious in being tired of a pathological level of lies and hype from a person who has real achievements to boast about, if he could just control the need to promise the sun and stars to everyone in Q2 of next year.
Can these things be separated? Can someone be reasonable and realistic and also achieve huge things?
I'm sure there are a few examples, but I wonder whether those other high-achievers just seem more reasonable because they aren't on Twitter/X.
> Can these things be separated? Can someone be reasonable and realistic and also achieve huge things?
Yes, of course they can. "Achieving huge things" does not require "a pathological level of lies and hype." As evidenced by every person who wasn't a twisted salesman who ever achieved something.
It looks cool in renderings with nothing near it for scale, but IRL the Cybertruck seems almost comically large.
Has anyone seen any pic/vids of this thing with a 4x8 plywood board in the back?
(Yes, I know, many 'trucks' on the road today cannot do this as is. But that's not my question.)
Also "weird" and "crappy" could be more specific/informational. Do you mean you didn't like the appearance?
This close to launch, we should not be seeing the kind of build issues we're seeing with the Cybertruck.
There are numerous comments that seem to believe this is some sort of example moonshot that demonstrates Tesla greatness. Yet the core, foundational issue with this vehicle is that they decided to make it with stainless steel for zero rational reason beyond apparently that Elon was infatuated with the Delorean that was a cool car in his youth. The benefits of stainless steel are very limited, and the detriments are enormous. For instance the horrendous angular design is courtesy of the horrible fabrication qualities of that material. This carries over into fit and finish problems that are going to curse this vehicle until it is axed in the near future.
The gigantic wiper. The abhorrent visibility out of the front of the vehicle. The pedestrian killing facade. The complete and utter impracticality that makes it useless as a "truck", and deficient as a car. If Tesla had any sort of functioning management this abomination would never have continued so long.
Online opinions don't matter though. The only "issue" that matters is how many Tesla sells and what is the satisfaction of the owners over the long-term.
For some reason it seems that the negativity surrounding this vehicle is especially ignorant and critical to something that hasn't even been released yet.
The number of super negative words you use like "horrendous", "foundational" "zero rational", "cherry picked", "terrible", "moonshot", "detriments", "fit and finish problems", "curse", "axed", "abhorrent", "pedestrian killing", "complete and utter impracticality" is... how should I put this: literally unbelievable.
The vehicle has not even begun to be sold and people are saying things like this. This is not a believable, rational comment.
The more people are negative about it leads me to believe that it will be a huge success.
I hope commenters like you aren't the legacy automakers trying to slow down the competition for their most profitable segment.
> These are "production" units.
Really? They are driving around "production" units before they have begun to be delivered? How do you know if "these" are "production" or not?
There is overwhelmingly negative sentiment about this vehicle. I have absolutely no doubt that the True Believers will buy it. Contrarians and attention seekers (e.g. cryptoscammers and MLM sorts are going to have one on their socials in no time) will buy it. That will account for a minuscule number of orders. The "pre-orders" that turn into actual orders will be low single-digit percentages.
"This is not a believable, rational comment."
Am I a bot? Am I just an Elon-hater? I mean, I do think he's a manchild who seems to be succumbing to some sort of severe brain rot, however my analysis of the vehicle is based upon all of the details we have before us. I mean...you know we can actually see it, right? We can see the pictures of the catastrophic (earned negative words) design and the compromises that entails. We can see the spectacularly impractical vehicle Tesla is pushing out. This is, in every way, The Homer. Actually The Homer had some benefits.
"How do you know if "these" are "production" or not?"
You have no idea how any of this works. If production was two years out these rather ridiculous excuses could fly. I mean...even then they wouldn't and prototype vehicles are usually especially stellar, for obvious reasons.
Is this a rational statement? What, exactly, is this sentiment based on?
I like the flat/angular design. When I look at it I see it twenty years down the road, covered in trail stripes, with repaired panels welded on in a couple of places, aftermarket "armor" around the bottom, rock sliders, wider wheels, and off-road tires.
> This carries over into fit and finish problems that are going to curse this vehicle until it is axed in the near future.
I think you're right. The best outcome I see is that it will end up being the truck version of the Roadster - produced for a while, replaced by more mature models, and selling for a premium on the used market because of the cult following.
I'm seriously considering buying a Cybertruck in expectation that it will become a collectible vehicle a few years from now.
Totally, it's going to be just like the DeLorean story. The other solid bet is to invest in any movie deals that come your way that involve time travel
I wonder if this abomination gets approval in any European country.
It looks hellishly dangerous for just about anybody not sitting in this thing. And frankly, I'm not even sure about this.
No, I'm a lifelong car guy and hardware designer/mechanical engineer. I've been to Monterrey car week, countless car shows with many concept cars, I've driven cool cars on some of the coolest tracks in the US, I've been around, worked on and built cars my whole life. It looked like a crappy kit car. It looked like a poorly restored lotus Europa or Pantera. It didn't even look as good as a concept car, let alone something that was announced for production years ago and has been taking deposits for years. Other car companies sell yoi a car within a year if you put a deposit down.
That aside, 304 stainless steel has a Rockwell hardness (B scale) of 88, while aluminum is only 20 to 40, depending on the specific alloy. It should be substantially more resistant to scratches. That also means scratches are correspondingly harder to buff out, of course.
The only true advantage I can think of is that "door dings" should pretty much be eliminated by using stainless.
All of that said - I'd be willing to pay a premium for stainless steel body panels in general; doubly so if those body panels are largely flat and angular. That should make repair and replacement significantly easier for my own potential use case.
I think the Cybertruck has the potential to be an excellent, long-term "rural/agricultural utility vehicle". There are several "ifs" to that statement: if the batteries have sufficient range and life span, if the suspension is simple and rugged, if the cargo capacity (weight) is high enough to be useful, if the bed is large enough to carry low-density stuff, if the towing capacity is sufficient, etc.
I've not yet seen one in person, so I can't say if the Cybertruck would be at all suitable. Maybe it meets half of the above requirements, and could be built into a capable off-road vehicle. I'd love to have one to use like a beater Jeep - sort of like a modern, electric International Scout.
It's a shame they're so expensive. I'm really hoping that some of the features of the Cybertruck - including the stainless steel body panels and flat/angular aesthetic - eventually end up finding their way into a less expensive model. I may end up buying a Cybertruck, but what I'd really like is a "Model 3, truck version".
Alternatively, maybe the Cybertruck will have end up successfully scaling production, develop a healthy aftermarket for parts and modifications, and they'll be available on the used market for much less. I'm not holding my breath, though :)
This. Since 3 and Y are so insanely popular there are tons of 3rd party mods. My guess this is going to be even more popular with Cybertruck.
I suspect in the end, since they're not advertising this "feature", the Cybertruck is likely more-resistant-than-average to bullets, but nothing that could be legally advertised.
edit: Not a rumor after all, Musk specifically mentions in this clip: https://youtu.be/25ZuKkbHdqM?t=167
They have talked about it on the keynote.
A 45 is a low-velocity round with a very large blunt nose.
If they shot it up with an ak47 round or a 5.56 out of a AR15, they would have made Swiss cheese out of that door panel.
There are many high-velocity pistol rounds that would do this also. One is a 5.7mm or a .22 magnum."
from that same article
When metal is used, it is typically in a thick plate. Even thinner plate used for small round target practice is usually painted- stainless would be an odd choice even at the right thickness.
That's not the same thing as specifically choosing stainless steel to make it bullet proof. He's using bullet proof to help sell the stainless steel, not the other way around.
It's a tiny distinction, but an important one IMHO.
It's strong enough that you can hypothetically use the body for all your structural needs, and therefore don't need any sort of chassis. An extension/continuation of what Tesla has been doing with their "structural battery packs".
It won't dent as easily.
You can drive and park like an asshole and worry less about being keyed.
It looks cool.
But, and it's a big but, it's not stainless steel all the way down. Scratched stainless steel can still rust once you've removed the chromium oxide protective layer. The protective layer can re-form as you remove the iron from the mix, but not over rust.
Unless one anticipates a lot of conflict in the colony...
Perhaps, but those aren't the exclusive, or even main, alternatives today.
Other than the toughness, I can't find a single reason why he would go with stainless steel.
Sitting here in India and contemplating about the CT, I would buy this vehicle in a heartbeat. It is so menacing, that it would give me peace of mind while driving on Indian roads. The vehicle by itself is an insurance against road rage :).
Sure, but if you do get hit, good luck finding someone who can repair it and paying their price...
800V charging? Great hard problem, strategic advantages
Stainless Steel body? Bad hard problem. No advantage in inventing expensive new precise manufacturing techniques, specifically to use a more expensive material for this one model. The market doesn't really value bulletproof body panels and stainless brushed appearances could be replicated.
Model 3 and Y are why Tesla is worth anything - solve a market need efficiently and effectively. X and S, Elon's passion projects, were terrible for the business.