The Great Sphinx of Giza may have have started out as a natural formation
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
I like this article better. Natural formation, carve a face on an existing head. No prehistoric levitation of massive stones.
You had me till this.
The conspiracy theorists actually make very good points. They’ve been vindicated by discoveries at Gobekli Tepi and others that basically demolish the strongest argument the Egyptologists had against a significantly older Sphinx - that no other megalithic structure had been found till then.
This is one of those situations where the conspiracy theorists make a far more convincing argument than mainstream, and entertainingly, all the recent discoveries in archeology have only strengthened the positions of the conspiracy theorists.
I would look at them again with fresh eyes. The younger dryas impact hypothesis looks especially convincing.
The one I ran into in college is the TIGHAR group, who have some unique theories about where Amelia Earhart's plane was lost. They sound very convincing... until you realize every piece of evidence is only examined from the perspective of how it proves their theory, and any other views are ignored or dismissed.
The folks who actually care about the truth, on the other hand, tend to qualify their evidence and admit to uncertainties.
They are usually hilariously wrong though. Especially when it comes to Egyptology.
Of course you put in the qualifier "usually" here to be able to reject any arguments against you, but just in case: What's your theory on how the extremely precisely manufactured granite vases found in Egypt were made?
The procedures they follow (or fail to follow) are more important than their wild assertions. Ground-breaking assertions in science are not unheard of.
And yes, that applies to mainstream fields, too. In the harder sciences such as psychology, sociology and history (physics is easy because all electrons are identical and repeating experiments is possible, if sometimes impractical) it is extremely hard to draw any conclusions, and there’s pressure to publish strong statements (both externally and from people’s egos).
For example, discovering a new dinosaur is better for one’s career than discovering the one thousandth part of a thigh bone of a known one.
To make things worse, the popular press version of such papers tend to remove many of the doubts that the ‘real’ papers mention.
Non-mainstream publications are worse at that, though, by not mentioning doubts at all, and bending facts.
Asking questions is the easy part. Figuring out what good questions and answers are is the hard part.
People are just used to using the term "conspiracy theory" to trash inconvenient ideas that might be true. Wuhan lab funding, leak, and coverup was a conspiracy hypothesis worth consideration.
Theories that are just claimed wacky and requiring no conspiracy "to suppress the truth" are called fringe theories, not conspiracy theories.
So, yes, "Fringe hypotheses" may be worthy of consideration, sometimes.. but conspiracy hypotheses are not worthy of consideration, because for those to turn out true would actually need a real huge conspiracy of people who knows it's true but agree to suppress said truth. If anything you hear needs a conspiracy in order to not be accepted then you can safely dismiss it. If it's just fringe then feel free to pursue it.
I would say the important thing is to recognize that our pattern recognition overfits for malicious actors with hidden knowledge, probably for evolutionary reasons. The fact we evolved to have more false positives than negatives in this field is emphatically not a reason to dismiss all such hypotheses out of hand.
"Out of hand" is too harsh, but we should lean towards dismissing them unless/until the evidence is compelling.
Why? Well, simply put, because doing otherwise wastes too much time and attention. Conspiracy theories are almost always created by people who are not subject matter experts (at best they are self-taught, but usually this means they watched lots of dodgy YouTube videos), bypassing or ignoring all procedures that exist for a good reason, propelled more by a "I want to believe" rather than a skeptical point of view, and are far easier to create than actual science.
Doing a proper experiment based on clear assumptions is hard. Being skeptical, trying to rule out confounding variables, considering alternative explanations, all of that is hard.
Anyone can create a conspiracy theory, and it requires no skill other than being passionate and having a platform -- like YouTube -- to disseminate your fringe opinion. And because conspiracy theorists seldom follow the scientific method, they can always "ad-hoc patch up" whatever gap you find in their "theory", so it's an uphill battle. It requires no effort to make wild assertions, but it takes a lot of effort to convincingly disprove them.
So it makes sense to dismiss them as default. If one is true, it will gather compelling evidence with time regardless of the crackpot that is currently proposing the theory.
Edit: sorry, I confused it with Gunung Padang, see below.
There’s a lot still underground and also more sites in the area.
“Turns out the hunter gatherers where more advanced than we thought”
A flood, drought, climate change, war or better jobs elsewhere were common reasons for abandoning locations. We have many abandoned projects today, that doesn't have to say anything about social structures.
I think Graham Hancock & co are confusing hunter-gatherers with nomads always on the move, with nothing more than they could carry. But that's nomads, nobody claimed nomads built Göbekli Tepe.
They're not coming up with theories saying "aliens made these vases!!!" or something, they're saying "we don't know how these were made, but with modern knowledge we believe it would not have been possible to make them by hand, and here's a list of arguments for why".
Yet they're labeled as conspiracy theorists and ridiculed, by people who're convinced that whatever they learned in school 20 years ago is the immutable ground truth, or - worse - by people whose careers are based on this ground truth being correct.
Maybe another factor is that a lot of people involved in these projects are not from academic career backgrounds, so they're excluded on the basis of elitism.
[0]: https://unchartedx.com/site/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Danvi...
[1]: https://unchartedx.com/site/vase-scan-resources/
[2]: https://unsigned.io/granite-artefact/
EDIT: Added links for people who aren't aware of these things going on.
Here's a nice compilation of evidence showing it's completely explainable how they could have made them.
a) A woman in Russia hand-made a vase that looks similar to the Egyptian ones.
b) Some guy said the vases are forged, and made in modern times, because their provenance is not proven.
Neither of these strike me as particular interesting statements, and the rest of that thread is about completely unrelated topics. I closed it at the "Dudes Think They Can Prove Atlantis by Measuring a Vase" link, because that's exactly the kind of condescending crap I'm talking about.
This presumes that knowledge can't be lost but we have plenty of evidence that it can be lost and that historical inventions (such as the potters wheel, one of the oldest practical machines) have been made in more than one place.
I don't think elitism is as much a factor as the lack of rigor underlying the analysis, not the fact finding itself. It's perfectly possible to do a whole bunch of materials science and yield some new facts but putting those facts into perspective and getting to the right conclusions is another matter entirely. Most of that 'conspiracy theorist' stuff tends to be 'this was my preferred conclusion and here is the data that supports that conclusion' whilst leaving out everything that contradicts that conclusions (and this is unscientific and may well be why mainstream science doesn't pick up on the ideas, they don't satisfy some of the already known constraints).
Quartz and diorite are harder than granite. Quartz sand abrasion, hand drills utilizing quartz, diorite smoothing tools and melting with hot coals are all techniques recorded by the Egyptians, and have been reperformed by scientists and engineers with similar results.
UnchartedX is run by absolute whackjobs who believe an ancient super civilization, despite no iron, no lithium, no artifacts indicating use of electricity, milled these hand crafts with computer guided drills. It's even dumber than ancient aliens, because at least aliens could take the evidence of their existence with them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Age says "The earliest-known meteoric iron artifacts are nine small beads dated to 3200 BC, which were found in burials at Gerzeh, Lower Egypt, having been shaped by careful hammering." That's 5,000 years old.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaca_H%C3%B6y%C3%BCk shows "Dagger with iron blade and golden hilt from Alaca Höyük. Early evidence for the use of iron in Anatolia. 2500-2400 BC." You can see the iron is heavily rusted, but clearly present over 4,000 years later."
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10814-019-09129-6 says "Larger numbers of iron artifacts, too many to list individually, appeared in the second millennium BC. Waldbaum (1978, 1980, 1999) produced several early syntheses of available references to iron in the Bronze Age Mediterranean and parts of the Near East, totaling about 150 artifacts. The majority of these come from the Late Bronze Age (c. 1600–1200 BC)." These are over 3,000 year old.
Even if iron could not be found, where are the furnaces, tuyeres, and slag which are part of iron production?
Egypt is a wonderful place to preserve iron, but archaeologists would hardly ignore piles of rust that kept showing up.
I haven't seen one that explains all aspects of this at once and it's intellectually lazy to say "(most of) these questions are solved in isolation, so it's not a valid question anymore", with things like the consistent wall thickness being especially difficult (and for which it would be very interesting, for example, to measure whether the miniscule imperfections mirror each other on the inside/outside, to make some deductions about the manufacturing process).
UnchartedX, as far as I know, is one guy who happens to be enthusiastic about a bunch of these things. Regardless of how crazy some of his theories might be, he's sure as heck doing a lot more objectively useful work to find out things about them than insulting people on an online forum.
"To address the question of whether or not such manufacturing accuracy is possible by hand, we will need to expand the analysis to include both modern and ancient objects that are known to have been hand-made."
I read [2]. It comes across as post-hoc numerology - looking for patterns on the assumption they are present. It is also missing a way to perform the same analysis on other objects - are all such vessels using R(n)? Can you find similar patterns in "ancient objects that are known to have been hand-made"?
There's also a complete lack of discussion of known archeology. With a bit of searching I found a picture of an Egyptian making stone vases by hand ca. 1504–1425 B.C at https://academic.oup.com/occmed/article/72/9/595/6966500?log... .
"Ahh, but the object scanned is from pre-dynastic or early dynastic Egypt more than a thousand years previous" I imagine you saying.
Digging some more I found "Artists and Patrons in Predynastic and Early Dynastic Egypt" at https://www.jstor.org/stable/44325730?seq=8
> The first assemblage to my mind unquestionably connected with [stone-working] is not funerary; Room 12 in House Group 89 in the early Old Kingdom town at Hierakonpolis was a vasegrinder's workshop. Quibell and Green found one quartzite and two sandstone drills, as well as the benches and stands used by the cutters and the remains of their abrasives
It cites page 17 of https://archive.org/details/hierakonpolis00petrgoog/page/n26... under the section "Vase Grinder's Workshop".
> Round the room ran a bench of beaten earth 0.8 m. (2½ feet) above the floor. This bench projects considerably in the W. angle and to a lesser degree in the S. angle. The upper parts of these projections have cup-like hollows in which were vase borers such as are shown on Pl. LXII. That marked .1. was of chert. It stood with working surface upwards in the depression in the bench ; under it was a quantity of sand that had been used as the abrading material. On the top of the borer were two rough pieces of chert. Near to it (marked 2) was an oblong corn grinder. The borer marked 3 on the drawing was of diorite. Both sides had been used as working surfaces. Little or no sand was found in the socket or depression in the bench.
> From the fact of the bench being 0.8 m. above the floor, it seems as if the workmen must have stood to their task ; the squatting position is, however, that represented on the reliefs, when the operation of vase making is represented.
Why can we find a room where stone vase grinders worked, and depictions of them making vases by hand, if at that time they had access to machine-made vases?
Given there were clearly hand-made stone vases, what are the odds that the first vase analyzed happens to be machine made?
How do you distinguish between hand-made and machine-made vases?
Have they described the method in such a way that others can replicate it?
... that others can apply the method to other objects?
Have multiple independent people used the method to analyze the same objects? Do they get the same answers?
Has the method been tested on hand-made, lathe-made, and CNC-made objects?
What about on naturally made objects?
We know the ancient Egyptians had hand-made stone vases. Does the method resolve which vases were hand-made vs (potentially) machine made?
Where is any sort of archeological evidence? Why no broken machine parts? Why no foundries were the metals were processed? Why no depictions of any of the required processes when other parts of life were depicted, including making stone vases by hand?
> Have multiple independent people used the method to analyze the same objects? Do they get the same answers?
Although this may be difficult. Getting permission to go hands-on with a very expensive ancient artifact isn't easy. So it may be a while before we get lots of third-party reproduction.
Stone and porcelain vases are pretty common. A handmade vase costs $36 at https://www.swdpotteryworks.com/MedLarge-Handmade-Vases_p_43... . "Vintage Handmade & Painted Chinese Vase" for $75 at https://www.chairish.com/product/11985195/vintage-hand-paint... .
That is, how reproducible is the analysis?
Is the method so broad that it finds patterns in things we know are hand-made?
Is the method so vague that different groups come up with wildly different answers?
The [2] paper look very much cherry picking - finding a pattern and saying the odds of finding that pattern are incredibly unlikely, while ignoring the odds of finding any pattern.
As the old Feynman story goes, “You know, the most amazing thing happened to me tonight... I saw a car with the license plate ARW 357. Can you imagine? Of all the millions of license plates in the state, what was the chance that I would see that particular one tonight? Amazing!”
This is the latest one https://youtu.be/Wcl82hQr8xc?si=FgYeoP2Nc-lJhoTu
We need summarisation tools for clickbait videos. Maybe they already exist?
Like what? Someone else mentioned there's a difference between "conspiracy theory" and "fringe theory". A fringe theory is one that is outside the mainstream (sometimes radically so) but need not involve a conspiracy; a "conspiracy theory" requires the addendum that "they" are suppressing the truth, "they" are out to get you, and this nebulous "they" is often large enough to be all-encompassing ("all scientists", "the world's governments", etc).
Conspiracy theories may still be right ("the US government was hiding the truth about the Vietnam war") but often are simply psychotically wrong. Or maliciously wrong, since there is an industry for conspiracy theories, where it's more important to get your followers than to actually reach any sort of truth. That is, they are often knowingly a scam (like that thing about "alien corpses" that was recently in the news about the Mexican congress).
There's a flaw with their non-scientific, non-methodical approach, too. We can reach the "truth" by randomly asserting things, but generally that's not the best way to go about it.
Throughout history, there's always been wrong-yet-standard "scientific" statements that have been later corrected, from Aristotle's laws of motion, to discussions about the shape of the Earth, going through the so-called impossibility of heavier-than-air flight, the (im)possibility of perpetual machines, etc.
Of course, I'm not suggesting levitation of massive stones either, but I think history encourages prudence.
I would dearly enjoy to read a list of undisputed facts, agreed on by all parties, clearly separated from a list of all interpretations, and an evaluation of their consistency, instead of sensationalized/ridiculed "fringe" theories.
One of these is not like the others.
The now-deprecated conceptual frameworks of the past (religions & cie) weren't so decisive regarding perpetual motion machines for example. In religions/science, people had/have a tendency to think "we've reached the peek", but history relentlessly teaches us to be more careful.
This point of view probably is pedantic, in the context of perpetual motion machines, but that mindset is so prevalent in society today that I can't think of it as a bad habit: it's easy to be blinded by knowledge as much as by ignorance.
If it isn't then that's the end of that.
It's amusing given the context: I think you're using a precise definition of "perpetual (motion) machine", while I'm relying more on the one of an average human.
For instance, to say: “a machine that operates indefinitely without the addition of fuel or energy” well, neither fuel nor energy is added to this machine, not in any apparent way. Instead, it absorbs the natural fluctuations of the surrounding environment and translates that to motive power. Now imagine that some huckster claimed to do that with “quantum zero point energy” or something, I think we’d treat the device like a perpetual motion machine — and look under the table for the trick.
You’ll need to translate the page. It’s a fascinating story. Drebbel isn’t well known in the English speaking world — but he also designed the first cybernetic system, a thermostat.
https://historiek.net/perpetuum-mobile-cornelis-drebbel/1505...
What's interesting is that there is a never ending stream of would-be inventors of PMs that really believe in their devices no matter how easy it is to poke holes in the physics. Most of them don't begin to qualify for a closer examination (assuming they'd agree to that in the first place) and the few that do are often marvels of engineering and the inventors themselves don't actually know or realize how their devices work.
I was part of an online community of renewable energy enthusiasts and we had more than our fair share of cranks there peddling their 'free energy', 'over unity' and 'perpetual motion' devices so I'm probably too bluntly dismissive of anybody that thinks they've finally got it.
Usually they are clever engineers but they miss the physics theory.
And if even the US patent office continues to fall for it who am I to complain...
The cherry picking actually works the other way - for every great discovery that was universally derided by scientists (which isn't most great discoveries, not even ones that were controversial like natural selection) there are dozens of silly ideas based on complete misunderstandings and mountebanks painting themselves as brave challengers of the orthodoxy to an audience that doesn't really understand the orthodoxy.
I guess you'll have to imagine (or not, your choice) what it was like to be Newton before the wild success of his works. There was a time where his ideas were not established science, and he didn't know how they would be received.
https://www.sciography.com/Isaac-Newton.htm
> Newton said he was reluctant to publish his calculus at the time for fear of being mocked.
You seem to have a pretty established idea of what is right, and I think I've gotten my idea across at this point, so you can take or leave it. Cheers.
> "The Sphinx is a monolith carved from the bedrock of the plateau, which also served as the quarry for the pyramids and other monuments in the area. Egyptian geologist Farouk El-Baz has suggested that the head of the Sphinx may have been carved first, out of a natural yardang, i.e. a ridge of bedrock that had been sculpted by the wind. These can sometimes achieve shapes that resemble animals. El-Baz suggests that the "moat" or "ditch" around the Sphinx may have been quarried out later to allow for the creation of the full body of the sculpture."
This article is about new simulations that simply suggest how common yardangs might be.
And at the end of the day, I'm not sure how terribly important it is to what extent the block the Sphinx's head was carved out of was made by the wind, vs. intentionally left by quarrying around. I mean, I suppose it's a curious little detail, but does it have any broader significance?
American civilization may be millions of years old and could have had psychic rock forming technology.
Unless you want to suggest The Black Hills, which are sacred to the Lakota people who see the four faces carved there as defacement of sacred property, had psychic rock forming tech and created The Black Hills. If so, you need to make a stronger argument than a two line comment without citations.
(Edit: And I will note that even if you manage to make the case that Natives "built" The Black Hills psychically, they are offended at the carvings, so it still was not built for that purpose, certainly.
/pedant)
It is clear that parts of the sphinx were sculpted by the dynastic Egyptians.
What is not clear is exactly how long ago human construction started to modify its appearance from a natural formation.
It would be nice to see some more evidence for the timeline of the human shaping of the structure, from the structure itself.
Doing this without damaging the structure wouldn’t seem easy. Pulling the whole thing apart would surely tell us a lot, but at a steep price.