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Comment by vineet | Hacker News Reader

The interesting question is that now that things are a little bit settled what should we expect.

Some thoughts that seem obvious: - OpenAI to slow down progress with newer models and double down on AI safety. - Microsoft to boost the LLMs that it has - competing with Google, Amazon, and OpenAI.

As for which OpenAI employees leave - I imagine we will see answers in the next few days.

But what about... - Is the GPT Store going to still happen? - What is going to happen with the GPT-5 training? - Was there an AGI breakthrough?

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> The interesting question is that now that things are a little bit settled what should we expect.

I know you said “a little bit”, but I really don’t think things are settled at all. If the outcome of this is that Sam goes back to OpenAI and a new board is somehow assembled, that will mean very different things than the outcome where Sam, Greg and a majority of OpenAI’s staff migrate to Microsoft. And the actual outcome could be neither of those. We’re in a very weird situation, I don’t think we can really predict the future yet.

I thought the decision was made that Sam, Greg, etc are going to Microsoft. Isn't that what was part of Satya Nadella's announcement.

It was, and that’s true. Until tomorrow’s announcement that the OpenAI board is resigning and Sam is coming back to OpenAI. Or until tomorrow’s announcement that the OpenAI board is selling to Microsoft because all of their employees are leaving. Or until tomorrow’s announcement that Elon Musk is acquiring OpenAI and making himself CEO, and then for some weird reason nobody understands Sam decides to go back to OpenAI but not Greg, or vice-versa.

We still don’t know what the outcome of the whole OpenAI strike thing is yet, and people like Ilya Sutskever keep doing things that nobody would’ve expected 24 hours previous. I would argue that it seems more likely than not that there are further strange and unpredictable events that haven’t happened yet this week.

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