To be fair, Elon has said _a lot_ of things about his various projects and not all of them are based in reality.
To be fair, Elon has said _a lot_ of things about his various projects and not all of them are based in reality.
And Starship seems to really be the main focus of Elon where he doesn't just lead but is in the weeds https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WY73exaVpyw
There lies the danger, considering his work leading Twitter.
He was also quite adamant about not needing a fire suppression system on the pad while everyone else was saying to just dig a water trench and be over with it. Now he got his inverted shower head. It should work, but it delayed the second launch by almost a year.
Even the internal engineers (ie the only people who matter in this case due to being the only people with the data) expected the previous pad to at least survive the first test flight (with some ablation).
The shattering was a surprise that did not fit their own models. Beyond that they had already started work on the current system as a long term solution prior to the first flight.
"by year" doesn't make sense.
Also, the flame "plate" was a reasonable test, it hadn't been tried before. Engines failing at start doomed what was otherwise at the very limit from what we've understood. If you watched the launch, you saw how extremely long the rocket stayed on the pad. It was because with engine failures the thrust was too low to get off and it actually needed to lose fuel. It was like 5x the time it would have been held down otherwise. It's a misnomer that anything really went truly "wrong" with the test. It's like pressing F5 and seeing the "There were build errors" popup.
Now when I open a tweet without being logged in I can't even see any replies.
So…you’re upset that you can’t do something for free now?
(No I don't know how to create google accounts without using your residential VPN or avoid the phone auth if it ends up forcing that)
You can always buy a prepaid SIM and used hotspot-capable phone with cash.
I was just noting a clear downgrade in feature set, made (by Elon's own words) so Twitter can better handle the traffic after having fallen over multiple times.
I think they have increased them since then, but for a while Twitter was really struggling to serve regular users without hitting them with rate limit errors.
We shall see. There might be some https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second-system_effect in play with the Starship.
1 engineering or physics related thing. Deadlines don't count.
I'm waiting...
On its basis it is hard to think we won't this at some point as it promises essentially orbit-like capability on the surface, so everyone has the right to dream we'd get this sooner.
..well known example is given..
"Has Elon actually promised something concrete about this?"
you can see that those things are different.
Hyperloop was always being to be extremely expensive and Elon's role on it was never but just try to be a catalyst for more innovation towards it. He used terms like "open-source idea" and did that student competition to try to kind of drive other people to grab the idea. Things like FSD are instead considered concrete and produced by his companies.
Your kind of thinking would say that no one will ever need more than 840k of memory or that rifling will never take off
Musk released a bluepaper and that pretty much it. SpaceX hosted a student competition also.
Other companies failing doesnt reflect on Musk.
I do think Hyperloop was a bad idea to be sure, but he very clearly stated he wasnt gone make it happen.
I also don't believe commercial Earth-to-Earth passenger service will ever be viable with the current Starship design. Certainly not in the next 10 years.
> Deadlines don't count.
>cannot become a reality in the next 10 years
serves as red herring and allows to move the goalposts arbitrarily, making the question pretty manipulative. Anything can become a reality in 10 years, theoretically speaking. At the same time this is not the main issue with Elon claims at all.
Everyone still wants the damn thing. Critique is better aimed towards things that are actually impossible instead just being observed with too much optimism timewise. I don't think sharp unnecessary critique of irreplaceable multidisciplinary pioneers like Elon are healthy in any space, especially here. This is not Steam Forums.