As the public begins to believe Google isn’t as useful, what happens to SEO?
theverge.com
theverge.com
so to the point here, I lament that Google doesn't work any more, but she doesn't, she thinks it works great. Now if I can just get her to stop finding restaurant recommendations on TikTok...
so that's what I mean by "informal thinking" vs "explicit query"
it's also easy to explain this one case, but it is true in general, she just finds things much more quickly than I do, and when I ask her what was her query I'm always "why tf did you type that in?" If we used a formal language for search, I'd beat her, but she throws in a lot of extraneous terms that make me think either or both "you are overspecifying" or "you are ambiguating" with those extra terms, but she gets answers I don't get, I think because many other people are typing things in the way she does.
I had been trying to find it before I saw her, and since I knew the general neighborhood I was actually trying to "walk" around with streetview to find it, then I was wracking my brain for architectural terms I could use.
Google does a great job of shepherding you towards information and at the very least gives you additional context that you can use to corroborate or tune your search.
Well... the subreddit caught on, and started trolling the shit out of the site by making up fake things "fans were excited about."
https://www.engadget.com/redditors-troll-an-ai-content-farm-...
This is going to get so much worse...
> "How to get: After beating Buck in the fight in Arroyo, along with fighting off all of his friends, you can find this weapon lying on some barrels by where you first spoke with him"
Unfortunately Search is a hard problem to solve, considering how much the internet has grown from 90s or early 2000s to now.
But I'm also old and remember that the yellow pages used to bring in billions of revenue. Have things really changed on a fundamental level?
I don't see how any of that qualifies as "advertising"; it's just a business directory. It certainly isn't "unsolicited advertising". The same goes for the old Yellow Pages: it was a business directory (though it had ads too). Businesses had to pay to be listed in it, but that's the cost of doing business: if people can't find you, you're not going to make any money.
I think when people say they hate advertising, what they really mean is unsolicited ads. If you're looking for a particular business, why wouldn't you want some info about them, or about the choices available?
In fact, when i am at home, and i need a phone number, i go to google maps. But i do use the maps as maps when i am not in my car.
The google we grew up with was a tool that allowed you to precisely retrieve authoritative writings related to a subject, but today's google is a lot more like ChatGPT than that.
I just give an example in another HN thread on a different context [1].
I am open for a 30' session showing a lot more examples.
Regarding less experienced people searching for information, try looking for health data and see what is in the top.
You could not have chose a more affirming counterpoint of an example.
At Google, they recommend to go to https://www.google.com/advanced_search so you can write all the keywords you want. In this case I searched for: kvt reverse exploit [1] you can quickly see that google search results are inaccurate and it shows first my HN post because it was very recent. Also the recent article where it is also mentioned and added after I post it here in HN [2] and the following results doesn't end in some correct previous post. I then try again [3] with a more precise search adding kconsole and only found three results without all the keywords while the advanced search says explicitly that all these keywords should be there.
Am I missing something?
[1] https://www.google.com/search?as_q=kvt+reverse+exploit&as_ep...
[2] https://dgl.cx/2023/09/ansi-terminal-security
[3] https://www.google.com/search?as_q=kvt+reverse+exploit+kcons...
So it's not that Google doesn't work, it's that you're using the wrong tool for your use case. If you want highly technical content or precise keyword search you shouldn't use Google. It's like you're going on Tinder to find a marriage partner.
You are saying one day you use your mobile phone for calling and the next day the device only work for calling 0800-*?
I hate the new Google as much as others, but if you don't adapt your search habits for 20 years when the whole ecosystem around you has been obviously changing, that's kind of on you. Just use another search engine that fits your use case. Personally I use Kagi and I haven't touched Google for the last year at all.
These are worth paying for.
That tells me that the main problem may simply be that the BugTraq post on seclists.org isn’t indexed by Google at all.
While that’d be annoying, I think it’d more likely be a specific configuration or robots.txt issue with that site than being a general issue with how searches are performed.
FWIW, the same query in Kagi found the original as the second result, just under a blog mirror of your 10/20 comment and above the comment itself. Since Kagi sources from Bing (along with Google) results, that reinforces the theory that it’s an issue specific to Google’s crawl.
Contrary to your other replies, I do think your style of query continues to work well on Google (where indexed of course)—-and so do full sentences.
I honestly think the issues when there are problems finding things usually come more down to 25-plus years of searchable internet history accreting a lot of clutter (especially in spaces like tech where old info ages out but never gets deleted), along with cynical SEO from low value sites deliberately skewing results for as long as the site remains indexed.
Neither is a Google problem, and the recency bias you observed is arguably the best way to combat both. Ads and site promotion are another story, and the reason I’m on Kagi, but I don’t think that hits tech as hard as consumer spaces.
"site:docs.python.org/3/ term" gets much better results. (You have to add the site: qualifier, due to SEO it's no longer just enough to say "Python docs". Hence "If I wanted the docs, I would get the docs." is not as trivial to do as you suggest. Things actually went beyond annoying to downright dangerous when searches for "Python 3.10 <topic>" were drowned out by older e.g. (3.6-3.8) version SEO stuff, instead of the latest Python docs.)
Queries like "awk by example" or "egrep by example" or "jq by example" seem to hit the sweetspot between completeness and working example: they give you third-party non-commercial unaffiliated expert bloggers not stuffed with upsell links to a bootcamp. Just pure information sites.
Having mentioned all this, now I've probably inadvertently cursed those sites...
Unfortunately even before anyone started talking about "semantic web" or whatever, substring-match was declining in utility due to spam, so a substring-matcher was only as useful as it's ranking algorithm. So some cleverness in ranking is necessary, but when ranking becomes too clever, or irrelevant due to the arms race with spam, it's an almost inevitable slide from necessary rankers to mediators.
Since all the search/spam arms race is pretty much played out with giants like twitter/google anyway at this point, it is kind of hard to understand why we can't get and keep a separate and truly basic internet search engine that just works. I don't have a handy example, but in my experience even DDG & friends seem to routinely fail the "exact substring match" test for unusual phrases that I know I read verbatim last week.
What I (and I think others) really want is just substring-match tool plus a very minimal amount of extra cleverness for basic stuff like spelling variations, some fuzzing for dates/digits, directly adjacent stuff according to a simple thesaurus. Not my area of expertise, but I would guess that there's a combination of problems that prevent this tool from existing.
a) Other search companies are all trying to do fancy-but-fuzzy "semantic distance" searches to emulate Google
b) It's still true in 2023 that just keeping an up to date index is a super hard problem no matter how many crawlers are in your army
c) Despite bots everywhere, the deeper web in social-media is just too login-walled for the rule-abiding crawlers to deal with
d) There's just no money in do-what-i-say-not-what-i-mean search tools
These days I use ChatGPT though.
I usually get non-working code snippets that pass the wrong parameters.
If you're a German living in Morocco trying to understand Quebec's immigration policies in the original text you'll be fighting the search engine at every turn.
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/verbatim-search/oc...
So I tried verbatim. It still didn't work.
Verbatim + quotation marks. Still nothing.
I guess New Google Search simply doesn't recognize the "(-)-" part of the search term. But this is characteristic of its recent performance. I can't even count the number of times Google disregarded part of my search term and gave me an inane result.
Searching "BPAP chemical", "BPAP chemistry", etc. seems to work fine.
AFAIK, Google search has always ignored parentheses and most punctuation symbols (other than ones that are special to it, like +require_term -exclude_term "...")
https://support.google.com/websearch/thread/71287971/does-go...
This would be true if we could exclude commercial results. SEO is absolutely destroying search quality.
Measuring whether or not results are relevant to the query is the wrong metric to use. You don't want highly relevant misinformation. You want good information.
sighs wistfully
uhh....
- I Googled "speed work running", wanting some workout suggestions. I visited four or five results that either didn't have concrete suggestions, were poorly written, or overly verbose. I ended my search with little faith that I was getting good advice. I typed the same thing into ChatGPT and got a suggestion of 6 different workouts that all seemed coherent.
- I asked Google Home "How do I make overnight oats". It replied, "I found a result for [...], should I read it?" then "The first ingredient is Nutella". That's it, that's all it said. I tried the same search on the web, and every result Google result was spam that was 20 paragraphs of inane blog content with a recipe tacked on the end. Again, ChatGPT then gave me a sane, baseline, recipe.
- I searched Google for "how much caffeine is in coffee". It gave me a calculator that said, "40 mg" and then a suggestion an alternative search for "Q: How much caffeine is in an average cup of coffee? A: between 80 to 100 milligrams". It turns out the calculator was normalizing the caffeine content to caffeine per 100mg of coffee.
I'm using Google exactly how their product is training me to use it, but the failure modes are all consistent. Google's AI features has not real understanding of the world, so their instant answers are frequently nonsensical. And Google clearly can't filter out SEO garbage.
Even if they could filter out SEO garbage, Google's early success killed the golden goose. 99% of web publishers are publishing content for Google, not for their readers and web publishing has become a cynically commercial affair. Individual publishers have by and large moved on from the web to other creator-focused platforms. So, the quality and experience of web content is absolute rubbish. Results are filled with cookie banners, ads, signup prompts, verbose SEO filler, poor writing, lack of authority, etc.
I wish I could search like I used to but we are where we are.
Uh, I do that and I’m 37. But I don’t scroll, I click the button that says "recipe" that’s on pretty much every recipe site.
IMO this is mainly about being used to the state of recipe sites on the internet, and has nothing to do with searching.
* Bio of the author - Google SEO rewards content written by "real humans", so this is there to appease the bot.
* Giant images of overnight oats - This helps the page rank highly on Google Image Search.
* Fluffy paragraphs - "The beauty of overnight oats is that you can make them as simple or creative as you’d like. The base recipe is delicious, and filling all on its own. But if you’d like to spruce it up, you can add a variety of toppings and mix-ins, including fresh fruit, nuts, seeds, spices, jams, and more". Is that supposed to be text written for other humans? Google rewards original content, which means recipe sites need to include massive paragraphs of filler to appear like an authoritative source.
* Ads - Gotta make the money.
* More fluff "Here’s a few reasons why you should to whip up this recipe today…" - Again, this is not text written for humans.
* Repeat the fluff, pictures and ads approximately 5 times.
* Common questions "Do you have to use yogurt?" - Trying to appeal to Google Instant Answer searches.
* Recipe - Finally!
* Recipe rating - This allows the site to put a star rating and review count on Google, again, for SEO
So, 95% of the content and functionality of that page is an attempt to convince Google into sending traffic, or ads generating revenue, rather than serving the end user.
Content on the web has dramatically changed from 20 years ago because publishers are creating content for a broken machine and not for other humans. This negative feedback loop is hurting the web, and not just Google. This leaves the door open for upstarts like ChatGPT or TikTok to gain mindshare.
> Recipes can be protected under copyright law if they are accompanied by “substantial literary expression."
https://copyrightalliance.org/are-recipes-cookbooks-protecte...
So the fluff is both an attempt at that substantial literary expression, and a way to differentiate this version of the recipe from 1000 other versions of the _exact_ recipe because the recipe itself is not unqiue or copyrightable! Without it, recipe's would be penalized by the duplicate content penalty Google applies.
This often works the opposite generational direction: when a young person has a flat tire they often call a road service and wait two hours, while the old guy would install the spare himself in less than 8 minutes. But either way, flat tires are inefficiencies that are best eliminated.
I'm over 40 and do that (and the fuzzy stuff / open questions in the top comment).
In fact, most 20-somethings are much worse than this - some studies even pin them as worse with most computing use that is not about social media apps.
For example, “speed work running”, were you looking to improve sprinting? (I’m not a runner, so it almost reads to me like “working fast while on a treadmill”). Reading the rest of your example, maybe “sprint workouts” would give better results?
(40+yr old guy here, Google had always worked for me, as many people had described it working for 20yr olds. Finding the right, specific enough set of keywords had always been my “trick”. Little did I realize I subconsciously generate embeddings like a LLM to Google search)
Speed work in running is a type of training that focuses on improving your running speed and anaerobic fitness. It involves various structured workouts and drills designed to increase your stride turnover and overall pace. Speed work is essential for athletes who want to enhance their performance in races or simply become faster runners.
Common forms of speed work in running include:
Interval Training: Interval workouts involve alternating between periods of high-intensity running (fast) and rest or recovery jogging. For example, you might run fast for 1 minute and then jog or walk for 1-2 minutes to recover. This process is repeated multiple times.
Fartlek Training: Fartlek, which means "speed play" in Swedish, is an unstructured form of speed work. During a fartlek run, you mix bursts of faster running with slower paces or jogging. You can do this based on how you feel or choose landmarks as your guide.
Hill Repeats: Running uphill at a high intensity is an excellent way to build strength and speed. Hill repeat workouts involve running up a hill at a fast pace and then jogging or walking back down to recover. This is repeated for a set number of repetitions.
Tempo Runs: Tempo runs are sustained efforts at a "comfortably hard" pace, typically just below your anaerobic threshold. This helps improve your lactate threshold and race pace.
Track Workouts: These are structured speed sessions done on a running track. Common track workouts include 400-meter repeats, 800-meter repeats, and 1,600-meter repeats, where you run at a fast, consistent pace and take rest intervals between each repetition.
Strides: Strides are short, fast runs of about 100 meters that help improve running form and leg turnover. They are typically done at the end of an easy run.
It's essential to incorporate speed work into your training regimen gradually to avoid overuse injuries and adapt to the increased intensity. Make sure to warm up properly and cool down after each speed workout. Consult with a coach or experienced runner to create a personalized training plan that suits your goals and fitness level. Additionally, listen to your body and allow for sufficient recovery between speed sessions to prevent overtraining.
Also, ChatGPT is usually really bad with long prompts when I use it, and is often kind of close when I give it a short prompt. I assume part of this effect is psychological though, where you expect the short prompt to have worse results.
(Generally just confused by how ppl always claim it’s trash or it got worse but there never is a solid benchmark)
I think the problem with Google is that 'garbage' is highly subjective, and what you think is awful is actually highly engaging for a lot of users. Google has massive amounts of data about what results users click on, how much time they spend on a website, how much scrolling they do, etc. To technical people we see that as SEO 'trapping' people to push engagement rankings up, but the reality is that it's just engagement. People could leave a site of they wanted to, but they don't. They scroll through those 20 paragraphs of recipe back story. That data means Google are finding accurate results.
If anything this shows that Google's results personalization isn't taking your engagement into account. A problem that will get worse as more people block analytics.
Man, you have strong coffee. :-(
Now, i was told this, repeatedly, over and over. It's probably false, but if it is false, cite the decision that precedented this.
Because as far as I know, I’m both and I find Google just as good as ever, if not much better.
The only place I see people complaining about Google is Hacker News and certain parts of Reddit and by no means are the opinions on these sites anywhere near universally shared by most people.
And by all means, I think calling yourself highly educated but not being able to adapt slightly when a tool isn’t working right a little rich…
They should drop the charade and do a directory listing instead, like the "portal" pages of yore.
No results: "vector plus phallophile" / "vector plus phallophile reviews" / "vector plus phallophilereviews" / "phallophilereviews.com vector plus"
vs.
Correct results: "site:phallophilereviews.com vector plus"
Yes, I have SafeSearch turned OFF. This is happening to pretty much anything that's remotely NSFW on both google.com and amazon.com -- it's getting completely impossible to search for perfectly legal things that are NSFW.
They're perfectly capable of making things better, it's just more profitable if they don't.
I don't think so. I've been using the "full sentence questions" and fuzzy questions since forever, and very seldom use "site:" and other such more formal constraints you mention.
Despite that Google results have been getting worse for the past 5 years at least.
for some definition of better that is not "the results are more relevant than before"
I do that every time I get my AWS invoice
We know.
> I'm old, very educated, very experienced, technical, etc.
Checks out.
The problem is Google monetizes search terms and thus show the highest bidders and not the most relevant results.
This manifests itself the most for things people want to sell (products or services)
- full screen of those “intelligent” answers that is just naming swords from Elden Ring and Dark Souls 3.
- two SEO spam sites
- two decent results
- a full page of YouTube suggestions
- two more SEO pages
- a section of “people also searched for”
- four more YouTube videos
- another “people also searched for”
- a block for Reddit posts discussion this question (finally what I really kind of wanted, maybe I just stop using Google…)
- about 10+ more decent-looking websites.
Perhaps your assistant is just paid enough not to be annoyed by this garbage way of getting to the answer. And perhaps she doesn’t know what great really feels like. I wonder if there’s a generation of people who only know of the Internet as being this bazaar that’s absolutely glowing with neon ads like some blade runner undercity.
Top result: article from GameRant on the best colossal weapons (I have no idea what this means)
6 "intelligent" answers, the first of which when expanded lists the "Elden Ring: All 11 Colossal Swords, Ranked By Physical Strength"
Article from The Gamer called "Elden Ring: 14 Best Colossal Swords, Ranked"
4 YT videos
Reddit block
....
Google is fine for memes, news, and the other things that normal people regularly look for on the internet. Where it really breaks down is where it used to shine—finding obscure information about highly technical niche topics. Its obsession with guessing synonyms (and ignoring your efforts to tell it to knock it off) is a major handicap for finding any content with a target audience smaller than a few million people, and while stripping out advanced search operators may smooth the path for the 80th percentile of searches, it cripples the remaining 20 percent.
If your assistant stays firmly within the 80% that work, then yeah, Google is better than ever. But they made the 80% work seamlessly by giving up entirely on the 20% that people on forums like this really cared about.
I know people say it still doesn't work, but I find adding quotes completely effective for me when I need the precise keyword. Not sure what I'm doing differently.
It can be really egregious, too: I've searched for `foo` and had it say `Showing results for bar. Search for "foo" instead?` Then I follow the link that it provided and it still is searching for `bar` with the same prompt to refine the search, even though the double quotes are clearly still present.
Google was excellent, the process took me about 2-3 hours to get everything clear in my head, the documents went off in the mail, and the certification has been issued in the UK.
So yeah, I don't know what your experience is, but it's not mine.
That is generally no longer true, due to human nature and the rise of walled platforms and/or non-Web platforms like Facebook, Twitter, Discord, Medium, Mastodon, Reddit, etc. Most content is either private, or public as part of an offhand comment/discussion thread. Actual public pages with high quality content are near extinct.
In the few cases where it may be true, the results are sorted for the common denominator, especially since most people who would be looking for such niche information have disabled personalization, so Google can only assume that you are an average person who wants common denominator results.
In the early years, technically inclined individuals / power users were the early adopters of the Internet and Google and thus arguably a high percentage of users. So it adapted to that user demographic.
The early demographic (as is so often the case) enabled the revolution, and it became mainstream. And the early demographic is left behind.
Google (with all of it's measuring, automation and various generations of algorithmic and machine accelerated learning evolved from being optimized for early adopters to being optimized for the mainstream.
Maybe some of these links will help? ;-)
https://www.google.com/search?q=learn+to+talk+like+a+teenage...
This works for most people most of the time and is exactly what we’re finding frustrating
But knowing what you can still use it for is 90% of the battle, my latest common use case is just fact checking AI right now but my primary queries are all to sandboxed language models
I'm thinking when our carefully curated prompts, chain-of-thoughts, and what else will stop working on ChatGPT because they optimized it for the technically uneducated users.
We'll meet here again. Missing the days of "Let's think step-by-step". Ah, this one in particular seems to be already over!
Those still work, don't they? I use site: all the time.
All the people I feel are "using Google wrong" and are just "fluking the right results by accident "... They're actually using it more efficiently than I am! Same with almost everything mobile. I like the control and certainty and size and detail of desktop computing and my ergonomic keyboard and 32" monitors. I cannot understand how people are using wonky apps and Imprecise directions and half-understood usage... And getting many things faster and easier than I would :)
I had an enlightment moment last night. I usd to run a photography studio so am pretty handy around a digital camera. I was setting up my phone's main camera with long shutter and trying to steady it to take a photo of a Halloween costume in the dark... When my friend just turned the phone to selfie camera, it automatically used it's screen as 6" flash, and he got a better photo faster and with less thought and kerfuffle. Was he "using it wrong", with lower res camera and single point direct flash (big no no!) and just not thinking it through at all? Maybe? No... He got a great result quickly and efficiently, I'm just stuck in stone age :-).
(There are still times and areas where understanding the how and why is useful. But in many mundane daily tasks I'll get beat by people who don't bother :)
Knowing how to use a camera is not being stuck in the stone age. His photo was good because the phone automatically had a longer shutter time, did post processing HDR and did light light edits.
If you both set up RAW images on your phone, and put it on lightroom, yours will be editable into a perfect photo, his will be a mess of flash and AI generated artifacts by the phone to make it "just work".
Having things that "just work" is great for everyday tasks, but power users and technical people should still have their tools to do things right. Apple allows for RAW image and videofootage while still having many settings by default for most people. Spotify used to have a ton of cool audiophile options in the settings now its like 3 options and they are all terrible. Google has gone that same way, instead of enabling both, they have cut off power users by focusing everything on "everyday use" which makes their product largely useless outside of some scenarios.
You used to go to Google and effectively be asking, “Google, find me information about X.” Today you’re implicitly asking, “Google, show me ads related to X.” You just kind of accept that what it shows you will be the thing that is most fine tuned to appear most related to X - and the most common reason to do that fine tuning in the first place is to deliver an ad.
So you gotta search in natural language like an ad, and hope that someone in that first page of results decided to SEO some particularly good content so they could get you there to look at more ads.
I've been doing that "informal" since Google existed - surely it's quite common. You describe what you want in fuzzy terms, and add more qualifiers to narrow it down.
So, "melting house halloween" would be my first search, or rather "melting house halloween <city>". Similarly if I wanted to search for say Eugene Levy and didn't remember his name, I'd write something "comedian big eyebrows" (he's the second match after Groucho) or "big eyebrows american pie" (first match), and so on.
Out of curiosity, how would you search for that house?
It's like their trust of the Internet is 100x higher than someone recounting something they've seen with their own eyes, and the value of knowing a bit of information or getting a dopamine hit is way way higher than having an engaging conversation with someone
Business is booming. Not exactly dying as indicated here in the HN circles because obviously HN crowd is much further ahead in the curve. SEO is still the number one opted channel by most ecommerce stores because keywords like "red party dress" or "green shoes" are still immensely more valuable and bring ton of revenue every day.
Ofcourse, Google is trying hard to monetize every little real estate but still a ton of keywords don't have any advertisers at all. Optimizing for these has been the number#1 revenue maker in the past 3 years.
The other aspect of this the "paid ads" also immensely valuable to advertisers. We have people spending 3 million dollars a month on paid ads returning 8X ROAS. Google & FB are still the most lucrative channels for ecommerce.
Do you actually think this or is this just a polite way of saying lots of HNers are out of touch?
Michael Burry: I may have been early but I'm not wrong
some exec: It's the same thing!
I believe that a lot of HN posts are probably "right", but they are so far in the future and so non-applicable to day-to-day life, that it's indistinguishable from wrong. For example, everyone predicting Google is going to end - yeah all great companies eventually come to an end - if you want to be insightful, you actually have to be on time with it.
Or in another case, there's a political scientist, whose name I don't currently remember, who's made fun of for predicting 9 out of the last 5 recessions. Sure, he may have predicted the ones that happened, but a broken clock is also right twice a day. Your predictions aren't worth much if you can't avoid false positives.
EDIT: [https://quoteinvestigator.com/2023/11/01/predict-nine/]
People hate change, and absent a catalyzing event or order of magnitude advantage, it will take a decade for usage patterns to shift.
E.g. Kagi over Google
Kagi could hypothetically be 25% superior in all searches.
Most people don't know and don't care. Search is the thing that pops up and they type into. You can even change that? To what? There are others?
Firefox had tabs.
Chrome had faster javascript. (Although moreso substantial free marketing on highly-visited webpages)
That's the sort of thing it actually takes to shift users.
Yet. Time is the enemy of ad-supported business models.
Time is literally the enemy of everything. The universe will experience heat death. The sun burns out. Nations will fall. You’ll die of old age.
The assertion you made is actually the most milquetoast safest prediction that anyone can make about the ad business and it’s obvious to everyone.
The thing that actually matters is “when?”
"When?"
So we’re all still using Yahoo and Altavista?
Google eclipsed their capabilities >25 years ago and yet some of them are still kicking around. Inertia is a very strong thing.
The difference is the business model. Except for a small minority of people in tech and with disposable incomes, the majority aren't willing to pay for Search.
So if Kagi wants to increase their adoption they would need another business model. Advertising (in one form or another) is the easiest one.
Google is a verb, it’s the default, it’s the internet. Two whole generations grew up with it being their portal to information.
There’s nothing Kagi can do to dethrone Google, unfortunately. Its only hope is to carve a niche for itself and cultivate it.
Hence, the lawsuit ;)
To the specific topic: Even if users predominantly switch to AI assistants for search (and there will always be search because users want to find stuff), the search will still be based on an index over third-party data, and the third parties will still be trying hard to optimize that data to be more prominent in applicable searches.
In this case, HN posts may be predicting the portion of the exponential curve further to the right, but in fact, we probably still have a long ways to go in the trough before we reach the point the lines cross.
For trading, obviously if Michael was 2 days early, that may have not been enough time to arrange the contracts he did. 2 years early means paying premiums while explaining to investors why you are doing this weird thing that everyone else in the world disagrees with.
That said, a lot of different thinking ends up not going anywhere. Only time will sort out the difference.
I will say I agree with the above comment about the current viability of SEO. It’s still very effective. Google is still very heavily used.
One thing to keep in mind is that while organic search might be slipping, other things are slipping at least as much. The slow death of 3rd party cookies is eating away at ad network efficiency. Organic social media reach depends increasingly on influencers, which is a highly fractured and opaque marketplace (inefficient at scale). Email is effective but getting email addresses remains difficult. Trust in press and institutions (aka earned media) is way down. It’s hard out there for marketing!
The more Google trains its normal users that “generic queries will get you spoon-fed generic-ness, so you have to be specific to get what you want…” the more valuable placement on long-tail keywords will become. People aren’t going to stop searching, they’ll just hate Google more when doing so. And they’ll begrudgingly adapt.
The SEO industry will be fine. Startups that naturally breathe long-tail SEO will excel. Incumbent advertisers will see keyword costs rising across the board, though, and perhaps pass costs to customers. That’s not inherently a bad thing - but there’s a lot more to the debate there than just this aspect.
I can believe that. But it also has the equivalent of stage 1 or 2 cancer.
Paid ads on the other hand are pretty much set-up once and you feed in the ROAS to Google and they optimize on that. With Performance MAX, users have even less control.
OP's response is akin to a shovel seller saying business is good when people are saying the gold has run dry.
Could we speak? I run a bootstrapped company for more than two decades and [natural] SEO explained part of our growth. Nowadays it is not working as expected after trying a lot of stuff and agencies. It feels like we can write articles all day without moving the needle except peaks sharing in Reddit that go down quickly.
It seems like I need to apply a giant budget to move those metrics. I understand we are in a niche market but we have real work that differentiate for the few competitors.
A 30' call will work. Are you available?
The plan is working.
This company then picked a biggish ad-spend budget, spent it on Google, FB and other ad companies (digital agencies). And the users just started rolling in over the course of months. The increase in users, let them "monetize" by convincing "sponsors" to "pay" for content on this new "platform", which netted them a big chunk of profit and more money for more ad-spend which made more users come.
Next up, they will brand and sell this platform which has "X-millions of users", even though most are one-off users, barely any repeat or long-term users, etc.
It's like some sort of endless shit-peddling cycle driven by marketing, and it was frankly disgusting to watch from the sides. Their stated goal was actually noble, uplifting, etc. But all they ended up doing was building a "herd" of users that they could monetize and use for marketing other projects, and helped no one except for their global brand, and their owners.
Sorry about the rant.
In summary: Yes, just get an ad-agency and pay them to help you get users. At least you have a valid product I assume and genuine value to provide in exchange for money.
So you’re the reason why search results are spam nowadays
I've stopped using Google altogether for things I want to buy. I only search directly in the shops now.
It frustrates me when people say "Google should search reddit by default." The reason reddit is still halfway decent is there isn't as much money in gaming it, but there would be if the entire world was sent to it.
But it would encounter the same problems typical to big tech once any "real" money started flowing in.
Yes, there's a thick layer of for-profit walled garden crap on top but the actual web of websites (not applications) is still out there and it's bigger than ever despite being proportionally much smaller compared to the smartphone/megacorp users.
Games are the place to go and 'show up'.
The internet is no longer used for sharing relatable information. It saturated and walled off valuable information a decade ago.
/hacker news
I guess it's good that they're not obviously going Judge Dredd left, right and centre, but it's still surprising to me that you can run up to them, slap them in the virtual face and stay online to do it again.
Or perhaps it is not messing with the short-term bottom line because the SEO sites are crawling with ads? And until ChatGPT what were you going to do? Use Bing?
[0] https://www.theverge.com/2013/12/25/5243716/rap-genius-plumm...
The part where they go on to say "We messed up" cracked me up. You don't "mess up" when you are fully aware of your actions, and perform them as planned.
That could be because their interests are aligned. Google makes money from ad spend, not from delivering useful results to users.
Someone else mentioned the "reverse-takeover of Google by DoubleClick is the Fall" and I find that spot on.
The Dionysian appetites of adtech will be its own downfall.
Call it 'airank' maybe?
probably a "exploit" trigger. hard to think how reality and predictive power are going to be mediated through some kind of source index.
Take as axiom that there exists infinite content of apparently human-readable stuff in the universe at random IP addresses. It is grey static, that maybe at one point in the past used to be ordered information. Now, all entropy.
A human managed and manually curated safe zone of information is the refuge. Real people had real discussions and votes and decisions to result in what you see. This is true with Reddit to a lesser but still useful extent. Democracy can be gamed, but it's 1000x better than Engagement Signal Ranking that drives Google or Meta's products.
The same principles apply to education, science, and political organization of human enterprise.
Basically, institutionalize your info-world.
Generative AI can also increase the amount of good content, too. If I knew that a particular human vouched for an AI-generated code snippet, I would trust it as much as a hand-written StackOverflow answer. You can bring the entire arsenal of community and reputation-building to have more people vouching for answers and double-checking others.
That's why the future of StackOverflow is more like Phind, the code-specific LLM that looks like a search engine. StackOverflow already has the community. Now, they need to keep people there to check AI-generated answers.
And there's second order benefits, too. You could have AI check old answers, even human ones, on a regular basis. Imagine if an answer is marked "obsolete" because the AI found a more modern solution, or if it found a security issue.
I'm just curious as to what that might look like. We've already seen plenty of examples as to what folks will do when an online option becomes sour/untenable...new ones arrive. Sometimes they look like old options repackaged. Sometimes they are radically new.
Without proof, that's just as hyperbolic as the post you're criticizing.
The number of users on the internet went 5x from 2005 to now.
https://www.zippia.com/advice/online-shopping-statistics/
E-commerce volume went similarly steep and steady in increase.
https://siteefy.com/how-many-websites-are-there/
Number of active websites went up similarly.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Size_of_Wikipedia#...
Wikipedia number of articles exploded.
You can't even really do that on HN without getting your account deleted. I don't think the blame belongs solely on Facebook and Linkedin so much as anyone who has any kind of power online using it on others as they see fit.
That said I also believe you are correct, even small degrees of power can corrupt and being granted power over conversation means your biases may lead to abuse if you don't agree with a view point or the person holding that view.
Did you manage to keep your account anonymous from Facebook – that is, not linked to any of your other identifiers?
I prefer talking about pseudonymity rather than anonymity because you are very rarely truly anonymous on the internet, even using a non nominative handle, especially if law enforcement enter the chat.
I remember friends getting harassed online, where it was one of the few places they could be themselves (for instance, a good friend of mine was openly gay online well before he was in person) and the internet seemingly didn't take kindly to this in alot of corners (gaming for starters)
That said, they were able to find some community that didn't exist the same locally, so the vastness is the upside here in that respect.
The old internet is dead and most people and organizations abhor the idea of anonymity and anonymous (free) speech.
And it's these kinds of fluffy, non-clickbait content that people are complaining about when they talk about Google's search results these days. I don't think the real problem are two-bit hustlers sneaking in bait-and-switch content here and there - it's that Google's own rules encourage mediocre and non-authoritative content.
So one of the reasons people gravitate towards ChatGPT (or, to a similar degree TikTok) is that both will give you strong and authoritative advice (even if it's wrong!)
I don't necessarily believe the internet is worse today (if you have any false nostalgia, try searching a forum for an answer to a technical problem). But experts who were actually putting out good content and information were consistently getting ripped off by knockoffs for decades and we shouldn't be surprised that nobody is contributing anymore.
Most of what I am interested in has moved to Discord or Telegram, or rotted away in deteriorating subreddits. A few others niches moved to YouTube, a spammy one way window. Any contribution I make just feels like shouting into the void (and not even the satisfying kind like here on HN).
Is this not a common sentiment?
Some thoughts about The Verge article on SEO - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38104407
The current title on HN is "As the public begins to believe Google isn’t as useful, what happens to SEO?"
Google won't help me find this story... but it did at least once in the past. And now I can't even find that reference to the earlier reference.
Also... try finding something about marking up hypertext documents... you can't... you have to know that "annotation" works instead... at least it used to. Who knows what Google will spit out these days. Google-fu isn't what it used to be, because Google goobered it up.
This site you would find under /data/u/uranium/uranium_enrichment_yielt.html
And I use recoll to find stuff https://www.lesbonscomptes.com/recoll/pages/index-recoll.htm...
Hard to beat ad-supported search
Because you don't actually know the people you interact with on the internet. Anonymity invites deception, which builds a sort of distrust over time whether people realize it or not. Authenticity is rare on the net.
Props to the author for having the ability to bang out her damn essay without getting bogged down in every little rabbit hole. If she were prone to compulsively editing-instead-of-writing she probably would have found out that alligators are not just prehistoric-looking; they're prehistoric itself. They appeared "94 million years ago in the Late Cretaceous" (wiki) and in fact their clade, Crocodilia, is only surviving sibling clade of Dinosauria, and so crocodiles & alligators are the closest living relatives of birds.
Then Google managed to return relevant search results despite all the people trying to game it... And at some point Google stopped trying. The problem isn't SEO experts successfully gaming the organic results, but Google mixing ads in a misleading way and giving up on fighting SEO.
So don't blame SEO experts for trying to get their pages to the top, that's their job. Blame Google for stopping doing the one thing that made them popular: return relevant search results despite everyone trying to game it.
I don't think that SEO is going to be decreasing anytime soon for e-commerce, which is probably the best use of SEO. AI generation images and content are no substitute for physical goods, like shoes.
And judging by everyone and their dog in ai space running at a loss even when charging id say that’s not imminent
I mean, it might be renamed something other than "SEO" then, but the same people will still be optimizing for a content selection and presentation algorithm.
An LLM trained (or using in context learning on, or some mix) a dataset isn't immune to manipulation by the people supplying the data.
The first three sentences of the post basically counter the author's narrative. Clickbait is ruining the internet. It doesn't matter whether it is Google, or Tiktok or Facebook or whatever, what gets popular surfaces to the top. If people like clicking on clickbait content, why blame platforms?
E.g. you search for something obscure or specific, but all the results are relating to a similar search, that has loads of results.
It's as if Google just want to give you lots or results, and not care if they answer the question.
So can DuckDuckGo let me easily search for sites without ads?
What is required is strong vision at the top, telling the bean-counters to dial it all the way back, to be able to see when the golden goose is becoming a boiled frog. Google used to know that what's good for the internet is good for Google.
Sundar Pichai, you're not that guy pal.
Something like Kagi, the old Dropbox, old Twitter. It’s never going to appeal to most people by design.
If the "crawler" turns out to be a LLM, should websites serve vector files instead?
If so, we need a standardized tokenizer at w3c.
Edit: actually I wonder if wikipedia will make one (model) they have so much info
A lot of the time when looking for information about X the search results are dominated either by someone trying to sell me X or they have very superficial information about X just so they can a bit further down try to sell me X.
(I'm talking about the unknown X, not Elon's failing project).
but the dirty secret here... GPT is trained pretty heavily on reddit data. theres a reason why there hasn't been an IPO and their api got crazy expensive. OpenAi is trying to build a moat with Reddit and with regulation. I really don't think its going to be that long till people figure it out, but who knows
It's a moving target in that a lot of orgs try to "game the system", or at least exploit it as best they can :)
Good content will mostly rise to the top because that's what search engines strive to optimise.
Nothing really changes that much probably. Just semantics.
Not that I really think that. There's too much incentive to fine new and exciting ways to game the system, instead if actually just being relevant.
Google and, to a lesser extent, other search engines, deserve some of the blame for having easily gameable ranking algorithms. Still, it's mostly on the bad actors doing the gaming, and the people hiring them to do it.
> endearing and not evil was that while many had
> made quite a bit of money, almost none had amassed
> significant power. Unlike the Elon Musks and Jeff
> Bezoses of the world, who went from geeky teenagers
> to masters of the universe, the dorks who grew up
> to do SEO have stayed the butt of the joke,
> beholden to the fluctuations of the algorithm,
> frantically pulling levers behind the scenes
> but ultimately somewhat hapless.
Translation: they were "endearing" because, instead of actually trying to build something, they just made piles of money ruining things for everyone else. Sure, they're parasites, but at least they aren't (god forbid) _productive_.
Your information is always going to be sourced and/or presented by humans with bias. Isn’t it better when that bias is transparent? A solo author draws their reader into a proxy conversation with them (which naturally lends itself to some level of persuasion most of the time). As a reader (I believe) your job is to pay enough attention to catch the author if they’re off-base or not playing fairly, so that you’ll walk away with more accurate understanding than you started.
I suppose if you don’t want to be challenged by a proxy dialogue then a better medium for you would be statistical analysis or a scientific, structured study, but unfortunately most topics just don’t get the dedicated resources to do that properly.
I’ve seen the aggregators and summary bots as well, but that seems even worse: Cherry-picking “facts” from an essay without seeing the context around them? A recipe for misunderstanding and/or getting the wool pulled over your eyes.
Maybe the best solution is for every article to have a comments section where folks can point out inaccuracies and inconsistencies to help each other out? Citizen fact-checkers? Then you wind up with… this same article, as-is, posted on Hacker News alongside intelligent debate ;)
Yes. My point is those shows are presented as though they are telling you well-contextualised facts, and then they are making jokes about those facts. I think that presentation is deceptive.
I’d also question the heuristic in general. Anecdotes serve a range of purposes. And in any case, it’s quite easy to subtly push a feeling/emotion/story without anecdotes if that’s what you want to do.
Isn't giving context exactly that?