Donald Trump's second term would be a protectionist nightmare

economist.com

7 points·yonibot··5 comments

I think we need more protectionism. A lot of American dollars are going overseas when it should be spent right here at home. We have a lot of problems of our own, it would be nice if politicians focused more on that than what's going on in other parts of the world.

That position is called mercantilist. "Exports good, imports bad" in short. IMO it's damned stupid except in the rare cases where you have the influence to make that happen. For example when you have an empire or some colonies and can decree that they should increase their imports from you.

More commonly you have the ability to reduce imports and sometimes to subsidise exports, but once your trading partners have had their say, the mercantilist policy does not reach its goal.

Maybe I should have put that more politely.

A mercantilist policy works effectively if you have the ability to set your trading partners' policy to (that which you see as) their disadvantage. This is the case when you trade with for your own colonies and can set their policies. It may also happen if the preceding government did not try to act in the best interest of the country, e.g. some kleptocratic tyrants try to optimise for their own good and disregard the country completely.

But for a country where government can neither set its trading partners' policies nor really decide what its companies and people do? Forget it.

Trump 2.0 would obviously be an accelerator but we are already on the timeline set by Trump 1.0. In a hostile de-globalising world, it is hard to see any return to free market economics. In fact, all of the 'free' (speech, assembly, travel..) seem to be in reverse at the moment

Trump 2.0 would be a direct assault on America and it's position as leader of the free world.

Who would benefit most from this?

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