What happened? I remember when most of the people in this industry were at least okay. A little weird but okay.
Of course judging by social media it’s a microcosm of the rest of society. People are utterly losing their minds everywhere. It’s both scary and amusing.
maybe, but are they right?
by definition we are already doing the Skynet. as software ate the world we kinda forgot to add QA to the mix (economic necessity just means endless dark backlogs are where the exploding complexity goes to die)
and now we are doing it with even more klunky jury rigged crazy probabilistic shit. the chances of systemic ooppsiies are increasing.
yes, I agree, LLMs with this small contexts are very unlikely to move the needle, but we are working day and night on amplifying whatever effects it can and will have on our future. (not to mention that the AI-powered corporate hellscape achievement is already out of Pandora's box since everyone and their dog started using "data driven" fraud detection shit.
I don't think the support for Altman has much to do with that. There are a lot of people building companies and investing a lot of time of money into OpenAI products. They want to work with a company that they can do business with over the long term and isn't going to rug pull them.
Just because something works for a while does not mean its a good long term situation, unless you were saying something else which I failed to decipher.
Money. Hype + the greedy and credulous = huge payday.
Absurd money decouples people from consequences of reality. With no negative feedback to stabilize the control loop, it eventually goes haywire.
He’s smart, but smart is like having a big engine in the car. Says nothing about the driving. Big engine plus bad driver just means a worse accident.
Eliezer is filling the traditional doomsday prophet archetype, of which there have been thousands in history. That doesn’t mean he’s wrong, but should immediately raise questions.
A deeper analysis of his ideas shows there are fundamental problems in his reasoning.
First, He’s been consistently wrong about the future development and results in AI research so his understanding of AI is proven to be superficial.
Second, His doomsday scenarios are based on a fundamental fallacy; that a GAI smarter than humans would be insanely stupid, unable to self reflect or solve moral quandaries. That’s not to say AI cannot be dangerous, but the types of doomsday scenarios he presents are unlikely. For instance because of acausal trade, Rokos Basilisk is a serious risk that should be treated properly, but Elizer denies it.
(/s since this is the internet)
Are you dismissing everyone that has concerns about unleashing the genie, or are you specifically referring to cult-like behaviour (I'm not familiar with any, but presumably it exists) around this subject?
The rest of your post included some emotive and dismissive language, so I suspect it's the former - a general disregard for the precautionary principle, which in this instance should be first and foremost given the decidedly one-way nature of that particular threshold.
:-)