If you write such speculative theories, I want to do, too. :-)
What if Google already "37'd" OpenAI, but the result is too dangerous to be released to the public, i.e. it takes a huge amount of work to "defuse"/"cripple" their AI for it to be suitable for "public consumption".
What if Google has an actual GAI that is so good they’ve secretly turned over all strategic decisions to it, and it is directing this “appear to be behind” strategy for reasons known only to itself?
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Person_of_Interest_(TV_series)
(Clearly, now that I have raised this possibility, particularly weird longtermists must start worshipping Google, just in case.)
> “We have not deployed the system because we think that it has a lot of biases and flaws of other types,” said Irving. “I think the question is, how do you weigh the communication advantages — like communicating with humans — against the disadvantages?
Seems less speculative than a company with more resources, more know-how, more talent, more training data, more compute, more product experience, more anything, somehow unable to ship a competing product. But that seems the common conclusion people draw.
if they actually had a superior model they'd release a demo or benchmarks even if they didn't make the model available to the public